Wind power in Brazil New solutions for new ... - ABB Group · schedule & forecasts Plant condition...

Wind power in BrazilNew solutions for new challenges

Index

§ Global wind power market

§ Brazil wind power market

§ ABB in wind and in Brazil

§ Advanced control systems

§ Wind farm operation and maintenance

§ Integration of wind power to the grid

Month DD, Year | Slide 2© ABB Group

• 2015: 58 GW up from 47 GW in 2014• Growth drivers: End of PTC in US, FIT

revision in China• China alone 24 GW• US: almost 8 GW• Contraction in Europe onshore : 10 GW• India: 2.7 GW, growing• Offshore almost doubling 3 GW.• Brazil expected to install 2.6 GW

• Market to bottom in 2016 and 2017 dueto end of US PTC, FIT revision in CNand policy uncertainty in Europe.

• Market down in US, China, Germanyand offshore

• But rest of the markets are flat orgrowing

• Growth in new markets

Market to peak in 2015 followed by 2016 contractionChina and US move the needle

August 30, 2015 | Slide 3© ABB Group

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Data source: Make Q2 2015 wind power market outlook update

In 2020• Offshore contributes with almost 8GW• Importance of emerging markets: +5.3GW• China flattening around 20GW• US: cliff in 2017, after recovery up to 5GW in 2020• Mature onshore markets are flat except for US and

IN that grow• India: 3GW seems to be the new frontier to beat• Brazil: solid project backlog supported by future

auctions. 2 to 3 GW per annum.

Beyond 2020• Europe moving out of FIT towards more auctions• EU 2030 target: wind 27% of the generation mix• China NDRC long term vision 1000 GW by 2050• US: market to stabilize around grid parity, CPP act• Offshore to grow on cost reduction and China

2020: 61GW, up 13 GW compared to 2014Drivers: onshore grid parity, offshore. Policy changes.


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Data source: Make Q2 2015 wind power market outlook update

Brazil taking upper positions in global rankingWhile penetration in Brazilian energy matrix increases


§ With almost 6 GW, represent almost 5% of total generation capacity§ In 2015, wind has covered between 2 to 2.5% of the total electricity demand§ August 4: wind accounted for 4.8% of the country's total power supply

Brazil wind market outlook

Source: ABEEÓLICA/ ANEEL (12.2014)

Based on contracted capacity and forecast


§ Two key success factors

§ Auction model

§ BNDES financing

§ Demanding but working local contentrequirements

§ All in all, Brazil perceived as market withpositive outlook

§ Well known challenges

§ Infrastructure

§ Supply chain

§ Skilled resources

§ O&M experience

Brazil wind market carries on own characteristicsYoung market with specific wind conditions


§ The Proinfa time: early days, lowperformance

§ Wind potential: stronger, moreconstant, hotter and more humid

§ Capacity factor

§ 2014 average: 41%

§ Excluding Proinfa: 43%

§ Some projects have reachedabove 50% in some months,peaking even at 80%

Wind generation performance in BrazilA different potential compared to other regions


Main players on the Brazilian wind marketWind farm owners: mainly local players so farTurbine manufacturers: changing picture


Source: ABEEÓLICA / Brasil Energia Source: BNEF, H2 2014 Brazil Market Outlook.

ABB is key-enabler for the wind-industryABB helps customers along the complete value-chain to generate, monitor and controlpower from wind farms as well as to maintain and optimize their systems.


Generators

Hybrid generationmicrogrid

Power systemsconsulting

Plan Generate Collect Connect Control &Manage

Operate &Maintain

§ 30 years of experience§ ABB components in 40 GW§ Manufacturing and engineering wind

products in 80 locations§ More then 35.000 wind generators§ ABB market leader for low voltage

products, essential to safe operation§ ABB’s SafeWind is the slimmest MV

switchgear available on the market§ In 2014, ABB connected wind farms to

the grid in 14 countries§ Providing service in all the main wind

markets§ Strategic investment in ROMO and

Pentalum

ABB in WindSome Key Facts


§ Oil and dry transformers manufactured inBlumenau, with FINAME code

§ Medium voltage manufactured in Guarulhos,with FINAME code

§ Manufacturing of generators in Sorocaba withFINAME code

§ Manufacturing of converters in Sorocaba.Applied for FINAME code

§ Delivering to Gamesa, Alstom, Acciona,Vestas and Wobben.

§ Power transformers and high voltageswitchgear manufactured in Guarulhos

§ Consulting team in Guarulhos active in allmain grid connection projects.

§ Substations from Guarulhos. 3.3 GWconnected from south to northeast up to 500kV grid

§ Country service organization covering all ABBportfolio

ABB presence in Brazilian Wind MarketLocal content covering the whole electrical value chain


Advanced control systems

Maximize output of existing assetsWind automation solutions to address operations andmaintenance challenges


Dispersed assetsABB’s remote management system integrates all your assets


Plantautomation

system

Remote management system

Plantautomation

system

Plantautomation

system

Plantautomation

system

Service & Maintenance Grid operatorMarket operator

Plant Operations

Plant automation§ Data collection, storage and analysis§ Integrates plant, substation and all other

equipment into one system§ One point of control for the entire plant§ Ensures compliance to grid code

requirements

Remote portfolio management§ Effective operations§ Plant diagnostics§ Power management & optimization§ Production forecasting§ Condition monitoring

Operations

Effective operationsReal time monitoring, unified data model and ergonomic HMI


Fast data, big data Unified information model Efficient operations§ Real time monitoring of

assets, with refresh rate atHMI within a second

§ Flexible configuration ofdata retention policies

§ Enables big data due toscalability of the system onboth real time and historiandatabases

§ IEC based informationmodel for each plant type

§ Integration of generationand electrical systems intoa single information model

§ Efficient engineering andadditions of new plants intothe system

§ Ergonomic HMI to visualizeall relevant process datafrom the plant, gridconnection and weatherstations

§ Improved reaction timethrough structuring andvisualization of critical datain a high level displays

Operations

Security of supplyPredict and control the power to enable renewable energy trading


§ Minimizes risks associated withintermittency using power forecastingtools

§ Optimizes the power production withreal time control application atportfolio level

§ Extracts the entire value of yourassets and provides relevant servicesto market and grid operators

§ Facilitates renewable energy trading

Remote management center

Service & Maintenance Grid operator

Power andprice

forecasting

Powermanagement

Real time monitoring

Plant data, alarms,notifications

Setpoints for each plant

Market operator

PlantDiagnostics

ConditionMonitoring

Security of supply

Forecasting of power production

ForecastingReal timeSCADA data

Historian

Powermanagement

Maintenanceschedule

Numericalweather

predictions

Runs with most updated field data to minimize forecasting error


§ Intraday forecasts§ Days ahead forecasts

§ Forecasting module interacts with all otherrelevant parts of the system to ensureminimum forecasting error

§ Numerical weather predictions are outside ofour controls, everything else is

§ Provides intraday forecasts up to 6 hours, with10 min resolution

§ Provides 6 days ahead forecasts with hourlyresolution

Security of supply

Forecasting of power productionApplication example with Engie in Italy


§ Ventyx Nostradamus was trained on customer data

§ Good forecasting results were achieved and customer was happy with the application

Security of supply

Optimized power production at fleet level

PowerManagement

Plantconstraints

Plantrunningcosts

Plantschedule

&forecasts

Plantcondition

Plantavailability

Fleetobjective

Considers running costs and constraints of each plant, tightly integrateswith forecasting and condition monitoring


§ Optimizes power production across the entireportfolio using a real time and powerful optimizationsolver

§ Ensures best economic running point for the entirefleet due to the consideration of plant running costsand constraints

§ Provides intraday scheduling of the powerconsidering plant schedules, availability and forecastsof power production

§ Helps maintenance activities by “protecting” plantswith bad health conditions

§ Enables ancillary services provision and energytrading of renewable power due to the capability toenable virtual power plant functionality and make allplant work towards a common objective

§ Turns renewable/intermittent power into a flexibleproduction facility

Security of supply

Plant Automation System

Power managementThe plant control system has an important role to enable security of supply


Monitor§ Single point of monitoring and

control for the plant, integratesgeneration with electrical, powerwith automation

§ Monitors all plant equipment, fromturbines to meteorological stationsand substations IEDs

§ Ensures high standards forcybersecurity

Control§ Turns the plant into a flexible

generating facility§ Coordinates the controls of

turbines with other actuators in theplant (capacitor banks, tapchanger, STATCOMs & energystorage)

§ Provides grid code compliance atall times, all over

Wind Farm Control STATCOM GridStabilizationSubstationWT Controller Energy Storage

ABB Service Team Grid operatorOwner & operator

ModbusModbusIEC 104

OPCIEC 61850

ModbusIEC 104

Direct I/O

ModbusIEC 104

ModbusIEC 104

SCADAControl

Grid codecompliant

controllibraries

Webinterface

for remoteaccess

SCADAdatabase,includinghistorian

WindHMI

IEC 104 IEC 104Remote

connection

Power Management

Plant performance assessment

§ Performance assessment library using IEC61400-12 recommendations to calculateefficiency of the wind turbines

§ Calculates efficiency of wind turbines,wind farm and the entire fleet

§ Availability assessment library consideringvarious triggers for unavailability

§ Turbine components§ Collector grid§ Grid connection/substation§ Power grid (quality of it)§ Weather

Performance indicators


Remote management center

Service & Maintenance Grid operator

Power andprice

forecasting

Powermanagement

Real time monitoring

Plant data, alarms,notifications

Setpoints for each plant

Market operator

PlantDiagnostics

ConditionMonitoring

Availability Efficiency

How to improve efficiency of wind turbinesUse new sensing technologies to determine efficiency improvements


SpinnerAnemometer(from ROMOWind)

§ Accurate wind speed measurements using sonicsensors placed on the spinner of each windturbine

§ Possibility to accurately determine the powercurve (efficiency) of the wind turbine bycorrelating wind speed and produced power

§ Identify the reasons for efficiency loss (e.g.yaw misalignment) and correct it

LiDARTechnology(from Pentalum)

§ Accurate wind speed measurements usingLiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) sensorsplaced on the ground, in front of each windturbine

§ Possibility to accurately determine the powercurve (efficiency) of the wind turbine bycorrelating wind speed and produced power

§ Identify the reasons for efficiency loss due towakes and turbulences inside the wind farm


Increase performance with advanced controlsOptimize wind farm operation using all available means


§ Some wind farms are affected by wake effects§ Power production could potentially be increased§ Loading of turbines could be reduced§ Life time of turbines can be increased§ Maintenance could be better managed and controlled

§ The collector grid offers possibility for improvingefficiency§ Voltage and reactive power management inside the

wind farm reduces tripping risks and losses in thecollector grid

§ Coordinated control with the other actuators at gridconnection, such as capacitor banks and STATCOMs,further reduces the losses in the collector grid

§ Optimization at farm level necessary


Wind farm operation andmaintenance

§ Increasing number of wind farmsentering into operation

§ Increasing number of wind farms outof warranty

§ The trilemma: OEM contract, ISP’s,self maintenance

§ The challenges of Brazilian windpower plants: high capacity factor,high salinity, 99% availability, reduceLCOE

§ O&M market is expected to grow from$157 million to $500 million in the nextfive year

Emergence of O&M marketBrazil market prepares for servicing boom


Operation & maintenanceABB offerings for wind turbines

June 2, 2015

Generator

Converter

LV Motors

LV circuitbreakers

Repairs

Replacements

Retrofits

Spare parts

LV contactors Training

Operation & maintenanceABB offerings for electric balance of plant

June 2, 2015

Transformer

MV & HVSwitchgear

Capacitorbanks

Facts

Repairs &Retrofits

Replacement

Plantassessment

On siteassessmentand repair

Substation Maintenancecontract

© ABB GroupAugust 30, 2015 | Slide 29

ENEL PowerModelo Wind Power PlantBrazil

Customer need• Rapid response after a fire in the GIS

medium voltage cubicles

ABB response• Delivery of temporary air insulated system

including project, 34,5kV reconnectors andprotection panels

Customer benefits• Recovered 110MW power generation in 45

days after the incident

Customer:ENELYear ofcommissioning:2015


ENEL PowerSerra Azul Wind Power PlantBrazil

Customer need• Temporary solution to connect the wind farm

to a 138 kv grid while the 230kv grid is notready

ABB response• Implementation of 2 mobile bays with PASS

and protection system

Customer benefits• Start 40MW power generation on time with

the concession contract

Customer:ENELYear ofcommissioning:2015


MS RenováveisSubstation Service Contract for 3 Wind Power PlantsBrazil

Customer need• Asset Management• 99% Availability

ABB response• Predictive Maintenance• Yearly Preventive Maintenance• 24/7 Assistance for corrective maintenance

Customer benefits• Reliability and longer system lifetime• 1 single point of contact for 3 wind power

plants, reduction of own workforce

Customer:MS RenovaveisYear ofcommissioning:2012

Integration of wind power tothe grid

§ Wind represent 2 to 2.5% of total electrify consumption§ Expectation is that penetration could reach 10%§ In some regions and at peak time, penetration will be much

higher§ The challenges

§ Avoid grid disturbance (Reactive power, Harmonics,Flicker)

§ Keep system stable – Avoid curtailment (Scheduling anddispatching, Balancing)

§ The solutions§ Planning§ Grid development§ Ensure power quality§ Flexibility in grid and generation operation§ Eventually, energy market where renewables take their

responsibility and get paid for it

Grid integrationIncreased penetration of wind power brings new challenges


Integration of renewables is core to ABBConsulting: expertise and competences


§ Capacitor banks

§ Harmonic filters

§ Statcoms

§ SVC

§ Energy storage

§ HVDC

§ Forecasting

§ Active and reactive powermanagement

§ Virtual power plants

§ EMS/GMS

Integration of renewables is core to ABBProduct and solutions


Galvão Engenharia: CGE Farol, São Bento, OlhoD´agua e Boa VistaInterconnection studies and power quality



SuzlonCapacitor Banks for Faisa Wind Power PlantBrazil

Customer need• Power factor correction in a MW wind power

plant

ABB response• Delivery in turn key basis 2 x 15MVaR

capacitor banks, HV and MV equipment• Integration with existing sysytem

Customer benefits• Asure power quality in compliance with ONS

requirements

Customer:SuzlonYear ofcommissioning:2015

FACTS devices in REE transmission grid


Energy storage system for renewable applications USA


CREZ Reactive power compensation study. ERCOT


Alberta Electric System Operator – Impact assessment


Key points to take away


Brazil windmarket

§ Fast growing with stable positive outlook§ Own characteristics compared to other major wind markets§ Well known challenges

§ Infrastructure§ Supply chain§ Skilled resources§ O&M experience

Newchallenges

§ Maximize output of existing assets require advanced controlsolutions

§ Aging fleet will require increased focus on operation andmaintenance

§ Integration of renewables to the grid involves a range of solutions§ At the planning and design stage§ Taking advantage of exsting products and solutions

Wind power in Brazil New solutions for new ... - ABB Group · schedule & forecasts Plant condition...

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