6th AnnualLNGTransport,Handling&StorageForum
Bali,14 September 2016
PUSHINGFORWARDWITHLNGSUPPLYANDINFRASTRUCTURETOSUPPORTINDONESIA’SPOWERSECTOR
ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.
FuelMix2016(Prognosis)
Comparedtotherealizationin2015withprognosisin2016,theportionofcoalwillrise2%-3%inthefuelmix,whilefueloildecreased2%-3%.
PLN+IPP2015à2016
COAL:56%à 58%FUELOIL:9%à 7%HYDRO:6%à 6%GEO+RE:4% à 4%GAS:25%à 25%
PLN2015à2016
COAL:52%à 55%FUELOIL:11%à 8%HYDRO:6%à 6%GEO+RE:2% à 2%GAS:29%à 29%
Coal55%
FuelOil8%
Hydro6%
Geothermal+RE2%
Gas29%
PLN
Coal58%
FuelOil7%
Hydro6%
Geothermal+RE4%
Gas25%
PLN+IPP
PLN PLN+IPPCoal 106.844,98 149.210,65FuelOil 16.279,28 16.954,01Hydro 12.061,80 16.509,41Geothermal+RE 4.231,01 11.559,96Gas 57.032,31 65.347,20
196.449,38 259.581,23
FuelType
TOTAL
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
PLN PLN+IPP
ENER
GYGWH
Coal FuelOil Hydro Geothermal+RE Gas
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ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.
ElectricityProductionCostinIndonesia
3
PotentialefficiencyofthefuelisverysignificanttoreduceoperatingexpensesinPLN.
2015*)BasedonPLN'sFinancialReport(Final&Published)
-PurchaseElectricity 51,69Rp T -Maintenance 17,59Rp T-Lease 7,56Rp T -Personnel 20,32Rp T
-Depreciation 21,42Rp T Others 7,09Rp T
T
-Coal 32,46Rp T 26,9%-Gas 48,35Rp T 40,1%-Oil 35,99Rp T 29,8%
-Geothermal 3,26Rp T 2,7%-Hydro 0,24Rp T 0,2%
-Lubricants 0,29Rp T 0,2%TotalFuels&Lubricants 120,59Rp T
OVERVIEWOFOPERATINGEXPENSESPTPLN(PERSERO)IN
FuelExpensesBreakdown
49%
TotalOperatingExpenses246,26Rp
Fuels &Lubricants Power Plants HighVoltageTransmissions
TransmissionSubstations
MediumV.Transmissions
DistributionSubstations
DistributionLines
HighVoltageConsumers
MediumV.Consumers
Residential&SmallIndustriesConsumers
ElectricityEnergy
Purchase Electricity,Lease,Depreciation
Maintenance,Personnel,Others
of TotalFuels&Lubes
ofTotalOperatingExpenses
USD19BILLION
USD1= Rp13000
USD3,7BILLION
USD1= Rp13000
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GasUtilizationin35GWPowerProgram
35.000MW
CoalFired:19.813MW
Geothermal:725MW
Others:210MW
Hydro:1.971MW
Gas:12.908MW
Additional 35GW by2019isrequiredbasedonfollowingassumptions :- Economicgrowth6,6%perannum- Powerdemandgrowth8,3%perannum- Electrificationratioincreasedto97%
TypeofPowerPlant IPP PLN Total PortionCoalFired 17.598 2.215 19.813 55,6%Hydro-electric 582 1.389 1.971 5,5%GasFired 6.123 6.785 12.908 36,2%Geothermal 555 170 725 2,0%Wind 180 - 180 0,5%Biomass 30 - 30 0,1%Total 25.068 10.559 35.627 100,0%Source:RUPTL2016-2025
39/06/2016
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NewGasFiredPowerPlantsinIndonesia(2016-2025)
5
INDONESIAGasQuantity Capacity
2.189BBTUD 22.117MW
KALIMANTAN(KAL)GasQuantity Capacity
150 BBTUD 1.631MW
SULAWESINUSATENGGARA(SNT)
GasQuantity Capacity
223 BBTUD 2.740MW
MALUKU PAPUA(MP)GasQuantity Capacity
117 BBTUD 1.070MW
RUPTL2016-2025
JAWABALI(JB)GasQuantity Capacity1.335BBTUD 13.206MW
SUMATERA(SUM)GasQuantity Capacity364BBTUD 3.470MW
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ElectricityGasBalance(PLN+IPP)
6
In the period 2016-2025, the gas demand for electricity grows significantly approx 3.500 BBTUD in 2025.
Untill 2025,additionalgassupplyneededisapprox2000BBTUD.
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
BBTU
D
SupplyContractvsDemand
RMP
SNT
KAL
JBTB
JBT
JBB
SUMSUPPLYCONTRACT
ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.
Current/PotentialDomesticGasSources
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SUMATERA
Jambi Merang,Grissik,Lematang,Natuna,
ENIKrueng Mane
KALIMANTAN
LNGBontang,Simenggaris,Bangkanai,Bunyu,ENIMuara
Bakau, IDD
JAWABALI
ONWJ,CNOOC,WMO,Kepodang,Cepu,Gundih,Kangean,HCML,Santos,
LNGNR(ex.Tangguh/Bontang)
SULAWESI
Donggi Senoro,Matindok,
Sengkang/WasamboMALUKU&PAPUA
Salawati, Tangguh,Masela
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ShallWeImport?
8
Can exploration of domestic gas resources wait until its commercial
production met the growing capacity to pay of domestic off
takers ?
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GasSupplyAlternatives
9
LNGTerminal
LNGTerminal
VirtualPipeline
Import
Domestic
LNGStorageRegasification
LNGStorageRegasification
PowerPlantLocation1
PowerPlantLocation 2
Scheme:1. IPP+GasValueChain2. EPC(PLN)+GasSupply(ThirdParty)3. EPC(PLN)+GasSupply(PLN)4. IPP+GasSupply(PLN)
LNGStorageRegasification
PowerPlantLocationn
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AdditionalGasFiredPowerPlants2016- 2025
9/05/2016 10
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RequirementofLNGReceivingTerminal
11
CCPPJAWA1
COD 2020
StorageCap 170.000m3
Regas Cap. 200MMSCFD(1,56MTPA)
CCPPJAWA3
COD 2020
StorageCap 2x50.000m3
Regas Cap. 157MMSCFD(1,23MTPA)
LNGTERMINALARUN
InOperation
StorageCap 6x127.000m3
Regas Cap. 400MMSCFD(3,12MTPA)
CCPPSUMBAGUT1,3,4
COD 2020
StorageCap 120.000m3
Regas Cap. 200MMSCFD(1,56MTPA)
FSRUNUSANTARA REGAS
InOperation
StorageCap 125.000m3
Regas Cap. 500MMSCFD(3,91MTPA)
FSRU LAMPUNG
InOperation
StorageCap 150.000m3
Regas Cap. 500MMSCFD(3,91MTPA)
LNGTERMINALBOJONEGARA
COD 2020
StorageCap 2x150.000m3
Regas Cap. 500MMSCFD(3,91MTPA)
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SmallScaleLNGDistribution
LNG Terminal & Unloading
LNG Mini Tanker
LNG Hub
LNG Mini Tanker LNG Trucking on LCT
Gas Pipeline
LNG Storage & Regas near PLTMG
Gas Fired Power Plants
LNG ISO Tank & Trucking
Most gassupplytonewgasfiredpowerplants(excludeJawa Bali) willusesmallscaleLNG
distribution system.
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• TotalDemand forMaluku Papuareaching 960MW,± 105bbtud.• LNGVesselrequired:70,000m3(Ternate,Ambon,Sorong,Manokwari,Jayapura )and14,000m3(Ambon,Langgur-Merauke)• Total14daysroundtrip
FOB11%REP
10,000m3
25,000m3
10,000m310,000m3
8,000m3
11,400m3
643NM
323NM336NM
198NM
425NM
293NM
2,500m3
Alternative forLNG Distribution inEasternRegion
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OptionforNorth Maluku
MPPTobelo 10MW(2017)PLTMGTobelo 20MW(2020)
3.6bbtud ~150m3/d
MPPMalifut 5MW(2017)0.6bbtud~25m3/d
MPPMaba 10MW(2023)1.2bbtud ~50m3/d
PLTMGBacan 20MW(2018)2.4bbtud~100m3/d
PLTMGMinahasa Peaker 150MW(2018)
PLTGGorontaloPeaker 100MW(2016)
MPPTernate30MW(2017)PLTMGTernate40MW(2018)PLTMGTidore 20MW(2020)*MPPSofifi 10MW(2017)*12bbtud ~499.2m3/d
TotalDemand165MW,19.8bbtudVessel4,000m3,roundtrip:10days,buffer3days
125NM
221NM
115NM
179NM
179NM
HUB10,000m3
ShortdistanceofTernateTidore ± 16km,Tidore-Sofifi ± 12km,moreeconomictouse SubmarineCable
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LogisticCosttoEachHub
15
Margin MarginMarginMarginMargin
$/mmbtu
FOBBontang : 11% ICP,assumingICP @35$/bblfor12%ICPwhenICP@47USD/bblà 5,6USD/mmbtuvsHSDat12USD/mmbtu
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GasInfrastructureProjectsinPLN
LNGPesanggaranStatus:Operation
LNGCentralIndonesiaStatus:RFPAddendum
GasPipelinesPK-52Bontang toTanjung BatuStatus:Biddoc Released
LNGGorontalo PeakerStatus:FID
ClustersinSumateraandKalimantanStatus:Pra FS&FEED
ClustersinMalukuStatus:Pra FS&FEED
ClustersinPapuaStatus:Pra FS&FEED
LNGSupplyforJAWA1Status:DomesticAllocation
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Thank youemail : [email protected]
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