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Transcript of Welcome To Select Sires-Jerseys!. Select Sires making a difference around the world Sambo Berretta...
Welcome To Select Sires-Jerseys!
Select Sires making a difference around the world
Sambo
BerrettaHermitage
Barber
CenturionDuncan Chief
DuncanSaint
Sooner
Paramount Jace
PitinoParade
LemvigGolden
Declo
All American
Action
Jacinto
Tbone RocketVALENTINO
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
JERSEY SEMEN SALES
0
200000
400000
600000
800000
1000000
1200000
1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011
UnitsSold
Top Selling Jersey Sires 2012Units
7JE860 Eclipes-P 72,6277JE859 Riley 64,9197JE1038 Valentino 49,8637JE886 Miles 46,5247JE865 Kyros 44,8937JE1169 Topeka 42,903
Top Selling Jersey Sires AnnuallyYear Units2005 9JE202 Rocket 95,3912011 7JE860 Eclipes-P 90,169 2011 7JE859 Riley 84,6322006 9JE202 Rocket 82,5042008 7JE590 Action 80,6532009 7JE590 Action 78,040 2012 7JE860 Eclipes-P 72,6272007 7JE667 Jacinto 67,2992012 7JE859 Riley 64,9192010 7JE860 Eclipes-P 64,8001989 7JE159 Sooner 64,4742011 7JE1000 TBONE 61,320
Lifetime Units Jersey Sales-20127JE590 Action 376,4827JE254 Berretta 360,8539JE202 Rocket 295,2687JE442 Paramount 280,1627JE159 Sooner 274,2277JE860 Eclipes-P 236,8287JE1000 TBONE 225,1677JE212 Malcolm 209,9957JE121 Magic 197,0837JE605 Mecca 188,3227JE563 Brazo 185,8327JE859 Riley 185,8087JE290 Barber 177,233
Jersey Semen Sales
* Includes foreign-produced Jersey semen sold by NAAB members (2012: 54,219 units, 2.1% of total domestic sales)
10.8%U.S. Market
Share0
50
0,0
00
1,0
00
,00
01
,50
0,0
00
2,0
00
,00
02
,50
0,0
00
1,098,868
2,532,855*
450,099
1,267,697
76,143
289,787
Domestic SalesExport SalesCustom Collection
Units
Forecast: Domestic Semen Sales
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -
500
,000
1
,000
,000
1
,500
,000
2
,000
,000
2
,500
,000
3
,000
,000
3
,500
,000
f(x) = 3712.56112637358 x² + 61320.131822345 x + 585770.448717947R² = 0.991882041098851
Domestic 3-yr. Rolling AveragePolynomial (Domestic 3-yr. Rolling Average)
2020: 3.5 million
Good … or great?
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
01,
000,
000
2,00
0,00
03,
000,
000
4,00
0,00
0
f(x) = 4737.75974025975 x² + 69011.7097902097 x + 714149.706293707R² = 0.966609548278128
JERSEY-DOMESTIC SALES**Polynomial (JERSEY-DOMESTIC SALES**)
Projected from actual annual NAAB domestic sales, 1997-2012
2020: 4.25 million units
Forecast: Worldwide Semen Demand
Projected from rolling 3-year average of NAAB domestic and export sales, 1997-2012
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
01,5
00,0
00
3,0
00,0
00
4,5
00,0
00
6,0
00,0
00
f(x) = 8493.4061355311 x² + 48149.4493589748 x + 1045935.16117216R² = 0.992582439525571
Domestic-Export 3-yr. Rolling AveragePolynomial (Domestic-Export 3-yr. Rolling Average)
2020:5.8 mil. units
1/1/2013
Forecast: Breed Growth
As published AJCA-NAJ Annual Report 2006: blue line projection 10% YOY, red line 15% YOY
2006 2011 2017
Represents approx. 17% of U.S. milk cow herd
Jerseys in the U.S. Cow Herd
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
3,0
00
,00
04
,00
0,0
00
5,0
00
,00
06
,00
0,0
00
7,0
00
,00
08
,00
0,0
00
9,0
00
,00
0
100,
000
300,
000
500,
000
700,
000
900,
000
1,10
0,00
0
373,785 4.02%
573,2456.21%
275,998 3.43%
791,0978.57%
Holstein
Co
w N
um
ber
s
Co
w N
um
ber
s -
Jers
ey,
Mix
ed
Jersey
Mixed Breed
8,408,794 91.68%
7,818,657 84.70%
AT JANUARY 1
Estimated Jersey Cow Population9.25%
or approximately 854,000 cows
The 99.5% of the U.S. Milking Cow Population
FOR THE EQUAL AMOUNT OF PROTEIN, MILKFAT AND OTHER SOLIDS
Je
rse
y a
s P
erc
en
t o
f U
.S. A
ve
rag
e P
rod
uc
tio
n i
n 2
00
9Efficiency and Sustainability
U.S. Average25% smaller body mass
32% less water
required
11% less land
20% REDUCTION IN TOTAL CARBON
FOOTPRINT
Source: J. L. Capper & R. M. Cady, publication pending in Journal of Dairy Science
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
14
00
01
50
00
16
00
01
70
00
18
00
01
90
00
20
00
0
14,947
16,058
17,269
18,239
19,121M
Jersey Production by Birth Year
Jersey Production: Standardized Milk (m.e.)
By Birth Year 1992 - 2010
59,604 cows born 2010 avg.
19,602M, 918F, 702P
Source: Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory, USDA
Jersey Production: M.E. Milk and FCM-ME Milk (pounds)
By Birth Year 1992 - 2010
Production corrected to 3.5% fat-corrected milk
Source: Animal Improvement Programs Laboratory, USDA; AJCA calculations
This Explains Jersey Breed Growth
Lactation Termination code JerseyCrossbred
>90%heterosis
Milking Shorthorn
Crossbred 50-90%
heterosisAyrshire Brown Swiss Holstein Red &
White Guernsey
Stayed in Herd (%) 69.5 71.6 68.5 69.5 65.9 65.9 65.3 63.6 60.3
Sold for Dairy (%) 6.7 3.6 6.7 4.5 6.6 5.5 3.1 4.1 7.2
Retained for Production (%) 76.2 75.2 75.2 74.0 72.5 71.4 68.4 67.7 67.5
Difference from Jersey -1.0 -1.0 -2.2 -3.7 -4.8 -7.8 -8.5 -8.7
Sold for Slaughter (%) 18.8 20.4 20.8 21.3 22.6 23.4 25.9 26.8 25.1
Died (%) 5.0 4.4 4.0 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.7 5.5 7.4
Leaving Production (%) 23.8 24.8 24.8 26.0 27.5 28.6 31.6 32.3 32.5
Records (no.) 259,714 89,508 3,549 29,934 9,385 23,369 3,282,006 4,275 8,158
Herds reporting (no.) 4,228 6,163 506 3,945 998 2,130 18,393 851 600
Crossbred >90: primarily first-generation (F1) crosses between two breeds or offspring of a third-breed sire and an F1-crossbred dam of two other breeds Crossbred 50-90: backcross offspring from an F1 dam and a sire from one of the F1 parent breeds (e.g. JE out of JExHO or HOxJE dam, etc.) Source: http://aipl.arsusda.gov/publish/dhi/current/cullall.html
This Explains Jersey Breed Growth
Lactation Termination code JerseyCrossbred
>90%
heterosis
Milking Shorthorn
Crossbred 50-90%
heterosisAyrshire Brown
Swiss Holstein Red & White Guernsey
Locomotion problems 0.5 1.1 0.9 1.2 1.2 2.0 1.7 2.3 1.3
Low production 5.4 5.5 4.6 5.1 3.8 4.0 5.5 3.6 3.6
Reproduction problems 2.9 3.7 5.5 4.4 5.9 6.2 5.1 6.7 6.2
Unspecified reasons 7.1 6.7 7.4 7.0 9.4 8.2 9.6 9.4 10.8
Mastitis or high SCS 2.8 3.4 2.3 3.7 2.3 3.0 4.0 4.7 3.0
Udder problems <0.1 <0.1
Undesirable conformation <0.1 <0.1 <0.1 <0.1
Bad behavior <0.1 <0.1 <0.1 <0.1 0.1 <0.1 0.1 0.1
Died 5.0 4.4 4 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.7 5.5 7.4
% LEAVING PRODUCTION 23.8 24.8 24.8 26.0 27.5 28.6 31.6 32.3 32.5
Difference from Jersey 1.0 1.0 2.2 3.7 4.8 7.8 8.5 8.7
Crossbred >90: primarily first-generation (F1) crosses between two breeds or offspring of a third-breed sire and an F1-crossbred dam of two other breeds Crossbred 50-90: backcross offspring from an F1 dam and a sire from one of the F1 parent breeds (e.g. JE out of JExHO or HOxJE dam, etc.) Source: http://aipl.arsusda.gov/publish/dhi/current/cullall.html
Profitability: CDFA 2011 Analysis
Revenue per cwt. Jersey HolsteinJersey
AdvantageCalifornia Regulated Value $21.20 $18.27 $2.93California Cheese Plant A $22.25 $18.37 $3.88California Cheese Plant B $22.52 $18.12 $4.40Federal Order Value $23.97 $20.15 $3.82
Net per cwt. Milk Marketed Jersey HolsteinJersey
AdvantageCalifornia Regulated Value $3.71 $2.88 $0.83California Cheese Plant A $4.76 $2.98 $1.78California Cheese Plant B $5.03 $2.73 $2.30Federal Order Value $6.48 $4.76 $1.72
Net Income Per Cow Jersey HolsteinJersey
AdvantageCalifornia Regulated Value $686.52 $671.88 $14.64California Cheese Plant A $881.44 $695.18 $186.26California Cheese Plant B $930.39 $636.72 $293.67Federal Order Value $1,198.92 $1,110.19 $88.73
Record Enrollment in REAP
Herds 1-50 cows11,04
5 cows (7%; 492
herds)
Herds 51-100
cows13,73
8cows(9%,189
herds)
Herds 100-300
cows26,20
9 cows (18%, 161
herds)
Herds 301-500 cows14,753 cows (10%, 39
herds)
Herds 500-1,00013,97
1 cows (9%, 21
herds)
Herds 1,000
+ cows
68,071
cows (46%, 30 herd
s)
Jersey PGA Needs to keep Pace!
Sales Have Increased 33%
Need to sample 55 bulls a year
Jersey PGA Capacity needs to increase 35%
Jersey Highlights
April 2013
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Active Jerseys >= +1.5 for Type
Select Sires Alta ABS Semex Genex ST Accelerated Other0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
109
6
4 4
3
2 2
8
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Top 100 Jerseys for JPITM, >= +2.0 JUITM
Select Sires Genex Semex Alta ABS Accelerated ST Other0
2
4
6
8
10
1211
6 6 6
5 5
3
5
TMJPI and JUI are trademarks of the American Jersey Cattle Association
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Active Proven Jersey - Plus PTA Milk and >= +2.0 JUITM
Select Sires Genex Alta Accelerated ABS Semex ST Other0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
12
6 65 5
43
8
TMJPI and JUI are trademarks of the American Jersey Cattle Association
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Top 100 Jerseys for CFP, >= +2.0 JUITM
Select Sires Genex Alta ABS Semex Accelerated ST Other0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
109
6
5
4 4
2
1
5
TMJPI and JUI are trademarks of the American Jersey Cattle Association
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Active Jerseys ≥ +0.0 SCR
Select Sires Genex Semex Accelerated Other0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
14
54
2
0
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Active Jerseys ≥ +1.0 SCR
Select Sires Genex Semex Accelerated Sexing Technologies0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
12
43
1 1
Source: April 2013 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Select Sires – Home to elite JPI siresFive of the top 15
SIRE JPI JPI Rank7JE1046 ZIPPER 218JPI #4236JE146 ZUMA 215JPI #57JE1038 VALENTINO 186JPI #11(T)236JE136 HULK 183JPI #147JE1036 PAT 178JPI #15
Select Sires
ABS Genex Accel Semex Alta
5
4
2 2
1 1
Jersey Highlights
April 2013NEW GRADUATE
#15 JPI - #5 CM$ - 6 NM$ - #5 SCS
7JE1036 Pat
Bohnerts Pat Nautia East Moline, IL
#5 JPI - #8 CM$ - #10 NM$
7JE1046 Zipper
Jersey Acres Zipper Nanci Pine Grove, PA
#11 JPI - #1 PTAT
#1 PTAT - #3 Dairy Form #2 Rear Udder Height &Width#10 Foot Angle
7JE1038 Valentino
Cal-Mart Valentino Bertha 3607-ET Tillamook, OR (VG-84%)
7JE1038 Valentino
Rexlea Valentino Item Schomberg, ON (VG-85%)
Jersey G Young Sires!
April 2013
JH1C
#3 GJPI Bull Available!
#16 GJPI - #1GPTATJH1C
#1GPTAT!!!Has made a 3.0 son already!
#7 GJPI Bull Available!
Polled with Customer satisfaction sire stack!Eclipes-P X Tbone X Country X Centurion
JH1C
#23 GJPI Available
#26 GJPI
Unique Sire Stack StillTop 60 GJPI!
#1 GCM$ bull Available Today!
Source: December 2012 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
High G Bulls to Look For in 2013
• 7JE1274 AXIS VALENTINO X Restore 251 GJPI 1851M 55F 57P 2.1PTAT 4.97GJUI
From Actions Family!
• 7JE1267 Denzel-P Critic-P X Restore 234 GJPI 1698M 52F 53P 2.1PTAT 4.56GJUI
• 7JE1242 NITRO Hendrix X TBONE 239 GJPI 1426M 69F 53P 2.5PTAT 4.26GJUI
• 7JE1251 METALICA Premier X Centurion 231GJPI 1132M 63F 42P 2.PTAT 5.24GJUI
• 11 bulls in house over 215 GJPI for this year!• 27 to sample this year over 200 GJPI
Source: December 2012 A/F Bulls Marketed in U.S. Includes all Active Danish Jersey Sires
Young High G Bulls
• ELIJAH-ET DIMENSION X Academy 253 GJPI 1679M 74F 61P 1.9PTAT 3.6GJUI
• CALYPSO-ET PRESCOTT X Headline 244 GJPI 1771M 54F 57P 2.0PTAT 5.6GJUI
• JONAH-ET TOPEKA X Seneca 234 GJPI 1594M 67F 50P 1.4PTAT 3.9GJUI
• DP 1552 FASTRACK X Lyndon 235 GJPI 1009 M 74F 39P 2.2PTAT 5.9GJUI
Thank you!
Sire Department - Select Sires