Download - TN Election “turnout myth”- R. ARUL 1

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  • 8/7/2019 TN Election turnout myth- R. ARUL 1

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    kV VV> kVz] D |> .

    m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V

    kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981\uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D

    A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [

    20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD

    g|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>V

    ]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?

    m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD. m zm

    skV VVD

    >>_ fiz Vm >>o_ V| >V V^kVV \^! 77.4 >T> kVz ] [m >tw Vm >>_ D

    mk V> V ! [m MB sM[ mz skV\V?

    gE *m kV? D |! (2042011 >)

    _ 13gD >] > >tw >>o_ 75 >T>mzD \_

    kVz] g^m. >uV > flE? gEz g>kV

    BV...? gE *m V\V...?

    [m zx>D V[V k>\^! >V\V... \V\V? D F]. (2142011 >)

    Q^ >^ ] _m g>k ] F> gk|D [

    saAz gVV^. >uV xB VD >k_ >Va_OD>V[.

    > Q ]_ kw\V kV kkV \|t[, kVBV

    kV k> V>V_>V[ kw\V 65 sV| kVz] > x

    77.8 sV| cB>m[m ]\ V>a[ V \VVD... ?

    D >BD (1642011 V>)

    kV V]KD \[ |>_ kVAz s>\V >D

    >V[ Fm. _ 13gD >] m x> >>KzD >V[

    { >D m. 80 D A]B kVV^ gkk\V kV]

    V^. wKz ]V V vV B c ^ kD

    >mD W[> KD V x>m [V E.\][ >mD,

    kBmD D ]\ |l_ (1942011).

    >>_ gB][ k^ \z D ]m.

    >[ skVk kV VV> kl_ |>_ kVz] Wm^m.gD z ]Vk \^ kVz ] F]>V m[

    [V w.|\V[ (1742011 ]\)

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    BV kw\V 65 x>_ 70 sV| klB kV> \^,

    Vm ] m 78 sV |\z kV]>V x>Vkm

    |> |m. ] kVz] [V, m gEz ]V>V

    \D [m |> |>. \V>]_ gE \VuD [ E[

    sD VoBV A^ sk^ JD c\BV V|[.m BVVKD, > flVD V^ >VzVm. \ 13 [

    m >V flVD xz kms|D. gVKD, c\l_

    [>V[ >m [> kmD >k>V[.

    c\ [?

    E >>_^ >s, zB _V >>_KD >tw kVV^

    gk\V kV[. k, kl_ W[ kV>,

    VlB kV k>, gk\V kV> [k_VD A]BW^ _. DVV >>__ \[ A >V[ m

    km.

    > >>o_ >>_ gB][ k^ \[ kV

    \BV [m c\. zV Eo |D kV>uV

    BV s_B Tu V|km V|>mD >B gk\V

    B[|>VD [mD kV >VBm.

    Am[ B BV [m > x\BV >>V_kVV BVD V]_ zwD us_. k, ]\V

    VmVA uV|^ Bt_V\_ kV c>s.

    \V>]_, >uz x>B >>_ s, > >>_ \BV>VD,

    VmVV>VD \>m. >V_, kV>k[ u ]\V

    VD. gV_ kV VV> kVz] >>V km c\ _.

    kVA V\_ kVV B_>V[ VD!

    >tw \_ 18 kBmz \VV _VD >[MflBV kVxBVm. \VV, kVV B_ D gk> >>_ gBD >BVm.

    > kVV B_ [m x[_VD x\BV>V s_. m

    cz[ ]>|k>VD s_. mVk^, kRz D

    B>k^ kV kVF_V>k[ B^ _VD Bo_

    >m. >V_, kVV ]\V m.

    \ V_ > zV| B|^m. kVV Bo_

    _V> kVV^

    xuK\V | kVV B_ flE>\V\Vu|^m. >V_, kVV^ D kzkV zm^m.

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    \V>]_, > >>o_ \^ kV VV> z kVs_.

    kVV B_ >BV]_ u|^ x[u\ \VB >Vu>

    >Vusm^m.

    > u > JD sVD

    [ \ZV ul_ [ l_ km sBV|mVBV_ > |kV^. >B VBV |mk>V km

    V^kVD.

    l_ [ km, \ ]_ > [

    k |V [m V.

    l_ 100 [ , ]_ x>Vkm \ ]_ 60

    [ |V [V_, > 60 >T> [ >V |m

    V^VD.|>>V, Vkm V Vl[Vm l_ kD 80

    [ \|\ |V^. ]_ Vkm D \ ]_ 60

    [ \|\ |V [VKD, A^sk [ Vkm 75

    >T> [ >V kD.

    g, A^ sk [, x>Vkm 60% [ V, gV_

    Vkm 75% [ V [ kD.

    gV_, c\BV | \ 60 [ \|\

    |^ [m>V[!

    x>Vkm z 100 [ BmD, Vkm z 80 K[

    BmD>V[ > >T> zw]uz VD. >V[ >T> zwD>V[

    > >>oKD m^m.

    \V> kVz_ kV>V >T>D ]\Vsm [>>V[

    _VD z|[. gV_, kVV B |, kVV

    kzkV zms> D kM >ks. (_m J

    \ms).

    \^ >VD kVV BKD

    ]BVs_ kV >V|z xD \^ >V

    |A >|m. ]_ kV xD \^ >V

    ]\V km. >V[, kV >>o[ VmD kVV B_

    Am|m. A]B kVV^ |[.

    \^ >V |D, kVV D | V>V_

    kV xD \^ >V ]>uz u, kVV D

    ]m k>> VVD.

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    |mVV, 1971gD g_ >tV| \^ >V 4,11,99,000 .

    mk 1981gD g_ 4,84,08,000 . > >V|_

    ]\V \^ >V 72,09,000 gzD.

    >V[ 1971gD g_ \V> kVV 2,29,76,680 .

    mk, 1981gD g_ 2,91,97,882 . >V| V]_ ]>kVV 62,21,202 .

    g 1971 x>_ 1981 klV >V| V]_ \^

    >Vl_ 72 D ]\Vmz u, kVV BoKD 62 D

    ]\V^.

    kV, 1961 >V 2011 klV nDm g|[ \^ >V

    ]D, kVV ]D w VVD.

    \u Bo_ | xB \Vu VVD.

    1. 1991gD g_ kVV t ]\V^m. >uz VD,

    Vm>V[ 1989gD g| x>_, 18 kB>Vk^ kVVD [m

    xz k>m. (>uz x[_VD kVzD kBm 21).

    2. Vkm t xB\V \VuD [m Vm 2011_ Wm^m.

    kVu_ x>_ xBV >V| V]_, kVV

    ]\VV\_ zm^m.

    \^ >V kVV g|

    2001 6,24,06,000 4,74,79,000

    2011 7,21,38,985 4,71,00,000

    >V| V]_ ]>

    \^ >V

    >V| V]_ ]>

    kVV g|

    1962 - 1971 75,12,000 43,01,244

    1971 - 1981 72,09,000 62,21,202

    1881 - 1991 74,51,000 1,07,10,905

    1991 - 2001 65,47,000 75,70,213

    2001 - 2011 97,32,985 ( - 3,79,000)

    g, 2001 \uD 2011gD g|z B >tV| \^ >Vl_

    97 D ]m^. gV_, kVV BV \V 4 D

    zm^V^. m Buz xV A^ skD gzD.

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    72 D ?

    1981 \uD 1991gD g|z B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72

    D A]>V m^. km kBm Vm 2011gD g_ 18 kB>

    ]zD. gV_ 2001gD g|z [ kVV B_ ]\Vk

    _! m V]BD. > 72 D VV^?

    >V_ >uV>B kVV B_ >k [V, kVV^

    s||^ [V VD s_. \VV, x[_VD >Va_O

    kflEl[\ V\V kVV B >VD, _V> kVV

    V>VD >m. Vm>V[ > zV| B|^m.

    2001gD g_ >tV[ \^ >Vl_ 76 >T>] kVV

    Bo_ D u>. gV_, Vm 2011_ kD 65 >T>]

    \|\ kVV Bo_ D u^. m \V 4 VB 71 D Vm. >V_>V[ 77.8 >T>D kVz] >>V A^skD V|m.

    k x[AV \^ >Vl_ 76 >T>D kVV^ [

    ]>V_ (>Vkm, x[AV[ kVV Bo_ _V> kVVD

    Du>V_) >uV>B kVV Bo_ 5 VB 48 D

    >V VzD. wo_ kVz] 67 >T>\V \|\

    >]zD.

    g, \V>]_ wB kVV B_ \V 67 >T>D \|\kVz] ]> A]B kVV Bo_ 77.8 >T>\V >m. m>V[

    c\.

    m ]\V kVz]D _. kV VV> V zD

    _.