ecdc.europa.eu
Richard Deiss, DG EAC, unit for studies, analysis, indicators
EU 2020 education benchmarksEU 2020 education benchmarks
Visit of Estonian delegation in Brussels, 1 June 2010
2
From Lisbon to Europe 2020
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
March 2000: Most competitive knowledge based economy in the world with better jobs and more social inclusion
March 2010: Smart, sustainable and inclusive growth
Reference years for latest data available in 2010 (PISA: 2006, LFS data 2009)
3
5 (old) education benchmarks: Evolution since 2000
Progress towards meeting the 5 benchmarks (EU average)
-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10
0102030405060708090
100110120130140150160170180190200210220
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Year
2010 b
en
ch
mark
s =
100
MST graduates
Adult lifelong lifelong learning
Early school leaversUpper secondary
Low achievers in reading
progress required
(above 0 = performance improving, below: worsening)
Only one of 5 benchmarks reached (MST graduates)
Low achievers: decline in performance
5 (old) education benchmarks: Progress in Estonia
5 old benchmarks
Benchmark EU EU Estonia Estonia
2010 2000 latest 2000 latest
Low achievers reading, %
-20 (to 17.0) 21.3 24.1
(+13.1)
- 13.6
Early school leavers, %
10 17.6 14.9(2009: 14.4)
15.1 14.0 (2009: 13.9)
Upper secondary, %
85 76.6 78.5(2009: 78.6)
79.0 82.2(2009: 82.3)
MST graduates (% growth)
+15 Female share
2000/2007
30.7/31.9
Growth 2000-2007
33.6
Female share 2000/2007
35.7/38.7
Growth 2000-2007
79.8
Lifelong learning, %
12.5 8.5 (2003) 9.5(2009: 9.2)
6.7 (2003) 9.8 (2009:10.5)
Council Conclusion of May 2009 on new benchmarks
5 Reference levels of European performance (‘European benchmarks’) Based on existing ones- Low achievers in basic skills (in reading, maths and science, max. 15% - Adult lifelong learning participation: 15% (previously: 12.5%)- Early school leavers (10%, same as before)New- Pre-primary participation: 95% of children between 4 years old and the age for starting compulsory education (before 90% target for 4 year olds)-Tertiary level attainment at least: 40% of age group 30-34 (instead of 45%)
Commission to work further on following areas- Employability ( submit proposal by end 2010)- Mobility (submit proposal by end 2010) - Language learning (submit proposal by end 2012)
5 new education benchmarks: Evolution since 2000
Pre-primary (EU: 85.6%/ 90.7%, EE: 87.0%/93.6%): good progress
Tertiary: good progress (EU: 22.4%/31.1%, EE: 30.8%/34.1%)
Early school leavers: on track
Low achievers and adult lifelong learning: decline in performance
Low achievers: in maths Estonia in 2006 at 12.1%, science 7.7%
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EU benchmarks 2020, Evolution 2000-2009
Low achievers in reading
Pre-primary
Tertiary attainment
Adult lifelong learning
Early school leavers
progress required
7
Europe 2020 Strategy
75 % of the population aged 20-64 should be employed.
3% of the EU's GDP should be invested in R&D.
The "20/20/20" climate/energy targets should be met.
Commission Communication: The share of early school leavers (18-24) should be under 10% and at least 40% of 30-34 year olds should have tertiary attainment.
European Council Conclusions: quantitative targets in these areas to be set in June 2010
20 million less people should be at risk of poverty.
Education among the 5 quantitative targets
8
Early school leavers
Continuous progress in reducing share of early school leavers
However, reaching 10% goal still ambitious (EE 2020 goal: 9.5%)
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EU average
% of early school leavers (18-24) in EU
EU 2020 benchmark
Early school leavers
6 countries already below the 2020 10% target.
Lowest levels (< 6%) : Poland, Slovenia, Czech Republic
Highest levels (> 30%): Malta, Portugal, Spain
Estonia: 2008: 14.0%, 2009: 13.9%
CroatiaPoland
SloveniaCzech Republic
SlovakiaLithuania
FinlandAustria
SwedenIreland
NetherlandsDenmarkHungary
GermanyFrance
BelgiumLuxembourg
CyprusEstonia
BulgariaGreeceEU-27
LatviaRomania
United KingdomNorway
MKItaly
IcelandSpain
PortugalMalta
TurkeyLiechtenstein
17.0
15.9
14.9
14.8
13.7
13.4
11.8
11.7
11.5
11.3
7.4
5.6
5.1
5.0
(:)
31.9
15.5
14.8
12.0
11.8
9.8
24.4
17.0
14.0
11.4
6.0
3.7
11.1
10.1
19.7
(:)
46.6
39.0
35.4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Benchmark 2010 + 2020
10
Early school leavers
High early school leaving rates of certain socio-demographic
Early school leaving rate of migrants (27%) twice as high as for nationals
Rate for males 4 percentage points higher than for females
Natives Migrants
11
Tertiary attainment
Continuous progress of tertiary attainment since 2000 in the EU Tertiary attainment of 30-34 year olds 2000: 22%, 2008: 31%, 2009:32% 30-34 year olds in 2020 are 20-24 year old today
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
EU benchmark
Tertairy attainment of 30-34 year olds
12
Tertiary attainment
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
EU USA Japan
However, tertiary attainment rates of young adults in the EU (31%) are still low compared to the US (40%) and Japan (50%).
Share of population aged 25-34 with tertiary education
Tertiary attainment
Wide range of results between Member States.
8 Member states already above 40% target
Highest performance (> 45%) Cyprus, Denmark, Ireland, Finland
Lowest performance: Czech republic, Slovakia, Romania (but strong progress).
Estonia 2008 at 34.1%, in 2009 already at 35.9% (EE national benchmark: 40%)
Cyprus
Denmark
NorwayIrelandFinland
BelgiumSwedenFrance
NetherlandsLithuania
LuxembourgSpain
United KingdomIceland EstoniaEU-27
SloveniaPoland
GermanyBulgaria
LatviaGreece
HungaryAustria
PortugalMalta
ItalyCroatia
RomaniaSlovakia
Czech RepublicMK
TurkeyLiechtenstein
21.0
22.4
25.6
27.0
27.1
29.7
30.9
31.1
34.1
38.3
39.7
39.8
39.9
42.0
42.9
46.1
46.2
46.3
15.4
(:)
(:)
(:)
18.5
41.3
40.2
47.1
45.7
39.8
27.7
21.6
16.0
22.2
19.2
15.8
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Be
nch
ma
rk 20
20
Thank you for your attention !
The Commission Progress report with many statistical data and information on composite indicators (including on lifelong learning)
is available on the website of DG Education & Culture
http://ec.europa.eu/education/lifelong-learning-policy/doc/report09/report_en.pdf
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