Who is ProvPlan? Mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and...

Who is ProvPlan?Mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and its neighborhoods.

• 501(c)3 non-profit created in 1992• Public/Private Partnership

Strong programmatic capacity• Ready to Learn Providence • YouthBuild Providence• Local Learning Partnership/Making Connections• New Roots Providence

“Information for Change” Agenda• Information intermediary and community convener• Investments in GIS, data analysis, and web technology• Expanding our capacity to examine statewide issues

CITY

Linking people information with place information

Demographics

Jobs/Employment

Public Health

Education

Property/Land Use

Quality of Life

Public Safety

NEIGHBORHOODS

CENSUS

PARCEL

POLICE POSTS

WARDS

Providence is growing,becoming more diverse, and getting

younger.

• The city grew by 8%, the state only by 4.5%.

• Fastest growing city in New England and now 2nd largest.

• Minority pop. increased 65% – City now 45% non-Hispanic White.

• Hispanic growth – Population doubled since 1990, now 30% of city.

• City has 17% overall state pop. – and 50% of state minority pop.• 1 in 4 people in city under 18 – 11% increase since 1990.

• Under 18 population is 75% minority – and 45% Hispanic.

28.0%

26.9%

19.7%

19.3%

16.4%

15.5%

12.6%

10.8%

10.7%

10.5%

10.1%

8.9%

8.3%

8.0%

6.7%

5.8%

4.8%

3.5%

2.7%

2.0%

1.6%

1.5%

-13.0%

-1.4%

-6.0%

-6.0%

Valley 3722 4765

Hartford 4933 6261

Silver Lake 9141 10943

Wanskuck 9448 11270

Reservoir 2546 2963

Federal Hill 6885 7952

L. South Providence 5102 5744

College Hill 8980 9951

Olneyville 5866 6495

West End 14906 16476

Mount Pleasant 9281 10221

Downtown 2460 2678

South Elmwood 2017 2184

Citywide 160728 173618

Charles 5962 6361

Manton 2569 2718

U. South Providence 4736 4965

Smith Hill 6003 6216

Elmhurst 11192 11491

Elmwood 11305 11533

Wayland 3302 3356

Blackstone 7250 7358

Mount Hope 5661 5584

Washington Park 8300 7802

Fox Point 5179 4867

Hope 3982 3464

Source: U.S. Census 1990, 2000 Redistricting Data

Total Growth: 12,890

Neighborhood Pop.1990 - 2000

Population Change by Neighborhood, 1990-2000

as Percent of Neighborhood PopulationProvidence, RI

218

149

940

299

213

1067

1043

1328

629

1802 1570

228

167

417-498

642

229

971-312

54

108-77

-518

3991822

Æ"10

.-,95

Æ"146

.-,195

.-,95

Æ!6

Æ"44

Æ!1

Lower South Providence

Upper South Providence

Wayland

Fox Point

Down-townFederal

Hill

Manton

South Elmwood

Olneyville

Washington Park

Smith Hill College

Hill

Mount Hope

Reservoir

Silver Lake

Elmwood

Valley

Mount Pleasant

Hope

Hartford

West End

Wanskuck Charles

ElmhurstBlackstone

Pop. Change 1990-2000 (as % of N'hood)

5% - 13% Decline0 - 5% Decline0 - 7% Growth7% - 15% Growth15% - 20% Growth20% - 28% Growth

434.1%

226.3%

224.9%

195.7%

546.0%

-21.0%

194.1%

176.5%

121.3%

108.7%

98.7%

89.8%

83.8%

65.1%

63.0%

57.7%

51.5%

41.3%

364.6%

339.8%

250.2%

244.1%

21.5%

23.4%

26.9%

38.9%



Reservoir 144 669

Hartford 689 3030

Charles 291 1019

Elmhurst 295 1015

Manton 167 545

Valley 622 2021

Wanskuck 999 2954

Downtown 101 297



Citywide 24982 52146




Wayland 63 104


West End 5390 8502


Elmwood 4632 6543


Mount Hope 464 589

Hope 111 137

Blackstone 130 158

Fox Point 272 215


Change in Hispanic Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000

as Percent of 1990 Neighborhood Hispanic PopulationProvidence, RI

Hispanic Pop.1990 - 2000

Citywide Hispanic

Population Change: 27,164

BlackstoneElmhurst

CharlesWanskuck

West End

Hartford

Hope

Mount Pleasant

Valley

Elmwood

Silver Lake

Reservoir

Mount Hope

College Hill

Smith Hill

Washington Park

Olneyville

South Elmwood

Manton

Federal Hill

Down-town

Fox Point

Wayland



Æ!1

Æ"44

Æ!6

.-,95

.-,195

Æ"146

.-,95

Æ"10

28

26

41139

196

968

1224

795

459

1911

3112

1400

1031

720

1955 728

1399

1853

378

125

3866

2341

2001

525

-57

Hispanic Change 1990-2000 (as % of N'hood)

21% Decline0 - 25% Growth25% - 50% Growth50% - 150% Growth150% - 300% Growth300% - 546% Growth

2.0%

0.7%

-21.6%

-27.6%

-30.0%

-31.2%

-34.0%

-35.7%

-36.2%

-36.5%

-39.6%

-40.4%

-41.8%

-42.9%

-44.0%

-46.0%

-51.9%

-21.8%

-19.7%

-17.8%

-16.6%

-23.4%

-12.6%

-10.9%

-4.7%

-1.2%



Blackstone 6775 6692

Wayland 2984 2844

Elmhurst 10596 9438

Fox Point 4254 3717

Hope 3315 2764

Downtown 2095 1723

Charles 5522 4436

Manton 2282 1788

Wanskuck 6836 5343

Citywide 103775 79451





West End 3538 2274

Elmwood 1904 1214

Reservoir 1891 1201



Hartford 3617 2105


Valley 2771 1551



Change in Non-Hispanic White Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000

as % of 1990 Neighborhood Non-Hispanic White Population Providence, RI


Non-Hispanic White

Population Change: -24,324

N.H.White Pop.1990 - 2000

BlackstoneElmhurst

CharlesWanskuck

West End

Hartford

Hope

Mount Pleasant

Valley

Elmwood

Silver Lake

Reservoir

Mount Hope

College Hill

Smith Hill

Washington Park

Olneyville

South Elmwood

Manton

Federal Hill

Down-town

Fox Point

Wayland



Æ!1

Æ"44

Æ!6

.-,95

.-,195

Æ"146

.-,95

Æ"10

-551

-83

-140

-537

-423

-438

-690-690

-1264

-1599

-1179

-1493 -1086

49

50

-372

-2357

-494

-1158

-1539

-3493

-1512

-1220

-1837

-268Non-Hispanic White Change 1990-2000(as % of N'hood)

41% - 51.9% Decline21% - 40% Decline0 - 20% Decline0 - 2% Growth

591.2%

515.0%

481.1%

267.6%

243.6%

223.4%

207.9%

116.2%

92.7%

55.2%

46.9%

27.6%

25.7%

23.9%

6.6%

5.9%

-35.2%

-29.3%

-28.4%

-27.2%

-25.8%

-25.0%

-23.7%

-20.9%

-10.8%

-4.8%



Charles 90 523

Manton 71 261

Valley 202 694


Elmhurst 191 588

Reservoir 228 493

Downtown 165 318

Wanskuck 1498 2325

Hartford 452 664


Olneyville 701 881

Smith Hill 731 906


Citywide 23828 25243

Wayland 105 100



Hope 371 283


Blackstone 151 112

West End 4245 3089


Fox Point 297 210

Elmwood 4142 2682


Change in Black/African American Population by Neighborhood, 1990-2000

as Percent of 1990 Neighborhood Black/African American PopulationProvidence, RI

Black/AA Pop.1990 - 2000

Black/African American

Population Change: 1,415

153

-445

813

-652

175492190

875

212180

860 -1156

265 -1460

86

107

-665

-53-87

-5

-39

-88433827

397

Æ"10

.-,95

Æ"146

.-,195

.-,95

Æ! 6

Æ"44

Æ!1



Wayland

Fox Point

Down-townFederal

Hill

Manton

South Elmwood

Olneyville

Washington Park

Smith Hill College

Hill

Mount Hope

Reservoir

Silver Lake

Elmwood

Valley

Mount Pleasant

Hope

Hartford

West End

Wanskuck Charles

ElmhurstBlackstone

Black/AA Change (as % of N'hood)

28.4% - 35.2% Decline20% - 28.4% Decline0% - 20% Decline0% - 50% Growth50% - 200% Growth200% - 270% Growth270% - 591.2% Growth

Source: US Census

EDUCATION

• 38 of 45 schools were in need of improvement as ofSchool Year 2003-04; only 2 were high performing.

• 15 schools were improving or making progress, but almost twice as many (29) showed insufficient progress.

• The district had a SY2004-05 school mobility rate of 36% compared to 17% statewide.

- Mobility rate is the total number of students entering or leaving a school between October 1st and June 1st divided by the average daily membership in the school.

Providence suffers from low student achievement, significant student mobility,

and a high dropout rate.

• The district had a SY2004-05 dropout rate of 27% compared to 15% statewide.

Source: Providence School Department

Providence School Department Enrollment, 1987-2005

School-Age Population: Race

Wanskuck Charles

Mount Hope

Hope

Blackstone

College

Hill

Wayland

Fox Point

Down-town

Upper South Prov.

Lower South Prov.

Washington Park

South Elmwood

ElmwoodReservoir

West EndSilver Lake

Hartford

Olneyville

Valley

Smith Hill

ElmhurstMount Pleasant

Manton

Federal Hill

High School Graduate or Higher, 2000

28 - 35%35 - 50%50 - 70%70 - 85%> 85%

96.5%

94.0%

91.2%

91.1%

78.8%

77.6%

77.5%

75.4%

74.6%

69.9%

68.0%

67.0%

65.8%

64.6%

64.4%

59.3%

57.8%

56.6%

56.5%

56.4%

55.3%

54.6%

51.1%

48.7%

48.2%

47.7%

Blackstone

Wayland

Hope

College Hill

Fox Point

Elmhurst

Downtown

Mount Hope

South Elmwood

Mount Pleasant

Charles

Reservoir

Citywide

Manton

Wanskuck

Federal Hill

Silver Lake

Hartford

Smith Hill

Washington Park

Valley

Elmwood

Lower S. Prov.

West End

Upper S. Prov.

Olneyville

High School Graduate or Higher, 2000

Providence, RI Neighborhoods

Source: Census 2000 SF3

Universe: Population over 25 years.

City rate: 65.8% State rate: 78.0%

Median Family Income in Providence

Numbers on map indicate median family income for block groups rounded to nearest $1,000.


68

31

69

47

33

42

41

21

118

40

54

58

38

35

12

2432

52

83

29

94

77

32

58

35

73

11

83

21

42

3065

22

25

26

54

22

1125

53

18

23

26

16

58

27

43

11

49

45

40

23

40

54

32

28

22

27

37

16

60 54

40

20

20

39

16

21

25

41

28

33

49

51

99

22

2385

30

22

89

91

20

62

22

17

16

36

19

41

28

52

17

35

15

11

28

32

46

14

27

22

18

37

3319

26

27

15

68

35

2118

27

35

43

46

33

18

46

30

48

57

21

15

25

102

21

33

15

29

35

11

21

22

58

36

108

24

19

21

12

103

112

19

36

17

24

23

34

24

32

29

29106

US Prov.

Washington Park

South Elmwood

ElmwoodReservoir

West End

Silver Lake

HartfordOlneyville

Valley

Smith

Hill

Down-town

Blackstone

Hope

Mount Hope

Charles

Wanskuck

Elmhurst

Mt. PleasantManton

LS Prov.

Federal Hill

Wayland

Fox Point

College

Hill

148

128200

129

131 139

139

Median Family Income, 2000

$10,000 - 25,000$25,000 - 45,000$45,000 - 70,000$70,000 - 118,000$118,000 - 200,000

Providence has the largest concentration of both low-income and high-income families in RI.

40% of children in the city live in poverty (3rd highest in the nation). Child poverty rate in RI is 17%.

Incomes in Providence grew 2.5 times slower than the state rate.

City: $32, 058 State: $54,781

When adjusted for inflation, median family income in the city actually decreased by 6%.

Unemployment in Providence

Numbers on map indicate percent of civilian labor force unemployed for block groups.


Half the city’s neighborhoods have areas of unemployment 20% or higher.

RI has the lowest rate of functional adult literacy according to a recent study.

Only 1 in 5 new jobs in RI were located in Providence (1994-2001).

Blackstone

Elmhurst

Wanskuck Charles

MountPleasant

WestEnd

Hope

Valley

Hartford

Elmwood

Mount Hope

Silver Lake

Reservoir Washington Park

College Hill

Smith Hill

South Elmwood

Olneyville

Manton

Upper S. Prov.

Federal Hill Fox Point

Down-town

Lower S.Prov.

Wayland

0

0

2

8

2

2

06

0

43

13

7

6

6

6

22

3

0

11

3

5

64

9

9

0

8

3

1

5

7

4

2

11

6

2

2

5

4

1 4

3

10

3

4

2

5

0

52

27

2

0

3

5

9

6

0

5

6

3

5

13

8

8

9

83

2

9

8

1

8

9

0

3

5

12

0

75

10

10

0

2

2

5

15

13

14

14

10

9

7

10

5

12

11

1114

10

14

15

11

14

12

117

11

14

14

11

1310

10

11

12

11

11

15

12

1110

21

22

1616

15

16

22

22 27

17

16

25

25

29

25

1915

17

21

27

2419

17

16 15 20

19

19171923

1820

18

2825

Unemployment, 20000 - 3.5%3.5 - 7.5%7.5 - 10%10 - 15%15- 28.9%

City rate: 9.3% State rate: 5.6%

“The Housing Scene”

• Assessment values increased by 47% Greatest growth has occurred on the East Side and South Side.

• Number of vacant units down by 30% Poorer neighborhoods improved, but still have higher vacancy rates.

• Lead levels experience steady decline Incidences of new lead poisoning for children under six declined from 25.6% in 1995 to 6.3% in 2004. RI had 3.7% new cases in 2004.

• Home ownership rates remain low and stagnant City rate is 34%. RI rate is 60%, and the national rate is 66%.

Since 2000

• 2,796 new units residential units between Jan ’02 and June ‘05

• Citywide median residential sales price more than tripled between 2000 and 2005

• Risk of foreclosures, subprime lending, and long waiting lists for public housing remain.

New Residential Units Number by Neighborhood

with AffordabilityJanuary 1, 2002 – June 30, 2005

NOTE: Affordability determined by organizational contact in DIS database and designation in DPD "Development Prospects" document (or through DPD correspondence).

Analysis by ProvPlan

Source: Department of Inspection & Standards (Permit Database) and Department of Planning & Development

The East Side remains the most expensive neighborhood to rent, but a two bedroom anywhere in the city will cost at least $1000, according to the 2005 Year End Rent Survey conducted by RI Housing.

Source: 2005 American Community Survey

1989 1999 2005 1989 1999 2005

Sources: 1990 & 2000 US Censuses, 2005 American Community Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index

-16.2%vs 1989

-0.2% vs 1989

+10.4% vs 1999

+4.7% vs 1999

Median Family Income – 2005 Dollars (Adjusted for Inflation)

-7.5% vs 1989

+4.5% vs 1989

City Growth

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Who is ProvPlan? Mission to promote the economic and social well-being of the city, its people, and...

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