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SMEs ACCESS TO FINANCE AND THE VALUE OF SUPPLIER FINANCING
Cristina Martínez-Solaa, Pedro J. García-Teruelb,*, Pedro Martínez-Solanoc
a University of Alicante, Faculty of Economics and Business Sciences, Dpt. Financial Economics and Accounting, San Vicente del Rapeig, 03690 Alicante (SPAIN), tel.: +34 965903400 (Ext. 3151), fax: +34 965903621, email: [email protected] b University of Murcia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Dpt. Management and Finance, Campus Universitario de Espinardo, 30100-Murcia (SPAIN), tel: +34 868 887828, fax:+34 868 887537, email: [email protected] c University of Murcia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Dpt. Management and Finance, Campus Universitario de Espinardo, 30100-Murcia (SPAIN), tel: +34 868 883747, fax:+34 868 887537, email: [email protected] *Corresponding author
ABSTRACT
This article examines the relationship between supplier financing and small- and medium-sized firms' value as well as the variation in the marginal value of supplier financing that arises from differences in access to financial markets and internal financing. We employ a sample of Spanish small- and medium-sized enterprises from the period 1998-2014. The results show a positive relationship between supplier financing and firm value. Furthermore, the findings reveal that the marginal value of supplier financing declines with leverage, short-term financial debt and cash flow, whereas it increases with financial costs. Also, the results show a higher marginal value of accounts payable during the financial crisis period when bank credit is reduced, for all firms, regardless of their access to finance. These results are in agreement with the financing motive for trade credit use. Firms with better availability of financial resources (internal and external) and with a lower financial cost place less value on supplier financing.
Keywords: Trade Credit, Supplier Financing, SMEs, Firm Value. JEL Classification: G30, G31 Acknowledgements: This research is part of project ECO2013-47486-P financed by the Research Agency of the Spanish government. We also acknowledge financial support from "Fundación CajaMurcia".
Post-print version Martínez-Sola, C., García-Teruel, P. J. and Martínez-Solano, P. (2017), SMEs access
to finance and the value of supplier financing, Spanish Journal of Finance and Accounting, 46 (4), 455-483.
(doi.org/10.1080/02102412.2017.1345196)
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SMEs ACCESS TO FINANCE AND THE VALUE OF SUPPLIER FINANCING
INTRODUCTION
The financial literature has shown the difficulties that small and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs) suffer in accessing financial markets, since their higher level of
information asymmetry makes them more vulnerable to capital market imperfections.
Thus, supplier financing helps SMEs to face capital market imperfection, and this can
positively affect firms' value in various ways. Firms can overcome financial constraints
(Schwartz, 1974), which is especially important in countries with less developed
financial markets and where trade credit is an alternative channel (Fisman and Love,
2003; Ge and Qiu, 2007). Trade credit can also be used by less creditworthy firms as a
mechanism to acquire reputation and therefore alleviate the problem of asymmetric
information and adverse selection (Antov and Atanasova, 2007; Biais and Gollier,
1997). Moreover, as trade credit is linked to business activity, it can be more flexible
than bank credit (Danielson and Scoot, 2004). Finally, apart from the financial
advantages, trade credit reduces transaction costs related to the receipt, verification and
payment of merchandise (Ferris, 1981; Smith, 1987) and the information asymmetry
between firms and their customers regarding product quality (Deloof and Jegers, 1996;
Emery and Nayar, 1998; Lee and Stowe, 1993; Long, Malitz and Ravid, 1993; Ng,
Smith and Smith, 1999; Smith, 1987). From the above, supplier financing would be
expected to positively affect firm value and this positive effect would be higher for firms
with less access to finance.
However, we should consider the potential costs of this funding source, such as
the implicit interest if there is a discount for prompt payment, and other disadvantages
associated with a company’s failing to fulfil its payment obligations, for example, late
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payment penalties, refinancing risk, deterioration in credit reputation, higher prices or
less favourable delivery dates in the future (Danielson and Scott, 2004; Ng et al., 1999;
Wilner, 2000; Wu, Rui and Wu, 2012).
The purpose of this paper is to provide empirical evidence of the effects of trade
credit received on firm value, using a sample of SMEs. To our knowledge, only one
previous study, by Hill, Kelly and Lockhart (2013), examines the relationship between
shareholder wealth and supplier financing, for a sample of listed US firms. However,
despite the importance of trade credit financing for SMEs, which constitutes a major
source of their short-term financing (Berger and Udell, 1998; Petersen and Rajan, 1997),
there is no empirical evidence for its effect on value. From our point of view, given the
significant contribution made by SMEs to global economy and the difficulties that these
firms face in accessing finance, analysing the value of trade credit financing is an
important issue.
This study seeks to contribute to the literature in the following ways. First, it
extends the research on trade credit by analysing the effect of supplier financing on firm
value and examining whether this effect depends on the access to financing. Second, we
employ a sample of SMEs, for which trade credit is especially important, given their
asymmetric information problems. Small firms face greater growth constraints and have
worse access to external finance than large firms (Beck and Demirguc-Kunt, 2006).
Third, unlike Hill et al. (2013), who studied a sample of listed US companies, we present
empirical evidence for a sample of Spanish SMEs. Civil law countries are characterised
by both weaker investor protection and less developed capital markets compared to
common law countries (La Porta, Lopez-de-Silanes, Shleifer and Vishny, 1997). Beck
and Demirgüç-Kunt (2006) argue that there is a positive relationship between financial
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and institutional development and firms’ external financing, and this effect is higher for
smaller firms, that is, SMEs in countries with less developed financial and legal systems,
as is the case of Spain, which face higher growth and financing constraints than their
counterparts in countries with more developed institutions. Regarding the use of trade
credit in both systems, Demirgüç-Kunt and Maksimovic (2002) and Fisman and Love
(2003) state that in countries with legal systems of civil law origin there is a greater
reliance on supplier financing. Trade credit is more important compared to bank credit
in countries where legal protection of creditors is weaker, because it is easier to divert
cash than to divert illiquid inputs (Burkart and Ellingsen, 2004). Perhaps because of this,
Demirgüç-Kunt and Maksimovic (2002) show that Spanish firms are among the largest
users of trade credit. Concerning the financial system, the literature highlights the
significant role of trade credit as a source of firms' financing in countries with less
developed financial markets (Fisman and Love, 2003). Spain has a banking-oriented
financial system in which funding through financial markets is rarely used and firms
depend heavily on bank financing (Bentolila, Jansen, Jiménez and Ruano, 2015; Carbó-
Valverde, Mansilla-Fernández and Rodríguez-Fernández, 2017; Carbó-Valverde,
Rodríguez-Fernández and Udell, 2009). Carbó-Valverde, Rodríguez-Fernández and
Udell (2016) assert that, in Spain, the two main sources of external finance for SMEs
are bank loans and trade credit, unlike United States, where commercial finance
companies also provide a significant amount of SME finance. In this sense, firms in
countries with larger banking systems, like Spain, take more financing from suppliers
(Demirgüç-Kunt and Maksimovic, 2002). Therefore, a sample of Spanish SMEs
provides an interesting setting to analyse how supplier financing influences firm
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valuation and the differences in the marginal value of payables depending on the firm's
access to internal and external finance.
Our results show a positive relationship between supplier financing and SMEs’
value. Moreover, the value of supplier financing is lower in firms with better access to
alternative financing, either in the form of internally generated cash flows or debt.
Similarly, firms with less access to external finance in terms of cost have greater supplier
financing value. Finally, the positive relationship between supplier financing and SMEs’
value is stronger during the financial crisis and subsequent years, but during this period
there are no differences in the value of supplier financing depending on the firm’s access
to financing. The findings are consistent with the financial motive of trade credit. So,
the financing that suppliers provide is a valuable resource for firms, especially for SMEs
with less borrowing capacity and lower cash flow generation, as well as for all firms in
times of crisis.
The rest of the article is organised as follows: in Section 1, we review the main
theories of trade credit and the expected relationships between supplier financing and
firm value. In Section II, we describe the sample as well as the regression specification
and variables. In Section III, we present the results for the period 1998-2007, and in
Section IV, we analyse the effect of the financial crisis on supplier financing value.
Next, we provide additional robustness analysis. In the last section we draw conclusions.
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I. RELATED LITERATURE AND HYPOTHESES
A. Supplier financing and SMEs value
In this section, we analyse the effect of supplier financing on the value of SMEs.
According to the benefits and costs found in trade credit literature, the research question
we try to answer is whether there is any relationship between trade credit received from
suppliers and the value of small firms.
From a financial point of view, one of the main advantages of trade credit is that
it could help firms to overcome financial constraints (Schwartz, 1974), especially when
institutional credit is unavailable (Danielson and Scott, 2004) or prohibitively
expensive. Cassar and Holmes (2003) argue that smaller firms have less access to capital
or face higher costs than larger firms because for small firms it is more costly to reduce
information asymmetry between borrowers and lenders. In line with this, Beck and
Demirgüç-Kunt (2006) argue that small firms face higher risk premiums since they are
more opaque and have less collateral to offer. This can make supplier financing more
advantageous for SMEs than for large firms. Moreover, trade credit can be viewed as
relationship lending, that is, the lending decision and the terms of trade credit financing
are primarily based on private, soft information gathered over the course of a
relationship, which can help to address the opacity problem of SMEs (Berger and Udell,
2006).
In line with the above, the extension of trade credit by firms’ suppliers could
give a positive signal to the investors about the creditworthiness of the firm, due to the
better knowledge that suppliers have about the situation of firms regarding financial
institutions (Biais and Gollier, 1997). In this sense, commercial debt subjects firms to
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permanent assessment and control by their suppliers, who will not be willing to grant a
firm more credit unless it has good prospects. Therefore, trade credit could reduce the
agency problems associated with information asymmetry between the firm and its
lenders, which might facilitate access to bank debt (Biais and Gollier, 1997). In fact,
their model shows that trade credit can influence the lending process of banks. This
could be especially important for SMEs, which suffer a more serious asymmetric
information problem than large businesses (Ang, 1991) and, therefore, greater financing
frictions. In line with the above, Voordeckers and Steijvers (2006) argue that a
significant signalling effect of trade credit reduces the risk of lending, since trade credit
conveys private information that suppliers have about a firm to the bank, and
consequently the likelihood of presenting collaterals is lower. Their empirical evidence
reveals a possible signalling effect of trade credit, so mitigating the adverse selection
problem, as predicted by the Biais and Gollier model (1997).
In addition to these benefits, from the perspective of transaction costs trade credit
can save costs by separating the trading of goods from the exchange of money and by
making invoice payments periodically rather than through immediate payment upon
delivery of goods (Emery, 1987; Ferris, 1981; Nadiri, 1969). Another advantage of
supplier financing is the financial flexibility it brings to the firm. Trade credit helps
firms to improve their cash flows by reducing the speed of cash outflows. Besides, it
varies with firms' activity. In this sense, the value of supplier financing may be higher
in SMEs, as these firms have less access to other flexible financing sources, such as
lines of credit, because these are more expensive for private firms (Campello,
Giambona, Graham and Harvey, 2011). Also, trade credit fluctuates according to
business activity and it can be less costly for the firm to renegotiate trade credit
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payments with their suppliers than the payment terms of bank loans in the case of
temporary cash flow problems (Danielson and Scott, 2004). Lastly, trade credit can help
firms facing liquidity shocks (Boissay and Gropp, 2007; Cuñat, 2007; Wilner, 2000).
Trade credit offers other advantages apart from financing and transactional
benefits. In particular, trade credit allows customers a period of time to verify the quality
of the products before payment, thus reducing information asymmetry between sellers
and buyers (Deloof and Jegers, 1996; Emery and Nayar, 1998; Lee and Stowe, 1993;
Long et al., 1993; Ng et al., 1999; Smith, 1987), which can be very important for SMEs
given their lower bargaining power.
However, supplier financing may have an implicit cost, which depends on the
cash discount for prompt payment and the discount period (Ng et al., 1999; Wilner,
2000). Furthermore, trade credit could expose the firm to refinancing risk, since
suppliers as a spontaneous source of financing can stop providing credit at any time
during the relationship. Finally, late trade credit payments imply other potential costs
such as late payment penalties, deterioration in credit reputation, higher prices or less
favourable delivery dates in the future, so worsening the relationship with the supplier
(Danielson and Scott, 2004; Wu et al., 2012). Notwithstanding, as Hill et al. (2013) point
out, it seems that trade credit is not as expensive as previous studies suggest, because
the cash discount is not widely used (Giannetti, Burkart and Ellingsen, 2011). In a
similar context to Spain - Italy - Marotta (2005) finds that the proportion of suppliers
offering discounts is very low. What is more, according to the European Payment Guide
produced by Intrum Justitia (2013)1, the most common payment term offered in Spain
1 The European Payment Guide, published by Intrum Justitia, provides an international comparison of
the payment customs and practices of 29 European countries plus Turkey and Russia participating in the
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is 60 days, and trade credit contracts are in net terms with no cash discount. Moreover,
the cost of trade credit depends on penalties for delays. However, most companies do
not charge penalties for late payment (Marotta, 2005; Pike and Cheng, 2001; Wilner,
2000).
Because of the benefits of trade credit, which as stated above can be even more
important in the case of SMEs, and the fact that the cost of supplier financing may be
overrated, we expect a positive relationship between supplier financing and firm value.
Based on the above, we test the following hypothesis:
H1: The relationship between supplier financing and the value of SMEs is positive.
B. Access to financing and the value of trade credit
The financing theory justifies the use of trade credit because credit market
imperfections cause financial institutions to ration credit (Emery, 1984; Lewellen,
McConnell and Scott, 1980; Schwartz, 1974; Smith, 1987). Namely, firms use trade
credit because credit from financial institutions is limited. According to Meltzer (1960),
one motivation for trade credit is to alleviate customers’ financial frictions. Schwartz
(1974) focused on the financial motive for the use of trade credit, specifically on the
role of financial intermediation performed by nonfinancial firms. When credit is tight,
firms that have easier (cheaper) access to capital markets will use their borrowing
capacity to pass credit on to their customers with limited access to capital markets.
Theoretical models and empirical papers have developed financial theories to explain
survey.
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how financial market imperfections can affect the demand for trade credit (Biais and
Gollier, 1997; Burkart and Ellingsen, 2004; Fabbri and Menichini, 2010; Nilsen, 2002;
Ng et al., 1999; Petersen and Rajan, 1997). In this section, we go a step further and we
try to answer the following research question: depending on the financing motive for
the trade credit, does the access to external and internal financing influence the value of
supplier financing?
Modigliani and Miller (1958) state that if capital markets were perfect, financing
choices would be irrelevant and would not affect firm value. However, imperfections in
financial markets would affect the financing decisions of firms. The existence of
asymmetric information and opposing interests of lenders and borrowers may mean
companies are unable to obtain external funds (Stiglitz and Weiss, 1981). Because of
these difficulties in accessing finance, firms cannot always fund their positive net
present value (NPV) projects. Therefore, easier access to debt increases the likelihood
of taking on positive value-creating projects that might otherwise be forgone. Berger
and Udell (2002) state that small firms’ debt financing is mainly provided by
commercial banks and other financial institutions, as well as by suppliers. Therefore,
trade credit is one of the main sources of financing for firms with difficulties in
accessing financial markets. So, for financially constrained firms higher trade credit
increases the probability of taking on positive NPV projects (Faulkender and Wang,
2006). In the same sense, Carbó-Valverde et al. (2016) find that trade credit financing
does not explain investment in unconstrained firms, while for constrained firms supplier
financing does affect investment, and this relationship is stronger the more constrained
the firm is. So, trade credit prevents underinvestment costs and might increase firm
value, while it does not provide this benefit for firms with better access to debt.
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The lack of quality information about the SMEs makes these companies riskier
and therefore they have to resort to insider financing, bear higher financing costs or opt
for shorter-term financing alternatives (Berger and Udell, 1998; Gregory, Rutherford,
Oswald, and Gardiner, 2005). Thus, in order to analyse the value of supplier financing
we have to take into account SMEs’ access to financing. Based on the above discussion,
we test the following hypothesis:
H2: SMEs with better access to external and internal financing have lower
supplier financing value.
To conduct the analysis, the variables employed to proxy access to external funds
are long-term leverage ratio, financial costs and short-term bank debt, and for internal
financing it is cash flow.
First, we proxy firm’s access to external financial resources by long-term
leverage ratio, since the leverage of a firm measures its ability to issue debt (Guney,
Ozkan and Ozkan, 2007), and so higher leverage indicates better access to external
financing (Wu et al., 2012). Almeida and Campello (2007) distinguish between quantity
constraints and costs constraints on external funds. In Hennessy and Whited (2007) a
proxy for financing constraints is the cost of external financing. Similarly, the second
proxy for access to external funds is financial costs; a high cost of financing causes
financial constraints for firms. Therefore, the sub-hypothesis to be tested is:
H2a: The value of supplier financing is lower for more leveraged firms and for
firms that have lower finance costs.
In order to gain a better understanding of the effect of access to external financial
resources on the value of supplier financing, we also employ short-term bank debt, since
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SMEs mainly use short-term debt financing (Michaelas, Chittenden, and Poutziouris,
1999) and this can be considered the most important alternative external source of funds
for supplier financing (Deloof and Jegers, 1999). Firms use trade credit as a substitute
for short-term bank debt, especially when bank credit is unavailable (Fisman and Love,
2003; Nilsen, 2002; Petersen and Rajan, 1997; Wilner, 2000; among others). Firms with
more short-term bank debt may have less supplier financing value, since they have more
access to external funding sources to cover their short-term financial needs (Rodríguez-
Rodríguez, 2006), such as working capital financing. Because of this substitution effect,
the second sub-hypothesis is:
H2b: There is a negative relationship between short-term bank debt and the value
of supplier financing.
Finally, we focus on internal financing. Deloof and Jegers (1999) argue that
firms’ supplier financing is determined by their capital needs and by internally generated
cash flows, as predicted by Myers and Majluf (1984). In the same vein, previous studies
have found that firms generating more internal funds have more resources available, and
therefore will require less credit for their suppliers (Deloof and Jegers, 1999; Niskanen
and Niskanen, 2006; Petersen and Rajan, 1997). High cash flow SMEs can use internal
financing to finance their operations and investments rather than supplier financing. In
contrast, when internal financing is insufficient, SMEs can be more dependent on trade
credit financing. Therefore, our last sub-hypothesis is:
H2c: There is a negative relationship between internal financing (cash flow) and
the value of supplier financing.
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C. Supplier financing value and the financial crisis
In this section, we investigate the relationship between supplier financing and
firm value in a period of global financial crisis and the following and ongoing recession
in the Spanish economy. The aim is to compare the value of trade credit in a period of
economic stability versus the subsequent situation of financial and liquidity constraints
for the majority of Spanish SMEs. Previous studies have analysed the shock in the
supply of credit during the recent financial crisis (Akbar, Rehman and Ormrod, 2013;
Bentolila et al. 2015; Duchin, Ozbas and Sensoy, 2010, among others). This negative
shock has been more accentuated in the case of short term financing, such as short term
bank debt and trade credit (Akbar et al., 2013).
On the other hand, as we stated previously, small and medium-sized firms suffer
more severe credit restrictions and have fewer sources of financing available. Therefore,
these firms are particularly vulnerable to a reduction in credit supply (Bentolilla et al.,
2015). The evidence shows that SMEs suffered from a significant credit crunch during
the recent crisis (Carbó et al., 2016). Likewise, Duchin et al. (2010) argue that for
financially constrained firms the effects of credit supply shocks are more severe, due to
their problems of information asymmetry and greater financing frictions. To this must
be added the fact that Spanish SMEs are very bank-dependent, and they faced an
important reduction in the credit received from banks during the crisis (Bentolila et al.,
2015).
According to this, we test the following hypothesis:
H3: The value of supplier financing was higher during the period 2008-2014 than in
the pre-crisis period
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II. RESEARCH DESIGN
A. Sample
The sample consists of a panel of 7952 non-financial Spanish SMEs with 44,216
firm-year observations over the period 1998-2014. The information used in this study
was obtained from the SABI database (System of Iberian Financial Statement Analysis),
made by Bureau Van Dijk. We selected Spanish SMEs according to the requirements
established by the European Commission recommendation 2003/361/CE of 6 May
2003: fewer than 250 employees, turnover of less than €50 million or less than €43
million in total assets. Then, we applied a series of filters, such as non-missing data on
the variables of the model, total assets different from total liabilities and equity, negative
financial expenses, or ratio of debt to assets higher than one. Finally, to minimise the
effect of outliers, we eliminated 1% of the extreme values for all variables employed in
the analysis.
B. Regression specification and variables
Our model is primarily based on the valuation method of Fama and French
(1998) so as to be able to study the influence of debt and dividends on firm value.
Extending their valuation regression, like Pinkowitz, Stulz, and Williamson (2006),
Dittmar and Mahrt-Smith (2007) and Drobetz, Grüninger, and Hirschvogl (2010) do
when studying the shareholders' value of cash, we examine whether a change in
accounts payable leads to a change in firm value. Pinkowitz et al. (2006) modify Fama
and French’s model to estimate the value of cash. Following this procedure, in order to
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estimate the relation between value and trade credit received, we include the change in
accounts payable. So the baseline equation to test the marginal value of accounts
payable is:
Vit = α + β1dPAYit + β2dPAYit+1 + β3dAit + β4dAit+1 + β5Eit + β6dEit + β7dEit+1 + β8RDit
+ β9dRDit + β10dRDit+1 + β11Iit + β12dIit + β13dIit+1 + β14dVit+1 + λt+ Is + ηi+ εit (1)
where Vit is the proxy for firm value, which is calculated as the book value of assets
minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. Since we are
studying unlisted firms, we measure the value of equity as net profit plus depreciation
over the average return on equity of the industry. Specifically, the market value of equity
is calculated considering that the shareholders' cash flow follows a perpetual rent (no
growth) which is discounted by the average return on equity of the industry. PAYit
corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and
taxes (EBIT), as we do not have information about R&D expenses, we proxy RDit as the
positive annual increase in intangible assets and Iit is interest expense. Note that dXit is
compact notation for the 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise, dXit+1 is the change in the
level of X from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The increase in payables may change
expectations about future growth; for this reason, the Fama-French model includes lead
variables (dXit+1) to take into account expectations. All variables are scaled by the book
value of total assets, Ait. λt and Is are time and industry dummy variables, respectively,
which are included in the model to account for time trends and time-invariant industry
heterogeneity. ηi is the unobservable heterogeneity and εit is the error term.
Next, in order to test the influence of SMEs access to financing on the value of
the trade credit received, we estimate the following Model (2), where we include
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interaction variables between the change in payables and the dummy variables created
to measure the availability of financial resources.
Vit = α + β1dPAYit + β2dPAYit+1 + β3 [dPAYit×DUMMYit] + β4DUMMYit + β5dAit +
β6dAit+1 + β7Eit + β8dEit + β9dEit+1 + β10RDit + β11dRDit + β12dRDit+1 + β13Iit + β14dIit +
β15dIit+1 + β16dVit+1 + λt+ Is+ ηi+ εit (2)
When DUMMYit takes value 1, β1+β3 accounts for the effect of accounts payable on
firm value. Otherwise, when DUMMYit takes value 0, the interaction variable
(dPAYit×DUMMYit) is 0, and β1 accounts for the effect. So, the interaction variable
captures the difference in the value of supplier financing between groups of firms,
depending on their access to external and internal financing. Moreover, like Dittmar and
Mahrt-Smith (2007), we include the DUMMYit variable on its own because if there is
endogeneity, it is expected that this relationship will be shown in the dummy variable
instead of in the interaction with the change in payables.
Following the literature, we employ several proxies of availability of financial
resources. Regarding proxies for measuring the access to external funds, long-term
leverage ratio (DLTLEV) is defined as the book value of long-term debt divided by the
book value of total assets. So, DLTLEV will take value one if firm long-term leverage
is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. The variable
measuring the cost of external financing is DFCOST, which equals one when the firm’s
financial cost, calculated as the ratio of financial expenses to total debt minus accounts
payable, exceeds or equals its industry median, and zero otherwise. Next, to see whether
substituting commercial credit for bank credit influences the relationship between trade
credit and firm value, we employ the DSTDEBT dummy variable, which takes value
one if the ratio of short-term bank debt to the book value of total assets is greater than
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or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. Finally, as proxy for the capacity
of firms to generate internal resources, we employ cash flow (DCFLOW), measured as
net income plus depreciation over book value of total assets. Therefore, DCFLOW will
take value one if firm cash flow is greater than or equal to the industry median cash
flow, and zero otherwise.
III. EMPIRICAL RESULTS FOR THE PERIOD 1998-2007
A. Descriptive statistics
Table 1 describes the characteristics of the sample firms. It contains the
descriptive statistics of the variables employed in the study. The mean annual change in
accounts payable as a percentage of firm’s total assets is 1.15%. Also, the average ratio
of accounts payable to total assets (PAY) is 25.09%. This value is higher than in
Giannetti et al. (2011) for their sample of US small firms (20%) and supports a more
intensive use of trade credit in civil law countries than in common law countries
(Demirgüç-Kunt and Maksimovic, 2002). In turn, this value is also higher than publicly
traded companies because of the greater importance of trade credit financing for SMEs.
Giannetti (2003) states that the average balance sheet of a listed company (in eight
European countries, including Spain) seems to have less trade credit than an unlisted
firm2.
The mean long-term leverage represents 9.80% of the assets of our sample of
Spanish SMEs. Moreover, the mean short-term bank debt of the sample firms is 16.06%;
2 Although this study focuses mainly on private companies (listed companies are a very small fraction of the companies in the sample), she makes a comparison between the balance sheets of listed and unlisted companies.
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and accounts payable, which is the most important item in current liabilities, is 25.09%.
The economic importance of trade credit can be justified by the benefits of this source
of funding, outlined in the previous section.
Insert Table 1 here
B. Supplier financing value
Following the literature, we estimate regressions using the Fama and MacBeth
(1973) method. This technique produces standard errors robust to correlation between
firms at a moment in time, that is, clustering along a simple dimension. Additionally, in
order to give robustness to the results, we use clustered standard errors. This method
calculates standard errors that are robust to simultaneous correlations between firms and
time periods. Clustering on both firm and time leads to significantly more accurate
inference in finance panels (Thompson, 2011).
The results of Model 1 are presented in Table 2. The variable dPAYit measures
the effect of trade credit financing on firm value, specifically, the value of an additional
euro of financing received from suppliers. In the first column, we estimate model 1 using
Fama-MacBeth, while in the second column our estimation method is clustered standard
errors. The findings show that firm value is positively and significantly related to an
additional euro of accounts payable. Estimates indicate that an additional €1 of accounts
payable increases firm value by €0.1340 (column 1) or €0.1130 (column 2). The
magnitude of the coefficients is comparable to Hill et al. (2013). Using a different
valuation approach, they find that the market values an additional $1 of trade payables
at $0.15. The positive and significant coefficient of accounts payable (dPAYit) indicates
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that there is a positive relationship between financing by accounts payable and firm
value. The findings are consistent with the aforementioned benefits of trade credit
financing, such as mitigating financing frictions and adverse selection problems (Biais
and Gollier, 1997; Schwartz, 1974), transaction cost saving (Ferris, 1981), financial
flexibility (Danielson and Scoot, 2004), verifying product quality before paying (Long
et al.,1993; Smith, 1987), and these advantages outweigh the implicit interest (if there
is discount for prompt payment), refinancing risk and other potential disadvantages
associated with accounts payable.
Insert Table 2 here
Next, we examine how the value of supplier financing differs between firms with
greater access to external and internal financing and firms with less access to finance.
The benefits attributable to trade credit might differ based on the firm’s access to
external and internal finance and, therefore, the value of supplier financing could be
different. Specifically, to empirically contrast the influence of the financing motive of
trade credit on the value of supplier financing we estimate Model 2. The objective is to
determine whether there is a value discount or premium of trade credit for firms with
high leverage, high financial costs high short-term debt, and firms with greater internal
cash flow. The results are presented in Tables 3 and 4.
In Table 3, we present the effect of long-term debt and financial costs on the
value of accounts payable. Thus, we have estimated Model 2 by including the
interactions of dPAYit with DLTLEVit (columns 1 and 2 Table 3) and with DFCOSTit
(column 3 and 4) in order to classify firms into two subgroups according to both their
20
long-term leverage ratio and their financial costs ratio, respectively. The interaction
coefficient represents the premium or discount associated with the value of trade credit
received depending on firms’ access to financing in terms of availability and cost. It is
expected that the need for additional funding of high-long-term leveraged firms will be
lower, and therefore the value of accounts payable will be lower. The results confirm a
negative relationship between the value of payables and the availability of long-term
debt. Specifically, estimating by Fama and MacBeth (1973) methodology in column 1
of Table 3, the coefficient for the interaction variable DLTLEVit×dPAYit is negative and
statistically significant indicating a discount in the marginal value of trade credit of
0.2770 for firms with greater long-term debt than the industry median (DLTLEV=1),
compared to firms with lower levels of long-term debt. Similar results are obtained by
clustered standard errors (column 2 of Table 3). In this case, for firms with better access
to long-term debt the supplier value is 0.0906 lower than for firms with worse access.
With regard to the financial cost, we find a positive relationship between financial costs
and supplier financing value. The coefficient of the interaction variable
DFCOSTit×dPAYit is positive and statistically significant (columns 3 and 4 of Table 3),
it implies a value premium of accounts payable of 0.1088 by Fama-MacBeth estimation
(or 0.0966 if the estimation method is clustered standard errors) for firms with higher
financial cost (DFCOST=1). That is to say, supplier financing is more valuable for
financially constrained firms in terms of cost than for firms with lower cost of financing.
Another explanation could be that when the cost of debt is high, an increase in supplier
financing (sometimes free financing) will decrease the cost of capital, which in turn
increases the value of trade credit.
Insert table 3 here
21
Regarding the third proxy for measuring the access to external funds, in columns
1 and 2 of Table 4 we present the value of supplier financing depending on firms' access
to short-term bank debt. The results show a negative and statistically significant
coefficient of variable DSTDEBTit×dPAYit, for both Fama-MacBeth (column 1 of
Table 4) and clustered standard errors (column 2 of Table 4) estimations, which
indicates that the marginal value of accounts payable is 0.1490 (0.1318 when the
estimation method is clustered standard errors) lower for SMEs with better access to
short-term financing (short term bank debt ratio greater than or equal to the industry
median; DSTDEBT=1) than for firms with worse access. This indicates that better
access to external financing, in the form of short-term debt, reduces the value of supplier
financing, as short-term debt could be a substitute for trade credit. The findings support
a line of research that finds that firms with little access to bank credit depend more on
trade credit from suppliers (Carbó-Valverde et al., 2016; Fisman and Love, 2003;
Nilsen, 2002; Ogawa, Sterken and Tokutsu, 2013; Petersen and Rajan, 1997; among
others). Moreover, the results are consistent with the substitution hypothesis, since for
firms with lower levels of short-term bank debt, the financing that suppliers provide has
a greater effect on SMEs value.
Results for the variables used to proxy access to external fund are consistent with
those of Faulkender and Wang (2006) on the value of cash holdings, and may indicate
that trade credit increases the probability of taking positive NPV projects for firms with
more difficulties in accessing the capital market. Indeed, firms with greater financial
constraints are more reliant on trade credit to finance their investment projects (Carbó-
Valverde et al., 2016). Therefore, SMEs with better access to external financing are less
dependent on supplier financing and this is reflected in a lower value of this financing
22
source. In contrast, trade credit helps SMEs with difficulties in accessing finance trade
credit to prevent underinvestment.
Finally, we focus on cash flow as the proxy for firm internal financing.
Particularly, the effect of payables on value may differ from the firm cash flow,
especially in the case of SMEs, which rely heavily on internal resources (Sogorb-Mira,
2005). In this sense, García-Teruel and Martínez-Solano (2010) and Petersen and Rajan
(1997) find that firms that generate more resources internally (cash flow) reduce their
demand for financing from their suppliers. Consistent with this, the interaction variable
DCFLOWit×dPAYit presents negative and significant coefficients in columns 3 and 4 of
Table 4, in quantitative terms, supplier financing value for cash flow rich firms
(DCFLOW=1) is 0.2940 lower than for firms with lower cash flow ratios (or 0.2329
when the estimation is carried out with clustered standard errors). Otherwise, results
indicate that when internal finance is insufficient, Spanish small firms seem to be more
dependent on supplier financing, as a higher value of trade credit is found. For SMEs,
which face greater financing frictions, trade credit represents a crucial financing source,
which helps to prevent underinvestment when firms' cash flows are not sufficient.
Insert table 4 here
In short, the results show that firms' long-term leverage, short-term financial debt
and cash flow moderate the impact of accounts payable on firm value. However, firms’
financial costs reinforce the accounts payable-firm value relationship. Specifically, we
obtain that better access to financial markets and internal financing reduces the value of
accounts payable. Using a different approach, Hill et al. (2013) reach the same
conclusion, since their results indicate a value premium for payables held by financially
constrained firms.
23
IV. THE EFFECT OF THE FINANCIAL CRISIS ON SUPPLIER
FINANCING VALUE
After studying the impact of trade credit financing on firm value for the period
1998-2007, it was found that access to financing affects the value of accounts payable.
Accordingly, and taking into account that the financial crisis of 2008 and the subsequent
recession provoked a credit supply shock, in this section we examine if, as expected, the
value of supplier financing was higher during the period 2008-20143.
In Table 5, we estimate model 1 using Fama-MacBeth (column 1) and clustered
standard errors (column 2) to analyse the effect of the financial crisis on the value of
accounts payable. The results show a positive relationship found between supplier
financing and SMEs value, and this positive effect is stronger during the period 2008-
2014. Effectively, the coefficient of the variable dPAYit for the period 2008-2014 is
higher (0.1864 and 0.1833 for Fama-MacBeth and cluster estimations, respectively)
than in the pre-crisis period 1998 to 2007 (0.1340 and 0.1130 for Fama-MacBeth and
cluster, respectively; see Table 2). This is consistent with the main result of the paper;
worse access to finance increases the value of the financing received by suppliers.
Moreover, during the crisis the substitution effect between bank credit and trade credit
could be higher, since SMEs have fewer sources of financing available, and trade credit
is sometimes the only alternative to bank debt. This effect is shown in the higher
coefficient of payables variable during the 2008-2014 period.
Insert table 5 here
3 Descriptive statistics for period 2008-2014 in Appendix.
24
The finding shows the important role of trade credit financing for SMEs during
the financial crisis given the financial constraints in terms of availability and cost of
credit of these firms, due to their greater vulnerability. The negative shock to the supply
of external finance, together with the presence of financing restrictions, makes supplier
financing a more valuable source of financing for Spanish SMEs.
Next, we analyse whether there are differences in the value of supplier financing
according to SMEs’ access to finance during financial crisis and the subsequent
recession. Financial crisis provoked a credit supply shock which affected all constrained
and unconstrained small and medium-sized firms. Actually, according to Bentolila et al.
(2015), Spanish SMEs have been particularly affected by the credit restrictions during
the crisis. In order to do that, we estimated model 2 for the crisis period. Moreover,
according to previous literature, we classified firms by their access to financing, and
controlling for a demand effect, since this could be higher during crisis periods. More
concretely, following García-Appendini and Montoriol-Garriga (2013) and Illueca
Muñoz, Lars and Stefan (2016), we create the dummy variable DEFDit, which takes the
value 1 when the company demands financing because its investment is greater than the
cash flows generated by the company, and 0 otherwise. Then we multiply the proxies of
the capacity of access to external and internal financing with external finance demand
dummy (DEFDit) and the increase in accounts payable (dPAYit). Overall, the results
presented in Tables 6 and 7 show that during the crisis and the subsequent years (period
2008-2014) the access to financing does not seem to affect the value of trade credit
financing since only two of eight regressions present a significant coefficient.
Insert tables 6 and 7 here
25
These results can be explained by the fact that all Spanish SMEs suffered
financial constraints during the financial crisis. Actually, the differences in the access
to financing narrowed during the crisis. For instance, the difference in means of the
variable STDEBTit between firms with better and worse access to short-term debt is
17.51% lower in the crisis period compared to the pre-crisis years. The same happens
with internal financing, the difference in means of the variable CFLOWit between high
cash flows firms and low cash flows firms is 17.57% lower in the crisis period than in
the pre-crisis period.
V. ROBUSTNESS ANALYSIS
Additionally, in this section we perform several robustness tests. First, the results
are robust when we employ as to the alternative accounts payable variable a measure
adjusted by the industry (EXCESSdPAYit), calculated following Hill et al. (2013),
namely, subtracting from our variable dPAYit the industry median increase in the ratio
of accounts payable by year. The results show that trade credit used in excess of the
industry increases its value (see columns 1 and 2 of Table 8). In the same line, although
we include industry dummies as control variables, we analyse the potential differences
in the value of trade credit received according to the type of industry. Specifically, we
create the dummy variable DINDUSTRYit, which takes value one for manufacturing
firms, and we analyse its interaction with dPAYit. We find then that the value of supplier
financing is greater for the manufacturing industry, but only statistically significant for
estimation using clustered standard errors (see column 4, Table 8). This is consistent
with Ng et al. (1999), who find that trade credit is more important for buyers who
consume the product in the process of manufacturing another product or service.
26
Insert table 8 here
Next, we analyse the effect of supplier financing on the value of firms when sales
were decreasing during the period 1998-2007. For that, we create the dummy variable
NGROWTHit which takes value one for firms with annual sales growth lower than or
equal to 0, and zero otherwise. The results for the interaction NGROWTHit×dPAYit
show that for firms whose sales are decreasing the value of supplier financing is lower
than for firms with growing sales (see columns 1 and 2, Table 9). As expected, an
increase in accounts payable for firms with declining sales may indicate that they are
paying late, or not paying, their suppliers.
Furthermore, we analyse the supplier financing value for firms jointly with
growing sales and financially constrained (in terms of availability and cost).
Specifically, we generate the dummy variable PGROWTHit, which takes value one for
firms with annual sales growth greater than 0. Moreover, constrained firms are classified
using two dummy variables, DLOWSTDEBTit, which takes value one if the ratio of
short-term bank debt to total assets is lower than the industry median and zero otherwise,
and DFCOSTit, which takes value one when the firm’s financial costs exceed or equal
its industry median and zero otherwise. The results for the interaction variables
PGROWTHit×DLOWSTDEBTit×dPAYit (see columns 3 and 4 in Table 9) and
PGROWTHit×DFCOSTit×dPAYit (see columns 5 and 6 in Table 9) show higher supplier
value for growing firms, which have greater financing needs, and which are in turn more
financially constrained than for the rest of the companies in the sample for the period
1998-2007.
Insert table 9 here
27
Likewise, we study whether sales growth and financial constraints influenced
supplier financing value during the crisis. To do this, in Table 10 we repeat the analysis
of Table 9 but for the years 2008 to 2014. The findings are in line with those obtained
for the access to finance in Tables 6 and 7, and there are no significant differences in
the value of accounts payable during the crisis because of the shock in the supply of
credit suffered by all Spanish SMEs.
Insert Table 10 here
VI. CONCLUSIONS
SMEs play a central role in the economy although market imperfections cause
firms to have difficulties in obtaining funding, meaning that the financing of SMEs is
crucial. In this regard, trade credit received constitutes a major source of short-term
financing for SMEs, especially in countries with less developed financial markets. Thus,
this paper investigates the value of supplier financing for a sample of SMEs in a country
of civil law origin - Spain. It contributes to the SME financing literature by analysing
the value of supplier financing and the differences in this value according to firms’
access to external and internal finance. Furthermore, we study the value of trade credit
financing during the recent financial crisis. The findings indicate that there is a positive
effect of supplier financing on firm value. Furthermore, the results suggest that the value
of supplier financing in small businesses is conditional on external and internal finance.
Particularly, we find that for SMEs with better access to external and internal financing
the value of trade credit financing is lower than for other small and medium sized firms.
The evidence indicates that firms with higher long-term leverage, and therefore better
28
access to alternative external financing, value credit received from suppliers less. Also,
for firms facing higher financing costs, the value of supplier financing is higher. In line
with this, SMEs which have access to short-term financial debt value accounts payable
less than firms that do not. Regarding internal financing, firms with higher cash flows
have a lower value of trade credit financing. Lastly, the results show that during the
financial crisis the value of trade credit for all SMEs (with better or worse access to
alternative finance) is higher than in the previous period. For SMEs, with poorer access
to financing, supplier financing constitutes an important alternative source of external
financing. Besides the implications for academics, this study may be interesting for
policy makers, since raising the right kind of finance is a main concern of entrepreneurs
and SMEs.
29
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37
TABLES
Table 1: Descriptive statistics 1998-2007
Variable Obs Mean Perc. 25 Median Perc. 75 Std. Dev.
Vit 33,822 1.3899 1.0011 1.2427 1.6628 0.6209
dPAYit 33,822 0.0115 -0.0221 0.0087 0.0496 0.0852
dPAYit+1 33,822 0.0165 -0.0264 0.0072 0.0512 0.0942
PAYit 33,822 0.2509 0.1202 0.2200 0.3534 0.1663
dAit 33,822 0.0631 -0.0167 0.0625 0.1471 0.1410
dAit+1 33,822 0.0789 -0.0239 0.0567 0.1574 0.1678
Eit 33,822 0.0734 0.0291 0.0600 0.1058 0.0696
dEit 33,822 0.0024 -0.0185 0.0022 0.0228 0.0466
dEit+1 33,822 0.0036 -0.0191 0.0027 0.0248 0.0496
RDit 33,822 0.0039 0.0000 0.0000 0.0012 0.0111
dRDit 33,822 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0003 0.0134
dRDit+1 33,822 0.0007 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0166
Iit 33,822 0.0145 0.0053 0.0123 0.0208 0.0117
dIit 33,822 0.0003 -0.0021 0.0000 0.0028 0.0060
dIit+1 33,822 0.0008 -0.0019 0.0002 0.0034 0.0065
dVit+1 33,822 0.0896 -0.2436 0.0614 0.3906 0.6767
LTLEVit 27,656 0.0980 0.0194 0.0633 0.1435 0.1028
FCOSTit 31,367 0.0501 0.0241 0.0383 0.0597 0.0463
STDEBTit 28,114 0.1606 0.0419 0.1311 0.2514 0.1348
CFLOWit 33,111 0.0808 0.0419 0.0710 0.1102 0.0525
The table shows descriptive statistics of the model variables: number of observations (Obs), 25 and 75 percentiles, mean, median, and standard deviation. dXit is past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. All variables are scaled by the book value of total assets Ait. Vit is the proxy for firm value, which is calculated as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. LTLEVit is long-term leverage, calculated as the ratio of long-term debt to the book value of total assets. FCOSTit is the ratio of financial expenses to total debt minus accounts payable. STDEBTit is short-term bank debt to book value of total assets. Finally, CFLOWit is net income plus depreciation over book value of total assets.
38
Table 2: Supplier financing value
(1) Fama-MacBeth
(2) Cluster
dPAYit 0.1340*** 0.1130*** 0.0060 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.1395** 0.0948*** 0.0410 0.0000
dAit 0.0811* 0.0297 0.0710 0.1560
dAit+1 0.2906* 0.3463*** 0.0660 0.0010
Eit 4.3675*** 4.8990*** 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.6243*** 0.6574*** 0.0000 0.0000
dEit+1 1.8807*** 2.3136*** 0.0040 0.0000
RDit 5.6276*** 6.1523*** 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -1.7937*** -2.2804*** 0.0010 0.0000
dRDit+1 2.0771*** 1.6343*** 0.0050 0.0000
Iit 1.6360** 1.4264** 0.0180 0.0210
dIit -2.6951** -2.7426*** 0.0100 0.0030
dIit+1 -0.4178 -1.3800** 0.3360 0.0490
dVit+1 -0.3356** -0.3596*** 0.0140 0.0000
Constant 0.7369 0.0233 0.1560 0.8470
R-squared 0.6336 0.5665 Observations 33,822 33,822
The table reports the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. Column (1) presents the estimation of model 1 using the method of Fama and MacBeth (1973). Column (2) estimates the same model using clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
39
Table 3: Access to financing and supplier financing value (I)
(1) (2) (3) (4) Fama-MacBeth Cluster Fama-MacBeth Cluster
dPAYit 0.2491*** 0.1927*** 0.1563*** 0.1643*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0080 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.1116 0.0654** 0.1012* 0.0767*** 0.1170 0.0190 0.0540 0.0010
DLTLEVit×dPAYit -0.2770* -0.0906* 0.0960 0.0810
DLTLEVit 0.1366*** 0.1451*** 0.0000 0.0000
DFCOSTit×dPAYit 0.1088** 0.0966*** 0.0410 0.0010
DFCOSTit -0.1361*** -0.1327*** 0.0000 0.0000
dAit 0.0821 -0.0040 0.0121 -0.0513** 0.3030 0.8870 0.8170 0.0400
dAit+1 0.3072* 0.3774*** 0.3131* 0.3709*** 0.0740 0.0010 0.0660 0.0010
Eit 4.5923*** 5.0359*** 4.4350*** 4.9658*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.5707*** 0.5234*** 0.5522*** 0.5970*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit+1 1.9872*** 2.2995*** 1.7678*** 2.2455*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0060 0.0000
RDit 4.3184*** 4.6065*** 5.2124*** 5.6672*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -1.3002*** -1.6899*** -1.6748*** -2.0304*** 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit+1 2.1026** 1.4577*** 1.9385*** 1.6135*** 0.0230 0.0000 0.0030 0.0000
Iit -0.2242 -0.3552 4.7278*** 4.4243*** 0.7430 0.5900 0.0000 0.0000
dIit -2.8136*** -2.7486*** -2.4444*** -2.5513*** 0.0040 0.0000 0.0070 0.0020
dIit+1 -1.7633** -2.6258*** -1.3777*** -2.1831*** 0.0120 0.0000 0.0090 0.0000
dVit+1 -0.3525*** -0.3607*** -0.3360** -0.3609*** 0.0080 0.0000 0.0150 0.0000
Constant 0.6144 0.0744 0.8171 0.1927* 0.1970 0.6690 0.1290 0.0800
Observations 27,656 27,656 31,367 31,367 R-squared 0.6405 0.5646 0.6439 0.5722
The table reports the impact of long-term leverage and financial costs on the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise, dXit+1is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. All independent variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. DLTLEVit is a dummy variable which takes value one if firm long-term leverage is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. DFCOSTit equals one when the firm’s financial cost exceeds or equals its industry median and zero otherwise. Columns (1) and (3) present the estimation of model 2 using the method of Fama and MacBeth (1973). Columns (2) and (4) estimate the same model using clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
40
Table 4: Access to financing and supplier financing value (II)
(1) (2) (3) (4) Fama-MacBeth Cluster Fama-MacBeth Cluster
dPAYit 0.1900*** 0.1757*** 0.2476*** 0.2095*** 0.0030 0.0000 0.0020 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.1736 0.0802** 0.1563* 0.0832*** 0.1240 0.0360 0.0770 0.0000
DSTDEBTit×dPAYit -0.1490* -0.1318*** 0.0540 0.0080
DSTDEBTit 0.0510** 0.0293*** 0.0140 0.0000
DCFLOWit×dPAYit -0.2940*** -0.2329*** 0.0030 0.0000
DCFLOWit 0.3408*** 0.3843*** 0.0000 0.0000
dAit 0.0564* 0.0242 0.1248*** 0.0914*** 0.0590 0.4330 0.0020 0.0000
dAit+1 0.2677 0.3763*** 0.1883 0.2959*** 0.1410 0.0010 0.1500 0.0010
Eit 4.5195*** 4.9629*** 2.7244*** 3.0018*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.5442*** 0.5895*** 0.6007*** 0.6636*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit+1 1.8513*** 2.3098*** 1.4509*** 2.0294*** 0.0050 0.0000 0.0050 0.0000
RDit 5.2220*** 5.5750*** 4.0703*** 4.4552*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -1.5941*** -2.0151*** -1.2734*** -1.7128*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0010 0.0000
dRDit+1 1.9540*** 1.5592*** 1.4997** 1.0642*** 0.0080 0.0000 0.0110 0.0000
Iit 0.1151 0.1021 3.8267*** 4.2718*** 0.8630 0.8730 0.0010 0.0000
dIit -2.3041** -2.2894** -2.1564** -2.0715** 0.0160 0.0130 0.0160 0.0180
dIit+1 -1.3468** -2.1211*** 1.0608 0.3442 0.0130 0.0010 0.1460 0.7370
dVit+1 -0.3388** -0.3655*** -0.2535** -0.3165*** 0.0140 0.0000 0.0220 0.0000
Constant 0.7376 -0.1713 0.6774 -0.0111 0.1670 0.2040 0.1600 0.9300
Observations 28,114 28,114 33,111 33,111 R-squared 0.6411 0.5675 0.6851 0.6223
The table reports the impact of short-term debt and cash flows on the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. All independent variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ai tis total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. DSTDEBTit is a dummy variable which takes value one if the ratio of short-term bank debt to the book value of total assets is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise, respectively. DCFLOWit is a dummy variable which takes value one if firm cash flow over book value of total assets is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. Columns (1) and (3) present the estimation of model 2 using the method of Fama and MacBeth (1973). Columns (2) and (4) estimate the same model using clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
41
Table 5: Supplier financing value during the financial crisis
(1) Fama-MacBeth
(2) Cluster
dPAYit 0.1864* 0.1833*** 0.0660 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.1173* 0.1236* 0.0620 0.0640
dAit -0.0364 -0.0100 0.5780 0.8570
dAit+1 0.1842* 0.2079*** 0.0670 0.0000
Eit 7.1552*** 7.2177*** 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.5559** 0.5897*** 0.0340 0.0080
dEit+1 3.1499*** 3.2583*** 0.0090 0.0000
RDit 13.3296*** 13.5833*** 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -6.0993*** -6.5215*** 0.0010 0.0000
dRDit+1 2.1013* 1.8680* 0.0780 0.0810
Iit 5.4239*** 5.5043*** 0.0000 0.0000
dIit -5.1344** -5.5490*** 0.0260 0.0000
dIit+1 0.8439 0.5204 0.5590 0.6610
dVit+1 -0.3684** -0.3765*** 0.0220 0.0000
Constant 0.8445*** 0.7363*** 0.0020 0.0000
R-squared 0.6269 0.6133 Observations 10,394 10,394
The table reports the value of accounts payable during the period 2008-2014. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. Column (1) presents the estimation of model 1 using the method of Fama and MacBeth (1973). Column (2) estimates the same model using clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
42
Table 6: Access to financing and supplier financing value during the financial crisis (I)
(1) Fama-MacBeth
(2) Cluster
(3) Fama-MacBeth
(4) Cluster
dPAYit 0.3028*** 0.2823*** 0.2078** 0.2054*** 0.0020 0.0000 0.0200 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.0501 0.0519 0.0346 0.0518 0.2810 0.4420 0.5260 0.4310
DLTLEVit×DEFDit×dPAYit -0.3324 -0.3565** 0.1080 0.0340
DLTLEVit 0.1786*** 0.1813*** 0.0000 0.0000
DFCOSTit×DEFDit×dPAYit 0.3116 0.3526* 0.1160 0.0530
DFCOSTit -0.1520*** -0.1532*** 0.0000 0.0000
DEFDit -0.0625*** -0.0621*** -0.0780*** -0.0807*** 0.0040 0.0000 0.0020 0.0000
dAit 0.0780 0.0982* 0.1217 0.1418** 0.2830 0.0580 0.1500 0.0400
dAit+1 0.2094** 0.2373*** 0.2432** 0.2680*** 0.0480 0.0000 0.0180 0.0000
Eit 7.3141*** 7.3758*** 6.9764*** 7.0370*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.4433* 0.4542** 0.5110** 0.5282** 0.0650 0.0350 0.0410 0.0140
dEit+1 3.0398*** 3.1703*** 3.0421*** 3.1871*** 0.0080 0.0000 0.0060 0.0000
RDit 11.2643*** 11.3150*** 12.0849*** 12.2467*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -5.4258*** -5.7182*** -5.8703*** -6.0976*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit+1 1.6895 1.3900 1.5043 1.3310 0.1780 0.2380 0.1400 0.1750
Iit 1.5183*** 1.5788** 10.0950*** 10.2311*** 0.0030 0.0120 0.0000 0.0000
dIit -3.7096** -4.2212*** -4.2090** -4.4681*** 0.0420 0.0010 0.0450 0.0010
dIit+1 -0.0815 -0.4019 -0.2266 -0.5180 0.9460 0.6800 0.8540 0.6170
dVit+1 -0.3495** -0.3643*** -0.3634** -0.3781*** 0.0190 0.0000 0.0160 0.0000
Constant 0.8500*** 0.7905*** 1.0221*** 0.8126*** 0.0030 0.0000 0.0010 0.0000
R-squared 0.6560 0.6418 0.6447 0.6316 Observations 9370 9370 10,068 10,068
The table reports the effect of sales growth on the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. DLTLEVit is a dummy variable which takes value one if firm long-term leverage is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. DFCOSTit equals one when the firm’s financial cost exceeds or equals its industry median and zero otherwise. DEFDit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether the external finance demand (increase in assets minus cash flow) is positive, and zero otherwise. In Columns (1) and (3) the estimation method is Fama and MacBeth (1973), and in Columns (2) and (4) clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
43
Table 7: Access to financing and supplier financing value during the financial crisis (II)
(1) Fama-MacBeth
(2) Cluster
(3) Fama-MacBeth
(4) Cluster
dPAYit 0.2507** 0.2389*** 0.1874** 0.1650*** 0.0380 0.0000 0.0160 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.0853 0.0898 0.0927** 0.0895 0.2040 0.2050 0.0320 0.1320
DSTDEBTit×DEFDit×dPAYit -0.1933 -0.1437 0.2520 0.3490
DSTDEBTit 0.0796*** 0.0787*** 0.0010 0.0000
DCFLOWit×DEFDit×dPAYit -0.4387 -0.4153 0.1830 0.1090
DCFLOWit 0.3162*** 0.3168*** 0.0000 0.0000
DEFDit -0.0872*** -0.0902*** -0.0085 -0.0090 0.0020 0.0000 0.4450 0.3000
dAit 0.1793* 0.2152** 0.0378 0.0588 0.0960 0.0160 0.5800 0.2930
dAit+1 0.2302** 0.2616*** 0.0826 0.1300*** 0.0140 0.0000 0.3050 0.0000
Eit 7.1349*** 7.2034*** 5.2187*** 5.2368*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dEit 0.5602** 0.5873*** 0.5713** 0.6053*** 0.0170 0.0050 0.0240 0.0030
dEit+1 3.1905** 3.3178*** 2.5365*** 2.8830*** 0.0110 0.0000 0.0060 0.0000
RDit 11.4864*** 11.6526*** 9.9487*** 10.2539*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
dRDit -5.5760*** -6.0485*** -4.0925*** -4.4188*** 0.0080 0.0020 0.0070 0.0020
dRDit+1 1.2522 0.9433 1.8262* 1.6947** 0.3730 0.4740 0.0540 0.0370
Iit 2.3566*** 2.4881*** 8.6259*** 8.7360*** 0.0010 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000
dIit -3.9132* -4.3086*** -4.8370** -5.2157*** 0.0550 0.0010 0.0260 0.0000
dIit+1 -0.5533 -0.8305 2.2615 1.6568 0.6840 0.5120 0.1090 0.1190
dVit+1 -0.3707** -0.3805*** -0.2779** -0.3151*** 0.0190 0.0000 0.0260 0.0000
Constant 0.5632 0.0030 0.6363** 0.2717*** 0.1630 0.9870 0.0360 0.0020
R-squared 0.6229 0.6069 0.6902 0.6769 Observations 8631 8631 10,186 10,186
The table reports the effect of sales growth on the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. DSTDEBTit is a dummy variable which takes value one if the ratio of short-term bank debt to the book value of total assets is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise, respectively. DCFLOWit is a dummy variable which takes value one if firm cash flow over book value of total assets is greater than or equal to the industry median, and zero otherwise. DEFDit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether the external finance demand (increase in assets minus cash flow) is positive, and zero otherwise. In Columns (1) and (3) the estimation method is Fama and MacBeth (1973), and in Columns (2) and (4) clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
44
Table 8: Industry effect on supplier financing value
(1) Fama-MacBeth
(2) Cluster
(3) Fama-MacBeth
(4) Cluster
EXCESSdPAYit 0.1340*** 0.1097*** 0.0060 0.0000
dPAYit+1 0.1395** 0.0942*** 0.0410 0.0000
dPAYit 0.1022** 0.0760** 0.0170 0.0240 dPAYit+1 0.1373** 0.0958*** 0.0390 0.0000 DINDUSTRYit×dPAYit 0.1146 0.1293** 0.3650 0.0140 dAit 0.0811* 0.0310 0.0808* 0.0292 0.0710 0.1900 0.0690 0.1610 dAit+1 0.2906* 0.3464*** 0.2933* 0.3463*** 0.0660 0.0010 0.0610 0.0010 Eit 4.3675*** 4.8986*** 4.3611*** 4.8991*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dEit 0.6243*** 0.6575*** 0.6364*** 0.6554*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dEit+1 1.8807*** 2.3138*** 1.8811*** 2.3140*** 0.0040 0.0000 0.0040 0.0000 RDit 5.6276*** 6.1511*** 5.6567*** 6.1610*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dRDit -1.7937*** -2.2803*** -1.7892*** -2.2898*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0010 0.0000 dRDit+1 2.0771*** 1.6344*** 2.1004*** 1.6303*** 0.0050 0.0000 0.0060 0.0000 Iit 1.6360** 1.4267** 1.6116** 1.4276** 0.0180 0.0200 0.0220 0.0210 dIit -2.6951** -2.7454** -2.6291** -2.7449*** 0.0100 0.0200 0.0100 0.0030 dIit+1 -0.4178 -1.3828** -0.4088 -1.3964** 0.3360 0.0480 0.3450 0.0480 dVit+1 -0.3356** -0.3596*** -0.3363** -0.3600*** 0.0140 0.0000 0.0130 0.0000 Constant 0.7367 0.0225 0.7352 0.0243 0.1560 0.8510 0.1560 0.8400 R-squared 0.6336 0.5665 0.6340 0.5666 Observations 33,822 33,822 33,822 33,822 The table reports the value of accounts payable adjusted by the industry (EXCESSdPAYit, columns 1 and 2) and the industry effect on the value of accounts payable (columns 3 and 4). All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. EXCESSdPAYit is calculated by subtracting the annual industry median change in payables ratio from dPAYit (change in accounts payable from year t to year t-1 to the book value of assets). Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. DINDUSTRYit is a dummy variable which takes value one for manufacturing firms, according to NACE code4, and zero otherwise. Columns 1 and 3 present the estimation of model 1 using the method of Fama and MacBeth (1973). Columns 2 and 4 estimate the same model using clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
4NACE is the European classification of economic activities. NACE is a classification derived from ISIC (International Standard Industrial Classification) to enable international comparability.
Table 9: Sales growth, financial constraints and supplier financing value
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Fama-
MacBeth Cluster Fama-
MacBeth Cluster Fama-
MacBeth Cluster
dPAYit 0.1522*** 0.1462*** 0.0079 0.0096 0.0311 0.0971** 0.0040 0.0000 0.7970 0.8400 0.7370 0.0290 dPAYit+1 0.1803 0.0884*** 0.1727 0.0695* 0.1362 0.0725*** 0.1300 0.0000 0.1600 0.0850 0.1440 0.0020 NGROWTHit×dPAYit -0.1515*** -0.1803*** 0.0090 0.0010 NGROWTHit -0.0386* -0.0628*** 0.0690 0.0000 PGROWTHit×DLOWSTDEBTit×dPAY
0.2401** 0.1898*** 0.0200 0.0030 PGROWTHit 0.0384** 0.0605*** 0.0460 0.0000 DLOWSTDEBTit -0.0544** -0.0276*** 0.0250 0.0010 PGROWTHit× DFCOSTit×dPAYit 0.2887* 0.2094*** 0.0600 0.0000 PGROWTHit 0.0315 0.0604*** 0.1940 0.0000 DFCOSTit -0.1360*** -0.1322*** 0.0000 0.0000 dAit 0.0403 -0.0067 0.0319 -0.0051 -0.0124 -0.0737** 0.2290 0.7610 0.2960 0.8860 0.7920 0.0110 dAit+1 0.2482 0.3392*** 0.2610 0.3723*** 0.2643 0.3621*** 0.1700 0.0010 0.1620 0.0010 0.1770 0.0010 Eit 4.3852*** 4.8779*** 4.4656*** 4.9408*** 4.4573*** 4.9436*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dEit 0.4485*** 0.4792*** 0.4617*** 0.4174*** 0.3934*** 0.4218*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dEit+1 1.8174*** 2.2717*** 1.8529*** 2.2602*** 1.6931*** 2.1999*** 0.0050 0.0000 0.0040 0.0000 0.0090 0.0000 RDit 5.7456*** 6.0914*** 5.2916*** 5.5281*** 5.2435*** 5.5598*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dRDit -1.7609*** -2.2344*** -1.5645*** -2.0028*** -1.5984*** -1.9939*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dRDit+1 2.1377*** 1.6307*** 2.1044** 1.5592*** 2.0258*** 1.5716*** 0.0080 0.0000 0.0170 0.0000 0.0090 0.0000 Iit 1.6034** 1.3407** -0.0902 0.1380 4.5913*** 4.1723*** 0.0180 0.0330 0.9140 0.8320 0.0000 0.0000 dIit -2.9543*** -3.1970*** -2.7725*** -2.8276*** -2.5836*** -2.9663*** 0.0050 0.0010 0.0070 0.0030 0.0060 0.0010
dIit+1 -0.3158 -1.3903** -1.1720** -2.1213*** -1.3870** -2.2943*** 0.5050 0.0380 0.0160 0.0010 0.0100 0.0000 dVit+1 -0.3307** -0.3577*** -0.3363** -0.3634*** -0.3308** -0.3584*** 0.0150 0.0000 0.0140 0.0000 0.0170 0.0000 Constant 0.7686 0.2131 0.9190 -0.0681 0.7931 0.2853* 0.1500 0.1800 0.1300 0.6200 0.1700 0.0680 Observations 33,135 33,135 27,606 27,606 30,755 30,755 R-squared 0.6382 0.5661 0.6415 0.5676 0.6483 0.5714
Columns 1 to 2 of this table report the effect of sales growth on the value of accounts payable. Columns 3 to 6 report the joint effect of sales growth and financial constraints on the value of accounts payable. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. NGROWTHit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether annual sales growth is lower than or equal to 0, and zero otherwise. PGROWTHit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether annual sales growth is greater than 0, and zero otherwise. DLOWSTDEBTit is a dummy variable which takes value one if the ratio of short-term bank debt to the book value of total assets is lower than the industry median, and zero otherwise. DFCOSTit equals one when the firm’s financial cost exceeds or equals its industry median and zero otherwise. In Columns 1, 3 and 5 the estimation method is Fama and MacBeth (1973), and in Columns 2, 4 and 6 clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
46
Table 10: Sales growth, financial constraints and supplier financing value during the financial crisis
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Fama-
MacBeth Cluster Fama-
MacBeth Cluster Fama-
MacBeth Cluster
dPAYit 0.1740 0.1626** 0.0851 0.0895** 0.1187** 0.1349*** 0.2090 0.0130 0.2040 0.0130 0.0320 0.0050 dPAYit+1 0.1363* 0.1438** 0.1214 0.1341* 0.0569 0.0772 0.0590 0.0410 0.2040 0.0900 0.4010 0.2670 NGROWTHit×dPAYit -0.1165 -0.0596 0.4060 0.5930 NGROWTHit -0.0629*** -0.0578*** 0.0000 0.0000 PGROWTHit×DLOWSTDEBTit×dPAYit 0.2069 0.1859* 0.2940 0.0960 PGROWTHit 0.0652*** 0.0586*** 0.0010 0.0000 DLOWSTDEBTit -0.0713*** -0.0717*** 0.0030 0.0000 PGROWTHit× DFCOSTit×dPAYit 0.1728 0.1752 0.2860 0.1000 PGROWTHit 0.0609*** 0.0553*** 0.0000 0.0000 DFCOSTit -0.1470*** -0.1484*** 0.0000 0.0000 dAit -0.0824 -0.0530 -0.0807 -0.0415 -0.1047 -0.0834 0.2680 0.3910 0.3220 0.5640 0.1600 0.1810 dAit+1 0.1852* 0.2070*** 0.2402** 0.2669*** 0.2527** 0.2733*** 0.0630 0.0000 0.0170 0.0000 0.0160 0.0000 Eit 7.1048*** 7.1709*** 7.1884*** 7.2728*** 7.0235*** 7.0944*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dEit 0.3581 0.4142* 0.3246 0.4036* 0.3089 0.3523 0.1320 0.0640 0.1350 0.0650 0.1870 0.1140 dEit+1 3.1613*** 3.2672*** 3.2915** 3.3825*** 3.1309*** 3.2423*** 0.0080 0.0000 0.0120 0.0000 0.0060 0.0000 RDit 13.3477*** 13.6567*** 11.6881*** 11.9839*** 12.4110*** 12.6645*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 dRDit -5.8480*** -6.2605*** -5.5933*** -6.0626*** -5.8740*** -6.1085*** 0.0010 0.0000 0.0040 0.0010 0.0000 0.0000 dRDit+1 2.2124* 2.0217* 1.3369 1.0385 1.6493 1.5405* 0.0670 0.0540 0.3110 0.3950 0.1040 0.0980 Iit 5.3612*** 5.4382*** 2.2923*** 2.3442*** 9.6524*** 9.7742*** 0.0000 0.0000 0.0020 0.0020 0.0000 0.0000 dIit -5.1511** -5.5844*** -4.0555* -4.4398*** -4.3418** -4.5307*** 0.0270 0.0000 0.0520 0.0010 0.0390 0.0010 dIit+1 0.8518 0.5590 -0.7957 -1.0085 -0.5862 -0.7781 0.5530 0.6410 0.5710 0.4400 0.6300 0.4400 dVit+1 -0.3791** -0.3859*** -0.3945** -0.3984*** -0.3827** -0.3923*** 0.0200 0.0000 0.0180 0.0000 0.0150 0.0000 Constant 0.8811*** 0.7465*** 0.7603* 0.0947 0.9095*** 0.9932*** 0.0030 0.0000 0.0580 0.6040 0.0020 0.0000 Observations 10,274 10,274 8533 8533 9950 9950 R-squared 0.6287 0.6144 0.6206 0.6036 0.6436 0.6299
Columns 1 to 2 of this table report the effect of sales growth on the value of accounts payable during the crisis. Columns 3 to 6 report the joint effect of sales growth and financial constraints on the value of accounts payable during the crisis. All variables are standardised by the book value of total assets. dXit is the past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. The dependent variable is firm value Vit, defined as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense. NGROWTHit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether annual sales growth is lower than or equal to 0, and zero otherwise. PGROWTHit is a dummy variable which takes value one whether annual sales growth is greater than 0, and zero otherwise. DLOWSTDEBTit is a dummy variable which takes value one if the ratio of short-term bank debt to the book value of total assets is lower than the industry median, and zero otherwise. DFCOSTit equals one when the firm’s financial cost exceeds or equals its industry median and zero otherwise. In Columns 1, 3 and 5 the estimation method is Fama and MacBeth (1973), and in Columns 2, 4 and 6 clustered standard errors (Thompson, 2011). We report p-values under the coefficient estimates. Industry and time dummies are included (unreported). Significant at ***1 percent, **5 percent, and *10 percent.
47
APPENDIX
Descriptive statistics 2008-2014
Variable Obs Mean Perc. 25 Median Perc. 75 Std. Dev.
Vit 10,394 1.2413 0.9197 1.1658 1.4878 0.4709
PAYit 10,394 0.1622 0.0657 0.1331 0.2308 0.1241
dPAYit 10,394 -0.0067 -0.0283 -0.0017 0.0209 0.0596
dPAYit+1 10,394 -0.0010 -0.0241 -0.0006 0.0228 0.0557
dAit 10,394 0.0044 -0.0538 0.0107 0.0734 0.1202
dAit+1 10,394 0.0232 -0.0418 0.0170 0.0821 0.1176
Eit 10,394 0.0595 0.0264 0.0456 0.0790 0.0481
dEit 10,394 -0.0034 -0.0185 -0.0015 0.0116 0.0366
dEit+1 10,394 -0.0004 -0.0142 -0.0001 0.0130 0.0337
RDit 10,394 0.0009 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0033
dRDit 10,394 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0036
dRDit+1 10,394 0.0001 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0038
Iit 10,394 0.0113 0.0029 0.0086 0.0171 0.0103
dIit 10,394 -0.0015 -0.0037 -0.0005 0.0013 0.0066
dIit+1 10,394 -0.0001 -0.0022 -0.0001 0.0017 0.0057
dVit+1 10,394 -0.0009 -0.1673 -0.0119 0.1550 0.3223
LTLEVit 9370 0.1026 0.0192 0.0689 0.1559 0.1034
FCOSTit 10,068 0.0350 0.0164 0.0307 0.0471 0.0266
STDEBTit 8631 0.1218 0.0238 0.0893 0.1943 0.1135
CFLOWit 10,186 0.0708 0.0378 0.0607 0.0948 0.0433
The table shows descriptive statistics of the model variables: number of observations (Obs), 25 and 75 percentiles, mean, median, and standard deviation. dXit is past 1-year change, Xit - Xit-1. Likewise, dXit+1 is the change in the level of Xi from year t to year t+1, Xit+1 - Xit. All variables are scaled by the book value of total assets Ait. Vit is the proxy for firm value, which is calculated as the book value of assets minus book value of equity plus a proxy for the market value of equity. PAYit corresponds to accounts payable. Ait is total assets, Eit is earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), RDit is the increase in intangible assets from year t-1 to year t and Iit is interest expense.