US Top Marginal Tax Rate and Top Bracket ThresholdThe Top 1% Income Share and fitted Values from...
Transcript of US Top Marginal Tax Rate and Top Bracket ThresholdThe Top 1% Income Share and fitted Values from...
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Top
MTR
(Fed
eral
Indi
vidu
al In
com
e Ta
x)
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US Top Marginal Tax Rate and Top Bracket Threshold
Top
Bra
cket
Thr
esho
ld/A
vera
ge In
com
e
Top MTR
Threshold/Average Income
Source: statistics computed by the author
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MTR
(Fed
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Indi
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com
e Ta
x)
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US Top MTR ordinary income vs. capital gains
Top MTR Top MTR (capital gains)
Source: statistics computed by the author
Ordinary Income Earned Income Capital Gains Corporate Income
Year (1) (2) (3) (4)
1952-1963 91.0 91.0 25.0 521964 77.0 77.0 25.0 50
1965-1967 70.0 70.0 25.0 481968 75.3 75.3 26.9 531969 77.0 77.0 27.9 531970 71.8 71.8 32.3 491971 70.0 60.0 34.3 48
1972-1975 70.0 50.0 36.5 481976-1978 70.0 50.0 39.9 481979-1980 70.0 50.0 28.0 46
1981 68.8 50.0 23.7 461982-1986 50.0 50.0 20.0 46
1987 38.5 38.5 28.0 401988-1990 28.0 28.0 28.0 341991-1992 31.0 31.0 28.0 34
1993 39.6 39.6 28.0 351994-2000 39.6 42.5 28.0 35
2001 39.1 42.0 20.0 352002 38.6 41.5 20.0 35
2003-2009 35.0 37.9 15.0 35
Table A1.Top Federal Marginal Tax Rates
Notes: MTRs apply to top incomes. In some instances, lower income taxpayers may face higher MTRs because of incomecaps on payroll taxes or the so-called 33 percent "bubble" bracket following TRA 86. From 1952 to 1962, a 87% maximumaverage tax rate provision made the top marginal tax rate 87% instead of 91% for many very top income earners. From 1968to 1970, rates include surtaxes. For earned income, MTRs include the Health Insurance portion of the payroll tax beginningwith year 1994. Rates exclude the effect of phaseouts, which effectively raise top MTRs for many high-income filers. MTRs onrealized capital gains are adjusted to reflect that, for some years, a fraction of realized gains were excluded from taxation.Since 2003, dividends are also tax favored with a maximum tax rate of 15%.
Source: Saez et al. (2010)
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Top
.01%
MTR
(Fed
eral
Inco
me
Tax)
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3.0%
3.5%
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4.5%
5.0%
US Top 0.01% Income Share and MTR (Piketty-Saez and Landais)
Top
0.01
% In
com
e Sh
are
Top 0.01% MTRTop 0.01% Share
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Top
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MTR
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Inco
me
Tax)
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US Top 0.01% Income Share and MTR (Piketty-Saez and Landais)
Top
0.01
% In
com
e Sh
are
Top 0.01% MTRTop 0.01% Share
log(share)=a+0.617 (0.077)*log(1-MTR)+elog(share)=a+b*t+0.666 (0.071)*log(1-MTR)+e
FIGURE 1Top Income Shares and Marginal Tax Rates, 1960-2006
Source: Updated version of Figure 8 in Saez (2004). Computations based on income tax return data.Income excludes realized capital gains, as well as Social Security and unemployment insurance benefits.The figure displays the income share (right y-axis) and the average marginal tax rate (left y-axis)(weigthed by income) for the top 1% (Panel A) and for the next 9% (Panel B) income earners.
A. Top 1% Income Share and Marginal Tax Rate
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1% M
argi
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ax R
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are
Top 1% Marginal Tax Rate Top 1% Income Share
B. Next 9% Income Share and Marginal Tax Rate
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Inco
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Next 9% Marginal Tax Rate Next 9% Income Share
Source: satistics computed by the author
FIGURE 1Top Income Shares and Marginal Tax Rates, 1960-2006
Source: Updated version of Figure 8 in Saez (2004). Computations based on income tax return data.Income excludes realized capital gains, as well as Social Security and unemployment insurance benefits.The figure displays the income share (right y-axis) and the average marginal tax rate (left y-axis)(weigthed by income) for the top 1% (Panel A) and for the next 9% (Panel B) income earners.
A. Top 1% Income Share and Marginal Tax Rate
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ax R
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are
Top 1% Marginal Tax Rate Top 1% Income Share
B. Next 9% Income Share and Marginal Tax Rate
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Next 9% Marginal Tax Rate Next 9% Income Share
Top 1% Next 9%(1) (2)
A. Tax Reform Episodes
1981 vs. 1984 (ERTA 1981) 0.60 0.21
1986 vs. 1988 (TRA 1986) 1.36 -0.20
1992 vs. 1993 (OBRA 1993) 0.45
1991 vs. 1994 (OBRA 1993) -0.39
B. Full Time Series 1960-2006
No time trends 1.71 0.01(0.31) (0.13)
Linear time trend 0.82 -0.02(0.20) (0.02)
Linear and square time trends 0.74 -0.05(0.06) (0.03)
Linear, square, and cube time trends 0.58 -0.02(0.11) (0.02)
Elasticity estimates using top income share time seriesTable 1.
Notes: Estimates in panel A are obtained using series from Figure 1 and using the formulae=[log(income share after reform)-log(income share before reform)]/[log(1- MTR afterreform)-log(1- MTR before reform)]
Estimates in Panel B are obtained by time-series regression of log(top 1% income share)on a constant, log (1 - average marginal tax rate), and polynomials time controls from 1960to 2006 (44 observations). OLS regression. Standard Errors from Newey-West with 8 lags.
Source: Saez et al. (2010)
FIGURE 5.The Top 1% Income Share and fitted Values from Elasticity Regressions
Source: Series based on regression analysis presented in Table 3, columns (1) and (5).The diamond line is the top 1% income share. The dotted line is the fitted regression curveincluding only the net-of-tax rate. The solid line is the fitted regression curve including time controls.The dashed line is the same fitted regression curve but freezes the marginal tax rate at the 1960 value.
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Income Share(t)
A+1.58*log[1-MTR(t)]
A+0.62*log[1-MTR(t)]-.018*t+.00077*t^2
A+0.62*log[1-MTR(1960)]-.018*t+.00077*t^2
Source: Feldstein (1995), p. 561
Source: Feldstein (1995), p. 565
Raj Chetty () Labor Supply Harvard, Fall 2009 166 / 227
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com
e Ta
x)
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US Top MTR ordinary income vs. capital gains
Top MTR Top MTR (capital gains)
Source: statistics computed by the author
US Top 0.1% Income Share and Composition
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Source: Piketty and Saez QJE'03, updated to 2007
Capital GainsCapital IncomeBusiness IncomeSalaries
Source: Goolsbee (2000), p. 365
Source: Goolsbee (2000), p. 365
The Top 0.01% US Income Share, Composition, and MTR
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hare
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e fo
r the
top
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Wages S-Corp.
Partnership Sole Prop.
Dividends Interest
Other MTR
Source: Saez et al. (2010)
US Top Marginal Tax Rate (Federal Individual Income Tax)
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Top
MTR
(Fed
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Indi
vidu
al In
com
e Ta
x)
Source: statistics computed by the author
US Top 0.1% Income Share and Composition
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Source: Piketty and Saez QJE'03, updated to 2007
Capital GainsCapital IncomeBusiness IncomeSalaries
Top 0.1% WAGE Share and Marginal Tax Rate in US
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WA
GE
Inco
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Top 0.1% MTR Top 0.1% Share
Source: statistics computed by the author
Top 0.1% WAGE income Share and MTR in Japan
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Top 0.1% MTR Top 0.1% Share
Source: statistics computed by the author
Note: MTR is for Federal Income Tax only
SOURCE IS LANDAIS '09Charitable contributions as a % of total income and MTR on ordinary income
Top .01% tax units, United States, 1915-2005(fractiles computed by total income excluding capital gains)
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MTR
contributions
Introduction Research Design Estimation Welfare Conclusion
I specifically focus on households located within 1 mile of the utility border
Edison (Southern California Edison) provides electricity for the north side
San Diego (San Diego Gas & Electric) provides electricity for the south side19 / 69
Source: Ito, 2011
Introduction Research Design Estimation Welfare Conclusion
In contrast, they experience substantially different nonlinear pricing
Edison and San Diego: Cents per kWh in 2002
San Diego
Edison
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Monthly Consumption
22 / 69
Source: Ito, 2011
DD = (mean % change in San Diego) - (mean % change in Edison)
Relative changes for SDG&E customers relative to SCE customers.
Panel A: Top Decile (90% - 100%) of Consumption Distributions
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Marginal Price Average Price Consumption Source: Ito, 2011
DD = (mean % change in San Diego) - (mean % change in Edison)
Relative changes for SDG&E customers relative to SCE customers.
Panel A: Top Decile (90% - 100%) of Consumption Distributions
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1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008Year
Marginal Price Average Price Consumption Source: Ito, 2011
DD = (mean % change in San Diego) - (mean % change in Edison)
Relative changes for SDG&E customers relative to SCE customers.
Panel A: Top Decile (90% - 100%) of Consumption Distributions
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Marginal Price Average Price Consumption Source: Ito, 2011
DD = (mean % change in San Diego) - (mean % change in Edison)
Relative changes for SDG&E customers relative to SCE customers.
Panel B. Fifth Decile (40% - 50%) of Consumption Distributions
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Marginal Price Average Price Consumption Source: Ito, 2011
Introduction Research Design Estimation Welfare Conclusion
Estimation results: Marginal Price v.s. Average Price
2SLS Estimates: Marginal Price vs. Average Price
Distance from border 1 mile 0.5 mile(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
ln(MP) -.087 -.007 -.092 -.009(.007) (.015) (.011) (.020)
ln(AP) -.112 -.108 -.121 -.114(.006) (.013) (.011) (.017)
Observations 6,513,600 3,520,320
Dependent variable: ln(Electricity consumption)
Standard errors are clustered at city-deciles levels
48 / 69
Source: Ito, 2011
Panel A. Marginal Tax Rate on Labor Income
Figure 2. Two Decades of Danish Tax Reform
Panel B. Marginal Tax Rate on Negative Capital Income
Panel C. Marginal Tax Rate on Positive Capital Income Panel D. Share of Taxpayers in the Three Tax Brackets
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1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Marginal Tax Rate
Bottom bracket Middle bracket Top bracket
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Marginal Tax Rate
Bottom bracket Middle bracket Top bracket
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Marginal Tax Rate
Bottom bracket Middle bracket Top bracket
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1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004
Share of all taxpayers (%)
Bottom bracket Middle bracket Top bracketSource: Kleven and Schultz '12
Figure 6. Graphical Evidence on the Effects of the 1987‐reform on Taxable Income
Panel A. Labor Income
105
110
115
120dex 1986=100)
DD1 Elasticity = 0.214 (0.011)DD2 Elasticity = 0.257 (0.013)
90
95
100
105
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Labor income (ind
Panel B. Positive Capital Income
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Treatment 1 Treatment 2 Control
130
100) DD Elasticity = 0.278 (0.063)
100
110
120
pital In
come (index 1986=1
80
90
1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993
Positive Cap
Treatment Control
Notes: Panel A considers the effect on labor income under two treatment group definitions using the grouping in Figure 3. Treatment 1 includes all
groups in Figure 3 who experience an increase in the marginal net‐of‐tax rate on labor income as a result of the reform (1986‐1989 difference),
while treatment 2 includes the same groups except those in the middle bracket ("stay middle" group in Figure 3) who experience a relatively small
net‐of‐tax rate increase. The control group includes those groups in Figure 3 who experience a decrease in the marginal net‐of‐tax rate as a result
of the reform. Panel B considers the effect on positive capital income based on the grouping in Figure 5, with the treatment (control) group defined
as those who experience an increase (decrease) in the marginal net‐of‐tax rate on positive capital income resulting from the reform. In both panels,
only taxpayers who are in the sample in every year of the period under consideration (1984‐1993) are included, and income levels in 1986 are
normalized to 100 in both treatment and control groups (without loss of generality as identification come from percentage changes over time, not
f b l l l ) h l h h d l ll l i h i h f (1982 1986) d difrom absolute levels). Both panels show that trends are extremely parallel in the years prior to the reform (1982‐1986) and start to diverge
precisely in 1987 which is the first year with tax cuts. Most of the effect of the tax reform takes place within a period of 3 years. The figure also
reports basic difference‐in‐differences estimates of the elasticity of taxable income (standard errors in parentheses), comparing treatment and
control groups over the 3‐year interval from 1986 to 1989. The estimates DD1 and DD2 in Panel A refer to treatment 1 and treatment 2,
respectively. DD estimates in both panels are based on 2SLS regressions of log income on an after‐reform time dummy, a treatment‐group dummy
and the log marginal net‐of‐tax rate, the latter variable being instrumented by the interaction of the after‐reform and treatment‐group dummies.
Source: Kleven and Schultz '12
Figure 1 : Total number of foreigners in different income groups
DD elasticity: Long−term: 1.62 (.16)Short−term: 1.28 (.15)
010
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Control #1: .8 to .9*thresholdControl #2: .9 to .99*thresholdTreatment: earnings> threshold
Control 1= annualized income between .8 and .9 of thresholdControl 2= annualized income between .9 and .995 of threshold. DD specifications
Source: Kleven, Landais, Saez, Schultz QJE (2014)
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NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands
NZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorway
PortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugal
SpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpain
SwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSweden
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
UKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUS
Elasticity= .07 (.15)
46
810
12
14
16
18
Top 1
% Incom
e S
hare
(%
)
40 50 60 70 80 90Top Marginal Tax Rate (%)
A. Top 1% Share and Top Marginal Tax Rate in 1960−4
Source: Piketty, Saez, Stantcheva AEJ-EP (2014)
AustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustralia
CanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanada
DenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmark
FinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFrance
GermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIreland
ItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItaly
JapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapan
NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands
NZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZ
NorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorway
PortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugal
SpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpain
SwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSweden
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
UKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUK
USUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUS
Elasticity= 1.90 (.43)
46
810
12
14
16
18
Top 1
% Incom
e S
hare
(%
)
40 50 60 70 80 90Top Marginal Tax Rate (%)
B. Top 1% Share and Top Marginal Tax Rate in 2005−9
Source: Piketty, Saez, Stantcheva AEJ-EP (2014)
AustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustralia
CanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanada
DenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmark
FinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinland
FranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFrance
GermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermany
IrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIreland
ItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItaly
JapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapan
NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands
NZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZ
NorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugal
SpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpain
SwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSweden
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
UKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUK
USUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSElasticity= .47 (.11)
02
46
81
0C
ha
ng
e in
To
p 1
% I
nco
me
Sh
are
(p
oin
ts)
−40 −30 −20 −10 0 10Change in Top Marginal Tax Rate (points)
Change in Top Tax Rate and Top 1% Share, 1960-4 to 2005-9
Source: Piketty, Saez, Stantcheva AEJ-EP (2014)
Top tax rates and top 1% income share 1960-2009
Piketty, Saez & Stantcheva () Three Elasticities November 2012 33 / 62
AustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanada DenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmark
FinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinland
FranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermany
IrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIreland
ItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItaly
JapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapan
NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands
NZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZ
NorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorway
PortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugal
SpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpain
SwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSweden
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
UKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUS
12
34
GD
P p
er
ca
pita
re
al a
nn
ua
l g
row
th (
%)
−40 −30 −20 −10 0 10Change in Top Marginal Tax Rate (points)
A. Growth and Change in Top Marginal Tax Rate
Change in Top Tax Rate and GDP per capita growth since 1960
Source: Piketty, Saez, Stantcheva AEJ-EP (2014)
AustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaAustraliaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanadaCanada DenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmarkDenmark
FinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinlandFinland
FranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFranceFrance
GermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermanyGermany
IrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIrelandIreland
ItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItalyItaly
JapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapanJapan NetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlandsNetherlands
NZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZNZ
NorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorwayNorway
PortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugalPortugal
SpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSpainSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSwedenSweden
SwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerlandSwitzerland
UKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUKUK
USUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUSUS
12
34
GD
P p
er
ca
pita
re
al a
nn
ua
l g
row
th (
%)
−40 −30 −20 −10 0 10Change in Top Marginal Tax Rate (points)
B. Growth (adjusted for initial 1960 GDP)
Change in Top Tax Rate and GDP per capita growth since 1960
Source: Piketty, Saez, Stantcheva AEJ-EP (2014)
Top tax rates and average growth 1960-2009
) No or signi�cantly negativeUsing Growth e¤ect = top 1% share � e1 and e¤ect � 0.02) e1 � 0.2
Given e � 0.5, e3 � 0.3
Piketty, Saez & Stantcheva () Three Elasticities November 2012 36 / 62
Australia
Belgium
Canada
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States Elasticity= 1.97 (.27)1.
01.
52.
02.
53.
03.
5C
EO p
ay($
milli
on, l
ogs
cale
)
.4 .5 .6 .7 .8Top Income Marginal Tax Rate
A. Average CEO compensation
Piketty, Saez & Stantcheva () Three Elasticities November 2012 50 / 62
Australia
Belgium
Canada
France
Germany
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden
Switzerland
United Kingdom
United States
Elasticity= 1.90 (.29)1.
01.
52.
02.
53.
03.
5C
EO
pay
($ m
illio
n, lo
gsc
ale)
with
con
trols
.4 .5 .6 .7 .8Top Income Marginal Tax Rate
B. Average CEO compensation with controls
Piketty, Saez & Stantcheva () Three Elasticities November 2012 51 / 62
International CEO Pay: Governance
Piketty, Saez & Stantcheva () Three Elasticities November 2012 53 / 62
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1916
19
21
1926
19
31
1936
19
41
1946
19
51
1956
19
61
1966
19
71
1976
19
81
1986
19
91
1996
20
01
2006
20
11
Capital Gains
Capital Income
Business Income
Salaries
Source: Piketty and Saez, 2003 updated to 2013. Series based on pre-tax cash market income including or excluding realized capital gains, and always excluding government transfers.
US Top 0.1% Pre-‐Tax Income Share and Composi:on
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
01
00
Ma
rgin
al T
ax R
ate
s (
%)
05
10
15
20
25
To
p 1
% I
nco
me
Sh
are
s (
%)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% Share Top MTR
Top 1% (excl. KG) MTR K gains
Tax Avoidance: Top 1% Income Shares and Top MTR
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
01
00
Ma
rgin
al T
ax R
ate
(%
)
01
00
20
03
00
40
05
00
Re
al In
co
me
pe
r a
du
lt (
19
13
=1
00
)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% Top MTR
Bottom 99%
Top 1% and Bottom 99% Income Growth
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
01
00
Ma
rgin
al T
ax R
ate
s (
%)
05
10
15
20
25
To
p 1
% I
nco
me
Sh
are
s (
%)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% (excluding Capital Gains) Top MTR
Top 1% Income Share and Top MTR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25% 19
62
1967
1972
1977
1982
1987
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
Top
Mar
gina
l Tax
Rat
e
Top
1% In
com
e Sh
are
Top 1% pre-tax income share and top tax rates
Top 1% income share Top MTR (right scale) K gains top MTR
Source: Top 1% income share: Piketty and Saez, 2003 updated to 2015, series including realized capital gains. Top MTR include Federal individual tax + uncapped FICA payroll tax.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12% 19
62
1967
1972
1977
1982
1987
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
Realized capital gains
Income excluding capital gains
USTop0.1%IncomeShareandComposi7on
Source: Piketty and Saez, 2003 updated to 2015. Series based on pre-tax cash market income including realized capital gains, and always excluding government transfers.
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9% 19
62
1967
1972
1977
1982
1987
1992
1997
2002
2007
2012
Dividends
Other capital income
Business income
Salaries
Source: Piketty and Saez, 2003 updated to 2015. Series based on pre-tax cash market income ex cluding realized capital gains, and always excluding government transfers.
USTop0.1%IncomeShareandComposi7on(excl.Kgains)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90% 1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014Ch
arita
blegivingoftop
1%to
meanincome
Charitable Giving of Top 1% Income Earners
Mean charitable giving of top 1% divided by mean income [left y-axis]
Source: The figure depicts average charitable giving of top 1% incomes (normalized by average income per family) on the left y-axis.
Source: Saez TPE 2017
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90% 1962
1966
1970
1974
1978
1982
1986
1990
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
2014
Top1%
incomeshare
Charita
blegivingoftop
1%to
meanincome
Charitable Giving of Top 1% Income Earners
Mean charitable giving of top 1% divided by mean income [left y-axis]
Top 1% Income Share [right y-axis]
Source: The figure depicts average charitable giving of top 1% incomes (normalized by average income per family) on the left y-axis. For comparison, the figure reports the top 1% income share (on the right y-axis).
Source: Saez TPE 2017
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
100
Mar
gina
l Tax
Rat
es (%
)
05
1015
2025
Top
1% In
com
e Sh
are
(%)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% (excluding Capital Gains) Top MTR
Top 1% Reported Income Share and Top MTR
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
100
Mar
gina
l Tax
Rat
es (%
)
05
1015
2025
Top
1% In
com
e Sh
ares
(%)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% Share Top MTRTop 1% (excl. KG) MTR K gains
Tax Avoidance: Top 1% Income Shares and Top MTR
010
2030
4050
6070
8090
100
Mar
gina
l Tax
Rat
e (%
)
010
020
030
040
050
0R
eal I
ncom
e pe
r adu
lt (1
913=
100)
1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013Year
Top 1% Top MTRBottom 99%
Top 1% and Bottom 99% Income Growth
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Top 1% Pre-Tax Income Share, 1913-2018
Piketty-Saez-Zucman (comprehensive income)
Piketty-Saez (reported income with capital gains)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Top 1% Pre-Tax Income Share, 1913-2018
Piketty-Saez (reported income with capital gains)