PUSHING FORWARD WITH LNG SUPPLY AND INFRASTRUCTURE … Rachmatullah - PLN.… · Confidential and...

6th AnnualLNGTransport,Handling&StorageForum

Bali,14 September 2016

PUSHINGFORWARDWITHLNGSUPPLYANDINFRASTRUCTURETOSUPPORTINDONESIA’SPOWERSECTOR

ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.

FuelMix2016(Prognosis)

Comparedtotherealizationin2015withprognosisin2016,theportionofcoalwillrise2%-3%inthefuelmix,whilefueloildecreased2%-3%.

PLN+IPP2015à2016

COAL:56%à 58%FUELOIL:9%à 7%HYDRO:6%à 6%GEO+RE:4% à 4%GAS:25%à 25%

PLN2015à2016

COAL:52%à 55%FUELOIL:11%à 8%HYDRO:6%à 6%GEO+RE:2% à 2%GAS:29%à 29%

Coal55%

FuelOil8%

Hydro6%

Geothermal+RE2%

Gas29%

PLN

Coal58%

FuelOil7%

Hydro6%

Geothermal+RE4%

Gas25%

PLN+IPP

PLN PLN+IPPCoal 106.844,98 149.210,65FuelOil 16.279,28 16.954,01Hydro 12.061,80 16.509,41Geothermal+RE 4.231,01 11.559,96Gas 57.032,31 65.347,20

196.449,38 259.581,23

FuelType

TOTAL

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

PLN PLN+IPP

ENER

GYGWH

Coal FuelOil Hydro Geothermal+RE Gas

6


ElectricityProductionCostinIndonesia

3

PotentialefficiencyofthefuelisverysignificanttoreduceoperatingexpensesinPLN.

2015*)BasedonPLN'sFinancialReport(Final&Published)

-PurchaseElectricity 51,69Rp T -Maintenance 17,59Rp T-Lease 7,56Rp T -Personnel 20,32Rp T

-Depreciation 21,42Rp T Others 7,09Rp T

T

-Coal 32,46Rp T 26,9%-Gas 48,35Rp T 40,1%-Oil 35,99Rp T 29,8%

-Geothermal 3,26Rp T 2,7%-Hydro 0,24Rp T 0,2%

-Lubricants 0,29Rp T 0,2%TotalFuels&Lubricants 120,59Rp T

OVERVIEWOFOPERATINGEXPENSESPTPLN(PERSERO)IN

FuelExpensesBreakdown

49%

TotalOperatingExpenses246,26Rp

Fuels &Lubricants Power Plants HighVoltageTransmissions

TransmissionSubstations

MediumV.Transmissions

DistributionSubstations

DistributionLines

HighVoltageConsumers

MediumV.Consumers

Residential&SmallIndustriesConsumers

ElectricityEnergy

Purchase Electricity,Lease,Depreciation

Maintenance,Personnel,Others

of TotalFuels&Lubes

ofTotalOperatingExpenses

USD19BILLION

USD1= Rp13000

USD3,7BILLION

USD1= Rp13000


GasUtilizationin35GWPowerProgram

35.000MW

CoalFired:19.813MW

Geothermal:725MW

Others:210MW

Hydro:1.971MW

Gas:12.908MW

Additional 35GW by2019isrequiredbasedonfollowingassumptions :- Economicgrowth6,6%perannum- Powerdemandgrowth8,3%perannum- Electrificationratioincreasedto97%

TypeofPowerPlant IPP PLN Total PortionCoalFired 17.598 2.215 19.813 55,6%Hydro-electric 582 1.389 1.971 5,5%GasFired 6.123 6.785 12.908 36,2%Geothermal 555 170 725 2,0%Wind 180 - 180 0,5%Biomass 30 - 30 0,1%Total 25.068 10.559 35.627 100,0%Source:RUPTL2016-2025

39/06/2016


NewGasFiredPowerPlantsinIndonesia(2016-2025)

5

INDONESIAGasQuantity Capacity

2.189BBTUD 22.117MW

KALIMANTAN(KAL)GasQuantity Capacity

150 BBTUD 1.631MW

SULAWESINUSATENGGARA(SNT)

GasQuantity Capacity

223 BBTUD 2.740MW

MALUKU PAPUA(MP)GasQuantity Capacity

117 BBTUD 1.070MW

RUPTL2016-2025

JAWABALI(JB)GasQuantity Capacity1.335BBTUD 13.206MW

SUMATERA(SUM)GasQuantity Capacity364BBTUD 3.470MW


ElectricityGasBalance(PLN+IPP)

6

In the period 2016-2025, the gas demand for electricity grows significantly approx 3.500 BBTUD in 2025.

Untill 2025,additionalgassupplyneededisapprox2000BBTUD.

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

BBTU

D

SupplyContractvsDemand

RMP

SNT

KAL

JBTB

JBT

JBB

SUMSUPPLYCONTRACT


Current/PotentialDomesticGasSources

7

SUMATERA

Jambi Merang,Grissik,Lematang,Natuna,

ENIKrueng Mane

KALIMANTAN

LNGBontang,Simenggaris,Bangkanai,Bunyu,ENIMuara

Bakau, IDD

JAWABALI

ONWJ,CNOOC,WMO,Kepodang,Cepu,Gundih,Kangean,HCML,Santos,

LNGNR(ex.Tangguh/Bontang)

SULAWESI

Donggi Senoro,Matindok,

Sengkang/WasamboMALUKU&PAPUA

Salawati, Tangguh,Masela


ShallWeImport?

8

Can exploration of domestic gas resources wait until its commercial

production met the growing capacity to pay of domestic off

takers ?


GasSupplyAlternatives

9

LNGTerminal

LNGTerminal

VirtualPipeline

Import

Domestic

LNGStorageRegasification


PowerPlantLocation1

PowerPlantLocation 2

Scheme:1. IPP+GasValueChain2. EPC(PLN)+GasSupply(ThirdParty)3. EPC(PLN)+GasSupply(PLN)4. IPP+GasSupply(PLN)


PowerPlantLocationn


AdditionalGasFiredPowerPlants2016- 2025

9/05/2016 10


RequirementofLNGReceivingTerminal

11

CCPPJAWA1

COD 2020

StorageCap 170.000m3

Regas Cap. 200MMSCFD(1,56MTPA)

CCPPJAWA3

COD 2020

StorageCap 2x50.000m3


LNGTERMINALARUN

InOperation



CCPPSUMBAGUT1,3,4

COD 2020



FSRUNUSANTARA REGAS

InOperation



FSRU LAMPUNG

InOperation



LNGTERMINALBOJONEGARA

COD 2020



ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.12

SmallScaleLNGDistribution

LNG Terminal & Unloading

LNG Mini Tanker

LNG Hub

LNG Mini Tanker LNG Trucking on LCT

Gas Pipeline

LNG Storage & Regas near PLTMG

Gas Fired Power Plants

LNG ISO Tank & Trucking

Most gassupplytonewgasfiredpowerplants(excludeJawa Bali) willusesmallscaleLNG

distribution system.


13

• TotalDemand forMaluku Papuareaching 960MW,± 105bbtud.• LNGVesselrequired:70,000m3(Ternate,Ambon,Sorong,Manokwari,Jayapura )and14,000m3(Ambon,Langgur-Merauke)• Total14daysroundtrip

FOB11%REP

10,000m3

25,000m3

10,000m310,000m3

8,000m3

11,400m3

643NM

323NM336NM

198NM

425NM

293NM

2,500m3

Alternative forLNG Distribution inEasternRegion


14

OptionforNorth Maluku

MPPTobelo 10MW(2017)PLTMGTobelo 20MW(2020)

3.6bbtud ~150m3/d

MPPMalifut 5MW(2017)0.6bbtud~25m3/d

MPPMaba 10MW(2023)1.2bbtud ~50m3/d

PLTMGBacan 20MW(2018)2.4bbtud~100m3/d

PLTMGMinahasa Peaker 150MW(2018)

PLTGGorontaloPeaker 100MW(2016)

MPPTernate30MW(2017)PLTMGTernate40MW(2018)PLTMGTidore 20MW(2020)*MPPSofifi 10MW(2017)*12bbtud ~499.2m3/d

TotalDemand165MW,19.8bbtudVessel4,000m3,roundtrip:10days,buffer3days

125NM

221NM

115NM

179NM

179NM

HUB10,000m3

ShortdistanceofTernateTidore ± 16km,Tidore-Sofifi ± 12km,moreeconomictouse SubmarineCable


LogisticCosttoEachHub

15

Margin MarginMarginMarginMargin

$/mmbtu

FOBBontang : 11% ICP,assumingICP @35$/bblfor12%ICPwhenICP@47USD/bblà 5,6USD/mmbtuvsHSDat12USD/mmbtu

ConfidentialandProprietary.AnyuseofthismaterialwithoutspecificpermissionofPLNisstrictlyprohibited.16

GasInfrastructureProjectsinPLN

LNGPesanggaranStatus:Operation

LNGCentralIndonesiaStatus:RFPAddendum

GasPipelinesPK-52Bontang toTanjung BatuStatus:Biddoc Released

LNGGorontalo PeakerStatus:FID

ClustersinSumateraandKalimantanStatus:Pra FS&FEED

ClustersinMalukuStatus:Pra FS&FEED

ClustersinPapuaStatus:Pra FS&FEED

LNGSupplyforJAWA1Status:DomesticAllocation

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Thank youemail : [email protected]

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PUSHING FORWARD WITH LNG SUPPLY AND INFRASTRUCTURE … Rachmatullah - PLN.… · Confidential and...

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