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DG AGRI DASHBOARD: CEREALS

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG JRC, DG AGRI, DG TAXUD), European Central Bank, IGC, ICE, The Baltic Exchange, CME, MATIF, France Agrimer

Last update: 24.05.2018P

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EU (milling) & US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days CME US maize & soybeans futures - 60 days Monthly avg: currency - oil - freight

€/t $/t €/t $/t €/t $/t

US Gulf (SRW) 196 230 10% 6% 23% 28%

US Gulf (HRW) 217 254 11% 6% 21% 26%

EU Rouen (grade 1) 176 206 5% 0% 5% 10%

CA St Lawrence (CWAD) n.q. n.q. - - - -

EU Port-la-Nouvelle n.q. n.q. - - - -

Black sea (feed) 175 205 -2% -6% 22% 28%

EU Rouen (feed) 176 206 2% -2% 17% 23%

US Gulf (3YC) 165 193 4% 0% 14% 20%

EU Bordeaux 173 202 4% 0% 1% 6%

soybeans US Gulf (2Y) 346 405 3% -2% 6% 11%

maize

23 May 2018 m/m variation y/y variationExport prices FOB

durum

wheat

wheat

barley

130

145

160

175

190

205

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

€/t

Euronext milling wheat futures

Daily Volume

SEP'19: 183

MAR'18: 185

SEP'18: 179

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

50

to

ns)

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

175

180

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1050

1200

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

CME Maize futures

Daily volume

JUL'19: 174

DEC'18: 168

JUL'18: 161

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

12

7 t

on

s)

191

173

179

140

150

160

170

180

190

200

May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18

€/t Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Rouen Black Sea

163

171

169

125

135

145

155

165

175

185


€/t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Bordeaux Black Sea

2088

1054739

355

0

1000

2000

3000

cereals maize wheat soybeans

World production (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 (est) 2017/18 (f'cast) 2018/19 (proj.)

306

142

64 61

0

100

200

300

400

cereals wheat maize barley

EU production (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (est) 2018/19 (f'cast)

560

262257

40

0

200

400

600

800


World stocks (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 (est) 2017/18 (f'cast) 2018/19 (proj.)

47

15 21

7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


EU stocks (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (est) 2018/19 (f'cast)

77

40

50

60

70

80


Brent Crude Oil $/barrel

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

JUL'18: 195

DEC'18: 209

JUL'19: 220

Daily volume

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6 t

on

s)

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

420

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

Chicago soybeans futures

Daily volume

JUL'18: 382

AUG'18: 383

SEP'18: 384

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6to

ns)

1407

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800


Freight (Baltic dry index)

1.19

1.03

1.07

1.11

1.15

1.19

1.23

1.27


Exchange rate € vs $ $

Wheat imports

Coarse grain imports

Wheat exports

Coarse grain exports

Trade balance

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Marketing Year (July-June)

Cereals: 17 marketing years trade evolution (EU28 countries)

2016/17 25.1

0

10

20

30

0

300

600

900

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY

-m

illi

on

to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d to

nn

es

w eek

Common wheat & flour - exports

2017/18 18.7Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)

2016/17

8.4

0

4

8

12

0

200

400

600

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

san

d to

nn

es

w eek

Barley, malt included - exports

2017/18 7.5Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)

2016/17

13.1

0

4

8

12

16

0

200

400

600

800

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d t

on

nes

w eek

Maize - imports

2017/18 15.4Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)

\\net1.cec.eu.int\AGRI\C\4\C5 DATA\5. CEREALES\DASHBOARD\Dashboard_Cereals_Blue.xlsx - 'Dashboard (2)'!W64

back to DashboardPageNext

€/t $/t €/t $/t €/t $/t

US Gulf (SRW) 196 230 10% 6% 23% 28%

US Gulf (HRW) 217 254 11% 6% 21% 26%

EU Rouen (grade 1) 176 206 5% 0% 5% 10%

CA St Lawrence (CWAD) n.q. n.q. - - - -

EU Port-la-Nouvelle n.q. n.q. - - - -

Black sea (feed) 175 205 -2% -6% 22% 28%

EU Rouen (feed) 176 206 2% -2% 17% 23%

US Gulf (3YC) 165 193 4% 0% 14% 20%

EU Bordeaux 173 202 4% 0% 1% 6%

soybeans US Gulf (2Y) 346 405 3% -2% 6% 11%

maize

23 May 2018 m/m variation y/y variationExport prices FOB

durum

wheat

wheat

barley

Sources: International Grains Council, France Agrimer

//net1.cec.eu.int/AGRI/C/4/C5 DATA/5. CEREALES/DASHBOARD/Dashboard_Cereals_Blue.xlsx'Dashboard (2)'!W64
























back to DashboardPrevious

PageNext

191

173

179

140

150

160

170

180

190

200


€/t Wheat - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Rouen Black Sea

Source: International Grains Council


























PageNext

163

171

169

125

135

145

155

165

175

185


€/t Maize - monthly avg. export prices (fob)

US Gulf EU Bordeaux Black Sea

Sources: International Grains Council, France Agrimer


























PageNext

2088

1054739

355

0

1000

2000

3000


World production (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 (est) 2017/18 (f'cast) 2018/19 (proj.)Source: International Grains Council


























PageNext

306

142

64 61

0

100

200

300

400


EU production (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (est) 2018/19 (f'cast)Source: European Commission – DG AGRI


























PageNext

560

262257

40

0

200

400

600

800


World stocks (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 (est) 2017/18 (f'cast) 2018/19 (proj.)Source: International Grains Council


























PageNext

47

15 21

7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60


EU stocks (million tonnes)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 (est) 2018/19 (f'cast)Source: European Commission – DG AGRI


























PageNext

130

145

160

175

190

205

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

€/t

Euronext milling wheat futures

Daily Volume

SEP'19: 183

MAR'18: 185

SEP'18: 179

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

50

to

ns)

150

160

170

180

190

200

210

220

230

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

Chicago (CME) SRW futures

JUL'18: 195

DEC'18: 209

JUL'19: 220

Daily volume

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6 t

on

s)

EU (milling) & US (SRW) wheat futures - 60 days

Source: MATIF Source: CME


























PageNext

140

145

150

155

160

165

170

175

180

0

150

300

450

600

750

900

1050

1200

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

CME Maize futures

Daily volume

JUL'19: 174

DEC'18: 168

JUL'18: 161

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

12

7 t

on

s)

350

360

370

380

390

400

410

420

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

1100

24/03 03/04 13/04 23/04 03/05 13/05 23/05

$/t

Chicago soybeans futures

Daily volume

JUL'18: 382

AUG'18: 383

SEP'18: 384

Dai

ly t

rad

ed v

olu

me

(10

00

co

ntr

acts

of

13

6to

ns)

CME US maize & soybeans futures - 60 days

Source: CME Source: CME


























PageNext

77

40

50

60

70

80


Brent Crude Oil $/barrel

1407

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800


Freight (Baltic dry index)

Monthly avg: currency - oil - freight

Source: Intercontinental Exchange

Source: European Central Bank Source: The Baltic Exchange

1.19

1.03

1.07

1.11

1.15

1.19

1.23

1.27


Exchange rate € vs $ $


























PageNext

Source: European Commission – DG JRC


























PageNext

Source: European Commission – DG TAXUD

2016/17 25.1

0

10

20

30

0

300

600

900

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY

-m

illi

on

to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

sa

nd

to

nn

es

w eek

Common wheat & flour - exports

2017/18 18.7Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























PageNext


2016/17

8.4

0

4

8

12

0

200

400

600

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

We

ek

ly v

olu

me

-th

ou

san

d to

nn

es

w eek

Barley, malt included - exports

2017/18 7.5Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























PageNext


2016/17

13.1

0

4

8

12

16

0

200

400

600

800

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52

To

tal

MY -

mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Week

ly v

olu

me -

tho

usan

d t

on

nes

w eek

Maize - imports

2017/18 15.4Mt

Weeklyvolume

(current MY)


























Page

Source: Eurostat

Wheat imports

Coarse grain imports

Wheat exports

Coarse grain exports

Trade balance

30

20

10

0

10

20

30

40

50

Mil

lio

n to

nn

es

Marketing Year (July-June)

Cereals: 17 marketing years trade evolution (EU28 countries)






















