Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder...

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Transcript of Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder...

Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings

Michael Maher, Ph.D., P.Eng.

Golder Associates Ltd., Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer

Roozbeh Rashedi, Ph.D.

Infrastructure Solutions Inc., VP of Technology

1) Increasing infrastructure deficit & continuous deterioration

2) Lack of attention to preventive maintenance

3) Lack of true optimization capability at network-level analysis

4) Lack of affordable, easy-to-use, yet powerful capital planning tools

5) Lack of a full life cycle solution

Road Capital Planning Challenges

Challenge 1 - Increasing Infrastructure Deficit

Challenge 1 - Increasing Infrastructure Deficit

Challenge 2 – Attention to Preventive Maintenance

Published July 2016

Challenge 2 – Attention to Preventive Maintenance

Challenge 3 – Incorporating True Optimization

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

(PCI)

Treatment Type 1 (T1) Treatment Type 2 (T2) Treatment Type 3 (T3)

CostAfter-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)

A 35 $1,000 50 15 $2,000 70 35 $ 3,000 100 65

B 55 $500 75 20 $1,000 90 35 $ 2,000 100 45

C 70 $500 90 20 $1,000 100 30

D 80 $200 90 10 $2,000 100 20

E 50 $800 70 20 $1,500 80 30 $ 3,000 100 50

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

Treatment Type 1 Treatment Type 2 Treatment Type 3 T1 T2 T3

Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit B/C B/C B/C

A 35 $1,000 15 $2,000 35 $ 3,000 65 1.50 1.75 2.17

E 50 $800 20 $1,500 30 $ 3,000 50

B 55 $500 20 $1,000 35 $ 2,000 45

C 70 $500 20 $1,000 30

D 80 $200 10 $2,000 20

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

A 3 $ 3,000 65

Total $ 3,000 65

Solution:

Available Budget = $3,000

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

Treatment Type 1 Treatment Type 2 Treatment Type 3 T1 T2 T3Max B/C

Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit B/C B/C B/C

D 80 $200 10 $2,000 20 5.00 1.00 5.00

B 55 $500 2 $1,000 35 $ 2,000 45 4.00 3.50 2.25 4.00

C 70 $500 20 $1,000 30 4.00 3.00 4.00

E 50 $800 20 $1,500 30 $ 3,000 50 2.50 2.00 1.67 2.50

A 35 $1,000 15 $2,000 35 $ 3,000 65 1.50 1.75 2.17 2.17

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

D T1 $ 200 10

B T1 $ 500 20

C T1 $ 500 20

E T1 $ 800 20

A T1 $ 1,000 15

Total $ 3,000 85

Solution:

Available Budget = $3,000

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

BCA Solution

Total Benefit = 85

Ranking Solution

Total Benefit = 65

IS THERE A BETTER SOLUTION?

Road

Section

Current

Condition

(PCI)

Treatment Type 1 (T1) Treatment Type 2 (T2) Treatment Type 3 (T3)

CostAfter-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)

A 35 $1,000 50 15 $2,000 70 35 $ 3,000 100 65

B 55 $500 75 20 $1,000 90 35 $ 2,000 100 45

C 70 $500 90 20 $1,000 100 30

D 80 $200 90 10 $2,000 100 20

E 50 $800 70 20 $1,500 80 30 $ 3,000 100 50

HOW CAN WE FIND THE BEST POSSIBLE

SOLUTION?

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

𝑴𝒂𝒙 𝒛 = 𝑿𝒊𝒋. 𝑩𝒊𝒋

𝑿𝒊𝒋. $𝑪𝒊𝒋 ≤ $𝟑, 𝟎𝟎𝟎

𝑿𝒊𝒋 ≤ 𝟏

12% improvement over BCA and 46% over Ranking solution!

Solve

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

B T2 $ 1000 35

C T2 $ 1000 30

D T1 $ 200 10

E T1 $ 8000 20

Total $ 3,000 95

Solution:

Optimizing Real-Life Problems

A Real-Life Example

Challenge 4 – Affordable, Easy-to-Use, and Powerful Tools

Challenge 4 – Affordable, Easy-to-Use, and Powerful Tools

Challenge 5 – Full Life Cycle Solutions

Concluding Remarks

To attain substantial road capital budget savings it is

necessary to:

1) Address infrastructure deficit and deterioration

2) Pay more attention to preventive maintenance

3) Utilize true optimization capability at network-level analysis

4) Build affordable, easy-to-use, yet powerful tools

5) Follow a full life cycle solution

Questions?

Roozbeh Rashedi

Infrastructure Solutions Inc.

VP of Technology

roozbeh@Infrasol.ca

www.infrasol.ca

Michael Maher

Golder Associates Ltd.

Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer

Michael_Maher@golder.com

www.golder.ca

Contact: