Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard...

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Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1 , Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port Erin Marine Laboratory, University of Liverpool, Isle of Man, British Isles 2. Department of Biology, University of Bergen, Norway 3 Netherlands Institute for Fisheries Research, IJmuiden, The Netherlands

Transcript of Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard...

Page 1: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Weever fish

What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change

Richard D.M. Nash1, Audrey J.Geffen1,2 & Henk Heessen3

1. Port Erin Marine Laboratory, University of Liverpool, Isle of Man, British Isles2. Department of Biology, University of Bergen, Norway3 Netherlands Institute for Fisheries Research, IJmuiden, The Netherlands

Page 2: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Why have an interest in non-commercial species?

However, changes in population size may be a consequence of fishing operations due to changes in habitat, ecosystem status and/or predator/prey relationships.

Therefore one cannot just choose any species if one wants to try and look at possible effects of climate change on fish populations and areas.

Changes in population size are not directly driven by commercial fishing.

Page 3: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

The potential players

et al.

Page 4: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

0

2

4

6

Ab

un

dan

ce in

dex

9

9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

12

Te

mp

era

ture

(oC

)

Dutch coastal data

Solenette

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

0

1

2

3

4

5

Ab

un

dan

ce in

dex

9

9.5

10

10.5

11

11.5

12

Te

mp

era

ture

(oC

)

Dutch coastal data

Scaldfish

Why the interest?

Page 5: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Lesser weever: Echiichthys vipera

Page 6: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

- 2 0 - 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

Distribution of Lesser Weever

Azores

Canaries

Page 7: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Lesser Weever

Classed as sub-tropicalNot commercially exploitedVery few predators

Generally found on soft substrata BuriesSpawns June to AugustJuveniles tend to be inshore and larger adults further offshoreTends to inhabit areas <50m depth

Page 8: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Wheeler, A. 1978. Key to the Fishes of Northern Europe.

It has no value to fishermen or anglers, and its chief impact on man is in being one of very few dangerous fishes in European seas.

Totenese, E. 1986. CLOFNAM.

This species is considered the most dangerous of the European weevers, both for its poison and for its frequent occurrence very near to beaches.

Page 9: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

North Sea

1. Annual changes in lesser weever distribution

2. Annual changes in lesser weever abundance

3. Changes in lesser weever length frequencies

Page 10: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1971

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 11: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1972

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 12: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1973

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 13: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1974

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 14: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1975

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

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0 5 10

50

55

60

1976

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 16: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1977

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 17: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1978

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 18: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1979

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 19: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1980

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 20: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1981

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 21: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1982

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 22: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1983

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 23: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1984

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 24: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1985

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 25: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1986

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 26: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1987

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 27: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1988

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 28: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1989

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 29: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1990

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 30: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1991

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 31: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1992

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 32: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1993

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 33: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1994

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 34: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1995

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 35: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1996

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 36: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1997

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 37: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1998

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 38: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

1999

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 39: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 10

50

55

60

2000

North Sea weever fish (Catch per rectangle)

0 to 1

1 to 10

10 to 50

50 to 100

100 to 500

Page 40: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000

0

10

20

30

40

50

M

ean

ab

un

dan

ce

per

sam

ple

d r

ecta

ng

le

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

No

of

rect

ang

les

con

tain

ing

wee

vers

North Sea

IBTS

Page 41: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0

4

8

12

16

20

Ab

un

dan

ce (

no

. ha-1

)

North SeaDutch surveys

Page 42: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0 5 1 0

5 0

5 5

6 0

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000Year

Lesser Weever: Latitude of population centre

Page 43: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

0

2000

4000

0

2000

4000

0

2000

4000Ab

un

dan

ce

4 8 12 16Total length (cm )

0

2000

4000

1985-89

1990-94

1995-99

2000-03

Page 44: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Irish Sea

1. Distribution of lesser weever

2. Annual changes in population size of lesser weever

3. Annual variation in production of lesser weever

4. Changes in condition of lesser weever

Page 45: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Distribution of Lesser Weever in the Irish Sea

- 6 - 5 - 4 - 35 3

5 4

5 5

1 9 9 4

Page 46: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

-6 -5 -4 -353

54

55

ENGLANDIRELAND

W ALES

SCOTLAND

IoM

Liverpool Bay

Page 47: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Simulated drift of plaice eggs and larvae, in the Irish Sea, after 31 and 61 days. Vertical movement behaviour patterns allowed for larvae. Data based on distribution of eggs and current patterns in 1995.Data from DEFRA/CEFAS funded research (MF0425) - plaice

Page 48: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Juvenile lesser weever (and plaice) and nursery grounds in the eastern Irish Sea

- 6 - 5 - 4 - 3

53

54

55

1 2

3

4

56

7

W ales

England

Scotland

Ireland

IrishSea

Zone 1Red Wharf Bay andPenmaenmawr

Zone 3Blackpool andMorecambe

Page 49: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

0

10

20

30P

op

ula

tio

n s

ize

(mill

ion

s)

9 . 6

1 0

1 0 . 4

1 0 . 8

1 1 . 2

1 1 . 6

Mea

n a

nn

ual

te

mp

erat

ure

(o

C)

Lesser W eever fish in the Irish Sea

Survey data supplied by CEFAS, Lowestoft

Incom plete surveys

Page 50: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

Lesser weevers in the Irish Sea (temperature 4 years ahead of population size)

R sq = 0.73

9 . 6 9 . 8 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 2 1 0 . 4 1 0 . 6 1 0 . 8 1 1 . 0 1 1 . 2 1 1 . 4 1 1 . 6M ean Annual tem perature (oC)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Po

pu

lati

on

siz

e (m

illi

on

s)

19901991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

19981999

2000

Lesser weevers in the Irish Sea (temperature 4 years ahead of population size)

R sq = 0.73

9 . 6 9 . 8 1 0 . 0 1 0 . 2 1 0 . 4 1 0 . 6 1 0 . 8 1 1 . 0 1 1 . 2 1 1 . 4 1 1 . 6M ean Annual tem perature (oC)

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Po

pu

lati

on

siz

e (m

illi

on

s)

19901991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

19981999

2000

2001

2002

2003

Page 51: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

- 6 - 5 - 4 - 3

5 3

5 4

5 5

I R I S H S E A

L e s s e r w e e v e r : L a t i t u d e o f p o p u l a t i o n c e n t r e

1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

53

54

Lat

titu

de

(N)

Page 52: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

0

10

20

30

Po

pu

lati

on

siz

e (m

illio

ns)

5 3

5 3 . 5

5 4

Lat

itu

de

of

po

pu

lati

on

cen

tre

Lesser W eever fish in the Irish Sea

Survey data supplied by CEFAS, Lowestoft

Incom plete surveys

Page 53: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02

Years

0

100

200

300

An

nu

al P

rod

uct

ion

(g

wet

wei

gh

t p

er 1

00 in

div

idu

als)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

To

tal A

nn

ual

Pro

du

ctio

n

(to

nn

es)

1 0

1 0 . 4

1 0 . 8

1 1 . 2

1 1 . 6

Me

an

An

nu

al

tem

pe

ratu

re (

oC

)

Page 54: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

4 8 12 16 20 24 28Population size (millions)

0.96

1

1.04

1.08

1.12

1.16

Mea

n c

on

dit

ion

Fac

tor

(K)

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

20012002

1 0 1 0 . 4 1 0 . 8 1 1 . 2 1 1 . 6Mean Annual Temperature (oC)

0.96

1

1.04

1.08

1.12

1.16

Mea

n c

on

dit

ion

Fac

tor

(K)

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

20012002

Page 55: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

One final thought

1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004Year

0

10

20

30

Po

pu

lati

on

siz

e (m

illio

ns)

0

4000

8000

12000

16000

Sp

awn

ing

Sto

ck B

iom

ass

(t)

Co

d

Lesser W eever fish in the Irish Sea

Survey data supplied by CEFAS, Lowestoft

Incom plete surveys

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0

10

20

30

40

50

M

ean

ab

un

dan

ce

per

sam

ple

d r

ecta

ng

le

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

Sp

awn

ing

Sto

ck B

iom

ass

of

Co

d

North Sea

In both areas there has been a decline in e.g. cod stocks.In both areas there has been a general increase in water temperatureIn both areas the lesser weever population appears larger than in the immediate past.

Page 56: Weever fish What the non-commercially exploited species can tell us about climate change Richard D.M. Nash 1, Audrey J.Geffen 1,2 & Henk Heessen 3 1. Port.

What can non-commercially exploited species tell us about climate change?

Even these species are subjected to variability driven by commercial fishing operations – difficult to disentangle climate versus other driving factors.

In many cases the data time series are too short to show clear trends in distribution, however, there are signs of increased population size of e.g. weever fish in to the North Sea.

In the case of the Irish Sea population there was a clear trend in population size with the thermal regime, however, this breaks down in more recent years.