Post on 19-Aug-2020
EU Market Situationfor
Poultry
Committee for theCommon
Organisation of theAgricultural Markets
24 January 2019
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
F O R E C A S T
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
%
2018/
2017
%
2019/
2018
12 945 13 035 13 220 13 367 13 797 14 325 15 458 15 169 15 607 15 958 + 2.9% + 2.2%
9 876 9 932 10 173 10 445 10 729 11 295 12 403 12 545 12 874 13 220 + 2.6% + 2.7%
1 976 1 878 1 967 1 935 1 964 1 967 2 154 2 057 2 104 2 109 + 2.3% + 0.2%
481 500 500 485 512 503 507 469 520 520 + 10.8% - 0.0%
329 328 281 260 246 243 228 209 190 180 - 9.1% - 5.2%
Total Poultry
Broiler
Turkey
Duck
Total Rabbit
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
16 000
18 000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Tho
usa
nd
To
ns
Experts EU production forecast on Poultry and Rabbit
Total Poultry Broiler Turkey Duck Total Rabbit
Missing or incomplete data for EL CY LT RO
No expert for BG EE LV MT SK
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R O D U C T I O N
12.3
%
11
.4%
10.4
%
9.1%
6.6%
6.1%
5.5
%
5.1
%
4.5%
4.2%
3.6
%
3.5%
2.5
%
2.1
%
1.6%
1.6
%
1.5%
1.5%
1.1%
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
-1.6
%
-2.2
%
-3.3
%
-3.9
%
4.2%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
BG RO HU PL SK FR ES DE FI MT CZ EL IE PT HR UK DK AT SI CY BE NL LT LV SE IT EU
Change in Poultry Meat Production in % 2018/2017 (up to October)
Source: Eurostat
Estimated data for SE and IT in October 2018
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Chicks hatched for fattening(1 000 pieces) 2016 2017 2018
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R O D U C T I O N NEW PARAMETERS
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
1 000 000
1 100 000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Production forecast of broiler(In tonnes) 2016 2017 2018
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R I C E S P
ric
es
- 0.6% + 0.4% - 0.4%
EUW E E K P R I C E S 2
last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR
BROILER
€/100 kg carcase weight
183.08
€ / 1
00 kg
E V O L U T I O N S I N C E
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N
B R O I L E R
165
175
185
195
205
EU
R /
100k
g
Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler
Avg. 2014-18 2017 2018 2019
Latest price ==> 183.08 EUR/100 kg
Evolution compared same period last year (Week 2) : - 0.4%
Source: MSs notifications (Commission Implementing Regulation (EC) 2017/1185)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
P R I C E S E U E V O L U T I O N
B R O I L E R
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
230
In E
UR
/100
kg
Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil
EU US BR
Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices - Broiler 65%
US = weekly USDA prices - Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = average of prices in main producing states - (Aveworld.com.br)
183.08 199.28 89.29
Imports of poultry meat from selected origins
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
E U I M P O R T ST R A D E
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Nov 17
Thailand 251 185 29.7% 274 524 31.4% 290 602 32.2% 265 927 32.9% 285 887 37.9% + 16%
Brazil 507 355 60.0% 501 328 57.3% 504 814 55.9% 401 598 49.7% 280 191 37.2% - 26%
Ukraine 19 958 2.4% 42 513 4.9% 48 103 5.3% 80 128 9.9% 114 919 15.3% + 54%
Chile 25 815 3.1% 22 232 2.5% 28 809 3.2% 24 972 3.1% 35 302 4.7% + 60%
China 19 761 2.3% 18 384 2.1% 16 951 1.9% 19 107 2.4% 22 480 3.0% + 30%
Argentina 10 996 1.3% 8 529 1.0% 6 491 0.7% 6 297 0.8% 7 049 0.9% + 22%
Switzerland 4 307 0.5% 2 424 0.3% 2 548 0.3% 2 736 0.3% 2 791 0.4% + 9%
Turkey 16 0.0% 441 0.0% 149 0.0% 1 481 0.2% +++
Others 6 351 0.8% 4 984 0.6% 3 554 0.4% 6 341 0.8% 3 303 0.4% #N/A
Extra-EU 845 743 874 919 902 313 807 254 753 403
% change + 3.4% + 3.1% - 10.5% + 0.3%
2014 2015 2016 Jan-Nov 182017
21 913 19 89331 062 33 267
4 600 8 553
5 13911 840
16 000 16 000
16 800
17 600
3 657
27 127
52 213
42 51348 103
80 128
114 920
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov18
Imports of Poultry meat from Ukraine in tonnes of cwe
Other imports (under erga omnes TRQs and out of TRQ)
Imports under UA TRQ for poultry frozen carcasses
Imports under UA TRQ for poultry fresh and frozen cuts
Imports under CN 0207 13 70 "other cuts"
Source : EUROSTAT Comext
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
77
1.084
1.8281.679
2.2592.155
2.384
2.711 2.685
3.903 3.862
2.676
3.608
4.558
4.338
2.972
5.1005.170
4.986
5.572
5.188
3.924
2.990
1.996
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
jan
v 20
17
févr
20
17
mar
s 2
017
avr
20
17
mai
20
17
juin
20
17
juil
20
17
aoû
t 2
017
sep
t 2
01
7
oct
20
17
no
v 2
017
dé
c 2
01
7
jan
v 20
18
févr
20
18
mar
s 2
018
avr
20
18
mai
20
18
juin
20
18
juil
20
18
aoû
t 2
018
sep
t 2
01
8
oct
20
18
no
v 2
018
dé
c 2
01
8
Monthly imports of poultry meat from Ukraine under CN 0207 13 70 in tonnes cwe
NL PL SK DE
Source : TAXUD Surveillance
EU poultry meat imports (by origin)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
E U I M P O R T S
B r o i l e rT R A D E
270 723 245 496 285 887
467 359
376 981 280 191
45 251
74 784114 919
838 459751 205 753 403
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
700 000
800 000
900 000
Jan-Nov 16 Jan-Nov 17 Jan-Nov 18
TO
NN
ES
c
w
EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)
Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins
849 800 922
915802 580
195
1 9961 870 1 918
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
Jan-Nov 16 Jan-Nov 17 Jan-Nov 18
Mil
lio
ns
EU
R
EU IMPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)
Thailand Brazil Ukraine Chile China Other origins
Exports of poultry meat to selected destinations
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
T R A D E E U E X P O R T S
Compared
tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Nov 17
Ukraine 80 084 5.3% 90 851 6.0% 114 841 6.8% 162 627 9.7% 166 052 10.1% + 13%
Philippines 57 566 3.8% 100 644 6.7% 126 694 7.5% 127 788 7.6% 154 095 9.4% + 30%
Ghana 57 394 3.8% 81 025 5.4% 115 783 6.9% 146 958 8.8% 150 706 9.2% + 9%
Hong Kong 136 233 9.0% 101 008 6.7% 123 855 7.4% 148 157 8.9% 121 769 7.4% - 11%
Benin 164 460 10.9% 139 324 9.2% 120 685 7.2% 105 709 6.3% 87 416 5.3% - 13%
Vietnam 19 884 1.3% 27 128 1.8% 36 292 2.2% 53 329 3.2% 84 047 5.1% + 71%
Saudi Arabia 123 574 8.2% 142 496 9.4% 121 645 7.2% 98 788 5.9% 76 941 4.7% - 14%
South Africa 204 451 13.5% 214 951 14.3% 282 770 16.8% 78 491 4.7% 74 343 4.5% - 0%
Congo (Dem. Rep.) 33 753 2.2% 35 849 2.4% 46 260 2.8% 60 080 3.6% 72 011 4.4% + 25%
Gabon 30 026 2.0% 37 877 2.5% 32 340 1.9% 49 183 2.9% 41 469 2.5% - 10%
Russia 68 363 4.5% 1 223 0.1% 1 108 0.1% 996 0.1% 797 0.0% + 0%
Other Destinations 533 442 35.3% 535 694 35.5% 556 990 33.2% 638 909 38.2% 615 154 37.4%
Extra-EU 1 509 229 1 508 071 1 679 264 1 671 015 1 644 800
% change - 0.1% + 11.4% - 0.5% + 6.4%
2014 2015 2016 Jan-Nov 182017
EU poultry meat export (by destination)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
T R A D E E U E X P O R T S
104 649 146 847 166 052118 715 118 488 154 095105 666
137 987150 706113 286
136 949121 769112 855
99 974 87 416
994 458 905 336964 762
1 549 629 1 545 5821 644 800
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
1 800 000
Jan-Nov 16 Jan-Nov 17 Jan-Nov 18
TO
NN
ES
cw
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (TONNES cwe)
Ukraine Philippines Ghana Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *
68 79 8746 48 7074 112163 209 18484
96 84
1 399 1 298 1 389
1 834 1 8331 925
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
Jan-Nov 16 Jan-Nov 17 Jan-Nov 18
Mil
lio
ns
EU
R
EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Millions EUR)
Ukraine Philippines Ghana Hong Kong Benin Other destinations *
* countries trading less than 1 925 ('Millions EUR)
EU poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 tonnes cwe)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
T R A D E B A L A N C E
857 855807
846875
902
807753
1 509
1 431 1 428
1 509 1 508
1 679 1 6711 645
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov 18
in 1
000
Tonn
es c
we
IMPORTS EXPORTS
EU poultry meat trade balance (in 1000 euros)
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
T R A D E B A L A N C E
2 241 2 234
2 097
2 190
2 342
2 162
2 024
1 9181 853
2 066 2 089 2 061
2 136
2 001 2 000
1 925
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Jan-Nov 18
in Millions EurosIMPORTS EXPORTS
EU market situation for Poultry 24 January 2019
Where to find data:
• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/markets/index_en.htm
• Click on link: Poultry
• Click on link: Presentations and prices
(righthand side under: in this chapter)
• Choose the item (link) you want
• Poultry dashboard
• http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/dashboards/poultry-meat-dashboard_en.pdf
EUROPA SITE MARKETS