TN Election “turnout myth”- R. ARUL 1
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Transcript of TN Election “turnout myth”- R. ARUL 1
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8/7/2019 TN Election turnout myth- R. ARUL 1
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1
kV VV> kVz] D |> .
m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V m x> >>o_ kV VV> kl_ z ]\V
kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981kVz] ]>V |m. gV_ m c\ _. > 1981\uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D \uD 1991gD g|B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72 D
A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [A]>V >>V \^ >V |A m. k^ kD [
20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD20 kB> > kVVV V^. gV_, 2001 \uD 2011gD
g|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>Vg|B >tV| kVV Bo_ k |>V
]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?]s_. BVV_ > 72 D VV^?
m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD.m>V[ kVz] ]\V >k>[ [^ \\\VzD. m zm
skV VVD
>>_ fiz Vm >>o_ V| >V V^kVV \^! 77.4 >T> kVz ] [m >tw Vm >>_ D
mk V> V ! [m MB sM[ mz skV\V?
gE *m kV? D |! (2042011 >)
_ 13gD >] > >tw >>o_ 75 >T>mzD \_
kVz] g^m. >uV > flE? gEz g>kV
BV...? gE *m V\V...?
[m zx>D V[V k>\^! >V\V... \V\V? D F]. (2142011 >)
Q^ >^ ] _m g>k ] F> gk|D [
saAz gVV^. >uV xB VD >k_ >Va_OD>V[.
> Q ]_ kw\V kV kkV \|t[, kVBV
kV k> V>V_>V[ kw\V 65 sV| kVz] > x
77.8 sV| cB>m[m ]\ V>a[ V \VVD... ?
D >BD (1642011 V>)
kV V]KD \[ |>_ kVAz s>\V >D
>V[ Fm. _ 13gD >] m x> >>KzD >V[
{ >D m. 80 D A]B kVV^ gkk\V kV]
V^. wKz ]V V vV B c ^ kD
>mD W[> KD V x>m [V E.\][ >mD,
kBmD D ]\ |l_ (1942011).
>>_ gB][ k^ \z D ]m.
>[ skVk kV VV> kl_ |>_ kVz] Wm^m.gD z ]Vk \^ kVz ] F]>V m[
[V w.|\V[ (1742011 ]\)
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BV kw\V 65 x>_ 70 sV| klB kV> \^,
Vm ] m 78 sV |\z kV]>V x>Vkm
|> |m. ] kVz] [V, m gEz ]V>V
\D [m |> |>. \V>]_ gE \VuD [ E[
sD VoBV A^ sk^ JD c\BV V|[.m BVVKD, > flVD V^ >VzVm. \ 13 [
m >V flVD xz kms|D. gVKD, c\l_
[>V[ >m [> kmD >k>V[.
c\ [?
E >>_^ >s, zB _V >>_KD >tw kVV^
gk\V kV[. k, kl_ W[ kV>,
VlB kV k>, gk\V kV> [k_VD A]BW^ _. DVV >>__ \[ A >V[ m
km.
> >>o_ >>_ gB][ k^ \[ kV
\BV [m c\. zV Eo |D kV>uV
BV s_B Tu V|km V|>mD >B gk\V
B[|>VD [mD kV >VBm.
Am[ B BV [m > x\BV >>V_kVV BVD V]_ zwD us_. k, ]\V
VmVA uV|^ Bt_V\_ kV c>s.
\V>]_, >uz x>B >>_ s, > >>_ \BV>VD,
VmVV>VD \>m. >V_, kV>k[ u ]\V
VD. gV_ kV VV> kVz] >>V km c\ _.
kVA V\_ kVV B_>V[ VD!
>tw \_ 18 kBmz \VV _VD >[MflBV kVxBVm. \VV, kVV B_ D gk> >>_ gBD >BVm.
> kVV B_ [m x[_VD x\BV>V s_. m
cz[ ]>|k>VD s_. mVk^, kRz D
B>k^ kV kVF_V>k[ B^ _VD Bo_
>m. >V_, kVV ]\V m.
\ V_ > zV| B|^m. kVV Bo_
_V> kVV^
xuK\V | kVV B_ flE>\V\Vu|^m. >V_, kVV^ D kzkV zm^m.
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\V>]_, > >>o_ \^ kV VV> z kVs_.
kVV B_ >BV]_ u|^ x[u\ \VB >Vu>
>Vusm^m.
> u > JD sVD
[ \ZV ul_ [ l_ km sBV|mVBV_ > |kV^. >B VBV |mk>V km
V^kVD.
l_ [ km, \ ]_ > [
k |V [m V.
l_ 100 [ , ]_ x>Vkm \ ]_ 60
[ |V [V_, > 60 >T> [ >V |m
V^VD.|>>V, Vkm V Vl[Vm l_ kD 80
[ \|\ |V^. ]_ Vkm D \ ]_ 60
[ \|\ |V [VKD, A^sk [ Vkm 75
>T> [ >V kD.
g, A^ sk [, x>Vkm 60% [ V, gV_
Vkm 75% [ V [ kD.
gV_, c\BV | \ 60 [ \|\
|^ [m>V[!
x>Vkm z 100 [ BmD, Vkm z 80 K[
BmD>V[ > >T> zw]uz VD. >V[ >T> zwD>V[
> >>oKD m^m.
\V> kVz_ kV>V >T>D ]\Vsm [>>V[
_VD z|[. gV_, kVV B |, kVV
kzkV zms> D kM >ks. (_m J
\ms).
\^ >VD kVV BKD
]BVs_ kV >V|z xD \^ >V
|A >|m. ]_ kV xD \^ >V
]\V km. >V[, kV >>o[ VmD kVV B_
Am|m. A]B kVV^ |[.
\^ >V |D, kVV D | V>V_
kV xD \^ >V ]>uz u, kVV D
]m k>> VVD.
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|mVV, 1971gD g_ >tV| \^ >V 4,11,99,000 .
mk 1981gD g_ 4,84,08,000 . > >V|_
]\V \^ >V 72,09,000 gzD.
>V[ 1971gD g_ \V> kVV 2,29,76,680 .
mk, 1981gD g_ 2,91,97,882 . >V| V]_ ]>kVV 62,21,202 .
g 1971 x>_ 1981 klV >V| V]_ \^
>Vl_ 72 D ]\Vmz u, kVV BoKD 62 D
]\V^.
kV, 1961 >V 2011 klV nDm g|[ \^ >V
]D, kVV ]D w VVD.
\u Bo_ | xB \Vu VVD.
1. 1991gD g_ kVV t ]\V^m. >uz VD,
Vm>V[ 1989gD g| x>_, 18 kB>Vk^ kVVD [m
xz k>m. (>uz x[_VD kVzD kBm 21).
2. Vkm t xB\V \VuD [m Vm 2011_ Wm^m.
kVu_ x>_ xBV >V| V]_, kVV
]\VV\_ zm^m.
\^ >V kVV g|
2001 6,24,06,000 4,74,79,000
2011 7,21,38,985 4,71,00,000
>V| V]_ ]>
\^ >V
>V| V]_ ]>
kVV g|
1962 - 1971 75,12,000 43,01,244
1971 - 1981 72,09,000 62,21,202
1881 - 1991 74,51,000 1,07,10,905
1991 - 2001 65,47,000 75,70,213
2001 - 2011 97,32,985 ( - 3,79,000)
g, 2001 \uD 2011gD g|z B >tV| \^ >Vl_
97 D ]m^. gV_, kVV BV \V 4 D
zm^V^. m Buz xV A^ skD gzD.
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8/7/2019 TN Election turnout myth- R. ARUL 1
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72 D ?
1981 \uD 1991gD g|z B >tV| \^ >Vl_ 72
D A]>V m^. km kBm Vm 2011gD g_ 18 kB>
]zD. gV_ 2001gD g|z [ kVV B_ ]\Vk
_! m V]BD. > 72 D VV^?
>V_ >uV>B kVV B_ >k [V, kVV^
s||^ [V VD s_. \VV, x[_VD >Va_O
kflEl[\ V\V kVV B >VD, _V> kVV
V>VD >m. Vm>V[ > zV| B|^m.
2001gD g_ >tV[ \^ >Vl_ 76 >T>] kVV
Bo_ D u>. gV_, Vm 2011_ kD 65 >T>]
\|\ kVV Bo_ D u^. m \V 4 VB 71 D Vm. >V_>V[ 77.8 >T>D kVz] >>V A^skD V|m.
k x[AV \^ >Vl_ 76 >T>D kVV^ [
]>V_ (>Vkm, x[AV[ kVV Bo_ _V> kVVD
Du>V_) >uV>B kVV Bo_ 5 VB 48 D
>V VzD. wo_ kVz] 67 >T>\V \|\
>]zD.
g, \V>]_ wB kVV B_ \V 67 >T>D \|\kVz] ]> A]B kVV Bo_ 77.8 >T>\V >m. m>V[
c\.
m ]\V kVz]D _. kV VV> V zD
_.