The Nexus Between Energy, Food, and Water Security in the
Arabian Gulf Dr. Jean-Marc Rickli Assistant Professor Department of
Defence Studies, Kings College, London Joaan Bin Jassim Joint
Command and Staff College, Doha
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Structure of the Presentation 1.Traditional determinants of
energy security 2.New dynamics affecting energy security 3.Energy
consumption patterns in the Gulf 4.Water security 5.Food security
6.Conclusions 2
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Energy Security 3
Slide 4
Primary Oil and Gas Deposits in the Persian Gulf and Caspian
Sea Basins 4 Source: petroleuminsights.blogspot.ch
Slide 5
Shipping Lanes, Strategic Passages and Oil Reserves in the
Middle East 5 Source: Energy Information Administration, World Oil
Transit Chokepoints & BP Statistical Review of World
Energy.
Slide 6
Crude Exports in 2019 and Growth in 2013-19 for Key Trade
Routes (millions barrels per day) 6 Source: International Energy
Agency (2014)
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Oil and Gas Dependence of GCC Economies in 2010 Source: IMF
2012 and Woertz 2013 Shares in %
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Chinese String of Pearls Network 8
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GCC Population Evolution
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Population of the UAE 10 Source: World Bank
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GDP per Capita v.s. Energy Intensity Source: Future Outlook of
Desalination in the Gulf, Saif 2012
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GCC Electricity Consumption per Head 12 Source: Economist
Intelligence Unit
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Electricity Demand Forecast for Abu Dhabi (diversified) 13
Source: ADWEC
Slide 14
Total Energy Consumption in the GCC Source: Intelligence
Economic Unit
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Difference Between the Natural Gas Consumption and Production
for some GCC States 15 Source: BP
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Energy Production and Consumption in Saudi Arabia 16 Source: US
Energy Information Administration
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Oil Price and Breakeven Prices
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Energy Dependence Source: ESIA 2012
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Water Demand in Selected GCC Countries Source: Economist
Intelligence Unit
Slide 22
Cumulative Installed Desalination Capacity in the Gulf since
1970 Source: Future Outlook of Desalination in the Gulf, Saif
2012
Slide 23
Arabian Gulf Morphology 23 Source: Gulf 2000 Project, Columbia
University
Slide 24
GCC Food Imports 2007-2020 Source: Economist Intelligence
Unit
Slide 25
GCC Trade Dependencies in Cereals, 2000 and 2010 Source:
Chatham House 2013
Slide 26
Choke-Points and Strategic Infrastructure in GCC Food
Security
Slide 27
Vulnerability of MENA Countries to Food Price Spikes Source:
Chatham House 2013
Slide 28
Targets of GCC Agricultural Investments Ranked by Area
Acquired, 2006-12 Source: Chatham House 2013
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Change in Maximum Catch Potential from 2005 to 2055
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Conclusions 1.Dramatic rise in energy-food-water consumption in
the Gulf in the near future 2.Traditional energy exports:
protection of SLOC 3.New energy distribution patterns: new maritime
actors in the Gulf, navies as tool of power, protections of SLOC
4.Increased volume of desalinated water: prevention of pollution,
protection of critical infrastructure, prevention of conflicts over
water 5.Increased reliance on food imports: protection of SLOC
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31 Many thanks for your attention [email protected]
Twitter: Dr_JMRickli
