Assignment 4 of Crash Course in Creativity at Venture Lab, Stanford University
Venture Design Crash Course Solving the Right Problem
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Transcript of Venture Design Crash Course Solving the Right Problem
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Copyright 2014 Cowan Publishing
VentureDesignCrash
Course
COWAN+
Solving the RightProblem
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
ABOUT ME
Entrepreneur (5x)Intrapreneur (1x)
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@cowanSF
ABOUT ME
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ABOUT ME
www.alexandercowan.com
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Personas
IT’S A PROCESS
Some techniques are more effective than others.
But they all require substantial, consistent exertion.
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SCALE-FRIENDLY VS. INNOVATION-FRIENDLY
ScaleFriendly
Innovation
Friendly
$ !?
? ! ? ? ?
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SCALE-FRIENDLY VS. INNOVATION-FRIENDLY
Learn FirstScale Second
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DOUBLE DIAMOND MODEL OF DESIGNFinding the Right
PROBLEMFinding the Right
SOLUTION
time
a l t e r n a t i v e s
divergence convergence divergence convergence
source: adapted from ‘The Design of Everyday Things’
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CRASH COURSE?
More Explanation vs. Workshop
More Homework vs. Workshop
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THINK SEE
FEEL DO
PERSONAS
Who?
X
PROBLEMSCENARIOS &ALTERNATIVES
What?
VALUEPROPOSITIONS& ASSUMPTIONS
What if?
!
USERSTORIES &PROTOTYPES
How?
Scale?
Pivot?
PRODUCT &PROMOTION
/
CUSTOMERDISCOVERY &EXPERIMENTS
Tell me…?
THE VENTURE DESIGN PROCESS
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THE VENTURE DESIGN PROCESS (IN REVERSE)
!USERSTORIES &PROTOTYPES
Did the implementationdeliver on the story?
PRODUCT &PROMOTION
/
CUSTOMERDISCOVERY &EXPERIMENTS
How did thecustomer/userreact?
VALUEPROPOSITIONS& ASSUMPTIONS
!
Was theimplementedstory relevant tothe proposition?
X
PROBLEMSCENARIOS &ALTERNATIVES
Is problemrelevant? Is thepropositionbetter vs.alternatives?
THINK SEE
FEEL DO
PERSONAS
Do weunderstand thisperson? Whatmakes themtick?
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THINK SEE
FEEL DO
PERSONAS
Who?
X
PROBLEMSCENARIOS &ALTERNATIVES
What?
VALUEPROPOSITIONS& ASSUMPTIONS
What if?
!
USERSTORIES &PROTOTYPES
How?
Scale?
Pivot?
PRODUCT &PROMOTION
/
CUSTOMERDISCOVERY &EXPERIMENTS
Tell me…?
THE VENTURE DESIGN PROCESS
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
WHY IS DESIGN THINKING HARD?
Design Thinking
Now
Survival
Then
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Empathy Creativity
DESIGN THINKING
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
DESIGN THINKING- APPLICATIONS
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Entry1
Urinate as they go2
Edges preferred3
Speedy4
PB > cheese5
Empathy
DESIGN THINKING- APPLICATIONS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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Check & Repair
UV Validation
Relevant Placement
A Better Mouse Trap
Powered by Better Bait
Creativity
1
2
3
4
5
DESIGN THINKING- APPLICATIONS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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DESIGN THINKING- PERSONAS
Personas Problem Scenarios
Alternatives
Your Value Propositions
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DESIGN THINKING- PERSONAS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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DESIGN THINKING- PERSONAS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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NOT A GOOD PERSONA
• Women
• Age 28-45
• Has kids• Socialize with other mom’s
• Online with Facebook
• 86% said they’d like to be more
organized
• 70% said they’d use anapplication that organizes them
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• Women
• Age 28-45
• Has kids• Socialize with other mom’s
• Online with Facebook
• 86% said they’d like to be more
organized
• 70% said they’d use anapplication that organizes them
NOT A GOOD PERSONA
Bullet points are almostnever vivid or detailed
Stock photo- not real
This is a hugepopulation- not exact
These responses are ‘fake
actionable’- survey responseslike this are unreliable
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THE ART OF CUSTOMER DISCOVERY
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02 DIAGNOSING USER NEEDS & PROBLEMS
The twin anti-poles of design failure
Doing preciselywhat the user asks
Assuming you know what’sbest and ignoring the user
! " # $ %
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A BETTER PERSONA
Mary is a mom by choice. She had a successful career in accounting,
but welcomed the opportunity to be a stay at home mom. She loves it.
But it’s not like having kids purged her creative, social instincts. She
wants to connect, she wants to learn, she wants to interact. Being a
mom is a job and she wants to do it well. That means corresponding
with other mom’s on child education and keeping track of what works.
She posts to Facebook at least twice a week and responds to other
moms’ items more often than that.
She has a few blogs and publications she reads regularly…
Mary the Mom
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A BETTER PERSONA
the use of a first name helpsw/ vividness (a little)
these full sentences look like agood start towards something
vivid and detailed
this is a real photo of arelevant person taken with an
iPhone in the real world
Mary is a mom by choice. She had a successful career in accounting,
but welcomed the opportunity to be a stay at home mom. She loves it.
But it’s not like having kids purged her creative, social instincts. She
wants to connect, she wants to learn, she wants to interact. Being a
mom is a job and she wants to do it well. That means corresponding
with other mom’s on child education and keeping track of what works.
She posts to Facebook at least twice a week and responds to other
moms’ items more often than that.
She has a few blogs and publications she reads regularly…
Mary the Mom
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VA
RI
E D
ivid
eal
ctionable
dentifiable
xactetailed
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EXERCISE- PERSONA CREATION
Mary the Working Mom
Susan the Stay-at-Home Mom
Douglas the Dad
Nathan the Nanny
Ivan the Infant
…
List at least 3 personas
(4 min)
use 1 index card/ persona
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A LITTLE GAME FOR BETTER PERSONA DISCOVERY
Day in the Lifewe look at a few photos for a given persona
you make some guesses about them
there are no right answers BUT
there is a right process: observe and infer
OBJECTIVE: get a feel for what’s real; start to create something vivid
(not a full picture, just snippets)
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OUR CAST
Miguel theMid-Mellenial
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WAKE UP!
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BREAKFAST & HEAD TO WORK
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AT WORK
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AFTER WORK
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PRE-BED
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GEAR
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IF I HAD 3 EXTRA HOURS…
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ABOUT MIGUEL THE MID-MILLENIAL…
What’s his favorite kind of music?
Band/composer?
Where did he buy his last pair of shoes?
What movie did he last see?
What did he drink with dinner last night?
If he had a dog, what kind?
What’s his favorite magazine?
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OUR CAST
Sally theSingle Mom
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WAKE UP!
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WAKE UP!
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GEARING UP FOR THE DAY
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AT WORK
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AFTER WORK
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PRE-BED
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BED
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GEAR
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IF I HAD 3 EXTRA HOURS…
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ABOUT SALLY THE SINGLE MOM…
What’s her favorite kind of music?
Band/composer?
Where did she buy her last pair of shoes?
What movie did she last see?
What did she drink with dinner last night?
If she had a dog, what kind?
What’s her favorite magazine?
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EXERCISE- PERSONA CREATION
Mary the Working Mom (B, U)
Susan the Stay-at-Home Mom (B, U)
Douglas the Dad (U)
Nathan the Nanny (U)
Ivan the Infant (U)
…
Which are buyers? Users? Both?
Note with a ‘B’ and/or a ‘U’ on the Index Card
(1 min)
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EXERCISE- PERSONA CREATION
(2 min)
Can you think of 5 real examples for each?
Use the back of your index cards
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DISCOVERY & LEARNING: THINK-SEE-FEEL-DO
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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EXERCISE- PERSONA CREATION (6 MIN)
For your top person, complete Think-See-Feel-Do
Thinks: Helen thinks the hiring process should be so much better- more systematic, fewer bad hires. Professional
development is something they’ve identified that they want to do better, but the functional managers aren’t engaged
enough to get the whole thing started.
Sees: Helen is at the tail end of every bad hire and sees the damage it does to the employee and company, alike.Helen sees that online learning has rocketed forward in the last few years. If someone wants to learn a specific skill,
there’s a number of high quality options online, many of them free. They just need a way to help employees organize
select into these courses.
Feels: Helen feels like crap whenever they have to let someone go. She hates it. The employee hates it. The manager
hates it. It’s incredibly destructive and de-motivating for everyone involved. Helen would love to be more involved,
more included in functional skills evaluation and improvement. She’s love to have a success story to talk about. Most
HR departments don’t do a whole lot in this area.
Does: Helen’s relatively responsive to new ideas, particularly if someone knowledgeable is willing to come in and talk
about it. If she likes it, she’ll bring it to the functional managers, who are usually the ultimate decision makers since
without their support she can’t get the system online and working. Post-sale, Helen will help keep the program
organized, moving, and otherwise on the functional managers radar. All this is predicated on Helen being equipped
with the right messages, facts, and best practices to make the purchase and use of Enable Quiz effective.
EXAMPLE: HELEN THE HR MANAGER
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DISCOVERY & LEARNING: THINK-SEE-FEEL-DO
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
XPROBLEM SCENARIO
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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@cowanSF
XWhat job(s) are you doing for
the customer?
What existing need or
behavior are you fulfilling?
PROBLEM SCENARIO
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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@cowanSF
?
X
ALTERNATIVE(S)
PROBLEM SCENARIO
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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@cowanSF
?
X
If they currently use
spreadsheets, watch them
use it and get a copy of it.
If they currently put notes on the
family fridge, ask about it,
photograph it.
ALTERNATIVE(S)
PROBLEM SCENARIO
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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X
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
It’s hard for the HR manager to send good notes oncandidates to the functional manager.
(Too Detailed, A Feature vs. a Product/Venture)
‘Hiring technical talent is difficult.’
(Too Broad, Abstract)
‘Screening technical talent is difficult.’
(Probably About Right)
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EXERCISE- PROBLEM SCENARIOS
Brainstorm Problem Scenario-Alternative-Value PropositionTrios.
ALTERNATIVE(S)?
PROBLEM SCENARIOXProblem: Helen doesn't have a softwareengineering background, so it's hard for her to
screen engineering candidates. She ends up
sending the functional manager too many
unqualified candidates. .
Alternative: She calls references and mostly
ends up taking their word for it.
(5 min.)
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
YOUR VALUE PROPOSITIONS !
ALTERNATIVE(S) ?
PROBLEM SCENARIO X
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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@cowanSF
X
Are they better enough than the
alternative(s)?
!
?
YOUR VALUE PROPOSITIONS
ALTERNATIVE(S)
PROBLEM SCENARIO
DISCOVERY & LEARNING: PROBLEM SCENARIOS
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EXERCISE- VALUE PROPOSITIONS
Add Value Propositions toyour top Problem Scenario +Alternative Pairs
YOUR VALUEPROPOSITIONS!
ALTERNATIVE(S)?
PROBLEM SCENARIOX
(3 min.)
Problem: Helen the HR Manager doesn't
have a software engineering background, soit's hard for her to screen engineering
candidates. She ends up sending Frank the
Functional Manager too many unqualified
candidates.
Alternative: She calls references and mostly
ends up taking their word for it.
Value Proposition: New ability for meaningfulscreening of technical candidates, increasing
% of successful hires and lowering Frank the
Functional Manager's workload on recruiting.
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… and they have a certain
PROBLEMS(S) …
… where they’re currently using
certain ALTERNATIVE(S) …
… and I have a VALUEPROPOSITION that’s better enough
than the alternatives to cause the
persona to act (purchase, use, etc.).
A certain PERSONA exists…
AND NOW THE PRODUCT HYPOTHESIS
!
?
X
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EXERCISE: YOUR PRODUCT HYPOTHESIS
… and they have a certain
PROBLEMS S …
… where they’re currently using
certain ALTERNATIVE(S) …
… and I have a VALUE
PROPOSITION that’s betterenough than the alternatives to
cause the persona to act
(purchase, use, etc.).
A certain PERSONA exists…‘HR and functional managers are in charge oftechnical hires
and they struggle to effectively screen fortechnical skill sets, making the hiring processslower and more labor intensive andproducing worse outcomes than they shouldreasonably expect.
Currently they implement a patchwork ofcalling references and asking a few probingquestions.
By offering an easy, affordable, lightweighttechnical quizzing solution, Enable Quiz canacquire and retain these customer personas,delivering material value.’ (4 min.)
Enable Quiz example:
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THE BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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SEGMENT TO VALUE PROPOSITION MAPPING
!"#$&'() #$*#+,-$,. /-.,( 0", 1(,20#3, 1'44'-$500(#6/0#'-78"2(, 5*#), 9:; <-='(0,. >#+,-$,: !' 3#,&2 +'=? '@0"#$*#+,-$,A 3#$#0 "00=BCC
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ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
Sort personasand value
propositions in
priority order for
focal clarity
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RECOMMENDED NEXT STEPS
“Homework” (details: bit.ly/hi-wslab)1. Draft a working set of personas
2. Draft a working set of problem scenario-alternative-value proposition trios.
3. Organize the above in priority order on the Business Model Canvas4. Finish a working product hypothesis and positioning statement.
GOOGLE DOC TEMPLATE: http://bit.ly/venturetemplate
RESOURCES: bit.ly/vdesign
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PEER PRESENTATIONS PREP!
(4 min.)
For [target customer] who [statement of the need or opportunity], the
[product name] is a [product category] that [statement of key benefit/
key reason to buy]. Unlike [primary alternative], our product [statement
of primary differentiation].
For [hiring managers] who [need to evaluate technical talent], [Enable
Quiz] is a [talent assessment system] that [allows for quick and easy
assessment of topical understanding in key engineering topics]. Unlike
[formal certifications or ad hoc questions], our product [allows for
lightweight but consistent assessments of technical talent].
EXAMPLE
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As
Presenter
As
Audience1) What is this? (Use positioningstatement)2) Who is the persona? What kind of shoesdo they wear?3) What problem scenario(s) are you
looking at? What alternatives does thepersona use now?4) What’s your value proposition?5) What’s your product hypothesis?6) What do you need to learn more about?
- Focus on the process; avoid editorial- Ask a lot of questions- Think about it like an investor
EXERCISE: PEER PRESENTATION
(5 min./ each)
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STORYBOARDING: ORIGINS
copyright Fred Moore & Disney Pictures
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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Personas
STORYBOARDING EXAMPLE
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Personas
STORYBOARDING EXAMPLE
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ENABLE QUIZ: EXAMPLE PROBLEM SCENARIOS
X
Helen the HR Manager
“It’s hard for me to screen ontechnical skill sets and I end up
sending Frank unqualifiedrecruits.”
Frank the Functional Manager
“I have limited time and I don’twant to be a jerk. It’s hard to
screen for all the relevanttechnical skill sets.”
PERSONA
PROBLEM
SCENARIO
- Call references
- Take their word for it
- A few probing questions
- Take their word for it?ALTERNATIVE(S)
!VALUE
PROPOSITIONS
New ability for meaningfulscreening of technicalcandidates, increasing % ofsuccessful hires and loweringFrank’s workload on recruiting.
Less time doing interviews, andbetter hires sooner.
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STORYBOARDING A PROBLEM SCENARIO
AFTER
BEFORE
BEFORE
(using the
Alternative)
AFTER
(with the Value
Proposition)
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STORYBOARDING A PROBLEM SCENARIO
Before
After
Trigger?
How does the
problem scenario
initiate?
Action?
How is the
alternative
executed?
Reward?
How well is the
persona gratified?
+
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STORYBOARDING A PROBLEM SCENARIO
} } }1 Panel
StoryboardArea
Notes
AreaOptional notes here to
supplement your storyboard
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EXERCISE: BEFORE AND AFTER BOARDS
Using the squares, create a before and then afterstoryboard- 3 panels each
BEFORE
(using theAlternative)
AFTER
(with the ValueProposition) (10 min.)
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DESIGN THINKING- USING PERSONAS
Personas Problem Scenarios
Alternatives
Your Value Propositions
SELLINGSTUFF
Who’s buying?
Where?
Why?
Who are weselling to?
Where do wereach them?
With what
proposition?
MAKINGSTUFF
What does theuser actuall do?What does theuser most want?
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
VALUEHYPOTHESIS
CUSTOMER CREATIONHYPOTHESIS
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PERSONA HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
Does this person exist?
Can you identify them?
Do you understand them really well?
What do they think-see-feel-do in your area?
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PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
Have you identified a discrete problem/need?
How important is it to the target persona(s)?
What alternatives do they use today? How?
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VALUE HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
How much better than the best alternative is your
product?
How obvious is that to the customer?
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VALUE HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
‘We tried a few things with AdWords and landing
pages, but the results weren’t great.’
What happens when you try the
same thing out in the real
world? Search is a good way to
connect with existing demand
but not necessarily learn about
its fundamentals.
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CUSTOMER CREATION HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
How will you get the customer’s: attention, interest,
desire, action, onboarding, retention?
How will you know if it’s working?
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CUSTOMER CREATION HYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
Most of these results are pretty
definitive.
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THINK SEE
FEEL DO
PERSONAS
Who?
X
PROBLEMSCENARIOS &ALTERNATIVES
What?
VALUEPROPOSITIONS& ASSUMPTIONS
What if?
!
USERSTORIES &PROTOTYPES
How?
Scale?
Pivot?
PRODUCT &PROMOTION
/
CUSTOMERDISCOVERY &EXPERIMENTS
Tell me…?
THE VENTURE DESIGN PROCESS
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THE STARTUP: THEN AND NOW
Five Year
Plan
Then
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./0/12/
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3789:;
Lean
Management
Now
6.a PIVOT
experiments
disprovehypothesis
01 IDEA!
02 HYPOTHESIS
03 EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN
04 EXPERIMENTATION
05 PIVOT OR PERSEVERE?
6.b PERSEVERE
i
i
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EVIDENCE-BASED INNOVATION VIA ‘LEAN STARTUP’
Do I have real evidence from my buyerthat this is compelling?
01 IDEA!
What are the key assumptions requiredto make this business work?
02 HYPOTHESIS
How do I definitely prove or disprove theassumptions with a minimum of timeand effort?
03 EXPERIMENTAL DESIG N
04 EXPE RIM ENTATION
Am I reacting or am I focused onvalidating my pivotal assumptions?
‘Pivot or persevere?’
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EVIDENCE-BASED INNOVATION VIA ‘LEAN STARTUP’
Do I have real evidence from my buyerthat this is compelling?
01 IDEA!
What are the key assumptions requiredto make this business work?
02 HYPOTHESIS
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… and they have a certain
PROBLEMS(S) …
… where they’re currently using
certain ALTERNATIVE(S) …
… and I have a VALUEPROPOSITION that’s better enough
than the alternatives to cause the
persona to act (purchase, use, etc.).
A certain PERSONA exists…
THE PRODUCT HYPOTHESIS
!
?
X
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EVIDENCE-BASED INNOVATION VIA ‘LEAN STARTUP’
How do I definitely prove or disprove theassumptions with a minimum of timeand effort?
03 EXPERIMENTAL DESIG N
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ASSUMPTIONS: ORGANIZED AND PRIORITIZED
Priority Key Assumption Needs Proving? Experimentation
1[A key assumption about thebusiness]
[Whether it needsproving
[Experiment toprove or disprove]
1
Hiring managers wouldprefer a lightweight quiz appover calling references andad hoc probing.
Yes
* Customer interviews on problemscenario* Value testing through ‘minimumviable product’
2Managers want to be able toadd their questions as well
Yes* Show prototypes with choices* Test in beta
2 Parents have smart phones No n/a
Focus on strategic,pivotal assumptions
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FOCUS AND THE LEAN STARTUP
Crossing t’s
Dotting i’s
Doesn’t matter unless ithelps prove (or disprove)
your pivotal assumptions
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FOCUS AND THE LEAN STARTUP
Subjectall your
activities +metrics tothat litmus
test.
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
VALUEHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
VALUEHYPOTHESIS
CUSTOMER CREATIONHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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PERSONA HYPOTHESIS- CHECKLIST
Hypothesis Experiment
! This persona exists (in non-trivial
numbers) and you can identify them.
- Can you think of 5-10 examples?- Can you set up discovery interviews with them?- Can you connect with them in the market at large?
! You understand this persona well. - What kind of shoes do they wear?- Are you hearing, seeing the same things across your discovery
interviews?! Do you understand what they Think in
your area of interest?
- What do you they mention as important? Difficult? Rewarding?- Do they see the work (or habit) as you do?- What would they like to do better? To be better?
! Do you understand what they See in
your area of interest?
- Where do they get their information? Peers? Publications?- How do they decide what’s OK? What’s aspirational?
! How do they Feel about your area of
interest?
- What are their triggers for this area? Motivations?-
What rewards do they seek? How do they view past actions?! Do you understand what they Do in your
area of interest?
- What do you actually observe them doing?- How can you directly or indirectly validate that’s what they do?
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EXERCISE: WHO’S YOUR EARLY MARKET?
1) How do they differ within your existing persona definitions?
Example: At Enable Quiz, they’re startup’s doing lots of hiring
2) How will you locate them?
Example: At Enable Quiz, they’ll read tech rags to see who just got funded.
3) How will they help you transition to your next segment?
Example: At Enable Quiz, via case studies, references, and incented posts on LinkedIn.
Answer each as best you can: ~ 1 min/each
(4 min.)
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EXERCISE: PERSONA DISCOVERY QUESTIONS (5 MIN)
Question Form Examples Questions (‘Enable Quiz’)
Tell me about [yourself in the role of the persona]? - Tell me about being an HR manager?- How did you choose that line of work? Why?- What do you most, least like about the job?- What are the hardest, easiest parts of the job?- I’ve heard [x]- does that apply to you?
Tell me about [your area of interest]? - Do you do screen new candidates? If not, who?- Can you tell me about the last time? What was the trigger?- Who else was involved? What was it like?
Tell me your thoughts about [area]? - How should it ideally be done?- How is it actually done? Why?
What do you see in [area]? - Where do you learn what’s new? What others do?- Who do you think is doing it right?- How did you make your last decision?
How do you feel about [area]? - What motivates you? What parts of it are most rewarding? Why?Tell me about the last time?
- What would it be like in your perfect world?
What do you do in [area]? - Would you show me your interview guide? Example notes? - What
the vetting process was like on the last few candidates?
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KEY TO GOOD PERSONA DISCOVERY
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
1) Create a level of person-ability and comfort
2) Acclimate them to the idea that you’re not just
wondering about the ‘general picture’
3) Assure them by demonstration that you’re notselling anything or advocating a point of view
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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PROBLEM HYPOTHESIS- CHECKLIST
Hypothesis Experiment
! You’ve identified at least one discrete
problem (job, desire, etc.)
- Can you describe it in a sentence? Do others get it?- Can you identify current alternatives?
! The problem is important - Do subjects mention it unprompted in discovery interviews?- Do they respond to solicitation (see also value and customer creation
hypotheses)?!
You understand current alternatives - Have you seen them in action?- Do you have ‘artifacts’ (spreadsheets, photos, posts, notes, whiteboard
scribbles screen shots ?
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EXERCISE: PROBLEM DISCOVERY QUESTIONS
(5 min.)
Question Form Examples Questions (‘Enable Quiz’)
What are the top [5] hardest things about [area of
interest]?
- What are the top 5 most difficult things about making good tech
hires? Why?
How do you currently [operate in area of interest- if
you don’t have that yet]? OR Here’s what I got on
[x]- is that right?
- How do you currently screen for technical skill sets?- Who does what?- How does that work?
What’s [difficult, annoying] about [area of interest]? - What’s difficult about screening technical candidates?- How do you validate they have the right skill set?- How are the actual outcomes? Examples?
What are the top 5 things you want to do better
this year in [general area of interest]?
- What are the top 5 things you want to do better in technical
recruiting and hiring?
Why is/isn’t [your specific area of interest on that
list]?
- Why is/isn’t screening for technical candidates on that list?
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KEY TO GOOD PROBLEM DISCOVERY
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
1) Avoid prompting, progressing to it only as alast ditch effort
2) Get them in storytelling mode- focus onspecifics and details
3) Focus on just getting them talking- mind thetime but be careful about interrupting for course
corrections
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EVIDENCE-BASED INNOVATION VIA ‘LEAN STARTUP’
Do I have real evidence from my buyerthat this is compelling?
01 IDEA!
What are the key assumptions requiredto make this business work?
02 HYPOTHESIS
How do I definitely prove or disprove theassumptions with a minimum of timeand effort?
03 EXPERIMENTAL DESIG N
04 EXPE RIM ENTATION
Am I reacting or am I focused onvalidating my pivotal assumptions?
‘Pivot or persevere?’
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EVIDENCE-BASED INNOVATION VIA ‘LEAN STARTUP’
04 EXPE RIM ENTATION
Am I reacting or am I focused onvalidating my pivotal assumptions?
‘Pivot or persevere?’
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4 TYPES OF LEAN HYPOTHESES
PERSONAHYPOTHESIS
PROBLEMHYPOTHESIS
VALUEHYPOTHESIS
ALEX COWANAlexanderCowan.com
@cowanSF
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VALUE HYPOTHESIS- CHECKLIST
Hypothesis Experiment
! Your product is better enough than the
alternative to make sales (traffic, etc.)
- You successful execute a (paid?) concierge MVP
or- You successfully pre-sell the product
or- You successfully drive drive sign-up’s online
! Customers will readily perceive this
superiority if you [x]
- (see above)
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TESTING YOUR HYPOTHESIS VIA ‘MVP’
M
VP
inimum What is the fastest,
cheapest way to
validate orinvalidate this
option so we give
ourselves more
options on futuresuccess?
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TESTING YOUR HYPOTHESIS VIA ‘MVP’
M
VPiable Will it give us adefinitive result?
What are the
actionable metrics?
inimum
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TESTING YOUR HYPOTHESIS VIA ‘MVP’
M
VProduct
Does it really
require actual
product? Can we
use alternativebrands, channels?
iable
inimum
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TESTING YOUR HYPOTHESIS VIA ‘MVP’
is not necessarily actual software/product(see concierge MVP)
is a first and foremost learning vehicle …
vs. a project plan
(OK to do those things but always subordinate them to the learning mission)
vs. a product development project
M
VProductiable
inimum
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THE MVP LITMUS TEST
output !=outcomeIs your MVP driving anextraordinary outcome?
Or is it a vehicle to create output
as usual?
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CASE STUDY: DROPBOX
OPPORTUNITYUnderlying demand and supportinginfrastructure ready for a great file sharingapp.
CHALLENGEBuilding a great cross-platform app.required VC funding. VC’s saw a spacewith lots of existing competitors strugglingto get traction.
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CASE STUDY: DROPBOX
PersonaTom the Techie- early adopter who works on projects that require swapping a lot of files between a
shifting network of collaborators.
ProblemScenario
It’s difficult to share files between a network of collaborators, particularly if they’re: big or numerous or
change a lot.
AlternativesMany existing products, but none of them super compelling and widely adopted.
Also, custom setup’s which work but are cumbersome to set up and maintain.
Value Prop.A file sharing service that truly feels transparent to the user across all major platforms- OSX, iOS,
Windows, etc.
What Minimum Viable Product (MVP)?
That you can bootstrap?
That doesn’t require software at all?
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THE ‘WIZARD OF OZ’ MVP @ DROPBOX
Result: Excellent traction and
conversion to sign-up’s.
Strong validation signal.
Created a synthetic demotailored for early market(techies), promoted it, and
measured email sign-up’s.
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EXAMPLE: ENABLE QUIZ
OPPORTUNITYHiring quality technical talent is critical formany companies, but screening for skillsets is time consuming and awkward.
CHALLENGEThe founding team wants to bootstrapwithout external funding so they need tofocus on a specific technical domain, onethat will get them strong early traction.
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EXAMPLE: ENABLE QUIZ
Persona(s)Helen the HR Manager- responsible for sourcing and screening job candidates
Frank the Functional Manager- hiring manager responsible for acquiring and managing talent
ProblemScenario
Helen: hard to screen for technical skills
Frank: never has enough time for recruiting and doesn’t want to be a jerk during interviews
AlternativesHelen: call references, take their word for it (on skills)
Frank: ask a few probing questions
Value Prop. A lightweight quizzing app that has Helen can use to do quick, effective screening.
What Minimum Viable Product (MVP)?
That you can bootstrap?
That doesn’t require software at all?
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THE CONCIERGE MVP @ ENABLE QUIZ
Target Outcome:- They use them
-They want more
- It improves hiring outcomes
Create paper quizzes by handfor positions that subject HRmanagers have open. Give the
quizzes to the HR managers touse.
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CASE STUDY: LEONID SYSTEMS
OPPORTUNITYMajor disruption and new productopportunities among telecom providerswith introduction of voice-over-IP and cloud
communications.
IT systems need to be rethought.
CHALLENGEAs a one-person startup, Leonid had
actionable ideas but not enough resourcesto execute an end-to-end solution.
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CASE STUDY: LEONID SYSTEMS
PersonaChris the CTO- has funding and mandate to transition the business towards hosted services; many
bases to cover
ProblemScenario
IT is the most expensive, most risky area when making changes to the business.
Alternatives1) Place large, risky bets on major new system upgrades. 2) Make small incremental updates (but risk
not keeping pace).
Value Prop.Leonid will offer modular, integration-friendly applications in two critical areas: 1) services provisioning
and 2) end user self-service portals.
What Minimum Viable Product (MVP)?
That you can bootstrap?
That doesn’t require software at all?
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THE CONSULTING CONCIERGE MVP @ LEONID
Started with consulting as a‘concierge’ vehicle to createtactical solutions, evolving to
full-fledged product.
Result: Steady step-wise
growth with consistently better
understanding of key customerproblem scenarios.
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CASE STUDY: ZAPPOS
OPPORTUNITYAn observed problem scenario around thedifficulty of finding the right shoe at localretail and a giant (but nascent) market inonline retail (1999).
CHALLENGEConsumers still in the early stages ofadopting and habituating to online retail.Founder (Nick Swinmurn) wanted to
bootstrap.
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CASE STUDY: ZAPPOS
Persona Sam the shoe-hound- knows what he wants but not where to get it.
ProblemScenario
Sam is unable to find the shoe he wants at local retailers, wasting time and getting frustrated.
Alternatives Possibly mail order or wait until he’s in a bigger market to go to the store.
Value Prop.Make the shoe Sam wants accessible online and make sure he has a great experience so he’ll come
back and not have to think about where to find the shoe he wants anymore.
What Minimum Viable Product (MVP)?
That you can bootstrap?
That doesn’t require software at all?
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THE SALES MVP @ ZAPPOS
Result: It worked and the rest
is history.
Photographed shoes and putthem online to observewhether anyone bought them.
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CASE STUDY: STEALTH PHOTO-SOCIAL STARTUP
OPPORTUNITYLots of exciting things happening in thephoto-social space.
CHALLENGEThe team had several ideas but fewresources.
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CASE STUDY: STEALTH PHOTO-SOCIAL STARTUP
PersonaExisting poster of photos. Personas: Martha the Mom, Pat the Party Planner, Teresa the Teen Social
Butterfly
ProblemScenario
[I want to do something interesting with my photos so that my social graph rewards me with interest and
acclaim]
Alternatives Manually enhance photos, use alternative enhancers/amplifiers like Instagram
Value Prop. [This is something users can do with photos that will generate engaging content for their social graph]
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USER JOURNEY: PHOTO-SOCIAL
ASSUMPTION
User’s social networkwill like and share theapp’s output
What MVP?
That you canbootstrap?
That doesn’t requiresoftware at all?
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THE CONCIERGE MVP @ PHOTOSOCIAL STARTUP
MVP
Create the target outputby hand (conciergestyle)
Does anyone care?
ASSUMPTION
User’s social networkwill like and share theapp’s output
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ABOUT MVP’S AND PRODUCTS IN GENERAL
You have to put the magic inthe software.
(Not the other way around)Concierge and other non-software MVP’s can be prettymagical.
Find 100 people that are reallyinto it and you can probablygrow.
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THE ARCHETYPES
Archetype Notes
Wizard of Oz Show the experience.
Concierge Hand create the user experience.
Sales See if you can sell some.
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EXERCISE: YOUR (CONCIERGE) MVP
Component Notes
What is the experience you want to provide? - What are the preconditions and general steps?
What measurable outcome would validateyour value proposition?
- How will you know if it’s delivering value?- This could be: a) measurably better outcomes b) activitylevels c) follow-on interest
How will you find participants and what are
the core screening/qualification criteria?
- How will you know if the subjects are relevant to your
core hypothesis?
(5 min.)
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CLASS PRESENTATIONS
As Presenter
1) What is it? Use pos. statement.
2) Who is it for? What shoes do they
wear?
3) What problem does it solve?
4) What are your ideas for an MVP?
As Audience
- Focus on the process; avoideditorial
- Ask a lot of questions
- Think about it like an investor
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POINT OF EMPHASIS
You are
the mostimportantpart of the
experiment
Make sureyou’re
learning
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RECOMMENDED NEXT STEPS
“Homework” (details: bit.ly/hi-wslab)1. Draft a working set of personas
2. Draft a working set of problem scenario-alternative-value proposition trios.
3. Organize the above in priority order on the Business Model Canvas
4. Finish a working product hypothesis and positioning statement.
5. Finish a working interview guide to validate your persona and problem hypotheses.
6. Complete at least 5 customer interviews.
7. Draft a working set of assumptions
8. Design your experiments and execute.
GOOGLE DOC TEMPLATE: http://bit.ly/venturetemplate
RESOURCES: bit.ly/vdesign
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FINI
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