Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · [email protected] Michael Maher Golder...

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Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings Michael Maher, Ph.D., P .Eng. Golder Associates Ltd., Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Roozbeh Rashedi, Ph.D. Infrastructure Solutions Inc. , VP of Technology

Transcript of Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · [email protected] Michael Maher Golder...

Page 1: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings

Michael Maher, Ph.D., P.Eng.

Golder Associates Ltd., Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer

Roozbeh Rashedi, Ph.D.

Infrastructure Solutions Inc., VP of Technology

Page 2: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

1) Increasing infrastructure deficit & continuous deterioration

2) Lack of attention to preventive maintenance

3) Lack of true optimization capability at network-level analysis

4) Lack of affordable, easy-to-use, yet powerful capital planning tools

5) Lack of a full life cycle solution

Road Capital Planning Challenges

Page 3: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 1 - Increasing Infrastructure Deficit

Page 4: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 1 - Increasing Infrastructure Deficit

Page 5: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 2 – Attention to Preventive Maintenance

Published July 2016

Page 6: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 2 – Attention to Preventive Maintenance

Page 7: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 3 – Incorporating True Optimization

Page 8: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

(PCI)

Treatment Type 1 (T1) Treatment Type 2 (T2) Treatment Type 3 (T3)

CostAfter-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)

A 35 $1,000 50 15 $2,000 70 35 $ 3,000 100 65

B 55 $500 75 20 $1,000 90 35 $ 2,000 100 45

C 70 $500 90 20 $1,000 100 30

D 80 $200 90 10 $2,000 100 20

E 50 $800 70 20 $1,500 80 30 $ 3,000 100 50

Page 9: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

Treatment Type 1 Treatment Type 2 Treatment Type 3 T1 T2 T3

Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit B/C B/C B/C

A 35 $1,000 15 $2,000 35 $ 3,000 65 1.50 1.75 2.17

E 50 $800 20 $1,500 30 $ 3,000 50

B 55 $500 20 $1,000 35 $ 2,000 45

C 70 $500 20 $1,000 30

D 80 $200 10 $2,000 20

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

A 3 $ 3,000 65

Total $ 3,000 65

Solution:

Available Budget = $3,000

Page 10: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

Road

Section

Current

Condition

Treatment Type 1 Treatment Type 2 Treatment Type 3 T1 T2 T3Max B/C

Cost Benefit Cost Benefit Cost Benefit B/C B/C B/C

D 80 $200 10 $2,000 20 5.00 1.00 5.00

B 55 $500 2 $1,000 35 $ 2,000 45 4.00 3.50 2.25 4.00

C 70 $500 20 $1,000 30 4.00 3.00 4.00

E 50 $800 20 $1,500 30 $ 3,000 50 2.50 2.00 1.67 2.50

A 35 $1,000 15 $2,000 35 $ 3,000 65 1.50 1.75 2.17 2.17

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

D T1 $ 200 10

B T1 $ 500 20

C T1 $ 500 20

E T1 $ 800 20

A T1 $ 1,000 15

Total $ 3,000 85

Solution:

Available Budget = $3,000

Page 11: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

BCA Solution

Total Benefit = 85

Ranking Solution

Total Benefit = 65

IS THERE A BETTER SOLUTION?

Road

Section

Current

Condition

(PCI)

Treatment Type 1 (T1) Treatment Type 2 (T2) Treatment Type 3 (T3)

CostAfter-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)Cost

After-Repair

PCI

Benefit

(PCI Gain)

A 35 $1,000 50 15 $2,000 70 35 $ 3,000 100 65

B 55 $500 75 20 $1,000 90 35 $ 2,000 100 45

C 70 $500 90 20 $1,000 100 30

D 80 $200 90 10 $2,000 100 20

E 50 $800 70 20 $1,500 80 30 $ 3,000 100 50

HOW CAN WE FIND THE BEST POSSIBLE

SOLUTION?

Page 12: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Simple Comparison: Optimization vs. Ranking/BCA

𝑴𝒂𝒙 𝒛 = 𝑿𝒊𝒋. 𝑩𝒊𝒋

𝑿𝒊𝒋. $𝑪𝒊𝒋 ≤ $𝟑, 𝟎𝟎𝟎

𝑿𝒊𝒋 ≤ 𝟏

12% improvement over BCA and 46% over Ranking solution!

Solve

Selection Treatment Cost Benefit

B T2 $ 1000 35

C T2 $ 1000 30

D T1 $ 200 10

E T1 $ 8000 20

Total $ 3,000 95

Solution:

Page 13: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Optimizing Real-Life Problems

Page 14: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

A Real-Life Example

Page 15: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 4 – Affordable, Easy-to-Use, and Powerful Tools

Page 16: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 4 – Affordable, Easy-to-Use, and Powerful Tools

Page 17: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Challenge 5 – Full Life Cycle Solutions

Page 18: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Concluding Remarks

To attain substantial road capital budget savings it is

necessary to:

1) Address infrastructure deficit and deterioration

2) Pay more attention to preventive maintenance

3) Utilize true optimization capability at network-level analysis

4) Build affordable, easy-to-use, yet powerful tools

5) Follow a full life cycle solution

Page 19: Substantial Road Capital Budget Savings · 2018-11-15 · roozbeh@Infrasol.ca Michael Maher Golder Associates Ltd. Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer Michael_Maher@golder.com

Questions?

Roozbeh Rashedi

Infrastructure Solutions Inc.

VP of Technology

[email protected]

www.infrasol.ca

Michael Maher

Golder Associates Ltd.

Senior Pavement and Materials Engineer

[email protected]

www.golder.ca

Contact: