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Company Report Industry: Information Technology Madhu Babu ([email protected]) +91-22-66322300 Zensar Technologies Mix shift in favour of Digital could revive growth momentum

Transcript of Zensar Technologies Limited - s3.ap-south-1.amazonaws.com

Company Report Industry: Information Technology

Madhu Babu ([email protected]) +91-22-66322300

Zensar Technologies Mix shift in favour of Digital could revive growth momentum

January 08, 2018 2

Zensar Technologies

Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd. and/or its associates (the 'Firm') does and/or seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result investors should be aware that the Firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of the report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

Please refer to important disclosures and disclaimers at the end of the report

Contents Page No.

Signs of Stabilization ................................................................................................... 5

Investment Thesis ....................................................................................................... 7

Strong competencies in Digital to drive client stickiness and wins ................................................... 7

Focused approach with strength in Manufacturing and Retail ....................................................... 10

Large Deal Team replenished, focus could be on Horizontal led deals ........................................... 11

Focused strategy to drive growth momentum ................................................................................ 12

Strong expertise in Oracle offerings remains the key proposition .................................................. 14

Professional Access Acquisition strengthens Retail Vertical ........................................................... 15

Renewed Focus on IMS with a focused strategy ............................................................................. 16

Scope to tap business from Apax Group Companies....................................................................... 18

Strategic initiatives under the new leadership .......................................................................... 19

Can Client Concentration lead to Revenue Volatility? .................................................................... 19

Earnings and Financial Outlook ................................................................................ 21

EBIDTA Margins likely to stabilise at 13-14% by FY19 ..................................................................... 22

Acquisition Strategy aims at boosting capabilities .......................................................................... 24

Valuation ................................................................................................................... 25

Company Profile ....................................................................................................... 26

Brief profile of the company ............................................................................................................ 26

Zensar Technologies

Company Report January 08, 2018

Rating BUY

Price Rs868

Target Price Rs1,000

Implied Upside 15.2%

Sensex 34,154

Nifty 10,559

(Prices as on January 05, 2018)

Trading data

Market Cap. (Rs m) 39,060.0

Shares o/s (m) 45.0

3M Avg. Daily value (Rs m) 11.9

Major shareholders

Promoters 48.93%

Foreign 6.06%

Domestic Inst. 11.41%

Public & Other 33.60%

Stock Performance

(%) 1M 6M 12M

Absolute 3.8 7.7 (8.0)

Relative (0.3) (1.6) (35.0)

How we differ from Consensus

EPS (Rs) PL Cons. % Diff.

2019 65.4 66.3 (1.4)

2020 79.6 77.2 3.1

Price Performance (RIC: ZENT.BO, BB: ZENT IN)

Source: Bloomberg

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

Jan

/17

Mar

/17

May

/17

Jul/

17

Sep

/17

No

v/1

7

Jan

/18

(Rs)

Zensar, a mid-sized IT services vendor appears to be on a transformational path

with increased investments in Digital services (~37% of total revenues) and

Platform-led offerings (Vinci, Zen Analytica). The midsized IT vendor (revenues at

USD460mn, Headcount at ~8400 employees) enjoys strong positioning in key

verticals which include Manufacturing, Retail, CPG and Insurance. Among service-

lines, Zensar has robust offerings in Oracle competency and Digital services. Zensar

also appears to be re-positioning its IMS and Business Process management service

lines through focus on Automation led delivery to drive new deal wins.

Zensar has replenished its senior management under the leadership of Mr

Sandeep Kishore (CEO effective January 2016). This includes strengthening its large

deals team as well as US sales function with several senior recruits over the past

one year. The initiatives are visible with Zensar seeing a strong improvement in

deal pipeline as well as steady TCV wins.

We estimate 3.7/10.3/11% USD revenue growth for FY18E/FY19E/FY20E (vs 1.5%

USD revenue growth delivered in FY17). Increasing proportion of revenues from the

Digital SBU coupled with deal wins in select horizontals could revive revenue

growth trajectory. While FY17/FY18E have seen weaker margins, we expect a

gradual recovery on the margin front. We estimate EBITDA margin at

11.6/13.3/14.3% for FY18E/FY19E/FY20E (vs 12.6% in FY17). Revival in growth

could drive SG&A leverage and remain the key driver for margin expansion over

FY18-FY20E. Our EPS estimates are Rs52/65/80/sh for FY18/FY19E/FY20E.

Valuations remain reasonable with stock trading at 13.2x FY19E EPS (20% discount

to Mindtree) and we see room for re-rating over a two-year period. We Initiate

coverage with “BUY” and TP of Rs1000/sh (13.5x Sep19E EPS).

Contd...4 Key financials (Y/e March) 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

Revenues (Rs m) 30,604 30,749 34,133 37,291

Growth (%) 3.7 0.5 11.0 9.3

EBITDA (Rs m) 3,867 3,563 4,527 5,317

PAT (Rs m) 2,349 2,352 2,946 3,588

EPS (Rs) 52.3 52.3 65.4 79.6

Growth (%) (19.3) (0.1) 25.0 21.8

Net DPS (Rs) 11.9 11.9 13.2 15.1

Profitability & Valuation 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

EBITDA margin (%) 12.6 11.6 13.3 14.3

RoE (%) 17.2 15.1 16.8 17.9

RoCE (%) 15.5 14.1 15.6 16.8

EV / sales (x) 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9

EV / EBITDA (x) 9.3 9.6 7.1 5.5

PE (x) 16.6 16.6 13.3 10.9

P / BV (x) 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.8

Net dividend yield (%) 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7

Source: Company Data; PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 4

Strong positioning in focused competencies: Zensar has a strong positioning in

Oracle competency with over 3100 consultants in this practice. Zensar

competencies span across the Oracle Suite which include ATG, Oracle

Commerce Cloud, Oracle SalesCloud, Oracle R12, Oracle EPM etc. Company has

been named by Gartner in the magic quadrant for the Oracle competency.

Among verticals, Manufacturing is the largest vertical for Zensar (contributes to

49% of total revenues as on 2QFY18). Zensar has strong relationships with

marquee clients with specialized focus on Hitech and Discrete Manufacturing

sub-segments. Zensar is also seeing strong traction in Retail and CPG vertical

(29% of revenues as on Q2FY18) led by focus on e-commerce and digital

transformation initiatives of Retailers. We expect Zensar’s focused vertical

approach to enable garner higher client wallet share.

Robust offering in Digital Services: Digital accounts to 37% of total revenues for

Zensar as on Q2FY18. With Digital, Zensar includes SMAC (Big Data, Analytics,

and Cloud) and Digital Commerce offerings. Zensar enjoys strong competence

across the sub-segments of Digital. Management guided that it is currently selling

at least one Digital service to ~60 clients (of the total client base of 187 Clients).

Apart from Digital, Zensar is also using Platform and solution-led approach to drive

new client wins. Zensar’s “Vinci” Platform has enabled it to win new deals in IMS.

Company is using similar strategy to chase Robotic Process Automation deals in

Business process management. Our view is that Zensar is trying to use the

Automation to chase new deal wins in IMS and BPM services (Similar strategy has

yielded good results at Hexaware).

Focus on large deal wins: Zensar has appointed Mr Sandeep Kishore as the

MD&CEO effective January 2016. He was the erstwhile head of HCL Tech’s

global Life sciences, Healthcare and the Public services verticals. Under the

leadership of Mr Sandeep, Zensar has constituted a large deal team with an aim

to chase deals with Total Contract Value (TCV) of US$25mn and above. Mr

Sandeep has also beefed up the senior management team over the past one

year with new recruits which include Mr Sanjeev Malik, Mr Ullas Nambiar and

Mr Malay Verma. Deal pipeline has also shown significant acceleration over the

past four quarters. We expect improved conversion by FY19E and Zensar’s

revenue growth to converge with peers in the sector by FY19E.

Opportunity to tap Apax portfolio companies: In October 2015, Private equity

(PE) firm Apax Partners acquired a 23% stake in Zensar from Electra Private

Equity Plc at Rs834/sh (Rs8.59bn paid for this stake). We believe that Apax’s

strong parentage with over US$40bn portfolio companies could enable Zensar

tap business opportunities in these clients. We believe that under the leadership

of Mr Sandeep Kishore, Zensar has been re-shaping its business portfolio and

improving the quality of client engagements and deal wins. We believe worst is

behind and see scope for turnaround in revenue growth and margin from FY19E

onwards. Valuations are reasonable at 13.2x FY19E EPS. Initiate with BUY and TP

of Rs1000/sh (13.5x Sep19E EPS).

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 5

Signs of Stabilization

Zensar held a strong promise among midsized IT peers after Mr Sandeep Kishore

took over as the CEO, effective January 2016. The results were visible with strong

improvement in mining of the top 20 accounts (up 8.2% CAGR over FY15-FY17),

aggressive investments in Platforms (Vinci, Zen Analytica), boost in Digital service

offerings (37% of revenues as on Q2FY18). Zensar has also shown strong new deal

wins and improved deal pipeline.

However, Zensar’s consolidated results could not reflect these initiatives with tepid

performance on both revenue growth (USD revenues grew at 0.2% CQGR over past

eight quarters) as well as EBITDA margins. We believe most of the weakness in

business performance was on account of pruning the tail clients as well as trimming

low margin business in the Infrastructure managed services business. Growth

initiatives under Mr Sandeep Kishore were more than negated by headwinds and

ramp-down of the low margin businesses. Hence, Zensar delivered tepid and volatile

performance over the past few quarters. However, we see signs of a turnaround.

Exhibit 1: Zensar’s Consolidated revenues (USD mn)

10

1.3

10

6.9

11

5.9

10

5.3

11

0.7

11

6.4

11

4.8

11

0.3

11

4.0 1

16

.0

11

7.5

11

1.8 1

14

.3 11

8.6

100.0

105.0

110.0

115.0

120.0

1Q

FY

15

2Q

FY

15

3Q

FY

15

4Q

FY

15

1Q

FY

16

2Q

FY

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3Q

FY

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4Q

FY

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1Q

FY

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2Q

FY

17

3Q

FY

17

4Q

FY

17

1Q

FY

18

2Q

FY

18

(US

$ m

n)

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 2: Zensar’s EBITDA margin (%) 1

3.6

% 15

.2%

14

.7% 1

5.4

%

15

.5%

15

.7%

15

.0%

12

.9% 14

.0% 14

.2%

13

.9%

9.4

% 10

.3% 1

1.6

%

9.0%

10.0%

11.0%

12.0%

13.0%

14.0%

15.0%

16.0%

17.0%

1Q

FY

15

2Q

FY

15

3Q

FY

15

4Q

FY

15

1Q

FY

16

2Q

FY

16

3Q

FY

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4Q

FY

16

1Q

FY

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2Q

FY

17

3Q

FY

17

4Q

FY

17

1Q

FY

18

2Q

FY

18

Source: Company Data, PL Research * Q4FY17 Adjusted EBITDA margin is 11%

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 6

Management indicated that pruning of the tail accounts has reached its fag end. Our

view is that the growth from new deal wins and traction in Digital would be able to

more than offset any leakage in traditional business from hereon. Hence, while FY18

could be a year of transition, FY19E could see a turnaround in performance. We

Initiate coverage with BUY.

Exhibit 3: Zensar’s Digital revenues v/s Legacy revenues (USD mn)

376331 322

54122

137

0

100

200

300

400

FY15 FY16 FY17

Legacy revenues Digital revenues

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 4: Zensar’s EBITDA and PAT (USD mn)

6467

59

4347

37

20

30

40

50

60

70

FY15 FY16 FY17

EBITDA PAT

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 7

Investment Thesis

Strong competencies in Digital to drive client stickiness and wins

Digital currently accounts for 36.8% of total revenues for Zensar as on Q2FY18

(27.8% of revenues as on Q2FY17). Digital Segment’s USD revenues have grown at

7% CQGR over the past five quarters aided by organic growth as well as

acquisitions (v/s overall company revenues which grew by 0.8% CQGR). For FY17,

revenues from Digital have grown at 11.6% YoY. However, company’s consolidated

USD revenues grew modestly by 1.5% YoY owing to pruning of non-profitable

business.

Zensar includes SMAC (Social Media, Analytics, Mobility, and Cloud), IoT, Security

and Digital Commerce in its Digital segment revenues. As per the management,

Digital Commerce accounts to ~65% of the Digital Revenues, while the remaining

35% of revenues from Digital would include SMAC, IoT and Cloud. Within Digital

Commerce, Zensar has a strong competency in Oracle e-Commerce and Magneto

(which includes B2C or B2B). Zensar is rated by Gartner as the Digital Commerce

Service Provider for 2016. Within the sub-segments of the SMAC, Zensar has focus in

seven areas which include Cloud, Customer Design Experience, Big Data analytics,

Digital Marketing Experience, Cyber security, Commerce, Industrial IoT.

Exhibit 5: Zensar’s digital offerings across competencies

Competency Nature Of Services

Customer/ Design Experience UX, CXM, AR, Wearables, Proprietary Experience Platform

Cloud SaaS, IaaS, PaaS, Cloud Migration and Integration

Big Data and Analytics Data Wrangling, Analytics and Visualization

Digital Marketing Services Web , Data , Marketing and Social apps

Commerce Omni Channel Experience

Cyber security Threat and Vulnerability Management

IoT/Industrial Internet Extensive Domain Expertise in Discrete Management

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar has a strong competency in targeting and addressing the Chief Marketing

Officer (CMO) spends in Digital.

“So if you look at our definition of digital we include SMAC; IOT and security that is

what we cover apart from Commerce and if you would have noticed large part of

digital revenues is around Commerce, which it is digital commerce whether it is B2C

or B2B and bulk of our revenue growth is largely driven around commerce.” Zensar’s

CEO in Q4FY16 concall.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 8

Zensar addresses the full stack of the Digital value chain which include Digital agility

(front-end, analytics, customer experience, and user interface), Digital cross-over

(application modernization, infrastructure management and cloud migration, cyber

security, commerce interface) as well as core IT systems. Zensar aims to tap the

existing top 20 clients (56% of total revenues), which currently have massive

investment in digital initiatives in these three buckets. Management guided that 80%

of the top 50 clients have been covered with at least one digital solution.

Exhibit 6: Deals won by Zensar in Digital Services

Client Nature of Deal

US based Clothing and accessories retailer Development of a global unified commerce platform

America’s leading flower and gift e-tailor Mobile Control and Automation development

America’s leading fashion retailer Digital Commerce rollout using Next Gen Service oriented front end architecture

A South African Fund Administration Robotic Process Automation using Zen Bots

American Departmental Store Implementation of Next Generation Commerce Platform

Source: Company Data, PL Research

“We are investing heavily on client partners as well as delivery leadership onsite just

to make sure that in any of the digital transformation conversations, which comes up

we are right there working with the customer to make sure that we do not miss any

heartbeat” Zensar CEO on mining clients for the Digital

Zensar has also strengthened its Digital Practice with acquisitions. Zensar acquired

FoolProof in November 2016 with an intent to further strengthen CX/UX practice.

FoolProof is a UK headquartered company working in the Customer Experience/

User Experience space. The company provides consulting and design services to

global corporations in defining and managing user experience for their products and

services. FP’s Experience Design capabilities in the UK enable Zensar to provide end-

to-end Digital services for the CMO organizations.

Exhibit 7: User-Interface designed by Zensar

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 9

Full End-to-End offering for e-Commerce transformation: Zensar enjoys strong

competency in the B2C commerce. While Oracle ATG expertise has aided in

Transaction Processing for e-Commerce, Foolproof’s acquisition has aided in Front

End User Interface design. Zensar has also acquired Keystone to address the

Fulfilment services. Hence, Zensar is now positioned to address the complete value

chain in Retail eCommerce. Zensar expects its competency in Digital to enable a key

factor for winning deals. Zensar also aims to win more integrated deals in which

revenues from cross-over Integration opportunities would be large.

Exhibit 8: Zensar’s ability to tap the entire Digital Value Chain

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Apart from Service offerings, Zensar also followed the Platform-centric approach to

boost its Digital Portfolio. Over the past one and half year, Zensar has substantially

invested in Automation Platforms (Vinci), Digital solutions ( Zen Analytica) as well as

RPA solutions. We believe that these initiatives will aid non-linearity into the

revenue model and also boost revenue productivity.

Exhibit 9: Digital platforms of Zensar Technologies

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Traditional Stack

l Custom applications and Testing

l Enterprise applications

l Infrastructure management services

Cross-Over Stack

l Next Gen End User Engagements

l Legacy Modernization

l Hybrid IT

Digital Stack

l Artificial Intelligence

l Bots

l Augmented Reality

l Security

l Internet of Things

l Social Mobile, Commerce and Cloud

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 10

Focused approach with strength in Manufacturing and Retail

As with mid-sized IT vendors, Zensar has narrowed its focus to few key verticals

which include Manufacturing, Retail and Financial Services. With Manufacturing,

Zensar indicated that the sub-vertical break-up would be Hitech (60% of

manufacturing vertical revenues), Industrial (30% of revenues) and Automotive (10%

of revenues). The largest client accounts to 25% of the company’s total revenues and

falls under the Manufacturing Vertical (implies half of Manufacturing vertical

revenues is derived from one client). Zensar guided that Manufacturing vertical

revenues are predominantly from North American clients. Zensar also has B2B

platform-based offerings in the Manufacturing vertical (Shop floor to Top Floor). This

B2B platform uses IOT data and combines it with manufacturing systems and ERP to

produce customized dashboards for clients. Various solutions for Manufacturing

vertical include Zensar Lean Warehousing Solution, Smart Manufacturing, and Digital

Factory etc.

Zensar gets more than half its revenue from manufacturing and its expertise and

knowledge of the industry's priorities is evident in the service offerings available. We

find they are particularly strong in the supply chain domain and in the high tech

segments of manufacturing. -Bob Parker Group Vice President, Research IDC

Manufacturing and Retail Insights at IDC

Retail and Consumer Services has been the strongest growing vertical for Zensar

delivering 51% CAGR (FY13-FY17). This is led by robust traction for its e-Commerce

implementations as well as inorganic initiatives. Zensar continues to win slew of

deals in Retail over the past few quarters led by strong competency in Digital. Zensar

is focused in e-Commerce segment in Retail and hence is not impacted by the

challenges being faced in the traditional Retail Industry business.

Within BFSI vertical, Zensar’s also derives a significant revenue from South Africa.

Zensar is working on providing Robotic process automation solutions for clients in

Banking vertical in South Africa. With Insurance, Zensar is predominately focused on

US and UK. We believe that Zensar’s focus on BFSI in developed markets is limited

considering the late entry. Management indicated that it is looking for acquisitions

to boost its offering in BFS and Insurance vertical for the developed markets.

Exhibit 10: Zensar’s Revenue mix by vertical (%)

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 2QFY18

Manufacturing 67.4 64.1 60.2 53.8 52.6 48.7

Retail and Consumer Services 5.7 8.5 15.3 21.6 25.3 28.9

Financial Services 22.0 22.8 20.6 18.9 18.2 19.2

Emerging 4.9 4.6 3.8 5.7 3.8 3.2

Source: Company Data, PL Research* Acquisitions also aided in strong growth in Retail.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 11

We analyse the vertical-wise strengths of Zensar to analyse its positioning.

Exhibit 11: Vertical wise strengths of Zensar

Vertical Strength

Retails This is the vertical of strength owing to Zensar’s Competency in e-Commerce. Recent acquisitions have also strengthened this vertical. Most the new deal wins are being won in this vertical.

Manufacturing Half of this vertical’s revenues are derived from one account (which is also the largest client of Zensar). Zensar has select areas of competency in ERP with special focus of Hitech and Discrete Manufacturing clients.

Financial Services

Within this vertical, ~40% of revenues are derived from Africa (Zensar has four of the Top 5 South African Banks as its accounts). Within Developed Markets, Zensar is strong in Insurance with few accounts contributing to lion’s share of revenues. We believe that Zensar needs to do acquisitions to tap BFSI clients in developed markets.

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar’s strength in developed market BFSI is limited in our view. We believe

company is trying to penetrate this area predominantly through deals focused on

horizontals (Robotic process Automation and IMS).

Large Deal Team replenished, focus could be on Horizontal led deals

Zensar has revamped its Sales and Marketing function with several senior recruits

over the past one year. Our view is that Zensar is well placed in the Retail vertical

owing to broad-based competency and offerings in e-commerce portfolio. However,

Zensar‘s domain strength and client access could remain limited in BFSI vertical in

the developed markets. Hence, the company is chasing deals by focussing on

Horizontals (RPA in BPO and Automation in IMS).

Exhibit 12: New hires by Zensar Technologies

Person Hired Role in Zensar Earlier Role Date of joining

Mr Sanjeev Malik Sr Vice President – Large Deals Team Head Wipro Consulting January 2017

Mr Ullas Nambiar Head of Zensar Digital Labs Myntra, EMC November 2016

Mr Malay Verma Executive Vice president – Head of US Sales Predominantly with Wipro as the Business Head December 2016

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 13: Digital v/s Traditional service wins

Digital Services wins Traditional Services wins

Digital transformation for Europe Auto insurance Mobile solutions for American Multinational finance services corporation

App cloud migration & management for leading US Hi-tech manufacturing company

Application management deal with top UK department store

Omni channel implementation for leading US clothing and accessories retailer

Application development and support for leading industrial manufacturing company is US

RPA for South Africa’s leading financial services company Oracle deal with Japanese Multinational IT equipment & services company

Digital testing services for leading online/Mobile gaining companies

IMS cloud deal with leading Airlines in US

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 12

Focused strategy to drive growth momentum

A lion’s share of Zensar’s revenues is derived from developed markets (North

America). Among Emerging market Geographies, Zensar has a strong footprint in

South Africa in which it has a strong base among financial services customers. South

Africa has been a growth engine and Zensar has top 5 Banking, Insurance companies

in South Africa as its customers. The company is also foraying into other areas which

include mining, retail, manufacturing and government in Africa.

Among service lines, Zensar offerings spans across Applications, IMS and Digital

Enterprise. IMS revenues have seen a moderation in proportion as the company has

been reducing its low margin business in this portfolio.

Exhibit 14: Zensar’s focused vertical and geographic approach

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 15: Zensar’s Revenue mix by Geography (%)

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 2QFY18

US 72.0 75.0 76.1 77.1 74.5 72.0

Europe 9.0 11.0 10.2 9.9 11.5 14.2

Africa 9.0 9.0 8.2 8.1 8.7 9.9

ROW 10.0 5.0 5.5 4.8 5.2 3.9

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 16: Zensar’s Revenue mix by Service line (%)

FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 2QFY18

Application Management Services 66.8 76.0 72.7 76.0 77.8 83.1

Infrastructure Management Services(a+b) 33.5 24.0 27.3 24.0 22.2 16.9

a) Maintenance 15.3 13.0 10.5 8.3 7.2 5.6

b) Services 18.2 11.0 16.8 15.7 15.0 11.3

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 13

Within its focused verticals, Zensar also develops IP-based solutions which offer

scope for non-linearity for the company.

Exhibit 17: Zensar solutions and IP-led offerings

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar is well rated by consulting firms like Zinnov and Everest in its chosen area of

expertise. Some of the leading accolades of the company include as mentioned

below.

Exhibit 18: Zensar’s Ratings by consulting firms

Consulting Firm Rating for Zensar

Gartner A Challenger in Gartner's Magic Quadrant, for Oracle Application Services, North America

Gartner A Niche Player in Gartner’s Magic Quadrant for Managed Mobility Services, Worldwide

Gartner A Niche Player in Gartner’s Magic Quadrant for Data Center Outsourcing and Infrastructure

Forrester A Strong Performer in Forrester Wave - Application Outsourcing Capabilities Of Midsize Offshore Vendors, 2016

Zinnov A Niche and Established service provider in Zinnov Zones - Digital in Retail 2016

Everest An Aspirant in Everest Group’s Insurance AO PEAK Matrix 2016

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 19: Offerings by Zensar

Client Offering

Leading luxury fashion retailer Commerce solution from Zensar generated a 91% increase in online revenue and 60% increase in order inflow.

A hi-tech and Manufacturing Company Hybrid IT solution comprising the development of Hybrid infrastructure across premises and public Cloud generated a 40% reduction in IT operation costs.

A leading Online Retailer Customer Experience solution for helped support 10mn online transactions during the peak season

A leading Insurance Company Automation solution generated a 60% reduction in test cycles through automation and improving multi-country time-to-market by 30%.

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 14

Strong expertise in Oracle offerings remains the key proposition

Zensar enjoys successful and long standing technology partnerships globally with

industry leading OEMs like Oracle, Microsoft, SAP and SFDC. Zensar’s Oracle

expertise and Platinum partnership enables the company to implement industry

focused solutions with visible transformation in the client's business. Zensar’s

strength in the Oracle technology space is enhanced with over 3100 experts. Zensar

derives 33% of revenues from the Oracle Ecosystem and company has complete

Portfolio of services in the Oracle Suite. Zensar is making a strong bet on Oracle

Cloud SaaS and PaaS solutions.

“We are Oracle Platinum Partners and have more than 3100 trained Oracle

consultants across global locations. Zensar's Oracle practice delivers Oracle

enterprise and digital commerce solutions to retailers and manufacturers globally.

Our range of Oracle expertise encompasses the entire range of Oracle offerings

and solutions. We have more than 900 successful implementations, including

upgrades and global rollouts” Zensar CEO in concall

Exhibit 20: Zensar positioned in Magic Quadrant for Oracle

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 15

Apart from Oracle, Zensar continues to demonstrate industry knowledge in SAP and

has a Gold Partnership status. Zensar has successful strides in the area of SAP

deployments and company has preconfigured solutions certified by SAP for select

verticals like Dairy, Pharma, Chemical, Retail and Life Sciences. Zensar has over 400

experienced SAP professionals globally. Zensar has complete SAP lifecycle service

capabilities across the portfolio of SAP solutions covering Applications, Analytics and

Mobility capabilities.

Professional Access Acquisition strengthens Retail Vertical

In August 2014, Zensar Technologies acquired Professional Access, a US based e-

commerce Company which is one of the largest Oracle ATG and Endeca partners in

the world. Professional Access worked with several large and mid-sized retailers in

these geographies to build and implement their e-Commerce strategies. Professional

Access had ~800 employees across USA and India. At the time of acquisition,

Professional access had revenues of US$56mn for FY16 and delivered a 21% CAGR

(FY14-FY16). The acquisition has further strengthened Zensar’s dominant position in

Oracle e-Commerce space. Professional access’ acquisition has strengthened

Zensar’s Retail vertical as well as Oracle-Based offerings. e-Commerce Sales are

growing at 2x the growth of Global Retail Sales. ATG is the e-commerce platform of

choice for Retail vertical with the highest market share of 20% among online

retailers. However, Oracle has now discontinued its support for ATG and hence,

Zensar is now focused on Oracle Commerce Cloud. Professional access’ acquisition

was also one of the drivers which enabled Zensar deliver strong growth in its Retail

vertical over FY14-FY17.

Exhibit 21: Professional access’ acquisition strengthens Zensar Oracle Portfolio

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 16

Exhibit 22: Oracle’s portfolio offerings strengthened with PA Acquisition

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Renewed Focus on IMS with a focused strategy

Zensar’s IMS business has declined over FY13-FY17 owing to ramp-down of low

margin products business as well as scale-down of MVS business. IMS currently

accounts to 17% of total revenues as on Q2FY18 (v/s 23% as on Q2FY17). Within

IMS, Zensar has two segments (Services and MVS). The company has built a new

team to chase large deals wins in IMS vertical.

Zensar has scaled the IMS practice with the acquisition of Akibia in November 2010.

Zensar’s acquisition of Akibia strengthened its position in the fast growing

infrastructure management and information security space by combining Zensar’s

Remote Infrastructure Management (RIM) offshore services for global clients with

Akibia’s United States and European data center practice. At the time of acquisition,

Akibia had annual revenues of ~US$100mn. However, Zensar has gradually pruned

its low margin product business in Akibia. This led to a weak performance in the IMS

business over FY13-FY17.

The IMS business has two major components:

Multi-Vendor Support (MVS) (~5.6% of total revenues as on Q2FY18): MVS

allows organizations to consolidate their hardware support and maintenance

under one service contract with one provider, irrespective of the OEM for

hardware. Zensar is one of the top MVS providers worldwide and only one of

three headquartered in India who renders this service, making it a one-stop

shop for all infrastructure management needs. We see only modest growth in

this segment over FY18-FY20E.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 17

Exhibit 23: MVS business of Zensar Technologies

Source: Company Data, PL Research

IMS Services (Accounts for 11.3% of overall revenues): Zensar is well-

positioned to deliver to its clients a wider range of infrastructure services.

Zensar indicated that it is seeing strong traction in Cloud migration projects

within the IMS segment.

Exhibit 24: Proportion of revenues from IMS

IMS as a % of Total Revenues FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 2QFY18

Infrastructure Management Services (a+b) 33.5 24.0 27.3 24.0 22.2 16.9

a) Maintenance (MVS) 15.3 13.0 10.5 8.3 7.2 5.6

b) Services 18.2 11.0 16.8 15.7 15.0 11.3

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 25: Constant currency growth by services (YoY %)

CC growth by Service offerings (YoY % ) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17

Infrastructure Management Services (4) 10 (6) (7.4) (6.1)

Maintenance (MVS) (4) NMF (9) (17.2) 11.6

Services (2) NMF (4) (1.3) (3.2)

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Focus on Automation in IMS: Zensar has launched Vinci, a platform powered by

automation utilizing machine learning to bring together the operational and

transformational activities. Zensar indicated that Enterprises will be able to leverage

the solution to impact substantial reduction in the OPEX cost.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 18

“We launched Vinci in Q3 with clear differentiating factors through Autonomics and

hyper orchestration layer for cloud as a proposition. We have taken it to our existing

customers just to make sure that we first test it out with them. We are currently

deploying it with half a dozen of our existing customers in the US. We have of course

also now taken this as a wedge and lead opening the door with all the net new

accounts.

The business benefits that we have seen in the existing customer is that it actually

automates to the extent of close to 45% to 50% on the Level 1, Level 2 of the

standard operating environment in a traditional infrastructure data center run”

Zensar CEO in Q3FY17 concall.

Apart from IMS, Zensar Technologies has its focus on automation initiatives to drive

growth in the BPM service line. Zensar has implemented Bots for the Business

Process service in select clients which include Silica Software Solutions, a leading

technology and service provider in the Financial Services industry in South Africa.

Zensar has won a few deals in RPA which include Two Sisters in UK in which they are

automating one back-end financial processes. We believe that renewed thrust on

IMS and BPM with Automation and new Sales team will enable the company gain

scale in both these service lines.

Exhibit 26: Zensar Bots drive operational efficiency

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Scope to tap business from Apax Group Companies

Apax Partners is an independent global partnership focused solely on long-term

investment in growth companies. The funds invest in four sectors: Tech & Telco,

Services, Healthcare, and Consumer. The portfolio companies of APAX employed in

excess of 200,000 people and generated combined revenues of US$29bn. We note

that Apax Group has a successful track record in Tech investments which include

IGate. The current Technology portfolio of Apax Includes Duck Creek Technologies,

Global Logic, ThoughtWorks, Evry ASA, ECI Software Solution, Sophos and Zensar

Technologies. We believe that strong PE backing is also a positive for Zensar as it can

also enable tap business from Apax Portfolio companies.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 19

Strategic initiatives under the new leadership

Launched a large deal team: A new large-deal team has been formed to focus

exclusively on US$25mn TCV deals. Company has hired over four senior

resources to drive this large deal team. Apart from this, Zensar has also hired

various executives to strengthen the Digital Business as well as Sales function.

Exhibit 27: New hires by Zensar

Person Hired Role in Zensar Earlier Role Date of joining

Mr Sanjeev Malik Sr Vice President – Large Deals Team Head Wipro Consulting January 2017

Mr Ullas Nambiar Head of Zensar Digital Labs Myntra, EMC November 2016

Mr Malay Verma Executive Vice president – Head of US Sales Predominantly with Wipro as the Business Head December 2016

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Twelve focus areas for growth: Zensar has identified 12 high growth focus areas

which include big data & analytics, cloud (SaaS and PaaS), user experience and

customer experience (UX and CX), enterprise mobility, commerce (B2C and

B2B), Internet of Things and analytics- driven business process management.

Launch of Internal Communication Platform: Apart from focus on customers,

Zensar launched apps for in-house efficiency. Zenverse (a communication

platform) allows the company head to have a direct conversation with any

employee.

3*1 Sales Model: The management has identified 32 key accounts identified

for driving top-line growth with focus on multiservice deals. For these

accounts, Zensar has a 3-in-a-box model for each account. This indicates

each account would have a Sales Manager, a Delivery Manager and a Digital

Evangelist.

Can Client Concentration lead to Revenue Volatility?

Zensar derives 25% of total revenues from the top account (A leading US networking

equipment major). Zensar works on both Traditional and new Digital Initiatives in

this account. This account has been a long standing customer for Zensar over the

past 17 years. Management indicated that the entire B2B sales of this client are run

on the platform maintained by Zensar.

“So, in our top account, it has never declined, it has not declined this year as well, so

there is a single-digit growth in that account. The big difference there is a change in

portfolio, we are moving from the traditional legacy business to doing a lot more

digital. And therefore, there has been a shift in our onsite offshore ratio in our

account. So when you look at the overall Zensar onsite offshore ratio there has been

some shift in the top account as well. But that account continues to grow and our

proportion of business there is moving favourably towards digital rather than

traditional” Zensar CEO in Q4FY17 concall.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 20

Exhibit 28: Proportion of Revenues from top clients

35%38% 37%

39% 38% 38%35% 35%

43%46% 46%

49%45% 46%

43% 44%

52%56% 56%

59%56% 56%

55%56%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

Revenues From Top 5 Clients Revenues from Top 10 Clients

Revenues from Top 20 Clients

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar derives 44% of revenues from top 10 clients and 56% of revenues from top

20 Clients. Management guided that 75% of the company’s customers belong to

Global 1000 and 70% of Zensar revenues have been derived from customers with 10

+ years of engagement. Zensar also indicated that 50% of relationships with clients

comprise of multi-services.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 21

Earnings and Financial Outlook

Zensar has seen phenomenal growth in FY11/FY12 aided by acquisition of Akibia.

Acquisition of Professional Access (August 2014) aided higher growth in FY15.

Professional Access strengthened the ecommerce and Retail vertical with Oracle

ATG competency and aided strong scale up. Zensar’s USD revenues have grown at

4.3% CAGR (FY13-FY17). Traction in Retail and Emerging markets like Africa has

aided growth over this period. However, softness in IMS was the main drag which

led to overall tepid revenues.

Zensar’s revenue growth remained tepid for FY17 owing to pruning of tail accounts

and moderation in IMS business (led by trimming low margin business). Company’s

revenues grew by 1.5% in USD and 3.5% in constant currency in FY17 (Organic USD

revenues would have been flat in FY17). We expect USD revenues to grow at 7%

CAGR (FY17-FY19E) with strong revenue momentum expected in FY19E. We model

Zensar’s USD revenues to grow at 3.7/10.3/11% for FY18/FY19E/FY20E.

Exhibit 29: USD Revenues (USD mn) and revenue growth (%) (RHS)

134 196 195 201

251

372 389 383 430 454 460 477

527 584

38.6%

45.5%

-0.3%3.0%

24.9%

48.2%

4.6%

-1.5%

12.3%

5.5%1.5%

3.7%10.3%

10.9%

-10.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

FY07

FY08

FY09

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

FY18

E

FY19

E

FY20

E

(US$

mn)

USD Revenues (USD mn) Growth (RHS)

Source: Company Data, PL Research, Zensar’ growth in FY07, FY08, FY11 and FY12 were aided by inorganic initiatives.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 22

EBIDTA Margins likely to stabilise at 13-14% by FY19

Zensar’s margins have been relatively lower than midcap peers. Zensar’s EBITDA

margin stood at 12.6% for FY17 which is below peers like Hexaware/NIIT Tech

(17.0/16% respectively). Higher onsite effort and weaker revenue growth could be

the reason for lower margins. We believe that pick-up in growth and improving mix

shift of business can aid margin expansion over FY19/FY20E. We model Zensar’s

EBITDA margin at 11.6/13.3/14.3% for FY18/FY19E (v/s 12.6% in FY17). Improving

quality of business (lower proportion from low margin IMS business) would also be a

margin driver for the company.

Exhibit 30: EBITDA Margins and Average Rupee Dollar rate

17.8%

14.6%13.9%14.1%

15.3%14.7%

14.9%

12.6%11.6%

13.3%14.3%

40.0

45.0

50.0

55.0

60.0

65.0

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

20.0%

FY10

FY11

FY12

FY13

FY14

FY15

FY16

FY17

FY18

E

FY19

E

FY20

E

EBITDA Margins Average rate (USD vs INR)

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 31: Quarterly EBITDA Margins and average rupee dollar rate

15.2%

14.7%15.4%15.5%

15.7%15.0%

12.9%14.0%14.2%13.9%

9.4%10.3%

11.6%

58.0

60.0

62.0

64.0

66.0

68.0

70.0

9.0%

11.0%

13.0%

15.0%

17.0%

2Q

FY

15

3Q

FY

15

4Q

FY

15

1Q

FY

16

2Q

FY

16

3Q

FY

16

4Q

FY

16

1Q

FY

17

2Q

FY

17

3Q

FY

17

4Q

FY

17

1Q

FY

18

2Q

FY

18

EBITDA Margins Average Exchange rate

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Most of the midcap IT companies have been suffering on the margin trajectory and

Zensar is no exception. However, recovery in growth and pruning of low margin

business should aid turnaround in margins for Zensar in FY19E.

Exhibit 32: EBITDA margin trajectory of mid-sized IT vendors

2QFY15 3QFY15 4QFY15 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

Average Rate ( USD v/s INR) 61.0 62.1 62.09 63.6 65.6 66.0 67.5 67.05 66.87 67.7 66.3 64.4 64.5

EBIDTA Margin (%)

Mindtree 19.8 20.5 19.5 17.6 18.5 17.7 17.0 14.7 12.5 13.4 14.2 11.1 11.6

Persistent 20.6 20.1 20.2 19.4 18.7 18.8 15.9 15.1 15.7 15.9 16.3 14.3 15.2

Hexaware 18.0 19.9 18.0 18.2 19.2 16.0 15.4 16.1 18.2 17.8 17.5 17.5 18.3

Cyient 16.1 16.3 12.3 12.7 15.1 14.1 13.0 13.2 13.9 13.2 13.3 12.8 14.3

Zensar 15.2 14.7 15.4 15.5 15.7 15.0 12.9 14.0 14.2 13.9 9.4 10.3 11.6

Mphasis* 14.3 14.5 14.6 14.0 14.7 14.0 15.5 15.7 15.2 14.4 14.0 12.2* 13.2

NIIT Tech* 12.5 13.0 14.6 15.5 17.2 17.9 18.3 14.4 15.0 15.2 15.7 13.5 14.7

Source: Company Data, PL Research * We presented adjusted EBIDTA margins of Mphasis and NIIT Tech as both these companies include hedge gains in topline.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 23

Zensar has high revenue per reported employee which is much higher than peers.

This is owing to the IMS Product business (Akibia portfolio) which is predominantly

onsite revenues. Zensar is also seeing higher traction in Digital Services which is

leading to mix shift in favour of onsite. We believe gradual shift in favour of offshore

could drive margins for the company.

Exhibit 33: Metrics of Mid-sized IT vendors

USD Revenue for FY18E (mn) Closing Headcount at end of

Q2FY18 Revenues per Reported

Employee per year (USD) Percentage of Revenues from

Onsite as on Q2FY18 (%)

KPIT Tech 563 11,946 47,099 55.1

Mindtree 837 16,910 49,497 57.6

Hexaware 600 13,488 44,484 65.4

Cyient 595 13,568 43,853 59.3

Zensar Technologies 479 8,414 56,929 66.0

Persistent Systems 481 9,246 51,992 NA

Source: Company Data, PL Research* Revenue per reported employee is calculated using FY18 annual revenues by 2QFY18 headcount

Exhibit 34: Onsite employees as a % total employees for Zensar

20.9%

18.9% 18.9%

19.4%

18.1%

18.6%

18.4%

18.6%

18.5%

18.9%

19.8%

21.1%21.5%

17.0%

18.0%

19.0%

20.0%

21.0%

22.0%

2Q

FY

15

3Q

FY

15

4Q

FY

15

1Q

FY

16

2Q

FY

16

3Q

FY

16

4Q

FY

16

1Q

FY

17

2Q

FY

17

3Q

FY

17

4Q

FY

17

1Q

FY

18

2Q

FY

18

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 35: Revenue by Onsite delivery centers for Zensar (%)

67.0%

67.0%

65.0%

65.0%

63.0%

66.0%

63.7%

68.8%

66.2%

66.5%

66%

63%63%

60.0%

62.0%

64.0%

66.0%

68.0%

70.0%2

QF

Y1

5

3Q

FY

15

4Q

FY

15

1Q

FY

16

2Q

FY

16

3Q

FY

16

4Q

FY

16

1Q

FY

17

2Q

FY

17

3Q

FY

17

4Q

FY

17

1Q

FY

18

2Q

FY

18

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 24

Acquisition Strategy aims at boosting capabilities

Zensar acquisition strategy over the past few quarters were aimed at boosting the

Digital and vertical specific competencies. Both Keystone and FoolProof’s

acquisitions were aimed at strengthening the Digital capabilities and boosting

Zensar’s competence in the e-Commerce value. We believe that company might

continue to target acquisition in BFSI vertical in the developed markets to make

inroads into the vertical.

Exhibit 36: Acquisitions have aided in building competencies

Target Rationale Amount Spent Revenues of Target at time of acquisition (Annual)

Year of acquisition

KeyStone Strengthen eCommerce offering in Retail Vertical

USD20mn USD12.7mn March 2017

FoolProof Strengthen User interface NA USD12mn November 2016

Professional Access Strengthen Oracle ATG practice USD34mn USD38mn Aug-14

Akibia Strengthen IMS vertical USD66mn USD100mn Dec-10

Zensar Thought Digital Enhanced Oracle capabilities and added 120 experienced people

USD28mn USD27mn Feb-07

Zensar OBT Global Augment SAP capabilities (400 strong team of SAP professionals)

NA NA Dec-05

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 25

Valuation

We expect Zensar’s USD revenues to grow by 8.2% CAGR (FY17-20E). Improved deal

win rate under Mr Sandeep Kishore, continued traction in Retail & CPG vertical as

well as new deal wins on Horizontals (Robotic BPO and IMS) would be the key

growth drivers. We model EBITDA margin expansion to 11.6/13.3/14.3% for

FY18/FY19E/FY20E (v/s 12.6% for FY17). Margin expansion would be the key driver

for earnings growth and we model 15% CAGR over FY17-FY20E. Stock currently

trades at 13.2x FY19E EPS which is at 20% discount to Mindtree. Net cash on the

balance sheet stands at Rs3100mn (Rs 70/sh which implies 8% of Mcap). Initiate

coverage with BUY.

Exhibit 37: Zensar’s one-year forward P/E

8

11

14

17

20

23

De

c-1

4

Ma

r-1

5

Jun

-15

Se

p-1

5

De

c-1

5

Ma

r-1

6

Jun

-16

Se

p-1

6

De

c-1

6

Ma

r-1

7

Jun

-17

Se

p-1

7

De

c-1

7

P/E Mean Mean + Std Dev Mean - Std Dev

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 38: Zensar v/s Mindtree discount/premium

-70.0%-60.0%-50.0%-40.0%-30.0%-20.0%-10.0%

0.0%10.0%20.0%30.0%

De

c/1

3

Ap

r/1

4

Au

g/1

4

De

c/1

4

Ap

r/1

5

Au

g/1

5

De

c/1

5

Ap

r/1

6

Au

g/1

6

De

c/1

6

Ap

r/1

7

Au

g/1

7

De

c/1

7

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 26

Company Profile

Brief profile of the company

Zensar is a leading digital solutions and technology services company that specializes

in partnering with global organizations across industries on their Digital

Transformation journey. The company has a complete technology services portfolio

which includes Applications, Infrastructure, Digital and Industry specific solutions

Lineage. Zensar is a part of the US$3bn RPG Enterprises and the US$40bn APAX

portfolio of companies. The company derives 75% of revenue from Global 1000

companies and 70% revenue from customers with 10+ years of engagement. Digital

business is 34% of Zensar’s revenue and has shown strong growth.

Exhibit 39: Business profile of the company

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 40: Geography mix of Revenues (%)

Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

US 77.0 77.7 74.9 75.1 74.4 73.8 74.4 72.0

Europe 10.0 10.5 10.5 9.9 12.0 13.8 13.8 14.2

Africa 7.0 7.2 8.0 8.6 9.3 9.0 9.5 9.9

ROW 6.0 4.7 6.6 6.4 4.3 3.5 2.4 3.9

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Revenues

Vertical Mix

Manufacturing: 48.7

Retail/CPG:28.9

BFSI : 19.2

Others : 3.2

Geography Mix

North America: 74.4

Europe : 13.8

Africa : 9.5

Rest of the world: 2.4

Key Competitors

TCS

Infosys

Wipro

HCL Tech

Headcount

8,414

Client concentration as on

Q2FY18

Top 5- 35.3

Top 10- 43.6

Top 20- 56.1

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 27

Exhibit 41: Vertical mix of Revenues (%)

Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

Manufacturing 52.0 53.7 54.0 51.8 51.8 52.8 48.7 48.7

Retail 21.0 23.8 24.0 25.7 25.2 26.4 28.3 28.9

Financial Services 20.0 18.0 18.0 18.1 19.4 17.4 18.8 19.2

Emerging 7.0 4.5 4.0 4.5 3.6 3.3 4.2 3.2

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 42: Services mix of Revenues (%)

Service Mix Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

Applications 74.0 76.5 77.2 76.7 76.2 81.4 81.5 83.1

IMS 26.0 23.5 22.8 23.3 23.8 18.6 18.5 16.9

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Exhibit 43: Client concentration

Client details Q3FY16 Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18

Top 5 Clients (% of total revenues) 35 38 37 39 38 38 35 35.3

Top 10 Clients ( % of total revenues) 43 46 46 49 45 46 43 43.6

1 mn dollar + 65 66 65 69 71 72 74 70

5 mn dollar + 4 5 6 6 6 7 7 8

10 mn dollar + 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4

20 mn dollar + 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2

Source: Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 28

Exhibit 44: Consolidated Model sheet of Zensar

FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E

USD Revenues 372 389 383 430 454 460 476 525 583

Growth (%) 48.2% 4.6% -1.5% 12.3% 5.5% 1.5% 3.7% 10.3% 11.0%

Organic Growth (%) 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.2% 2.6% 0.0% -1.5% 10.3% 11.0%

Average Rate 48 55 61 61 66 67 65 65 64

Revenues (INR mn) 17,942 21,288 23,350 26,558 29,519 30,604 30,749 34,133 37,291

Growth (%) 55.6% 18.6% 9.7% 13.7% 11.1% 3.7% 0.5% 11.0% 9.3%

EBIDTA 2,490 3,003 3,582 3,917 4,388 3,867 3,563 4,527 5,317

EBIT 2,156 2,671 3,199 3,501 3,737 3,381 2,872 3,827 4,590

PAT 1,587 1,745 2,375 2,646 2,897 2,349 2,352 2,946 3,588

EBIDTA Margin (%) 13.9% 14.1% 15.3% 14.7% 14.9% 12.6% 11.6% 13.3% 14.3%

EBIT Margin (%) 12.0% 12.5% 13.7% 13.2% 12.7% 11.0% 9.3% 11.2% 12.3%

PAT margin (%)( 8.8% 8.2% 10.2% 10.0% 9.8% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 9.6%

EPS 36.2 39.3 53.4 59.3 64.2 51.8 52.1 65.3 79.5

EPS growth 20.9% 8.8% 35.7% 11.1% 8.2% -19.3% 0.7% 25.3% 21.8%

Dividend Payout Ratio ( Including Tax) 19.4% 23.2% 20.6% 21.9% 20.8% 27.2% 27.6% 24.4% 23.0%

DPS 7 8 10 11 12 12 12 13 15

Dividend Yield(%) 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.8%

ROE(%) 31.1 26.8 28.4 25.2 25.0 17.2 15.1 16.8 17.9

ROCE(%) 20.4 22.0 23.8 23.2 20.4 15.3 12.2 14.7 15.8

EPS 36.2 39.3 53.4 59.3 64.2 51.8 52.1 65.3 79.5

EPS growth (%) 20.9% 8.8% 35.7% 11.1% 8.2% -19.3% 0.7% 25.3% 21.8%

P/E 23.8 21.7 14.6 14.4 13.4 16.6 16.5 13.2 10.8

EV/EBIDTA 14.3 12.0 9.8 9.3 8.2 9.3 9.6 7.1 5.5

Consolidated Balance Sheet (Rs mn)

Networth 5,759 7,289 9,455 11,570 12,690 14,779 16,484 18,711 21,476

Net Cash 364 511 1,984 1,925 2,630 4,412 5,784 7,464 9,296

Net cash per share 8 12 45 43 58 98 128 165 206

Net cash as a % of mcap 1.0% 1.4% 5.4% 5.2% 6.7% 11.2% 14.7% 19.0% 23.7%

Consolidated Cash flows (Rs mn)

Cash Flow from Operations 1,735 1,060 2,094 3,206 2,549 3,073 2,733 2,653 2,959

Capex+ Acquisition (266) (336) (332) (2,451) (427) (958) (600) (600) (900)

Free cash Flow 1,469 725 1,762 755 2,122 2,115 2,133 2,053 2,059

FCF/EBIDTA 59.0% 24.1% 49.2% 19.3% 48.3% 54.7% 59.9% 45.4% 38.7%

Source: x, Company Data, PL Research

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 29

Income Statement (Rs m)

Y/e March 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

Net Revenue 30,604 30,749 34,133 37,291

Software Dev. Exp. 21,737 22,025 24,145 26,008

Gross Profit 8,866 8,723 9,988 11,283

Raw material costs — — — —

Other Expenses 5,000 5,161 5,461 5,967

EBITDA 3,867 3,563 4,527 5,317

Depr. & Amortization 486 690 699 727

Net Interest 88 177 80 80

Other Income 193 616 400 460

Profit before Tax 3,486 3,311 4,147 4,970

Total Tax 1,102 946 1,161 1,342

Profit after Tax 2,384 2,366 2,986 3,628

Ex-Od items / Min. Int. 35 13 40 40

Adj. PAT 2,349 2,352 2,946 3,588

Avg. Shares O/S (m) 44.9 45.0 45.1 45.1

EPS (Rs.) 52.3 52.3 65.4 79.6

Cash Flow Abstract (Rs m)

Y/e March 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

C/F from Operations 3,073 2,733 2,653 2,959

C/F from Investing (1,157) (589) (540) (770)

C/F from Financing (501) (925) (899) (1,004)

Inc. / Dec. in Cash 1,415 1,219 1,214 1,185

Opening Cash 2,749 4,443 5,923 7,555

Closing Cash 4,163 5,662 7,137 8,739

Key Financial Metrics

Y/e March 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

Growth

Revenue (%) 3.7 0.5 11.0 9.3

EBITDA (%) (11.9) (7.9) 27.1 17.5

PAT (%) (18.9) 0.1 25.3 21.8

EPS (%) (19.3) (0.1) 25.0 21.8

Profitability

EBITDA Margin (%) 12.6 11.6 13.3 14.3

PAT Margin (%) 7.7 7.6 8.6 9.6

RoCE (%) 15.5 14.1 15.6 16.8

RoE (%) 17.2 15.1 16.8 17.9

Balance Sheet

Net Debt : Equity (0.1) (0.2) (0.3) (0.3)

Valuation

PER (x) 16.6 16.6 13.3 10.9

P / B (x) 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.8

EV / EBITDA (x) 9.6 10.0 7.6 6.1

EV / Sales (x) 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9

Earnings Quality

Eff. Tax Rate 31.6 28.6 28.0 27.0

Other Inc / PBT 5.5 18.6 9.6 9.3

Source: Company Data, PL Research.

Balance Sheet Abstract (Rs m)

Y/e March 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E

Shareholder's Funds 14,705 16,410 18,637 21,401

Total Debt 1,305 1,205 1,105 1,105

Other Liabilities 817 807 797 787

Total Liabilities 16,828 18,422 20,540 23,294

Net Fixed Assets 1,341 1,251 1,151 1,325

Goodwill 3,166 3,166 3,166 3,166

Investments 2,427 2,527 2,627 2,727

Net Current Assets 9,067 10,652 12,769 15,150

Cash & Equivalents 3,291 4,463 5,943 7,574

Other Current Assets 9,974 10,319 11,161 12,104

Current Liabilities 4,199 4,130 4,336 4,529

Other Assets 827 827 827 827

Total Assets 16,828 18,422 20,540 23,294

Quarterly Financials (Rs m)

Y/e March Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18

Net Revenue 7,934 7,497 7,377 7,626

EBITDA 1,102 702 758 884

% of revenue 13.9 9.4 10.3 11.6

Depr. & Amortization 109 117 181 171

Net Interest 18 33 62 55

Other Income 170 (241) 192 194

Profit before Tax 1,145 311 707 852

Total Tax 334 90 227 228

Profit after Tax 810 217 471 640

Adj. PAT 810 217 471 640

Source: Company Data, PL Research.

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 30

Notes

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 31

Notes

Zensar Technologies

January 08, 2018 32

Prabhudas Lilladher Pvt. Ltd.

3rd Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Worli, Mumbai-400 018, India

Tel: (91 22) 6632 2222 Fax: (91 22) 6632 2209

Rating Distribution of Research Coverage PL’s Recommendation Nomenclature

42.5% 42.5%

15.0%

0.0%0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

BUY Accumulate Reduce Sell

% o

f To

tal C

ove

rage

BUY : Over 15% Outperformance to Sensex over 12-months

Accumulate : Outperformance to Sensex over 12-months

Reduce : Underperformance to Sensex over 12-months

Sell : Over 15% underperformance to Sensex over 12-months

Trading Buy : Over 10% absolute upside in 1-month

Trading Sell : Over 10% absolute decline in 1-month

Not Rated (NR) : No specific call on the stock

Under Review (UR) : Rating likely to change shortly

DISCLAIMER/DISCLOSURES

ANALYST CERTIFICATION

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