Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health...

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Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies Luxembourg, 4 th June 2007 Bianca Cox

Transcript of Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health...

Page 1: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY

SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH

Comparison of HLY from different health

surveys

4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies

Luxembourg, 4th June 2007

Bianca Cox

Page 2: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Introduction

● EHEMU Information System :

Health expectancies for 25 European countries

● Demographic data Eurostat + national statistical centers

● Health data Eurostat, DG SANCO, Mannheim University

from different European surveys

Page 3: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Introduction

Page 4: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Introduction

● Are the health expectancies for a given country comparable between the surveys?

● Surveys carried out in the same year (2004):

ESS, SHARE, SILC

Common health indicators :● Self-Percieved Health (SPH) ● Activity Limitation (AL)

Page 5: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Data

● Health expectanciescomparison WITHIN country :

same demographic data

● Raw health data (prevalences)

● Self-Percieved Health : good, fair, bad 

● Activity Limitation : without, moderate, severe

Average over 5-year age groups: 50-54, 55-59,…, 85+

Page 6: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Analyses

● Health expectancies : graphical exploration● Prevalences : logistic regression

Separate model for each health state and gender

● Overall models :● Main effects : survey, agegr, country● Interactions : survey*agegr, survey*country, agegr*country

● Country-specific models :● Main effects : survey, agegr● Interactions : survey*agegr

Odds ratio estimates of one survey vs the other for agegroups 50, 65 and 85+

Page 7: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Graphical exploration SPH health expectancies

Self-Percieved Health: males age 65SWESPAPORNETLUXITAIREGREGERFRAFINESTDENAUS BEL SWI

0123456789

1011121314151617181920

ES SH SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SH ES SH SI ES SI SH SI ES SI ES SH ES SI ES SH SI ES SH SI ES SH

Country/Survey

He

alt

h e

xp

ec

tan

cy

Very good & good Fair Very bad & bad

Self-Percieved Health: males age 85

SWIBELAUS DEN EST FIN FRA GER GRE IRE ITA LUX NET POR SPA SWE

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

ES SH SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SH ES SH SI ES SI SH SI ES SI ES SH ES SI ES SH SI ES SH SI ES SH

Country/Survey

Healt

h e

xp

ecta

ncy

Very good & good Fair Very bad & bad

Page 8: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Graphical exploration AL health expectancies

Activity Limitation: males age 65SWIBELAUS DEN EST FIN FRA GER GRE IRE ITA LUX NET POR SPA SWE

0

1

23

4

5

6

78

9

10

1112

13

14

15

1617

18

19

ES SH SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SH ES SH SI ES SI SH SI ES SI ES SH ES SI ES SH SI ES SH SI ES SH

Country/Survey

He

alt

h e

xp

ec

tan

cy

Without Moderate Severe

Activity Limitation: males age 85

SWESPAPORNETLUXITAIREGREGERFRAFINESTDENAUS BEL SWI

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

ES SH SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SI ES SI ES SH SI ES SH ES SH SI ES SI SH SI ES SI ES SH ES SI ES SH SI ES SH SI ES SH

Country/Survey

Healt

h e

xp

ecta

ncy

Without Moderate Severe

Page 9: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Graphical exploration health expectancies

● Common trend in some countries :● Self-Perceived Health :

● Good : SHARE > ESS > SILC● Bad : SHARE < ESS < SILC

● Activity Limitation :● Without : ESS > SILC > SHARE● Severe : ESS < SHARE < SILC

● Confidence intervals of health expectancies :

SILC << SHARE < ESS

Page 10: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

● Overall models :● Survey*agegr, survey*country, agegr*country

● SPH: sign. in all 6 models● AL: sign. in 4 models (not in ♀ models for “without” & “severe”)

● Effect of survey different for different age groups and countries

● Country-specific models :● Odds ratio estimates of one survey vs the other for age

groups 50, 65 and 85+

Results : Logistic models on prevalences

Page 11: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Logistic models on SPH prevalences

+ or - odds ratio > 1 or odds ratio < 1A & B number of models with a significant odds ratioC number of models with a odds ratio > 1

Page 12: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Agegr 50 Agegr 65 Agegr 85

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI

min median max

Agegr 85Agegr 65Agegr 50

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI

min median max

Agegr 85Agegr 65Agegr 50

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI

min median max

Agegr 50 Agegr 65 Agegr 85

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI SH - ES ES - SI SH - SI

min median max

Results : Distribution of odds ratio estimates for SPH

Good SPH males Good SPH females

Bad SPH males Bad SPH females

SH > ES > SI

SH (<) ES < SI

Page 13: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Logistic models on AL prevalences

+ or - odds ratio > 1or odds ratio < 1A & B number of models with a significant odds ratioC number of models with a odds ratio > 1

Page 14: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Results : Distribution of odds ratio estimates for AL

Without AL males Without AL females

Severe AL males Severe AL females

Agegr 85Agegr 65Agegr 50

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH

min median max

Agegr 50 Agegr 65 Agegr 85

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH

min median max

Agegr 85Agegr 65Agegr 50

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH

min median max

Agegr 85Agegr 65Agegr 50

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH ES - SI SI - SH ES - SH

min median max

ES > SI > SH

ES < SH < SI

Page 15: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Discussion

● Significant effect of survey, different for different age groups and countries

● Still : odds ratios show common trend across age groups and countries

● Good SPH : SH > ES > SI ● Bad SPH : SH (<) ES < SI● Without AL : ES > SI > SH● Severe AL : ES < SH < SI

● Significance of odds ratios increases with age but also the variability in the distribution of the odds ratio estimates chance effects due to smaller sample sizes

Page 16: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Discussion

● Possible reasons for differences between surveys :

● Different sampling designs :Sr = Simple random sampling

Systrs = Systematic random sampling

Stratrs = Stratified random sampling

Ms = Multi-stage sampling

Final sampling units: P = Persons

H = Households

A = Addresses

T = Telephone numbers

D = Dwellings

But : Sampling design depends more on country than on survey

Survey design often constrained by what is available in the country

Page 17: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Discussion

● Possible reasons for differences between surveys :

● Different selection bias : e.g. participation / item response● Different sample sizes : SILC > SHARE > ESS● Different position in questionnaire● Differences in wording:

● SPH : “ How is your health in general ? ”

ESS & SILC general questionnaires : “health” further specified (f.e. including mental health) in footnote or between brackets

Also in country-specific questionnaires or spoken out by interviewer ??

Page 18: Unit of EPIDEMIOLOGY SCIENTIFIC INSTITUTE OF PUBLIC HEALTH Comparison of HLY from different health surveys 4th Meeting of the Task Force on Health Expectancies.

Discussion

● AL :

- ESS : “ Are you hampered in your daily activities in any way by any longstanding illness, or disability, infirmity or mental health problem ? ”

- SHARE & SILC : “ For the past six months at least, to what extent have you been limited because of a health problem in activities people usually do ? ”