NDF Guide

Post on 18-Nov-2014

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description

This is a short description of what a Non Delivarable Forward is.

Transcript of NDF Guide

You can also find our research materials at our website: www.mb.seb.se. This report is produced by Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ) and is not directed to any private and legal person. Information and opinions contained within this document are given in good faith and are based on sources believed to be reliable, the Bank do not represent that they are accurate or complete. Users are urged to base their business or investment decisions upon such investigations as they deem necessary. Changes may be made to opinions or information contained herein without notice. No liability is accepted for any direct, special, indirect, consequential or incidental loss resulting from reliance on this document. All intellectual property rights to this report shall remain the sole and exclusive property of the Bank.

Foreign exchange in emerging markets ^=åçåJÇÉäáîÉê~ÄäÉ=Ñçêï~êÇ=EkacF=áë=~=ëóåíÜÉíáÅ=Ñçêï~êÇ=Éå~ÄäáåÖ= ÜÉÇÖáåÖ= ~åÇ= éçëáíáçåJí~âáåÖ= áå= ÅçìåíêáÉë=ëìÄàÉÅí=íç=ÅìêêÉåÅó=êÉÖìä~íáçåë=çê=ÜáÖÜ=éçäáíáÅ~ä=êáëâK=^ë=~=êÉëìäíI= áí= áë= éçëëáÄäÉ= íç= ÜÉÇÖÉ= ÉñéçëìêÉë= íç=^ëá~åI= i~íáå=^ãÉêáÅ~åI= ^ÑêáÅ~å= ~åÇ= b~ëíÉêå= bìêçéÉ~å= ÅìêêÉåÅáÉë=éêÉîáçìëäó=ÅçåëáÇÉêÉÇ=ÒìåÜÉÇÖÉ~ÄäÉÒK== Currency regulations and convertibility risk j~åó= ÉãÉêÖáåÖ=ã~êâÉíë= áãéçëÉ= êÉëíêáÅíáçåë= çå= ÑçêÉáÖå=ÉñÅÜ~åÖÉK= ^ë= ~= êÉëìäíI= äçÅ~ä= ÅìêêÉåÅó= Å~ååçí= ÄÉ= ÑêÉÉäó=ÄçìÖÜí=çê= ëçäÇ=ïáíÜçìí=çÑÑáÅá~ä=~ééêçî~äK=råÇÉê=åçêã~ä=ÅáêÅìãëí~åÅÉë= cu= íê~åë~Åíáçåë= ~êÉ= ~ääçïÉÇ= çå=éêÉëÉåí~íáçå= çÑ= êÉäÉî~åí= ÇçÅìãÉåí~íáçå= ëìÅÜ= ~ë= ~å=áãéçêí= áåîçáÅÉ= çê= ÄêçâÉê~ÖÉ= åçíÉK= få= ãçêÉ= ÇÉîÉäçéÉÇ=ã~êâÉíë=äçÅ~ä=Ñçêï~êÇë=~äëç=ÉñáëíK=oÉÖìä~íÉÇ=ã~êâÉíë=~êÉ=ìëì~ääó= çåäó= ~ÅÅÉëëáÄäÉ= íç= äçÅ~ä= ÉåíáíáÉë= ~åÇ= äçÅ~ä= Ä~åâë=~äçåÉ=Å~å=çéÉê~íÉ= áå= íÜÉ=ã~êâÉíK=`çåëÉèìÉåíäóI= áå=çêÇÉê=íç= ~ÅÅÉëë= ëìÅÜ= ~=ã~êâÉí= ~= äçÅ~ä= ëìÄëáÇá~êó= áë= åÉÅÉëë~êó=ïáíÜ= íê~åë~Åíáçåë= åçêã~ääó= çåäó= ÉñÉÅìíÉÇ= áå=Åçää~Äçê~íáçå= ïáíÜ= äçÅ~ä= Ä~åâëK= qÜáë= ~äëç= áãéäáÉë= íÜ~í=äçÅ~ä= ÅêÉÇáí= ~åÇ= éçäáíáÅ~ä= êáëâI= ëçãÉíáãÉë= ëìÄëí~åíá~äI= áë=ìå~îçáÇ~ÄäÉK==Avoid restrictions and mitigate risks _ó= ìëáåÖ= ~å= çÑÑëÜçêÉ= kac= áí= ÄÉÅçãÉë= éçëëáÄäÉI= áå= íÜÉ=Ñçêï~êÇ= äÉÖI= íç= ~îçáÇ= äçÅ~ä= êÉëíêáÅíáçåë= ~åÇ= äçÅ~ä= ÅêÉÇáí=êáëâK=^å=kac=áë=ëÉííäÉÇ=çÑÑëÜçêÉ=áå=Ü~êÇ=ÅìêêÉåÅóI=~åÇ=áë=íÜÉêÉÑçêÉ=çìíëáÇÉ=íÜÉ=àìêáëÇáÅíáçå=çÑ=äçÅ~ä=~ìíÜçêáíáÉë=~åÇ=íÜÉ= ~ÅÅçìåíë= çÑ= äçÅ~ä= Ä~åâëK= lå= áíë= ÉñéáêóI= ~å= kac= áë=ëÉííäÉÇ= Äó= Å~äÅìä~íáåÖ= íÜÉ= åÉí= î~äìÉ= ÄÉíïÉÉå= íÜÉ= ~ÖêÉÉÇ=ê~íÉ=~í=íÜÉ=çéÉåáåÖ=çÑ=íÜÉ=Åçåíê~Åí=~åÇ=~=ÑáñáåÖ=ê~íÉ=ëÉí=~í=áíë=ã~íìêáíóK=qÜÉ=ÑáñáåÖ=ê~íÉ=êÉÑäÉÅíë=íÜÉ=ã~êâÉí=î~äìÉ=~åÇ=áë= ëÉí= ÉáíÜÉê= Äó= íÜÉ= ÅÉåíê~ä= Ä~åâ= çê= Äó= íÜÉ= bjq^=EbãÉêÖáåÖ= j~êâÉíë= qê~ÇÉ= ^ëëçÅá~íáçåF= ìëáåÖ= ~= ã~êâÉí=ëìêîÉóK=qÜÉ=åÉí=î~äìÉ=áë=Å~äÅìä~íÉÇ=~åÇ=ÇáëÄìêëÉÇ=áå=Ü~êÇ=ÅìêêÉåÅóK= ^ë= íÜÉêÉ= áë= åç= äçÅ~ä= ÅìêêÉåÅó= áåîçäîÉÇI= íÜÉ=çéÉê~íáçå= Å~å= ÄÉ= ÉñÉÅìíÉÇ= çÑÑëÜçêÉK=^åçíÜÉê= ~Çî~åí~ÖÉ=çÑ=~å=kac= áë= íÜ~í= áí= äáãáíë= ÅçìåíÉêé~êíó=ÉñéçëìêÉ= íç= íÜÉ=åÉí=î~äìÉ=çÑ= íÜÉ=kac=ê~íÜÉê= íÜ~å= íÜÉ= Ñìää=éêáåÅáé~ä= ëìã=~ë= ~å= çêÇáå~êó= cuJÑçêï~êÇK= få= ~ÇÇáíáçå= íÜÉêÉ= áë= ~äëç= ~=åçåJÇÉäáîÉê~ÄäÉ=çéíáçå=ã~êâÉí=EkalF=Ä~ëÉÇ=çå=íÜÉ=ë~ãÉ=éêáåÅáéäÉë=~ë=kacëK===^å=kac=áë=~=åçåJÅ~ëÜ=áåëíêìãÉåíK=^ë=~=êÉëìäíI= áí=Å~ååçí=êÉéä~ÅÉ= çåëÜçêÉ= ëéçí= ÇÉ~äë= Ñçê= íÜçëÉ= êÉèìáêáåÖ= éÜóëáÅ~ä=Å~ëÜK=eçïÉîÉê=~å=kac=Å~å=ÅçãéäÉãÉåí=~åÇ=ÄÉ=ìëÉÇ=~ë=íÜÉ= Ñçêï~êÇ= äÉÖI= ÄÉáåÖ= ëÉííäÉÇ= íÜÉå= Äó= ~å= çåëÜçêÉ= ëéçí=ÇÉ~äK=

When are NDFs used? kacë=Å~å=ÄÉ=ìëÉÇ=Äó=ÄçíÜ=Åçãé~åáÉë=~åÇ=áåîÉëíçêë=Ñçê=~=ïáÇÉ=î~êáÉíó=çÑ=éìêéçëÉëK=cçê=Åçãé~åáÉëI=kacë=ã~ó=ÄÉ=ìëÉÇ= íç= ÜÉÇÖÉ= äçÅ~ä= íê~åë~Åíáçå= ÉñéçëìêÉëK= eÉêÉI= íÜÉ=É~ëáÉëí=ãÉíÜçÇ=áë=íç=ÉáíÜÉê=áåîçáÅÉ=çê=Ñáå~åÅÉ=áå=íÜÉ=kac=ÅìêêÉåÅóI=íÜìë=ãçîáåÖ=íÜÉ=ÉñéçëìêÉ=çÑÑëÜçêÉ=ïÜÉêÉ=áí= áë=ÅçîÉêÉÇ=Äó=kacëK=fí=áë=~äëç=ÉÑÑáÅáÉåí=íç=ÜÉÇÖÉ=íê~åëä~íáçå=ÉñéçëìêÉë=áåÅäìÇáåÖ=äçÅ~ä=ÉèìáíóK=cçê=áåîÉëíçêë=kacë=Å~å=ÄÉ= ìëÉÇ= íç= ÜÉÇÖÉ= Ñáå~åÅá~ä= áåîÉëíãÉåíë= ëìÅÜ= ~ë= Éèìáíó=éçêíÑçäáçë=çê=íç=í~âÉ=~å=cu=éçëáíáçåK= NDF pricing mêáÅáåÖ=çÑ= ~å=kac= áë=Ä~ëÉÇ=çå= íÜÉ= ë~ãÉ=éêáåÅáéäÉë= ~ë= ~=ÅçåîÉåíáçå~ä= cuJÑçêï~êÇI= áåîçäîáåÖ= íÜÉ= áåíÉêÉëí= ê~íÉ=ÇáÑÑÉêÉåíá~ä=ÄÉíïÉÉå=Ä~ëÉ=~åÇ=éêáÅÉ=ÅìêêÉåÅáÉëK=eçïÉîÉêI=~ë= íÜÉ= íê~åë~Åíáçå=í~âÉë=éä~ÅÉ=çÑÑëÜçêÉ=ïáíÜçìí=~ÅÅÉëë=íç=äçÅ~ä=ãçåÉó=ã~êâÉíë=kacë= ~êÉ= ÇêáîÉå=ãçêÉ= Äó= ëìééäó=~åÇ=ÇÉã~åÇ= íÜ~å=åçêã~ä= Ñçêï~êÇë= ~åÇ= íÜÉáê= î~äìÉ= Å~å=ÇáÑÑÉê=ä~êÖÉäó=Ñêçã=íÜÉáê=íÜÉçêÉíáÅ~ä=éêáÅÉK== Example: Hedging Korean equity ^= ÑçêÉáÖå= áåîÉëíçê= ÜçäÇáåÖ= ~= hçêÉ~å= Éèìáíó= éçêíÑçäáç=ïáëÜÉë= íç= ÜÉÇÖÉ= cu= êáëâK= qÜÉ= áåîÉëíçê= ëÉääë= hot= ~åÇ=Äìóë=rpa=ìëáåÖ=kacëK=qÜÉ=éçêíÑçäáç=Ü~ë= ~å= Éèìáî~äÉåí=hot=î~äìÉ=çÑ=rpa=NMãK==NFK=lå=pÉéíÉãÄÉê=NI=íÜÉ=ÑçêÉáÖå=áåîÉëíçê=Äìóë=rpa=NMã=îëK=hot=kac=NJãçåíÜ=~í=NPMM=ïáíÜ= ëéçí= ~í= NPMOK= qÜÉ= kac= Åçåíê~Åí= áë= ÑáñÉÇ= çå=pÉéíÉãÄÉê= OV= ~åÇ= î~äìÉ= Ç~íÉ= çå= lÅíçÄÉê= NK= OFK= lå=pÉéíÉãÄÉê=OVI=íÜÉ=rpaLhot=ê~íÉ=áë=ãçîÉÇI=ÄÉáåÖ=ÑáñÉÇ=~í=NPRMK=^ë=íÜÉ=Åçãé~åó=ÄçìÖÜí=rpa=~í=NPMM=áí=ã~âÉë=~=éêçÑáí= çÑ= hot= RMMIMMMIMMM= ERMGNMIMMMIMMMFK=eçïÉîÉêI= ~ë=íÜáë=áë=~å=çÑÑëÜçêÉ=kacI=íÜÉ=åÉí=~ãçìåí=áë=ëÉííäÉÇ=áå=rpaK=_~ëÉÇ= çå= ~= rpaLhot= ê~íÉ= çÑ= NPRMI= íÜÉ= áåîÉëíçê=ÅçåëÉèìÉåíäó= êÉÅÉáîÉë= rpa= PTMIPTM= ERMMIMMMIMMMLNPRMF=çå= íÜÉ= î~äìÉ= Ç~íÉ= lÅíçÄÉê= NI= ÅçãéÉåë~íáåÖ= Ñçê= íÜÉ= cu=äçëë=çå=íÜÉ=Éèìáíó=éçêíÑçäáçK= NDF-documentation and accounting qÜÉ= ÇçÅìãÉåí~íáçå= åÉÅÉëë~êó= íç= íê~ÇÉ= kacë= áë= ãçêÉ=ÉñíÉåëáîÉ= íÜ~å= Ñçê= åçêã~ä= Ñçêï~êÇëK= kçêã~ääó= ïÉ=êÉèìáêÉ=~å=fpa^=çê=~í= äÉ~ëí=~=ÖÉåÉê~ä=cuJ~ÖêÉÉãÉåíK=cçê=íÜÉ=éìêéçëÉë=çÑ= ~ÅÅçìåíáåÖI= íÜÉ=kac=Åçåíê~Åí= áë= íêÉ~íÉÇ=~ë=~=êÉÖìä~ê=cuJÑçêï~êÇK==

Further information cçê=ÑìêíÜÉê=áåÑçêã~íáçåI=éäÉ~ëÉ=Åçåí~Åí=óçìê=äçÅ~ä=pb_=ë~äÉë=êÉéêÉëÉåí~íáîÉ=çê=íÜÉ=bãÉêÖáåÖ=j~êâÉíë=Öêçìé=íÜêçìÖÜ=éÉííÉêKë~åÇÖêÉå]ëÉÄKëÉ=çê=HQS=U=RMS=OPN=NMK

NDF-Guide

SEB MERCHANT BANKING – EMERGING MARKETS July 2009

SEB MERCHANT BANKING – EMERGING MARKETS July, 2009

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fao jÉÇáìã NO=ãçåíÜë ^ëá~Lbìê=íáãÉ oW=^_pfocfuMN pÉííäÉãÉåí=JOÇfåÇçåÉëá~å=êìéá~Ü _W=kacc

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