WHITHER…..?
Dai Davies : General Manager : DANTE Ltd
www.dante.net
SERENATE Final WorkshopBad Nauheim 16 June 2003
Table 1 Technology Available 1991-2002
Period Most performant DataLink technologyavailable
Technology availablein pan-Europeannetwork
Technology availablein United Statesnetwork
1991 - 1995 34/45 Mbps PDH 2 Mbps PDH 45 Mbps PDH1996 - 1997 155 Mbps SDH 45 Mbps PDH 155 Mbps SDH1997 - 2000 622 Mbps SDH 155 Mbps SDH 622 Mbps SDH2000 + 10 Gbps DWDM 10 Gbps DWDM 2.5 Gbps DWDM
Evolution of Market Competitiveness : International Intra-European Connectivity
200,000 150,000
30,00012,500
5,000
200,000100,000
20,000
2,000
36
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
1996 1997 1998-99 1999-2000
2000-2001
Period covered
Eur
o / M
bps
/ Yea
r
average offer price
lowest offer price
•European Capacity 146 Gbps•Global Connectivity 7.5 Gbps•Europe Capacity 2003
– 140 Gbps Wavelength– 6 Gbps SDH
•European Cost– 14 M Euro Wavelength– 16 M Euro SDH
GÉANT Facts and Figures
Price trends pan-European connectivity
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
1996 1997 1998-9 1999-2000 2000-01 2002
average offer price
lowest offer price
Price trends extrapolation
1
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
1996 1997 1998-9 1999-2000 2000-01 2002 2004 estimate
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Range Connectivity cost Range GEANT Subscription Mean Connectivity cost Range Mean GEANT Subscription Range
Series1
1
10
100
Range Connectivity cost Range GEANT Subscription Mean Connectivity cost Range Mean GEANT Subscription Range
Series1
Development of Cost Sharing
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Range Access price Range Connectivity Cost Connectivity/access
1996
1999
2002
•Spare Capacity– 140 Gbps Trunk– 50 Gbps Access
•Other Costs = 10 M Euro•Better Quality Access
– Dual Connection– Redundant Capacity
•Geographic Dependency 40%
Reasons for Smoothing
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
250 400 550 700 850 1000 1150 1300 1450 1600 1750 1900 2050
Length of Span
One lambda
two lambdas
three lambdas
•Very Large Bandwidth
•Limited Set of Locations
•Specific (well articulated?) Needs
Are Projects Different?
EVN Traffic Flows over GÉANT
UK
SE
FR
NLBE
DE1
DE2
CZ
PL
CH
IT
AT
SURFnet
JANET
GARR
PSNC
DFN
NORDUnet
2.5G10G
256M 512M ?1G
JIVE
•GÉANT Subscription
– Price for Global Service
– Average Cost Model
– Smoothes Differences
•Project Perception
– What Might it Cost Me
Project Economics
•40 Gbps Technology Cost
•Multiple 2.5 Gbps
•Interfacing Costs
– Routers
– Switches
Is Speed Everything?
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