" Single CMO " Management Committee 29 August 2013

group housing of pregnant sows as applicable from 1 January 2013

"Single CMO" Management Committee29 August 2013

DG AGRI C4 29 August 2013

115

130

145

160

175

190

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

€/1

00 k

g

Evolution of the EU average pig carcass price

5 yr Avg (08-12) 2010 2011 2012 2013


30

35

40

45

50

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

€/p

iece

Evolution of the EU average piglet prices

5 yr avg (08 - 12) 2010 2011 2012 2013


50

150

250

350

450

Jan April Juil Oct Jan April Juil Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Euro

/ to

nne

Price of Basic Ingredients 2011 - 2013

Soft wheat (EU)

Barley (EU)

Maïs (EU)

Soja (CAF)

Hulls (EU)

Manioc (CAF)

C.G.F. (CAF)


120

150

180

210

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrch | Apr | May | June | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€uro

/ To

nn

Futures for Feed wheat EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby

2013 Ju l

2013 Nov

2014 Jan

Delivery:


160

180

200

220

240

260

| July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |Jan 2013| Feb | Mrt | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |

€/T

on

n

Futures for Maize EU (Euronext) (Nearby = 2012 - 2013)

Nearby

2013 Nov

2014 Mar

2014 Jan

Delivery:


1.100

1.200

1.300

1.400

1.500

1.600

1.700

| July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |Jan 2013| Feb | Mch | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug. | Sept. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |

Futures for Soybeans in US$ct/ Bushel (nearby = 2012 & 2013)

01 Nearby

2013 Sept

2013 Nov

2014 Mar

Delivery:


-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

€uro

/ T (Cere

al & S

oja

mix

/ Com

pound feed)

Euro

/ 10

0kg ( p

ig carc

ase

)

Comparisson between Compoundfeed for Pigs and a Cereal-Feedmix

Margin/ Comp. Feed (4.4 > 3.9)

Carcase price

average Margin 2008 - 2012 (45,21€/100kg)

Cereals and Soja mix

Compound feed

NB:Comp. Feed 2013 = Forecast as from MayCereal mix and Pig carcase price: 2013. = forecast as from March)


55,0

75,0

95,0

115,0

135,0

155,0

175,0

| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 |

Weekly average Pigprices 2009 - 2013 in Euro/ 100kg carcase

EU, Brazil and the US

EU

US

Braz. avg

CDN Ontario

EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meatUS = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn. 167-187lbBR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br)CDN= Ontario Dressed weight FOBas from dec 2010, before Index 100 (agr.gc.ca)


2011 2012 2013 2014

q1 1,2% 0,6% 0,1% -0,5%

q2 1,1% -0,9% -0,7% 0,3%

q3 0,1% 2,3% -4,0%

q4 1,4% -0,5% -6,0%

year 1,0% 0,4% -2,7%

-8,0%

-6,0%

-4,0%

-2,0%

0,0%

2,0%

4,0%

Preliminary results of the communicated change in quarterly GIP (last update: 7.8.2013 14 MSs)


2.011 2.012 2.013 2.014

q1 1,8% -1,3% -0,6% 1,2%

q2 1,5% -2,1% -2,3% -1,2%

q3 -1,0% -1,5% -3,0%

q4 -0,4% -3,4% -2,6%

year 0,4% -2,1% -2,1%

-8,0%

-6,0%

-4,0%

-2,0%

0,0%

2,0%

4,0%

Preliminary results of the communicated change in quarterly GIP (last update: 7.8.2013 14 MSs ecl. Spain)


Trade in Pigmeat


46

.13

5

59

.72

0

71

.93

7

51

.64

1

63

.80

0

55

.91

8

56

.07

7

54

.49

9

72

.27

6

22

.61

2

21

.73

0

32

.36

8

43

.17

9

59

.83

8

51

.78

9

43

.43

7

38

.20

1

34

.90

0

17

.43

3

88

1.0

11

94

3.4

05

1.0

83

.23

0

1.2

38

.13

8

1.5

56

.96

1

1.5

45

.90

7

1.3

31

.80

8

1.5

26

.56

3

1.5

09

.30

2

1.7

80

.56

8

1.9

38

.45

5

2.0

89

.36

3

1.9

10

.90

8

2.5

69

.08

7

2.3

86

.24

5

2.6

84

.94

7 3.1

91

.54

6

3.1

30

.29

1

1.4

81

.10

9

0

250.000

500.000

750.000

1.000.000

1.250.000

1.500.000

1.750.000

2.000.000

2.250.000

2.500.000

2.750.000

3.000.000

3.250.000

3.500.000

3.750.000

4.000.000

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Jan-Jun 13

To

nn

es

pro

du

ct

we

igh

t

.

IMPORTS EXPORTS

EU trade of PIG products


EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)

OriginsOrigins Compared

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to J an-J un 12

Switzerland 17.240 33% 17.480 40% 18.659 49% 18.567 53% 8.784 50% -13%

Chile 16.554 32% 8.874 20% 7.082 19% 7.291 21% 2.983 17% -17%

Serbia 387 1% 851 2% 2.389 6% 2.386 7% 1.391 8% 21%

USA 6.540 13% 5.616 13% 1.436 4% 1.148 3% 707 4% 21%

Canada 340 1% 414 1% 42 0% 67 0% 70 0% 138%

Other 6.667 13% 4.971 11% 4.102 11% 4.404 13% 3.498 20%

EXTRA EU 25/27 51.789 43.437 38.201 34.900 17.433

% change - 16% - 12% - 9% - 4,5%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jun 132012


EU imports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)

8.72610.153 8.784

4.1083.585

2.983

1.9141.944

2.548

17.51818.260

17.433

0

2.000

4.000

6.000

8.000

10.000

12.000

14.000

16.000

18.000

20.000

Jan-Jun 11 Jan-Jun 12 Jan-Jun 13

IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27(Tonnes prod. weight)

Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other origins

5.1968.607 7.581

12.95210.554

9.935

4.8545.252

6.71029.403

31.16533.201

0

5.000

10.000

15.000

20.000

25.000

30.000

35.000


IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (1000 EUR)

Switzerland Chile Serbia Norway USA Other origins


0

1.500

3.000

4.500

6.000

|Jan07

2007 |Jan08

2008 |Jan09

2009 |Jan10

2010 |Jan11

2011 |Jan12

2012 |Jan13

in Tonnes (product weight)

Imports of selected PIG products

FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS


EU exports of selected PIG products:Trade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)

DestinationsDestinations Compared to

tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % Jan-Jun 12

China 178.671 7,7% 207.128 7,7% 393.183 12,3% 586.283 18,7% 332.835 22,5% + 37%

Russia 762.144 32,9% 808.683 30,1% 847.540 26,6% 745.509 23,8% 349.385 23,6% - 8%

Hong Kong 413.921 17,9% 426.697 15,9% 539.338 16,9% 380.596 12,2% 180.317 12,2% - 11%

Japan 186.049 8,0% 223.637 8,3% 231.282 7,2% 230.800 7,4% 112.209 7,6% - 3%

Ukraine 147.346 6,4% 137.736 5,1% 113.941 3,6% 161.619 5,2% 58.912 4,0% - 18%

South Korea 95.036 4,1% 100.790 3,8% 193.909 6,1% 137.219 4,4% 49.436 3,3% - 40%

Philippines 26.573 1,1% 89.407 3,3% 96.880 3,0% 73.363 2,3% 50.693 3,4% + 42%

Belarus 28.427 1,2% 80.331 3,0% 103.830 3,3% 123.433 3,9% 40.775 2,8% - 31%

USA 55.522 2,4% 58.593 2,2% 59.396 1,9% 60.689 1,9% 29.086 2,0% - 11%

Angola 45.383 2,0% 44.399 1,7% 61.535 1,9% 58.905 1,9% 26.425 1,8% - 4%

Australia 46.731 2,0% 50.304 1,9% 44.265 1,4% 47.189 1,5% 22.419 1,5% + 4%

Other 329.727 14,2% 389.458 14,5% 435.718 13,7% 450.637 14,4% 228.618 15,4%

EXTRA EU15-25-272.315.530 2.617.163 3.120.816 3.056.241 1.481.109

% change + 13% + 19% - 2% - 1,0%

2009 2010 2011 Jan-Jun 132012


EU exports of selected PIG productsTrade figures (COMEXT – tonnes product weight)

411.958 379.848 349.385

245.135 203.109 180.317

136.410 243.835 332.835

116.874 115.322 112.209

508.127481.680 447.452

1.457.2611.495.988

1.481.109

0

200.000

400.000

600.000

800.000

1.000.000

1.200.000

1.400.000

1.600.000


Tons (pw) .

EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (Tonnes prod. weight)

Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations

618.609 685.971 657.745

288.447 245.630

385.233

422.425 422.717

1.000.129

1.124.432 1.035.210

2.437.563

2.935.543 2.866.101

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

3.000.000

3.500.000


in 1,000 EUR .

EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (1000 EUR)

Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations


0

50.000

100.000

150.000

200.000

250.000

300.000

350.000

|Jan 07

2007 |Jan 08

2008 |Jan 09

2009 |Jan 10

2010 |Jan 11

2011 |Jan 12

2012 |Jan 13

in Tonnes (product weight)Exports of selected PIG products

FRESH FROZEN FAT LIVE ANIMALS OTHERS

" Single CMO " Management Committee 29 August 2013

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Transcript of " Single CMO " Management Committee 29 August 2013