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exercises
PASSSENGER TRANSPORT• Revenue derived from the transport of passengers and associated businesses• Commuters fares, station parking, station concessions, etc.
AVIATION SYSTEM• Revenue from airport access and connecting passengers• Reduction in airport infrastructure needs and costs• FAA participation opportunities
GOODS MOVEMENT• Revenue generated from goods movement fees • Enhancement of capacity to handle goods in the region• Substitute for significant environmental mitigation requirements in the region
BENEFITS• Enhanced accessibility around transit stations• Increased land value and development potential• Intensification of density and land use in urban areas• New suburban development made possible by extensions to the HSRT system• More effective land use patterns (SCAG Compass 2% Strategy)
TYPES OF DEVELOPMENT• Urban Transit Oriented Development (TOD)• Suburban TOD• Development by Goods Movement Centers• Catalytic Business Creation
NEXT STEPS•Finalize Plan•Formalize Public/private partnership 2007
2007 Proposed Funding Plan $24.3M / Year Goals : Comply with ADA and Cal/OSHA mandates and increase capacity on goods movement routes-(rehabilitate 5 safety roadside rests per year and construct 3 new partnered facilities)
CORE BUSINESSES
Never utter these words
“For those of you in the back of the room who can’t read this…”
Save The Charts for Target Practice
Big Chart
ABC DEFG HIJR
KLM NOPQ RST
UV WXY ZZZ
ABC DFR UFK
789 WD4 8876
790 MNB GGF
791 YYY KOE
Big Chart
ABC DEFG HIJR
KLM NOPQ RST
UV WXY ZZZ
ABC DFR UFK
789 WD4 8876
790 MNB GGF
791 YYY KOE
Big ChartABC DEFG HIJR
KLM NOPQ RSTUV WXY ZZZ
ABC DFR UFK789 WD4 8876790 MNB GGF
791 YYY KOE
Big Chart
ABC DEFG HIJR
KLM NOPQ RST
UV WXY ZZZ
ABC DFR UFK
789 WD4 8876
790 MNB GGF
791 YYY KOE
Big ChartABC DEFG HIJRKLM NOPQ RSTUV WXY ZZZABC DFR UFK789 WD4 8876790 MNB GGF791 YYY KOE
Per Capita Income by 17 Top Metro Regions 2005
$34,222
$34,552
$34,593
$35,288
$36,159
$36,588
$36,649
$38,687
$38,852
$39,859
$40,068
$40,933
$41,315
$42,715
$45,440
$45,765
$49,650
Atlanta
SCAG Region
Cleveland
St. Louis
Pittsburgh
Dallas
Detroit
Chicago
Houston
Philadelphia
Seattle
Minneapolis
Denver
Boston
New York
Washington, DC
San Francisco
Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Per Capita Income RankPer Capita Income Rank
1
34
25
7
10
9
8
11
12
13
15
16
Was in 4th placein 1970,
7th in 1990
2005: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
12
Among Top 17 Metros
SCAG Region
San FranciscoWashingtonDC
New York
Philadelphia
Boston
Houston
Seattle
Denver
Minneapolis
Chicago
AtlantaDallas
17
St. Louis 14
6 Detroit
Pittsburgh
Cleveland
Animate toMake aPoint
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
Total LA/Long Beach Container GrowthProjected to Triple in 25 Years
14.214.2
18.318.3
36.036.0
42.542.5
2005 2010 2020 2030
In Million TEUs Source: POLA, POLB
What will traffic conditions be at any given time under any given circumstance,
25 years from now?
,
f = I
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Proposed Truck Lane System
I - 71018.0
miles
East/West
37.8 miles
I - 1586.0
miles
2 Lanes inEach Direction
Ports
CBDOntario
Victorville
Public funds alone cannot build these truckways.
We conducted a Value Analysis of Truck Toll Lanes.
What are speed and reliability worth to
users of the system?
What are speed and reliability worth to
users of the system?
Would investing in infrastructure
improvements pay off?
Would investing in infrastructure
improvements pay off?
Travel Time Without and With Truck Lanes
AM PEAK
Warehouse Toll ValueDistrict Direction No Proj. Tollway Savings No Proj. Tollway Savings Total Value Cost Ratio
CBD To 48 23 25 70 10 60 85 $103 $17 6.2From 54 25 29 86 16 70 99 $119 $17 7.2
Ontario To 125 66 60 157 25 132 192 $232 $32 7.2From 165 92 73 264 78 186 258 $313 $32 9.7
Victorville To 228 147 81 226 55 171 252 $305 $64 4.8From 275 177 99 345 114 231 330 $399 $64 6.2
MID-DAY
Warehouse Toll ValueDistrict Direction No Proj. Tollway Savings No Proj. Tollway Savings Total Value Cost Ratio
CBD To 40 19 21 77 5 73 94 $114 $17 6.8From 40 22 18 75 14 62 80 $97 $17 5.8
Ontario To 117 55 62 215 10 205 267 $323 $32 10.0From 128 59 69 258 21 237 306 $370 $32 11.4
Victorville To 212 130 82 296 36 260 343 $415 $64 6.5From 233 134 100 367 48 319 418 $507 $64 7.9
Travel Time (minutes) Buffer Time (minutes) Time Savings
Time SavingsBuffer Time (minutes)Travel Time (minutes)
Hours: 2.0 4.7 7.6
CBD Ontario VictorvilleLA Ports
With Truck LanesWith Truck Lanes
1.5 4.8.5
Without Truck LanesWithout Truck LanesAM Peak in the Year 2030
Avg. Truck Cost/Hour = $73Avg. Truck Cost/Hour = $73
Truck Lane ValueTruck Lane Value
AM Peak Travel @$73 per hour
CashValue
LA Business District
Ontario Victorville
Extra Trip
Potential
$103
3.4
$233
3.1
$345
2.3
$1 Invested = $5 to $11 Return$1 Invested = $5 to $11 Return
“PM2.5 must be reduced by 203 tons/day
by 2014.”
When Under the Gun,Illustrate Difficult Concepts
Particulate Matter 2.5Particulate Matter 2.5
Residents of the South Coast Air Basin
are exposed to 52% of the national exposure of
unhealthy levels of PM2.5
human hair
PM2.5: You can’t see it
Hair cross section (60um)
PM10
(10 um)
PM2.5
(2.5 um)
Human Hair
(60 um diameter)
PM2.5
For Demonstration Purposes…
1 Ton PM2.5
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Must Reduce 203 tons/day by 2014
31% Reduction from Today
31% Reduction from Today
Air Quality Agencies have some remedies but no solutions to remove…
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Ton PM2.5 72 tons per day in 2014
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And 179 more tons per day in 2023
75% - 80% of the emissions
come from mobile sources outside of local
control
The region supports the
nation. Now the nation must support the
region.
The region supports the
nation. Now the nation must support the
region.
Help people see the future
Start with what exists...Start with what exists...Start with what exists...Start with what exists...
Hawthorne at Imperial (2)
……add some new add some new construction...construction...
……add some new add some new construction...construction...
……trees and people...trees and people...……trees and people...trees and people...
Hawthorne at Imperial (2)
……and visualize what could be.and visualize what could be.……and visualize what could be.and visualize what could be.
Bring a littlestar power to a boring subject
Ballot Box ProgrammingBallot Box Programming
SCAG
Being out of control makes me uncomfortable…
6 Counties6 Counties193 Cities193 Cities6 Counties6 Counties193 Cities193 Cities
Sales TaxMeasures Require 2/3 Voter Approval
Sales TaxMeasures Require 2/3 Voter Approval .05¢ - 2010
.05¢ - 2039
.05¢ - 20401¢ permanent
.05¢ 2011
75% of Region’s Revenues
Originate Locally
75% of Region’s Revenues
Originate Locally
I don’t like local sales taxes, but they sure beat a gas tax…
What it takes for
Los Angeles County to generate
$1.1 billion
What it takes for
Los Angeles County to generate
$1.1 billion
1¢ Sales Tax
28¢ Gas Tax
- OR -
LOCALSALES
TAXES!
LOCALSALES
TAXES!
The GoodThe Good Revenue potential
tied to economic
growth
The BadThe Bad
Violates the “user pays”
principle
The UglyThe Ugly Spending plans can
often bypass regional planning process
But its amazing
what we’ll go
through…
But its amazing
what we’ll go
through…
Go Ahead. Make My Day.Go Ahead. Make My Day.
Ballot Box ProgrammingBallot Box Programming
PPoowweerr iinnttPPooPPrriissoonn
FREE
YOURSELF
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(make “white space” your friend)
Conceptualize
Simplify
Accentuate
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Animate
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Experiment
Conceptualize
Simplify
Accentuate
Translate
Animate
Visualize
Glamorize
Experiment
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