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Current and future spectrum challenges / opportunities that may enable or hamper mass adoption of IoT in the UK

techUK, London 3rd June 2014

Graham MacDonald Director EMEA Communications PolicyGlobal Public PolicyIntel Corporation (UK) Ltdhttp://www.intel.com/iot

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2 Sources: AMS Research, Gartner, IDC, McKinsey Global Institute, and various other industry analysts and commentators

IoT: the big deal

ZB = ZettaByteAnnual IoT traffic

~$2.7-$6.2 trillion global economic impact in 2025

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Blu-ray Disc = 50 Gbyte(50Gbyte = 5-10 DVDs, ~70

CDs)

35 ZettaByte ~2020

Today

“35 ZettaByte” annual IoT data traffic ~2020

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• McKinsey Global Institute: IoT is one of the most under-hyped technologies; ~$2.7 to $6.2 trillion estimated global economic impact in 2025

• IDATE Research: Europe will be the most valuable region in a global machine-to-machine (M2M) market worth €40 billion in 2017

• Frost & Sullivan: European M2M market increases 33% CAGR through 2016

• GE: huge economic benefits, IoT add ~€2.2 trillion to European GDP by 2030

• IDC: predicts 50 billion devices connected to the Internet by 2020; as much as 33% of all data will contain information that might be valuable if analysed; by 2020 one tenth of the world’s data will be produced by machines

• IDC: IoT ~10% of Digital Universe by 2020; data analytics is ~$40 billion market and growing 10% a year; security products and services are $50B market; cloud computing 5% of total IT spending, growing to 10% by 2020.

• Computerworld: By 2020 amount of digital data produced will exceed 40 zettabytes; equivalent of 5,200 GB of data for every man, woman and child on Earth …………….. 40 zettabytes is 40 trillion gigabytes ~57 times the amount of all the grains of sand on all the beaches on earth!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

IoT/M2M - the numbers are staggering New Slide

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IoT Spectrum and Regulatory FrameworkTopic Statements / Questions

Spectrum / technologies suitable for IoT

• Industrial Scientific Medical (ISM) / Short Range Device (SRD): ~32 bands within 6765 kHz–246 GHz

• Wi-Fi (RLANs): 2.4 GHz, 5 GHz• Bluetooth: 2.4 GHz• WiGig: 60 GHz• Zigbee: 868 MHz, 915 MHz, 2.4

GHz• GSM, 3G/4G: multiple bands <5

GHz• Ultra-Wide Band (UWB): 3.1-

10.6 GHz• TVWS: <1 GHz• 5G: bands >6 GHz (?)

Lower Frequencies = good range/capacity limited

Higher Frequencies = good capacity/range limited

Cost of accessing spectrum is a factor

Global harmonisation (bands / regulations) vital

Different deployments different technologies

Device / network interoperability vital

Is there sufficient capacity / bandwidth?

How to plan for future spectrum requirements?

Is there sufficient backhaul capability?

No single technology / no single frequency band

Are there too many frequency bands?

Dedicated IoT band(s) NOT required

NO shortage of spectrum

Flexible regulatory frameworks• Licensed• License-exempt• Licensed Shared Access (LSA)• Dynamic Spectrum Access (DSA)

Mix of regulatory frameworks likely

Different applications / various QoS requirements

How “dynamic” will be “dynamic”?

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Current and future spectrum challenges / opportunities that may enable or hamper

mass adoption of IoT in the UK

So what are they?What do we need to do?

How can UK maximise IoT opportunity?