Zep Inc. Investor Presentation -...

35
Zep Inc. Investor Presentation February, 2015

Transcript of Zep Inc. Investor Presentation -...

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Zep Inc. Investor Presentation

February, 2015

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Safe Harbor

This presentation and our commentary contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Specifically, forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements relating to our future economic performance, business prospects, revenue, income, and financial condition; and statements preceded by, followed by, or that include the words “plans,“ expects," "believes," "intends," "will," "anticipates," “confident,” “strategy,” “continuing,” “to be,” “opportunity,” “well-positioned,” “excited about” and similar terms that relate to future events, performance, or our results. Examples of forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements about our sales pipeline gaining momentum, statements about favorable demographic trends continuing, statements about having mitigated risks present previously, statements regarding our expectation to experience quarter-to-quarter gross profit margin inconsistencies from mix and promotions, statements regarding the next phase of investments in training, sales management & additional sales reps, statements about achieving full manufacturing capability by the end of the fiscal second quarter, statements regarding the continued residual effects of lost customers due to the fire on sales, statements about our increasing optimism with respect to our fiscal 2015 net sales expectation, statements regarding John K. Morgan’s 10b5-1 plan, the timing of its execution and the resulting beneficial ownership, statements regarding possible benefits on raw materials purchases as a result of changing oil prices, and the timing of those benefits, statements about our intent to reduce overall inventories levels and utilize proceeds to further reduce net debt, and statements regarding low single digit revenue growth, gross profit margin of 46-48%, higher selling, distribution and administrative expenses, $6-7 million of interest expense, total capital expenditures of $25-$30 million and a tax rate of 36-38% for fiscal 2015. Our forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, expectations, or outcomes to differ materially from our historical experience as well as management's present expectations or projections. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to:

§  the ongoing impact of the fire that occurred at our aerosol manufacturing facility on May 23, 2014 on our financial results, operations and prospects; §  general economic conditions; §  the cost or availability of raw materials; §  competition in the markets we serve; §  our ability to realize anticipated benefits from strategic planning initiatives and the timing of the benefits of such actions; §  market demand and pricing for our products and/or services; §  our ability to maintain our customer relationships; and §  litigation and other contingent liabilities, such as environmental matters.

A variety of other risks and uncertainties could cause our actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in our forward-looking statements. A number of those risks are discussed in Part I, "Item 1A. Risk Factors" of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2014. Management believes these forward-looking statements are reasonable; however, undue reliance should not be placed on any forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations. Further, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and management undertakes no obligation to update publicly any of them in light of new information or future events. Reconciliations of non-GAAP measures referenced in this presentation to their nearest GAAP measure are included in the earnings press release available on the Zep Inc. website and at the end of this presentation.

2 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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•  Zep  Inc.  sells  a  wide-­‐variety  of  highly-­‐effec9ve,  consumable  packaged  chemicals  that  help  professionals  maintain,  clean  &  protect  their  assets,  facili9es  and  environment.  

•  We  market  our  products  primarily  to  customers  in  the  Transporta9on,  Industrial/MRO  and    Jan/San  &  Ins9tu9onal  markets.  

•  Our  mul9-­‐channel  sales  capability  is  valued  by  our  customers  and  enhanced  by  an  integrated  supply  chain  and  shared  services  structure,  providing  an  addi9onal  compe99ve  advantage.    

Zep Inc. Value Proposition

3 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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4

•  Largest  selec9on  of  high-­‐efficacy  formulas  bundled  with  applica9on  exper9se  

• Pro-­‐focused  line  of  jan/san  &  plumbing  products  for  retail  

• Broad  product  line  of  specific  use  chemicals  for  distribu9on  

Pro-­‐Focused  High  Efficacy  Formulas  for  Any  Applica9on  

• Pro  and  DIY  auto  care  products  for  retail  

• Finest  house  of  brands  in  Do-­‐it-­‐for-­‐me  auto  care  

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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Transporta)on  $4.8B  40%    

     Industrial  /  MRO  $2.7B  23%  &  Other        

Jan  /  San  $11.6B  37%  &  Ins)tu)onal    

$19B North American Market Opportunity

5

Target  Strategic  Markets   Drivers  

•  GDP  •  Employment  •  Trends  in  Acceptable    

   Prac9ces  

•  GDP  •  New  Vehicle  Sales  •  Miles  Driven  •  Average  Vehicle  Age  •  Weather  

•  GDP  •  Industrial  Produc9on  •  Manufacturing  

Employment  

Examples  %  Zep  Sales  

Vehicle  Maint.  Wash  &  Polish,  Parts  Cleaners,  Degreasers,  Lubricants,    Fleet  Wash…  

Lubricants,  Penetrants,  Greases,  Parts  Washers,  Food  Processing  Cleaners/Sani9zers,  Metal  Working…  

Air,  hand  &  floor  care,  Cleaners,  Degreasers,  Carpet  Care,  Sani9zers  Disinfectants,  Laundry  Dispensing  Systems…  

60%+  of  Revenues  from  Transporta9on  &  Industrial/MRO  © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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85.0  

90.0  

95.0  

100.0  

105.0  

110.0  

14.0  

14.5  

15.0  

15.5  

16.0  

16.5  

17.0  

Season

ally  Adj.  U

.S.    

Indu

stria

l  Produ

c)on

 (Ind

ex)  

U.S.  G

DP  (T

rillio

ns)  

10.0  

11.0  

12.0  

13.0  

14.0  

15.0  

16.0  

17.0  

9.0  

9.5  

10.0  

10.5  

11.0  

11.5  

12.0  

12.5  

13.0  

U.S.  N

ew  Care  Sales  (MM)  

Vehicle  Ag

e  (years)  

Favorable Industry Trends

6

Transporta9on  U.S.  Vehicle  Sales  &  Vehicle  

Age  

Industrial/MRO  GDP  &  Industrial  Produc9on  

Source:  Ward's,  Polk   Source:  Federal  Reserve  Bank  of  St.  Louis    

Seasonally  Adj.  

Industrial  Produc)on  

U.S.  GDP  

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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Zep Inc. Life Cycle

7

Inves9ng  in  Growing  Business  Organically  

2007-­‐2008   2009-­‐2010   2010-­‐2013   2014-­‐2015   2015-­‐2016  

•  Amrep  •  Waterbury  •  Niagara  •  Washtronics  •  Hale  Group  •  Mykal  •  Ecolab  Vehicle    Care  

•  Upgraded  IT  •  Integrated  ZVC  •  Seiled  CA  legal    claims  

•  Align  sales  &    support  func9ons  

•  Product  line        ra9onaliza9on  

Spin   Improve  Business  

Acquire  Plakorms  ($265MM)  

Complexity  Reduc9on  

Drive  Organic  Growth  

•  Inves9ng  in  NASS  •  Invest  in  supply  chain  

•  Facili9es  •  Logis9cs  

•  Focus  on  strategic  end-­‐markets  

 

•  Reduced  break-­‐even  of  the  business  by  30%  

•  Rapidly  paid  down  inherited  debt  

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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Shifting Focus of Investment

§  Invested $265 million of capital in business for acquisitions to establish growth platforms §  Plakorms  have  grown  organically    §  Well  posi9oned  to  capitalize  on  favorable  market  demographics  

§  Operational capital spending elevated because of investments in

new in IT platforms

§  Diverted investment from North American Sales and Service business §  Rep count declines §  Sales declines

8 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

Reinvestment  in  NASS  Business  to  Accelerate  Organic  Growth  

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2015 Investment Implications

§  Financial Expectations: –  Expect low single digit growth in fiscal 2015 (fire offset by organic growth) –  Investments will result in higher expenses in fiscal 2015 –  Impacts to net income Term

§  Sales capacity, advertising & training Ongoing §  Supply chain & GPTW consulting F’15 §  GHS-related OSHA compliance F’15

§  Benefits: –  Generates strong cash flow and rapid debt reduction; shifting enterprise

value from debt holders to equity holders –  Measured by:

§  Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) §  Return on Net Assets (RONA)

9 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

• $5-6 million total impact

• Approximately ½ occurring in FY ‘15 only

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Long-Term Financial Objectives

1.  $1 billion in revenue within 5 years 2.  Target of 50 bps annualized EBITDA margin improvement 3.  11-13% annualized EPS improvement 4.  Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) in excess of cost of

capital

10 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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Growing Sales, Profitably

$501.0

$568.5

$646.0 $653.5 $689.6

$696.5

$400

$450

$500

$550

$600

$650

$700

$750

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

($ Millions)

Strong Revenue Growth 6.8% CAGR Adj. EBITDA Growth 18% CAGR

$27.2

$46.1 $53.9 $53.7

$59.6 $63.1

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

EBITDA    Margin:  5.4%  8.1%  8.4%  8.2%  8.6%  9.1%  

($ Millions)

* Revenue and EBITDA excluding the effect of acquisitions based on company estimates.

Consistent  Revenue  and  Adj.  EBITDA  Growth  

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Growing EPS and ROIC

12

$0.5

2

$0.9

5

$0.9

7

$0.9

8

$0.9

1

$0.8

1

$0.

52

$1.

00

$1.

14

$1.

16

$1.

23

$1.

18

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Adj. EPS

Adj. Cash EPS

Fully diluted Earnings per Share, as adjusted

8.0% 9.3% 9.6%

8.8%

6.1% 5.4%

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is calculated as after tax operating profit divided by Invested Capital.

Adj. EPS Growth 9.3% CAGR ROIC Impacted by Acquisitions

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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Strong/Consistent Cash Flow Generation

1) 2011 Free Cash Flow includes $0.9 million proceeds from the sale of property, plant, and equipment 2) Free Cash Flow is defined as Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities less Capital Expenditures plus Proceeds from Sale of Property Plant and Equipment.

13

$ Millions

•  $23 million average annual free cash flow during the past six years

Strong FCF Important Characteristic of Zep Model

Capex $7.5 $9.8 $8.9

•  Fund normal operations •  Fund dividend •  Pay down long-term debt

Use-of-Cash Strategies

Noteworthy FCF Generation While Investing in Strategic

Growth Initiatives

$22.9 $24.2 $29.0

$4.3

$38.0

$19.9

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14

$18.4

SAP Capital

spend and increased working capital

$12.1 $9.6

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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3.30x 3.06x 3.13x

4.50x

1Q FY14 4Q FY14 1Q FY15 Covenant

$204.7 $192.6 $198.5

1Q FY14 4Q FY14 1Q FY15

2.08x 2.22x 2.66x

1.25x

1Q FY14 4Q FY14 1Q FY15 Covenant

Fixed Charge

Coverage Ratio*

Debt to EBITDA*

Net Debt Position ($MM)

Covenants

Debt Position

14 * As defined by Zep Inc.’s Credit Facility

§  Credit facility refinanced August 2014 with favorable terms and greater financial flexibility

§  Temporarily higher inventories increased net debt position in Q1

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

Inventory  Reduc9ons  in  2H  FY15  Will  Generate  Cash  Flow  

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Conclusion

§  Business continuity effort – regain full aerosol production capacity §  Continuing momentum of recent sales wins due to disciplined sales

pipeline process §  Excited about investments to organically grow NASS, distribution

and retail businesses §  Distractions subsiding, momentum building and early results are

positively influencing our determination

15 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

Exci9ng  to  be  Inves9ng  in  Organic  Growth  Again!  

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Appendix

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-­‐3.1%   -­‐2.3%  

4.8%  2.8%   3.8%  

-­‐4.1%  

-­‐1.7%  

4.3%  

-­‐3.4%  

0.6%  

2.5%   2.1%  

-­‐8.0%  

-­‐6.0%  

-­‐4.0%  

-­‐2.0%  

0.0%  

2.0%  

4.0%  

6.0%  

8.0%  

10.0%  

12.0%  

Q1  '14   Q2  '14   Q3  '14   Q4  '14   Q1  '15  

Raw  Material  Sales  

Fire-­‐Related  Lost  Sales  

Selling  Days  

Demand  Shaping  

Acquired  

Organic  

Reported  change  in  sales  

Quarterly Composition of Revenue

17 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

Organic  Revenue  Growth  Returned  in  the  2nd  Half  of  Fiscal  2014  

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Q1 ’15 Chg. Revenue $168.3 +2.1% Gross margin 46.8% (130bps) Operating profit $7.4 +$0.1 Adj. EBITDA $13.4 ($0.6)

Fiscal 1st Quarter 2015 Summary

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§  Results broadly in-line with our expectations §  Gross profit margin,

operating profit and EBITDA reflected §  Evolving business mix

§  Investments in organic growth initiatives

§  Expect quarter-to-quarter inconsistencies from mix and promotions

Results  Broadly  In-­‐Line  with  Our  Expecta9ons  

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Decreases  

0%  10%  20%  30%  40%  50%  60%  70%  80%  90%  100%  

•  Distribu9on  •  Generalist  Direct  Sales  

•  Zep  Vehicle  Care  

 

 

1st Quarter ‘15 Revenue Drivers

19 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

•  Auto/OEM  

•  Auto/Amermarket  

•  Home  Improvement  

•  Oil  &  Gas  

•  Food  Processing  

 

Increases  

Transporta9on  

Jan/San  &  Ins9tu9onal  

Industrial/  MRO  &    Other  

39%  

24%  

37%  

63%  

%  of  Q1  2015  North  American  Revenue  

2.0%  

1.9%  

4.8%  

Q1  Growth  

Growth  in  All  Three  Major  End-­‐Markets  

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20

1st Quarter ‘15 Revenue Drivers

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

 $164.9    

 $173.2      $170.3    

 $168.3    

 $7.5      $0.8      $2.9      $2.0    

$160  

$165  

$170  

$175  

$180  ($  m

illions)  

(                )  (                )  

3.3%  Growth   2.1%  

Growth  

5.0%  Growth  

Record  First  Quarter  Revenues  

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 $12.7    

 $14.1      $0.8    

 $0.6    

$10.0  

$12.0  

$14.0  

$16.0  

($  m

illions)  

21

EBITDA & Adjusted EBITDA

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

 $12.2    

 $13.4      $1.3    

$10.0  

$12.0  

$14.0  

$16.0  

($  m

illions)  

Q1 FY14 Q1 FY15

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1st Qtr. EPS, Adj. EPS & Adj. Cash EPS

© 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

 $0.14      $0.17    

 $0.26    

 $0.03    

 $0.09    

$0.00  

$0.05  

$0.10  

$0.15  

$0.20  

$0.25  

$0.30  

 2014  2013    Diluted  EPS  $0.14  $0.14  Adjustments  $0.03  $0.03  Adjusted        diluted  EPS  $0.17  $0.17  Amor9za9on  $0.09  $0.09  Adj.  Cash  EPS  $0.26  $0.26  

 Three  Months  Ended    November  30,  

Q1  FY  15  Adj.  Cash  EPS  of  $0.26  

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2015 Investment Detail & Guidance

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Fiscal 2015 Investments

§  Transformative Set of Policy Changes and Investments in North American Sales and Service Business

§  Compensation and policy changes effective January 1, 2015 §  Reward growth §  Simplify ordering, freight, order status & equipment

§  Sales management, recruiting & training §  Increase sales management §  Develop skills & drive accountability §  Increased focus on vertical markets

§  Increase Zep rep new hiring §  Stabilize rep count in fiscal 2015

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Fiscal 2015 Investments (continued)

§  Investments in Zep Vehicle Care, Distribution & Retail Businesses

§  Sales capacity §  Zep Automotive §  Jan/San & MRO distribution

§  Marketing & advertising §  Zep Commercial

§  Zep Automotive

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Fiscal 2015 Guidance

Item Expectation §  Net Sales Low Single Digit Growth §  Gross profit margin 46-48% §  Selling, distribution & admin. (16-18% variable) 41-43% §  Interest expense $6-$7 million §  Capital expenditures

§  Normal rate $10 million §  Restoration of aerosol capacity $15-20 million

§  Total $25-$30 million §  Tax Rate 36-38%

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Fire-Related Information

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Insurance Coverage

§  Casualty & business interruption $1.0MM deductible §  Damage to facility §  Increased costs to produce §  Profit on lost revenue

§  General liability $1.5MM deductible §  Damage to 3rd parties

§  Prepayments against claim §  Received $5MM in June

§  Received $11.9MM in September

§  Expect to file claims quarterly and a mismatch between spending and insurance settlements

§  Final resolution of claim not expected for at least a year 28 © 2015 Zep Inc. - All rights reserved.

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§  Business interruption insurance will cover lost profit on lost sales

§  Coverage period: §  Based on when existing aerosol facility should return to normal

operation §  Benefit from extended coverage for an additional 365 days

§  Quarterly financial impact: §  Potential to reduce reported profits for several quarters §  Once claim is approved, realize income for lost profits

Effect of Lost Revenue

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§  Higher manufacturing costs during the recovery period §  Presented net of insurance proceeds

§  Expect higher manufacturing costs and general costs to be offset by insurance recoveries in the same period

§  Coverage period: §  Based on when existing aerosol facility should return to normal

operation

Effect of Higher Costs

30

Incident–Related  Costs  Should  Have  Liile  or  No  Net  Effect    on  the  Gross  Margin  or  S,  D  &  A  Expense  Lines  

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Reconciliations

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Reconciliations

The unaudited consolidated financial statements presented in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States ("GAAP"), available as part of the Company’s earnings press

release available online at www.zepinc.com in our investor section under webcasts and presentations, are supplemented by a table that reconciles EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted earnings per diluted share,

adjusted cash earnings per diluted share, free cash flow and adjusted net sales, which are non-GAAP financial information that are referenced in this presentation, to the nearest GAAP measure. This non-GAAP financial information is provided to enhance the user's overall understanding of our financial performance. Specifically, management believes that EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted earnings per diluted share, adjusted cash earnings per diluted share, free cash flow and adjusted net sales may provide additional information with respect to our performance or ability to meet our future debt service obligations, capital

expenditures and working capital requirements. This non-GAAP financial information should be considered in addition to, and not as a substitute for, or superior to, results prepared in accordance with GAAP.

Moreover, this non-GAAP information may not be comparable to EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted earnings per diluted share adjusted cash earnings per diluted share, free cash flow or adjusted net sales reported by other companies because the items that affect net earnings that we exclude when calculating

these measures may differ from the items taken into consideration by other companies. .

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Reconciliations

Zep Inc. RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES

(Unaudited; in thousands; except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended November 30,

2014 2013 Net income $3,138 $3,097 Interest expense, net 1,796 2,311 Income tax provision 1,802 1,740 Depreciation and amortization 5,423 5,523 EBITDA $12,159 $12,671

Acquisition & integration costs $ - $614 Restructuring (71) - California legal matter 43 772 Margin on lost sales – fire related 1,291 - Adjusted EBITDA $13,422 $14,057

Adjusted EBITDA margin 7.8% 8.5%

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Reconciliations

Zep Inc. RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES

(Unaudited; in thousands; except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended November 30,

2014 2013 Diluted earnings per share $0.14 $0.14 Acquisition & integration costs, net of tax - 0.01 California legal matter, net of tax - 0.02 Margin on lost sales – fire related, net of tax 0.03 - Adjusted diluted earnings per share $0.17 $0.17 Amortization 0.09 0.09 Adjusted diluted cash earnings per share $0.26 $0.26

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Reconciliations

Zep Inc. RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES

(Unaudited; in thousands; except per share amounts)

Three Months Ended November 30,

2014 2013 Growth Rate

Net sales $168,290 $164,892 2.1% Fire-related lost sales 2,893 - Adjusted net sales, fire related $171,183 $164,892 3.8%

Three Months Ended November 30,

2014 2013 Growth Rate Net sales $168,290 $164,892 2.1% Foreign currency impact 1,994 - Adjusted net sales, constant currency $170,284 $164,892 3.3%

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