ecdc.europa.eu

Richard Deiss, DG EAC, unit for studies, analysis, indicators

EU 2020 education benchmarksEU 2020 education benchmarks

Visit of Estonian delegation in Brussels, 1 June 2010

2

From Lisbon to Europe 2020

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

March 2000: Most competitive knowledge based economy in the world with better jobs and more social inclusion

March 2010: Smart, sustainable and inclusive growth

Reference years for latest data available in 2010 (PISA: 2006, LFS data 2009)

3

5 (old) education benchmarks: Evolution since 2000

Progress towards meeting the 5 benchmarks (EU average)

-80-70-60-50-40-30-20-10

0102030405060708090

100110120130140150160170180190200210220

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Year

2010 b

en

ch

mark

s =

100

MST graduates

Adult lifelong lifelong learning

Early school leaversUpper secondary

Low achievers in reading

progress required

(above 0 = performance improving, below: worsening)

Only one of 5 benchmarks reached (MST graduates)

Low achievers: decline in performance

5 (old) education benchmarks: Progress in Estonia

5 old benchmarks

Benchmark EU EU Estonia Estonia

2010 2000 latest 2000 latest

Low achievers reading, %

-20 (to 17.0) 21.3 24.1

(+13.1)

- 13.6

Early school leavers, %

10 17.6 14.9(2009: 14.4)

15.1 14.0 (2009: 13.9)

Upper secondary, %

85 76.6 78.5(2009: 78.6)

79.0 82.2(2009: 82.3)

MST graduates (% growth)

+15 Female share

2000/2007

30.7/31.9

Growth 2000-2007

33.6

Female share 2000/2007

35.7/38.7

Growth 2000-2007

79.8

Lifelong learning, %

12.5 8.5 (2003) 9.5(2009: 9.2)

6.7 (2003) 9.8 (2009:10.5)

Council Conclusion of May 2009 on new benchmarks

5 Reference levels of European performance (‘European benchmarks’) Based on existing ones- Low achievers in basic skills (in reading, maths and science, max. 15% - Adult lifelong learning participation: 15% (previously: 12.5%)- Early school leavers (10%, same as before)New- Pre-primary participation: 95% of children between 4 years old and the age for starting compulsory education (before 90% target for 4 year olds)-Tertiary level attainment at least: 40% of age group 30-34 (instead of 45%)

Commission to work further on following areas- Employability ( submit proposal by end 2010)- Mobility (submit proposal by end 2010) - Language learning (submit proposal by end 2012)

5 new education benchmarks: Evolution since 2000

Pre-primary (EU: 85.6%/ 90.7%, EE: 87.0%/93.6%): good progress

Tertiary: good progress (EU: 22.4%/31.1%, EE: 30.8%/34.1%)

Early school leavers: on track

Low achievers and adult lifelong learning: decline in performance

Low achievers: in maths Estonia in 2006 at 12.1%, science 7.7%

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

EU benchmarks 2020, Evolution 2000-2009

Low achievers in reading

Pre-primary

Tertiary attainment

Adult lifelong learning

Early school leavers

progress required

7

Europe 2020 Strategy

75 % of the population aged 20-64 should be employed.

3% of the EU's GDP should be invested in R&D.

The "20/20/20" climate/energy targets should be met.

Commission Communication: The share of early school leavers (18-24) should be under 10% and at least 40% of 30-34 year olds should have tertiary attainment.

European Council Conclusions: quantitative targets in these areas to be set in June 2010

20 million less people should be at risk of poverty.

Education among the 5 quantitative targets

8

Early school leavers

Continuous progress in reducing share of early school leavers

However, reaching 10% goal still ambitious (EE 2020 goal: 9.5%)

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

EU average

% of early school leavers (18-24) in EU

EU 2020 benchmark

Early school leavers

6 countries already below the 2020 10% target.

Lowest levels (< 6%) : Poland, Slovenia, Czech Republic

Highest levels (> 30%): Malta, Portugal, Spain

Estonia: 2008: 14.0%, 2009: 13.9%

CroatiaPoland

SloveniaCzech Republic

SlovakiaLithuania

FinlandAustria

SwedenIreland

NetherlandsDenmarkHungary

GermanyFrance

BelgiumLuxembourg

CyprusEstonia

BulgariaGreeceEU-27

LatviaRomania

United KingdomNorway

MKItaly

IcelandSpain

PortugalMalta

TurkeyLiechtenstein

17.0

15.9

14.9

14.8

13.7

13.4

11.8

11.7

11.5

11.3

7.4

5.6

5.1

5.0

(:)

31.9

15.5

14.8

12.0

11.8

9.8

24.4

17.0

14.0

11.4

6.0

3.7

11.1

10.1

19.7

(:)

46.6

39.0

35.4

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Benchmark 2010 + 2020

10

Early school leavers

High early school leaving rates of certain socio-demographic

Early school leaving rate of migrants (27%) twice as high as for nationals

Rate for males 4 percentage points higher than for females

Natives Migrants

11

Tertiary attainment

Continuous progress of tertiary attainment since 2000 in the EU Tertiary attainment of 30-34 year olds 2000: 22%, 2008: 31%, 2009:32% 30-34 year olds in 2020 are 20-24 year old today

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

38

40

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

EU benchmark

Tertairy attainment of 30-34 year olds

12

Tertiary attainment

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

EU USA Japan

However, tertiary attainment rates of young adults in the EU (31%) are still low compared to the US (40%) and Japan (50%).

Share of population aged 25-34 with tertiary education

Tertiary attainment

Wide range of results between Member States.

8 Member states already above 40% target

Highest performance (> 45%) Cyprus, Denmark, Ireland, Finland

Lowest performance: Czech republic, Slovakia, Romania (but strong progress).

Estonia 2008 at 34.1%, in 2009 already at 35.9% (EE national benchmark: 40%)

Cyprus

Denmark

NorwayIrelandFinland

BelgiumSwedenFrance

NetherlandsLithuania

LuxembourgSpain

United KingdomIceland EstoniaEU-27

SloveniaPoland

GermanyBulgaria

LatviaGreece

HungaryAustria

PortugalMalta

ItalyCroatia

RomaniaSlovakia

Czech RepublicMK

TurkeyLiechtenstein

21.0

22.4

25.6

27.0

27.1

29.7

30.9

31.1

34.1

38.3

39.7

39.8

39.9

42.0

42.9

46.1

46.2

46.3

15.4

(:)

(:)

(:)

18.5

41.3

40.2

47.1

45.7

39.8

27.7

21.6

16.0

22.2

19.2

15.8

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Be

nch

ma

rk 20

20

Thank you for your attention !

The Commission Progress report with many statistical data and information on composite indicators (including on lifelong learning)

is available on the website of DG Education & Culture

http://ec.europa.eu/education/lifelong-learning-policy/doc/report09/report_en.pdf