What is Credit Rating Agency - CRISIL

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    CREDIT RATING AGENCY

    o A credit rating assesses the credit worthiness of an

    individual, corporation, or even a country.

    o A credit rating tells the probabilityof the subjectbeing able to pay back a loan.

    o A poor credit rating indicates a high risk of defaultingon a loan, and thus leads to high interest rates.

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    IMPORTANCE OF CREDIT RATING

    o An investor uses rating to asses risk

    o For common investor

    o For corporate issuero More over every investor dont possess the requisite

    skills of credit evaluation

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    WHAT DO CRA RATE?

    o Debenture

    o State

    o Bank

    o Equities

    o Sovereign funds, etc.

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    DEFINITION OF CREDIT RATINGS

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    LIST OF COUNTRIES BY CREDIT RATING BY S&P

    Country Rating Outlook

    Australia AAA Stable

    Brazil BBB Stable

    China AA Stable

    Germany AAA Stable

    Greece CC Negative

    India BBB- Stable

    Japan AA- Negative

    Russia BBB Stable

    South Africa BBB+ Stable

    United Kingdom AAA Stable

    United States AA+ Negative

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    CRISILoCRISIL was set up by financial institution on January 19,1988.

    oassessment of all the major state governments and more than 100 urban

    local bodies in the country.

    o ThFirst and the largest credit rating agency in India

    o 4th Largest Rating Agency in the World

    o Affiliation with Standard & Poors (USA)

    o The first to rate a state governmentin India Gujarat

    o The first municipal bond rating in Asia Ahmedabad

    Credit is also includes:

    o 5 municipal corporations

    o

    2 Water and Sewerage Service providers

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    CRISILS RATING SCALE

    Rating Symbol Definition

    AAA Highest Safety

    AA High Safety

    A Adequate Safety

    BBB Moderate Safety

    BB Inadequate Safety

    B High Risk

    C Substantial Risk

    D Default

    Investment Grades

    Speculative Grades

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    METHODOLOGY FOR RATING CREDIT

    o BUSINESS RISK

    o FINANCIAL RISK

    o MANAGEMENT EVALUATION

    o BUSINESS ENVIROMENT ANALYSIS

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    CRISIL OFFERINGS

    Bonds/ LT instruments

    CPs/ ST instruments

    Structured Finance

    Bank Loan Ratings

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    CRISIL OFFERINGS

    o SME Ratings

    o Real Estate Ratings

    National Developer rating Real Estate star rating

    o Business School Gradings

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    REAL ESTATE RATING LIST

    Company Name Industry Name Rating

    ABAD Builders Real Estate Development DA3+

    Skyline Builders Real Estate Development DA2

    Prestige Estates ProjectsLimited

    Real Estate Development DA2+

    Sobha Developers Ltd. Real Estate Development DA3

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    SME RATING LIST

    Sr. No Name CityRating

    AssignedDate

    Assigned* Constitution

    1A A Autotech

    Private LimitedGurgaon SME 1 17-Jun-11 Private Limited

    2 A K Engineers Kolkata SME 4 12-May-11 Proprietorship

    3 Balaji Construction Ajmer SME 3 26-Aug-11 Others

    4 Dharav Enterprise Mumbai SME 5 26-Aug-11 Others

    5 Bajaj Electronics Hyderabad SME 2 27-Dec-10 Proprietorship

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    BOND / LONG TERM RATINGS

    Company Name Instrument Category Rating Assigned

    A B Chem (India) Letter of Credit Limit CRISIL A4+

    I Blue Minerals Private Limited Term Loan Facilities CRISIL D

    D D International Private Limited Cash Credit Limit CRISIL B+

    IAC Electricals Pvt Ltd Cash Credit Limit CRISIL BBB-

    Natraj Proteins Ltd Working Capital DemandLoan

    CRISIL BB+

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    PROGRESS

    o Its inception till march 2,2005,crisil has so farcompleted rating of issues 824 companies consistingof various types of debt instruments of companiesboth in public & the private sectors.

    o Credit rating analysis is relatively a new developmentin India. It is expected that establishment of crisil will

    provide a strong impetus to the systematic riskevaluation of specified corporate instruments as wellas the companies issuing them.

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    ICRA

    Originally incorporated as

    Investment Information and Credit Rating

    Agency of India Limited

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    THE ICRA FACTOR

    o Facilitating Efficiency in Business

    o

    The Research Factor

    o Committed to the development of Capital Market

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    OUR PRODUCTS AND SERVICES ARE DESIGNED

    TO

    o Providing information and guidance

    o Enhance the ability of borrowers/issuers to access

    the money market and the capital market

    o Assist the regulators in promoting transparency inthe financial markets; and

    o Provide intermediaries with a tool to improveefficiency in the funds raising process.

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    RANGE OF SERVICESo Rating Service

    Rates Rupee denominated debt instruments

    Corporate Governance Rating

    Stakeholder Value and Governance Rating

    Credit Risk Rating of Debt Mutual Funds

    Rating of Claims Paying Ability of Insurance Companies

    Project Finance Rating, and Line of Credit Rating

    ICRA Indonesia (ICRAIndo)

    Rupiah-denominated debt instruments

    ICRA Lanka Limited (ICRALanka)

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    o Grading Service Initial Public Offers (IPOs)

    Microfinance Institutions (MFIs)

    Construction Entities

    Real Estate Developers and Projects

    Healthcare Entities &

    Maritime Training Institutes

    o Consulting ServiceICRA Management Consulting Services Limited (IMaCS)

    Strategy & Risk Management

    Regulation & Reform

    Transaction Advisory

    Development Consulting &

    Process Re-engineering.

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    LIMITATIONS OF ICRA RATING

    o ICRA ratings convey only the relative credit risk.

    o Are only an opinion on the relative ranking of credit risk.

    o ICRA categories group debt obligations with similar but not

    necessarily identical credit risks

    o ICRA ratings are not always constant and are subject to change.

    o For assigning ratings, ICRA relies on information made available

    to it by the issuer company

    o ICRA ratings are not to be construed as recommendation to buy,

    sell, or deal in the rated instruments

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    RATING SCALEo IrAAA --- Lowest Credit Risk

    o IrAA --- Low Credit Risk

    o IrA --- Average Credit Risk

    o IrBBB --- Higher Than Average Credit Risk

    o

    IrBB --- High Credit Risk

    o IrB --- Very High Credit Risk

    o IrC --- Extremely High Credit Risk

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    METHODOLOGY

    FOR

    CREDIT RATING

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    CORPORATE CREDIT RATING

    BUSINESS RISK

    Industry Risk

    Competitive Position

    Management Quality

    New project Risk

    FINANCIAL RISK

    Financial Position

    Profitability Capital Structure

    Financial Flexibility

    Future Cash Flow

    Adequacy

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    BANK CREDIT RATING

    BUSINESS RISK

    Operating and

    Regulatory Environment

    Ownership Structure and

    Govt. Support

    Governance Structure

    Franchise

    Management, Risk

    positioning, Systems and

    Strategy

    FINANCIAL RISK

    Asset Quality

    Diversity of funding

    and Liquidity

    Profitability

    Capital Adequacy

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    GLOBAL IMPACT

    o US subprime crisis

    o downgrading Us

    o Euro crisis

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    US SUBPRIME CRISIS

    o Overview

    o Rating Mistakes

    AAA rating to MBS & CDO

    Conflict of Interests

    Over optimism about housing market

    Little knowledge of the individual borrower

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    ACTIONS DURING CRISIS

    o S & P downgraded 902 MBS & CDO

    o Moodys Downgraded 83% of MSB & CDOs originally

    rated AAA

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    US SUBPRIME CRISIS

    o The Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission reported in

    January 2011 that: "The three credit rating agencies

    were key enablers of the financial meltdown. The

    mortgage-related securities at the heart of the crisiscould not have been marketed and sold without their

    seal of approval

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    US DOWNGRADING

    o US downgraded from AAA to AA+

    o Debt

    o Increased debt ceiling by $ 2.1 trillion

    o Political fight

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    EURO CRISIS

    o Downgraded Greece, Spain, Ireland,

    o Criticized for late reaction

    o accelerated Euro problem

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    CRA-CRITICISM

    o LACK OF TRANSPERENCY IN RATING PROCESS

    o FLAWS IN RATING PROCESS

    Doubtful assessment of financial documents andothers as such

    Ratingassigned within two weeks on urgency ofcompanys request

    Incompetent rating staff

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    o FAMILIAR RELATION WITH COMPANY

    MANAGEMENT

    o ENGAGES BLACKMAIL TACTICS

    o CRAS DO NOT DOWNGRADE COMPANIES

    PROMPTLY ENOUGH

    o ISSUERS PAY BUSSINESS MODEL

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    EU - REGULATION ON CRA

    o European Securities And Markets Authority(ESMA) Amendments

    Yearly publication of transparency report

    Rating analyst should not have ownership interest in entity

    Investigatory powers demand any document or data , conduct

    onsite inspections , imposing fines and penalties

    Lead analyst should not be involved in rating for more than 4

    years

    Ratings from two different CRA for structured finance products

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    TRUST-WOZRTHINESS

    o Impact on the markets

    o Many blame agencies for triggering financial crisis

    o Country or company may pay CRA to rank it

    o Downgrades put further strain on government