08/11/2014
Massive Data Analysis on an
Aircraft Fleet Reliability Process
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
Our business is to generate valuefor our shareholders, customers,employees and society,with behavioral integrity, and an environmental and social conscience.
EMBRAER: GLOBAL COMPANYHEADQUARTERED IN BRAZIL.
WE HAVE DEVELOPED OUR
BUSINESS IN THE AREAS OF:
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
EXECUTIVEAVIATION
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
EMBRAERDEFENSE &
SECURITY
EMBRAER YESTERDAY AND TODAYSuccess story
Controlled by the Federal Government, Embraer is born in order to develop Brazil’s aeronautical engineering capacity and to produce airplanes.
19692014
1994
1949One of the mainglobal manufacturersof commercial andexecutive aircraft, with strong and growing involvement indefense and security.
The companyis privatized, leading to a new structure that combinestechnologicaland industrial knowledge withan entrepreneurial culture.
Brazil creates strategic national aeronautics project – creation of CTA and ITA.
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
Regional Jets
37 seatsrange*: 1,750 nmLR versionCruise 0.78 M
44 seatsrange*: 1,650 nmLR versionCruise 0.78 M
50 seatsrange*: 1,550 nmLR versionCruise 0.78 M
50 seatsrange*: 2,000 nmXL versionCruise 0.80 M
* Single-class configuration: pitch 31” - FAR domestic reserves (45 min) + alternate of 100 nm; 91 kg (200 lb) per pax and 76 kg (168 lb) per crew member
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WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
E-Jets
70 to 78 seatsrange*: 2,100 nm
78 to 88 seatsrange*: 2,000 nm
98 to 114 seatsrange*: 2,400 nm
108 to 124 seatsrange*: 2,200 nm
* AR Version, single-class configuration: pitch 32”- Long-Range Cruise, FAR domestic reserves (45 min) + alternate of 100 nm; 100 kg (220 lb)
per pax and 80 kg (176 lb) per crew member.
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
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WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
Behold the power of 2, the second generation.
Efficient Power
Pratt & Whitney´s ultra-high-performance PW1700G and PW1900G GTF power plants.
New wing designs
Economy is further enhanced by uniquely sophisticated high-efficiency and high-aspect-ratio new wing designs.
Major cockpit-to-cabin innovations
Full fly-by-wire flight controls and next generation avionics, plus new cabin configurations.
COMMERCIAL AVIATION
E-Jets E2 E175-E2 / E190-E2 / E195-E2
EXECUTIVE JETS
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
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* LRC, 4 occupants with 91 kg (200 lb) each, and NBAA IFR
reserves with 100 nm alternate airport
* LRC, 6 occupants with 91 kg (200 lb) each, and NBAA IFR
reserves with 100 nm alternate airport
6 to 8 occupantsrange*: 1,178 nm / 2,182 km
8 to 11 occupantsrange*: 1,971 nm / 3,650 km
Entry Level Light
EXECUTIVE AVIATION
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
* LRC, 4 passengers + 2 pilots with
91 kg (200 lb) each and NBAA IFR
reserves with 200 nm alternate airport
* LRC, 4 passengers + 2 pilots with
91 kg (200 lb) each and NBAA IFR
reserves with 200 nm alternate airport
7 to 9 passengers+ 2 crew membersrange*: 2,300 nm /4,260 km
8 to 12 passengers+ 2 crew membersrange*: 3,000 nm /5,556 km
Midlight Midsize
* LRC, 4 passengers + 2 pilots with
91 kg (200 lb) each and NBAA IFR
reserves with 200 nm alternate airport
13 to 14 passengers+ 2 crew membersrange*: 3,400 nm /6,297 km
13 to 14 passengers+ 2 crew membersrange*: 3,900 nm /7,223 km
Super Midsize Large
* LRC, 4 passengers + 2 pilots with
91 kg (200 lb) each and NBAA IFR
reserves with 200 nm alternate airport
EXECUTIVE AVIATION
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
Ultra-Large
*M 0.78, 8 passengers + 3 crew members with 91 kg (200 lb) each,
and NBAA IFR reserves with 200 nm alternate airport
13 to 19 passengers+ 3 crew membersrange*: 4,400 nm / 8,149 km
EXECUTIVE AVIATION
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
EMBRAER DEFENSE & SECURITY
Light Attack and Advanced Training
Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) Systems
A-29 Super Tucano
EMB ISR AEW&C / MP / Multi-Intel
Tactical Military Transport
Transport of Authorities
Aircraft Modernization
Unmanned Air Vehicle (UAV)
KC-390
EMBRAER DEFENSE & SECURITY
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.
WE ARE HERE TO SERVE OUR CUSTOMERS
GLOBAL
PRESENCE IS
OUR FRONTIER
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
CHINABeijing
Harbin - HEAI
SINGAPORESingapore
BRAZILSão José dos Campos
Gavião Peixoto
Botucatu
Taubaté
Brasília
Belo Horizonte
São Paulo
Rio de Janeiro
Sorocaba
Campinas
FRANCEVillepinte
Le Bourget
PORTUGALAlverca - OGMA
Évora
UNITED
STATESNashville
Fort Lauderdale
Melbourne
Mesa
Windsor Locks
Jacksonville
This information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
UNITED KINGDOMFarnborough
UAEDubai
IRELANDDublin
NETHERLANDSAmsterdam
GLOBAL PRESENCE IS OUR FRONTIER
21 August 2014 16
Big Data World Scenario
Problem Overview
CRISP-DM Methodology
RapidMiner Process
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSISAIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
21 August 2014 17
The Advanced Analytics uses mathematical and statisticalmethods to retrieve knowledge from data, recommendingactions and driving a more precise decision making in real time.
Companies that use extensively Advanced Analytics:
BIG DATA WORLD SCENARIO
and many others
Of american executives think thatthey did not have sufficient data todrive the last decision they made…
55%
Harvard Business Review, April 2014
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
21 August 2014 18
What was the problem?50.000 reports are sent monthly by the executive aircraft clients to the fleet reliability team thatgenerates reports about the fleet actual health.
How it was used to be done?With Excel macros, all these data needed to beclassified manually according to event categories.
How it is done?Using the CRISP-DM methodology and theRapidMiner tool, this text classification task wasautomated and now it triggers frequently.
PROBLEM OVERVIEW
>>> HUMAN RESOURCES SAVING <<<
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
21 August 2014 19
CRISP-DM
CRISP-DM METHODOLOGY
Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining
Objective:
Standardization of the data mining process development.
Founding Consortium Members: DaimlerChrysler, SPSS and NCR
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
Business Understanding
Data Understanding
Data Preparation
Modeling
Evaluation
Operation
21 August 2014 20
CRISP-DM
CRISP-DM METHODOLOGYAIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
RAPIDMINER PROCESSES
21 August 2014 21
- Scoring and modeling processes triggered automatically;
- Management of the processes and users.
ScoringModelingPreparation
INPUT OUTPUT
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
RAPIDMINER PROCESSES – DATA PREPARATION
21 August 2014 22
Text Preparation
New Data Preparation
Historical Data Preparation
INPUT DATA
PREPARED DATA
- Data Preparation: Stratify historical data, Extract only the relevant attributes & Remove historical missing values;
- Text Preparation: Tokenization, Filter Stopwords, N-Grams.
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
RAPIDMINER PROCESSES – MODELING
21 August 2014 23
Model Construction
ModelEvaluation
ModelOptimization
HISTORICAL DATA
MODEL
- Uses Statistical Techniques: k-NN, SVM and Naïve Bayes;- Model Validation: X-Validation;- Triggers every month.
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
RAPIDMINER PROCESSES – SCORING
21 August 2014 24
Data Recording
Data Joining
ModelApplication
NEW DATA
SCORED DATA
- Uses Joining and Recording Operators;- Triggers every day.
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
21 August 2014 25
THANK YOU!
AIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSISAIRCRAFT RELIABILITY DATA ANALYSIS
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