Florida Career Professionals AssociationMelbourne, Florida

June 18, 2014

Department of Economic OpportunityBureau of Labor Market Statistics

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Labor Market Information Mission

To Produce, Analyze, and Deliver Labor Statistics to Improve Economic Decision-

Making

Employment data are the state’s most important economic indicator

LMI Statistics Produced/ Delivered

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Labor ForceTotal EmploymentEmployment by Industry and Occupation

Employment Projections by Industry and Occupation (Demand)Unemployment / Unemployment RatesWage by Industry and OccupationCensus

LMI Facts

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Data collected under Federal / State Cooperative Statistical ProgramsData comparable nationwide for all counties and metro areas in the nationData meet stringent probability sampling design statistical methods with required response rates of 75 percentMonthly data released 3 weeks after the reference month

How is LMI Collected?

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Sample-Designed Statistical Surveys from employers

Econometric Modeling developed by U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Administrative Records from Reemployment Assistance

Thanks to employers …. Without them we would not be able to provide data

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Who are the customers of Labor Market Statistics?

Workforce / Economic Development Decision-Makers

Employers / Job Seekers

Education / Welfare Planners

Career Counselors / Teachers

Economists / Policy Makers

Elected Officials

Media

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Labor Market Statistics Center Programs

There are three main activities: data production, data analysis, data delivery

Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW)--Produces employment and wages by industry based on all employers covered by Unemployment Insurance

Current Employment Statistics (CES)--Produces employment, hours, and earnings by industry based on a sample of employers

Occupational Employment Statistics (OES)--Produces employment and wages by occupation based on a sample of employers

Employment Projections--Produces projections of employment by industry and occupation based on a survey of employers and statistical models

Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)--Produces labor force, employment, unemployment, and unemployment rates based on a survey of households and a statistical model

Mass Layoff Statistics (MLS)--Produces mass layoff statistics by industry based on Unemployment Insurance claims and employer contacts

Workforce Information--Provides statistical services such as publications, websites, training, GIS mapping, economic impact analysis, and customized reports by request

Labor Force ConditionsApril 2014, Seasonally Adjusted

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program in cooperation with the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics, released January 24, 2014.

• The current unemployment rate of 6.2 percent was down from the recessionary high rate of 11.4 percent reported in 2009-10

• Florida’s unemployment rate has been below the national rate since April 2013 (12 consecutive months)

• Prior to April, Florida’s unemployment rate had been higher or equal to the national rate for 5 years (since February 2008)

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Area Labor Force Employment UnemploymentUnemployment

RateYear Ago

Unemployment Rate

Florida 9,608,000 9,009,000 599,000 6.2 7.6

United States 155,421,000 145,669,000 9,753,000 6.3 7.5

Florida Unemployment Rates by CountyApril 2014, Not Seasonally Adjusted

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program in cooperation with the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics, released May 16, 2014.

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Unemployment Rates in the Ten Most Populous StatesRanked by Unemployment Rate, Seasonally Adjusted

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics Program in cooperation with the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics, released May 16, 2014.

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State April 2014 (%) April 2013 (%)North Carolina 6.2 8.4 -2.2 Pennsylvania 5.7 7.6 -1.9 Ohio 5.7 7.3 -1.6 Michigan 7.4 8.8 -1.4 Florida 6.2 7.6 -1.4 Georgia 7.0 8.3 -1.3 California 7.8 9.1 -1.3 Illinois 7.9 9.2 -1.3 Texas 5.2 6.4 -1.2 New York 6.7 7.8 -1.1

Change Over the

Year Unemployment Rate

Nonagricultural EmploymentApril 2014, Seasonally Adjusted

• Florida’s jobs grew in April on an annual basis for 45 consecutive months

• Florida’s job growth rate of 3.3 percent in April 2014 was the 2nd consecutive month the state reported annual job growth at 3.0 percent or above

• Florida’s job growth rate has exceeded the national rate since April 2012

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Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics Program, released May 16, 2014.Prepared by: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Seasonally Adjusted April 2014 April 2013 Change Percent Change

Florida 7,778,500 7,531,700 246,800 3.3%

United States 138,252,000 135,885,000 2,367,000 1.7%

Florida Total Nonagricultural EmploymentJanuary 1974 – April 2014, Seasonally Adjusted

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2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

4,000,000

4,500,000

5,000,000

5,500,000

6,000,000

6,500,000

7,000,000

7,500,000

8,000,000

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Recession Total Nonagricultural Employment, SA

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics Program, released May 16, 2014.Prepared by: Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

LMI TOOLS

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Labor Market Information Online Websites and Web Applications

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Websites:Labor Market Statistics (LMS)Census BureauOccupational Information Network (O*NET)Employ Florida Marketplace

Web Applications:Florida Research and Economic Information Data Base App (FREIDA)Florida Occupational Employment and Wages (Florida Wages)What People Are Asking (WPAA)Local Employment Dynamics/Quarterly Work Indicators (LED/QWI)Florida’s Career Information Delivery System (CHOICES)Transferable Occupation Relation Quotient (TORQ)Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL) Data Series

Labor Market Information Online Tools

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• Allows users to view or download Florida’s labor market data and products online in complete report formats.

• LMS Home Page: http://www.floridajobs.org/labor-market-information

Labor Market Statistics (LMS) Website

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• Latest Statistics • Statistical Programs• Florida Census Data Center• GIS Mapping Reports• STEM Jobs in Demand• Publications

Labor Market Statistics (LMS) Website

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• Provides comprehensive economic and labor market information based on easy to use customer-defined data queries.

• FREIDA Home Page: http://freida.labormarketinfo.com/

Florida Research and Economic Information Database App (FREIDA)

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Florida Research and Economic Information Database (FREIDA) cont’d

FREIDA – Florida’s Research and Economic Information Databasehttp://freida.labormarketinfo.com

Internet-based labor market and economic data base for analysts, businesses, and jobseekersDesigned to

View current and historical dataAbility to

Create, view, export, and print your own tables and profiles by area, industry, or occupationCustomize your own regions, graphs, maps

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• Provides detailed occupational employment and wage information based on user-defined queries which can than be compared to similar information for other areas, industries or related occupations.

• Florida Wages Home Page: http://www.floridawages.com/

Florida Occupational Employment and Wages (Florida Wages)

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• Provides employers and jobseekers a look at industry and occupational forecasts, current pay levels, occupational profiles, and workforce availability for Florida and the workforce regions based on a defined set of frequently asked questions.

• WPAA Web Page: http://www.whatpeopleareasking.com/index.shtm

What People Are Asking (WPAA)

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What People Are Asking (WPAA)Internet based FAQs – http://www.whatpeopleareasking.com

Businesses / Employers• What is the size of the labor force in my

area?• What types of industries are in my area?• What types of companies are expected

to grow in my area?• What are the hot jobs in my area?• What do jobs pay in my area?• What kind of skills, knowledge, and

experience do jobs require?• How many job seekers are available by

occupation?• Where do I go to hire available workers?

Job Seekers• What are the hot jobs?• What do hot jobs pay?• What kind of skills, knowledge, and

experience do I need for the hot jobs?• Who trains for the hot jobs?• What companies employ the hot jobs? • What kind of skills, knowledge, and

experience do I need for jobs?• What jobs use my skills?• Where can I find a job?• What jobs are available now?• Where can I find training assistance?

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• Provides comprehensive information on key attributes and characteristics of workers and occupations.

• O*NET Home Page: http://www.onetcenter.org/

Occupational Information Network (O*NET)

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• Help Wanted OnLineTM from The Conference Board is a measure of real-time labor demand captured through online job ads.

• HWOL Home Page: http://www.wantedanalytics.com/hdd

Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL)

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Real-Time LMIHelp Wanted OnLine ™ (HWOL)

• States are to train workers for jobs in demand, according to the Workforce Investment Act

• What are states to do in the depths of a recession when traditional LMI shows little or no jobs in demand? – Traditional LMI is based on net job gains and losses by

month– In Florida, during the recession all industries were in

decline except healthcare– Could all of Florida’s one million unemployed work in

healthcare?

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Real-Time LMIHelp Wanted OnLine ™ (HWOL)

• States need to catch the churning in the job market• Industries with a net decline in employment still have

hiring needs• The answer: Real-Time LMI

– Conference Board; Help-Wanted OnLine (HWOL)• Real-Time LMI is unduplicated job openings (ads) by

occupation obtained by spidering technology

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Real-Time LMIHelp Wanted OnLine ™ (HWOL)

Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL) is unduplicated job openings (ads) by occupation obtained by spidering technologySource of job ads is The Conference BoardThe Conference Board was established in 1916 and has been one of the leading private sector international economic forecasting firms with offices in New York City, Europe, and ChinaThe Conference Board publishes economic data series including the Consumer Confidence Index and Leading Economic IndicatorsThe Conference Board has been publishing data on labor demand since the 1950s

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Benefits of Real-Time LMI

• Currency (continuously updated)• Geographically comprehensive

• Nation, State, MSA, County, City

• Actual posted openings—not an estimate• Has proven to be a leading indicator• May include new and emerging occupations• Useful for keyword searches

• Industry specific searches• STEM

• Supplement to traditional LMI—not a replacement

Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Real-Time LMI Help-Wanted OnLine

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

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Help-Wanted OnLineOccupations In Demand

Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Top Advertised Occupations for FloridaOnline AdsMay 2014

Online AdsMay 2013

Florida Total Ads 254,122 251,134 Registered Nurses 13,654 13,151 Retail Salespersons 8,509 8,314 First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 7,175 6,604 Customer Service Representatives 6,651 5,544 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 5,699 4,073 First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers 4,643 4,045 First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers 4,519 4,060 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products3,950 4,046 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 3,515 3,033 Insurance Sales Agents 3,425 3,140 Computer User Support Specialists 3,173 2,943 Medical and Health Services Managers 3,127 3,347 Accountants 2,980 2,954 Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants 2,923 2,898 Web Developers 2,834 3,214 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 2,770 2,560 Computer Systems Analysts 2,617 2,809 Sales Representatives, Services, All Other 2,616 2,495 Marketing Managers 2,584 2,532 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 2,525 2,504

Help-Wanted OnLineSTEM Occupations In Demand

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Top Advertised STEM Occupations for FloridaOnline AdsMay 2014

Online AdsMay 2013

Florida Total Ads 55,142 56,745 Registered Nurses 13,655 13,005 Computer User Support Specialists 3,178 2,922 Accountants 2,984 2,933 Computer Systems Analysts 2,621 2,791 Network and Computer Systems Administrators 2,424 2,539 Software Developers, Applications 2,361 2,195 Financial Managers, Branch or Department 1,706 1,838 Critical Care Nurses 1,499 1,667 Information Technology Project Managers 1,310 1,444 Industrial Engineers 1,111 1,107 Computer Programmers 1,108 1,311 Software Quality Assurance Engineers and Testers 913 1,118 Auditors 833 913 Civil Engineers 768 587 Computer and Information Systems Managers 755 779 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists 732 434 Financial Analysts 691 662 Computer Systems Engineers/Architects 676 653 Family and General Practitioners 661 859 Database Administrators 641 813

Help-Wanted OnLineCounties With the Most Online Ads

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

Counties With the Most AdsOnline AdsMay 2014

Online AdsMay 2013

Percentage Increase

Miami-Dade County 30,944 31,969 -1.0%Orange County 25,145 25,157 4.7%Hillsborough County 24,466 25,270 0.5%Broward County 23,342 21,158 12.9%Palm Beach County 18,745 17,953 5.0%Duval County 15,292 19,209 -18.8%Pinellas County 12,414 12,353 4.6%Lee County 9,704 8,625 16.9%Sarasota County 8,963 8,091 10.1%Brevard County 6,832 6,030 7.9%Polk County 6,472 5,730 10.6%Volusia County 6,217 5,530 16.8%Leon County 5,629 5,435 4.8%Seminole County 4,841 4,023 29.8%Escambia County 4,701 4,203 10.1%Alachua County 4,690 4,548 15.4%Collier County 4,628 4,126 1.8%Marion County 3,879 3,760 6.9%Okaloosa County 3,435 4,435 21.8%Manatee County 3,433 2,917 11.9%

Help-Wanted OnLine

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Source: The Conference Board, Help Wanted OnLine.Prepared by: The Florida Department of Economic Opportunity, Bureau of Labor Market Statistics.

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Detail on Florida’s Occupational Supply / Demand System

Florida applied for and won a competitive grant from the U.S. Department of Labor, ETA; Workforce Data Quality Initiative for $1 millionThe grant has funded the new Florida Occupational Supply/Demand System (S/D) which is the most comprehensive and timely system available in the nation

The S/D system has been designed to improve education and training alignment to better meet the hiring needs of business

The S/D system has been designed for business, workforce, education, economic development, job seekers, and students

The web-based data are statewide and by region

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Florida’s Supply/Demand System

The indicators of Potential Labor Supply by occupation are:

Workforce, public and private postsecondary education (enrollees completers, and graduates by occupation based on CIP-SOC)Job seekers registered at career centers

The indicators for Labor Demand are:The Conference Board’s Help Wanted OnLine (HWOL) data series of monthly job ad openings by occupation (for short-term analysis)DEO LMS average annual projected openings by occupation (for long-term analysis)

Other Information:Current employment, wages, and education required by occupation

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How will the data be used to help Florida and the economy?

Workforce and education will use the data to create better alignment of education and training offerings in meeting the hiring demands of business

Economic developers will have the most comprehensive and timely occupational data to determine available labor supply to support business recruitment

Students will benefit from having real time information on jobs in demand now and in the future; jobseekers can use the information for re-employment purposes

POSTSECONDARY EDUCATION & WORKFORCE SUPPLY

COMMISSION FOR

INDEPENDENT EDUCATION

(CIE)

DISTRICT POST-SECONDARY CAREER &

TECHNICAL EDUCATION

(DPSEC)

FLORIDA COLLEGE SYSTEM

(FCS)STATE

UNIVERSITY SYSTEM

(SUS)

INDEPENDENT COLLEGES & UNIVERSITIES OF FLORIDA

(ICUF)

REGISTEREDJOB SEEKERS IN

WORKFORCE INFORMATION

SYSTEM

(JS)

WORKFORCEINVESTMENT

ACT PARTICIPANTS

(WIA)

The Sources of Potential Labor Supply by occupation are:

Area Occupation SOC WIA-EDPSEC-

E FCS-E CIE-E WIA-CDPSEC-C FCS-C CIE-C

ICUF-C SUS-C JS

Total Supply

12 Registered Nurses 291141 17 2,984 942 10 540 119 972 2,111 276 935

• Enrollees on the Supply/Demand report are signified with an –E suffix following the Supply acronym while Completers/Graduates are indicated by a -C suffix.

• Notice that items in BLUE are used in creating the Total Supply (also in BLUE).

• REGIONAL Reports DO NOT include ICUF and SUS data in total supply as university graduates are considered statewide supply and are not parsed to a regional level. They are provided as informational supply only.

• STATEWIDE Reports DO include University graduates. When reviewing occupations for potential new training programs or programs to reduce, one should always review both the Regional and Statewide Reports.

Area Occupation SOC WIA-EDPSEC-

E FCS-E CIE-E WIA-CDPSEC-C FCS-C CIE-C

ICUF-C SUS-C JS

Total Supply

STW Registered Nurses 291141 2,074 27,803 11,969 882 5,345 2,258 972 2,111 5,417 16,103

Explanation of Supply/Demand Report Information…

Statewide Report

Regional Report

Area Occupation SOCTotal Supply

Short Term Demand

Ratio of Supply to Demand

Supply Gap or Overage

CURR YR EMP

ENTRY WAGE

MEDIAN WAGE

EXP WAGE

ON TOL

FL EDUC LEV

12 Registered Nurses 291141 935 1,499 0.62 -564 18,195 $22.31 $27.33 $31.19 Yes 4

Other Information:Current employment, wages, and education required by occupation

Total Supply is contrasted against Short Term Demand

Total Supply of 935 vs. Short-Term Demand of 1,499 leaves a “Gap” of -564 trained individuals

…and a ratio of .62 persons for each job ad existing

Fl. Education Levels 1=<HS 2=HS 3=Postsecondary Adult Vocational (PSAV) 4=College Credit 5= Bachelor’s 6= Master’s or higher

Explanation of Supply/Demand Report Information (Continued)

…

Short-Term Demand --

This data series is based on employer generated job ads advertised on the internet. The source is The Conference Board’s Help Wanted OnLine data series which scrapes over 1,200 job boards. The data are available monthly and have been processed to reduce duplicate job ads.

Long-Term Demand --

This data series is based on average annual openings based on Long-Term projections produced by the Occupations Projections program in DEO’s Bureau of Labor Market Statistics. These data are based on projected occupational growth and separations (includes projections of retirements and those changingoccupations, not simply changing jobs).

How do they Differ?

Short-term demand is based upon ads resulting from occupational growth, separations, and job churning.Job churning is the voluntary movement of workers from one job to another, usually due to seeking a better job opportunity. As a result, Short-Term demand can exceed Long-Term demand.

How often are the data updated?

WIA & JOBSEEKERS

Each business day

Short-term Demand using Help Wanted

Online Job AdsMonthly

Public Education Supply Data

Term-by-Term

Private Education Data

Annually

LMI info & Long Term Demand Data using

Avg. Annual OpeningsAnnually

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Data CaveatsEnrollees may or may not complete training

Completers may already have a job or may have moved out of the geographic area

Most jobseekers do not register with the career one-stop centers and for those registered they may or may not be qualified for the job they are seeking

Not all jobseekers have their desired occupation identified in the system

Job openings only include internet job ad postings (not all jobs are posted on the internet)

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Data Caveats (continued)

The job ads have been de-duplicated but some duplicates may still existTime frames for supply and demand data elements differDistrict and Florida College System enrollees and completers are based on supply in the workforce region and are not statewide basedUniversity graduates are statewide only and cannot be parsed to workforce regions; the statewide report does include University graduates in supplySome job ads may be placed in area but actually exist in a different location

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Data Caveats (continued)

The Targeted Occupations List (TOL) is based on long-term projections 8 years out which assume economic recovery; some of the occupations may still be in current decline due to slow economic recovery

There can be some seasonal aspects to the S/D report since some occupations are typically hired at specific times of the year, such as teachers, agricultural workers, and tourism-related jobs

Information may be known at the local level that should be considered when using the occupational S/D data, such as incoming or expanding firm(s)

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Census BureauOnTheMapWeb-based mapping and reporting applicationShows where workers are employed and where they liveProvides companion reports on age, earnings, industry distributions, as well as information on race, ethnicity, and educational attainment.

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Census BureauOnTheMap

6 Different Analyses: Area Profile Area Comparison Distance/Direction Destination Inflow/Outflow Paired Area

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Census Bureau - OnTheMap

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Census Bureau - OnTheMapTotal Primary Jobs

Count ShareTotal Primary Jobs 190,800 100.0%

Jobs by Worker AgeCount Share

Age 29 or younger 40,240 21.1%Age 30 to 54 106,940 56.0%Age 55 or older 43,620 22.9%

Jobs by EarningsCount Share

$1,250 per month or less 42,108 22.1%$1,251 to $3,333 per month 85,740 44.9%More than $3,333 per month 62,952 33.0%

Jobs by NAICS Industry SectorCount Share

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 5,525 2.9%Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 1,090 0.6%Utilities 328 0.2%Construction 8,758 4.6%Manufacturing 15,176 8.0%

2011 Census

2011 Census

2011 Census

2011 Census

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Census Bureau - OnTheMapJobs by Worker Race

Count ShareWhite Alone 157,326 82.5%Black or African American Alone 26,452 13.9%American Indian or Alaska Native Alone 856 0.4%Asian Alone 4,097 2.1%Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander Alone 188 0.1%Two or More Race Groups 1,881 1.0%

Jobs by Worker EthnicityCount Share

Not Hispanic or Latino 166,227 87.1%Hispanic or Latino 24,573 12.9%

Jobs by Worker Educational AttainmentCount Share

Less than high school 20,672 10.8%High school or equivalent, no college 44,815 23.5%Some college or Associate degree 49,046 25.7%Bachelor's degree or advanced degree 36,027 18.9%Educational attainment not available (workers aged 29 or younger) 40,240 21.1%

Jobs by Worker SexCount Share

Male 95,433 50.0%Female 95,367 50.0%

2011 Census

2011 Census

2011 Census

2011 Census

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Census Bureau - OnTheMap

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Census Bureau - OnTheMap

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Census Bureau - OnTheMap

Count ShareEmployed in the Selection Area 190,800 100.0%Living in the Selection Area 217,053 113.8%Net Job Inflow (+) or Outflow (-) -26,253 -

Count ShareLiving in the Selection Area 217,053 100.0%Living and Employed in the Selection Area 119,108 54.9%Living in the Selection Area but Employed Outside 97,945 45.1%

Count ShareEmployed in the Selection Area 190,800 100.0%Employed and Living in the Selection Area 119,108 62.4%Employed in the Selection Area but Living Outside 71,692 37.6%

2011 Census Selection Area Labor Market Size (Primary Jobs)

2011 Census In-Area Employment Efficiency (Primary Jobs)

2011 Census In-Area Labor Force Efficiency (Primary Jobs)

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Census Bureau - OnTheMap

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Unemployment Rate(Percent)

Median Earnings (Dollars)

Master’s degree

Bachelor’s degree

Associate degree

Some college, no degree

11.0

7.5

7.0

5.4

4.0

3.4

2.3

2.2

$24,544

$33,852

$37,804

$40,404

$57,616

$69,108

$89,128

$84,396

High-school graduate

Some high-school, no diploma

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Professional degree

Doctoral degree

Notes: Unemployment and earnings for workers 25 and older; earnings for full-time wage and salary workers. 2013 Weekly Median Earnings (multiplied by 52 weeks).Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, March 2014.

Education and Training pay …2013 Annual Average

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FloridaDepartment of Economic Opportunity

Bureau of Labor Market Statistics

Caldwell BuildingMSC G-020

107 E. Madison StreetTallahassee, Florida 32399-4111

Phone (850) 245-7227

Warren MayWarren.May@deo.myflorida.com

www.floridajobs.org/labor-market-informationwww.labormarketinfo.comfreida.labormarketinfo.com

www.floridawages.comhttp://www.whatpeopleareasking.com/index.shtm