UB Investor Presentation H January...

41
1 UBH Investor Presentation January 2015

Transcript of UB Investor Presentation H January...

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UBH Investor Presentation

January 2015

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Forward-looking statements

Statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and forward looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian legislation. These forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and assumptions concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and factors, many of which are outside Precision's control, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by Precision and described in the forward looking statements. These forward-looking statements are also affected by the risk factors, challenges and uncertainties described in Precision's Annual Report on Form 40-F (Annual Information Form in Canada) for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2013, and those set forth from time to time in Precision's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the securities regulatory authorities in each of the Provinces of Canada, which are available through Precision's website at www.precisiondrilling.com.

No assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking statements will transpire or occur or, if any of them do so, what benefits will be derived therefrom. Security holders, potential investors and other readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements which speak only as of the date made. Except as may be required by law, Precision expressly disclaims any intention or obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements and information whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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Update on Current Market Environment

Commodity price volatility is reality of our business

Precision positioned to handle down market

Fleet of in demand Tier 1 assets

Strong balance sheet and liquidity position

Excellent customer base Strong contract coverage Geographically diversified Operational strategy

suited for development drilling

Experienced organization and management team

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Tier 1 Fleet Well Positioned 1

61 6677

105110

119 121

4854

67

8387

97113

93

2011

188

144

3

200

2012 2015 To Date

2014

221

6

240

2010

120

2009

109

2008 Year End

5

2013

International

U.S.

Canada

1) As of January 5, 2015 - Includes 17 newbuilds that are yet to be delivered (16 for United States and 1 International). Does not include prospective tier upgrades.

+147

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Balance Sheet Strength

$1.3 billion in available liquidity(1)

Only debt obligations are long-term No principal payments due until 2019 Average interest rate of 6.2%

Long track record of maintaining financial flexibility

Available liquidity as of 9/30/2014(2)

Revolver / operating facilities Availability

Cash

$1,317

$759

$558

1) Calculated as undrawn portion of revolver (adjusted for LCs outstanding) and cash using

CAD/USD exchange rate and balance sheet numbers as at 9/30/14.

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Average market capitalization of $26.9 billion.2

Primarily public companies, National Oil Companies (“NOC”), and well capitalized privates.

Accounts for approximately 80% of total revenue.

Well Capitalized Customer Base

5%

Public

Private

NOC 7%

88%

1 Includes Canada, U.S. and International operations. Based on revenue YTD through 9/30/2014. 2 As of January 5th 2015.

Top 50 Customers 1

YTD Revenue Contribution of Top 50 Customers

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Contract Coverage Provides Visibility

Average Term Contract by Quarter

0

25

50

75

100

125

Q1’14

122

Q4’13 Q2’14 Q3’14

120

112 114

110 113

125

Q2’13 Q3’13 Q1’13

International

Canada

US

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Increasing Diversification of Revenue Contribution

44%

7%

49%

U.S.

Canada

International

46%

3%

51%

2012 2013

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Competitive Strategy Suits Development Drilling

PEOPLE

DRILLING TECHNOLOGY

SYSTEMS & SCALE

LOWER RISK

MAXIMUM EFFICIENCY

ATTRACTIVE RETURNS

PRODUCES

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Fully Industrialized Resource Development – Multi-well Pads

Maximum Efficiency

Repeatability + Predictability

Risk Minimization

Technology deployment

Long-term economic mindset

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Positioned In Most Active North American Regions Positioned in Most Active North American Regions

Dots representative of areas where Precision has had operations within the past two years

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High Performance People

Career Path Management

Field Training

Investments

Structured Promotion

Programs

Long-term

Compensation

Programs

Permanent Training

Facilities with Fully

Functioning Rigs

Leadership Development Programs

World-Class

Safety Culture

and Processes

Tier 1 Assets

EXPERIENCED,

HIGHLY SKILLED

PRECISION CREWS

Precision HR Training and Processes

Structured Competency Standards

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High Performance Requires Robust Proven Systems And Scale

Toughnecks talent acquisition program processed 44,274 applications and hired 2,798 people in 2013

3,992 employees completed training through Precision Tech Centers in 2013

1,636 in Houston, Texas

2,356 in Red Deer, Alberta

Houston Tech Center

Tech Center Repair

Engineering Systems

Integrated Rig Supply

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Unique Schlumberger Alliance Drives Efficiency

Maximum efficiency

Reliability

More productive

drilling programs

Better field economics

Precision field execution

and customer interface

Schlumberger downhole tools

& technology, training &

engineering support

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Focused Geographic Markets

Middle East 4 active rigs in Saudi Arabia (3

active, 1 deployment late 2014)

2 active rigs in Kurdistan

3 rigs in Kuwait (2 active, 1 deployment mid 2015)

1 rig in Georgia (Q1 2015)

Focus on deep high pressure drilling

Specialized customer needs

Mexico 6 rigs in Mexico

Focus on IPM support

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International Revenue Growth

Inte

rna

tio

na

l R

eve

nu

e (

mil

lio

n)

‘$50

‘$30

‘$20

‘$40

‘$0

‘$10

$60

Q3’13 Q3’12 Q4’13 Q4’12 Q2’13 Q1’13 Q2’12 Q1’14

+28%

Q2’14 Q1’12 Q3’14

Initiated Saudi with 3 Rigs

Deployed additional 3 Rigs to Mexico

Initiated Kurdistan with 2 Rigs

Revenue

Late Q2 2014 - Initiated Kuwait with 2 Rigs

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Completion & Production Segment: Full Well Cycle Exposure

Largest well service provider in Canada and growing presence in U.S.

Over 200 Well Service, Snubbing and Coil Tubing rigs

Large fleet of high value rental equipment

Camps and Catering

Excellent footprint in Canada and Northern U.S.

Existing asset base supports solid cash flow generation

Focus on maximizing cash flow

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Q3 2014 Performance – Comparatively Strong

-9%

7%

14%16%

17%20%

Peer E Peer D Peer C Peer B Peer A PD

1%

12%13%13%

24%

45%

Peer E Peer D Peer C Peer B Peer A PD -5%

0%

1%2%

9%

6%

Peer D Peer E Peer C Peer B PD Peer A

EBITDA Margin Change YoY Revenue Growth YoY EBITDA Growth YoY

2%

4%

10%

15%

19%20%

Peer E Peer D Peer C Peer B Peer A PD

-1%

13%14%15%

6%

Peer D Peer C Peer B Peer A PD

-10%-9%

5%

20%

Peer A PD Peer C Peer B

U.S. Revenue Days Growth YoY

Canadian Revenue Days Growth YoY

International Revenue Days Growth YoY

Peer group includes; ESI, TDG, HP, NBR, PTEN. Dependent on reporting data and geographic operations.

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Revenue and EBITDA Trends Positive

$2,400

$2,200

$2,000

$1,800

$1,600

$1,400

$1,200

$1,000

$800

$600

$400

$200

$0

Q3 2014

Q2 2014

Q1 2014

Q4 2013

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

Q1 2013

Q4 2012

+15%

$600

$700

$400

$800

$500

$300

$200

$100

$0

Q3 2014

Q2 2014

Q1 2014

Q4 2013

Q3 2013

Q2 2013

Q1 2013

Q4 2012

+24%

TTM Revenue (millions)

TTM EBITDA (millions)

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Capital Spending Highlights 1

2015 Planned Capital Spending

1) Canadian dollar amount in millions. As of December 8th ,2014

Total: $493 million

$320

$195

$187

$721

2015 – $493 million

Construction and delivery of 16 newbuild Super Series rigs (1st half of the year)

15 to U.S. (multiple basins)

1 to Kuwait

2014 – $885 million

Delivery of 18 newbuild Super Series rigs

8 to U.S.

7 to Canada

3 to Middle East

Upgrade approximately 17 rigs

Infrastructure investments

$381

$112

Maintenance & Infrastructure

Expansion & Upgrades

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Precision Drilling Investment Merits

Leading North American resource driller

High Performance Tier 1 fleet of rigs

Strong balance sheet > $1.3 billion in liquidity

Excellent customer base and geographic diversity

Experienced organization and management team

Dividend yield > 4%

TSX: PD NYSE: PDS

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Appendix

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January North American Market Update

Tier 1 demand remains solid with overall activity beginning to decline.

• Tier 1 utilization approximately 80% to 90%.

• Precision operates 223 Tier 1 rigs (121 Canada, 97 U.S. and 5 internationally).

• 26 new build deliveries from Q4 ‘14 through mid-2015.

• Provides additional contracted cash flow visibility.

• Tier 2 demand declining (approximately 30% utilization).

In Canada, rig count for the industry was above the 5 year seasonal average, for most of Q4.

• Q1 2015 peak industry activity likely 15% to 20% below peak Q1 2014 levels.

Precision horizontal/directional activity: 86% in U.S. and 75% in Canada in Q4.

Demand for C & P services in Canada remains depressed, but business is generating cash.

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0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Ca

na

dia

n A

cti

ve

La

nd

Rig

Co

un

t

5 Year Range, 2010 - 2014 2013 2014 2015

Canadian Activity Update

2011

Source: BHI

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Oil Drilling Dominates Activity

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

U.S

. A

cti

ve

La

nd

Rig

Co

un

t

Oil GasSource: BHI

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Unconventional Development Driving Horizontal Drilling Market

400

700

1,000

1,300

1,600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

U.S

. A

cti

ve H

ori

zo

nta

l L

an

d R

ig C

ou

nt

Source: BHI, as of January 5th 2015

Tier 1 newbuilds

Integrated Directional Drilling

Schlumberger alliance

Rig upgrade program

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Precision Horizontal Leadership

81%

93%

Precision Industry

80%

88%

Precision Industry

1. Precision Q3 2014 Average. 2. Baker Hughes rig count average for Q3 2014. 3. Rolling 12 month average as at September 30th, 2014.

United States 1,2 Canada 3

Percentage of Horizontal/Directional Wells

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Commodity • Vertical gas • Vertical gas • Vertical oil • Horizontal gas emerges

• Horizontal gas, development mode • Horizontal oil/liquids growth • Vertical oil • Vertical gas declining

Customers • Small independents • Highly cyclic customer

demand

• Large cap independents • Mid cap independents • Small cap independents

• Integrated oil companies • National oil companies • Large cap independents • Mid cap independents • More stable demand

Unconventional Basins

• Oil Sands • U.S. focused • 3 to 5 basins

• U.S. and Canada • Emerging Internationally • 20+ basins

Barriers to Entry & Competitive Advantage

• Low barriers • No differentiation

• Rig ownership • Capital • Technology bifurcation

emerging • High performance contractors

emerge • Shortage of Tier 1 rigs

• Technology bifurcation complete • Rig efficiency dominates • Scale benefits apparent • Capital needs large • Established track record • Robust support systems • Tier 1 market undersupplied

North American Market Has Transitioned To Industrialized Resource Drilling

1985-2005 Reservoir Drilling

2005-2010 Resource Drilling Emergence

2010-PRESENT Industrial Resource Drilling

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Proposed Canadian LNG Projects

1. Source: Risky Business: This issue of timing, entry and performance in the Asia-Pacific LNG Market, The School of Public Policy SPP Research Papers, University of Calgary

• Source basins include Montney, Horn River, Duvernay, and Fort Liard

• 26 Bcf 1 of export capacity has been approved by the National Energy Board of Canada

• BC government revised tax structure in October

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Proposed LNG Export Facilities in British Colombia

Source: The School of Public Policy SPP Research Papers, University of Calgary

Location Asset Name Ownership

Capacity

(Bcf/d) 1NEB Export Application

Status and Length

NEB Maximum Annual

Export Allowance (Bcf/d) 1Expected

Start Date

Kitimat, B.C. Douglas Channel Energy

Project

Haisla Nation/LNG Partners

(50%), Golar LNG (25%),

unnamed Asian investor (25%)

0.3 Approved; 20 years 0.3 2015

Kitimat, B.C. Kitimat LNG Terminal Apache Canada Ltd. (50%),

Chevron Corp. (50%)

0.7 Approved; 20 years 1.6 2017

Kitimat, B.C. Kitsault Kitsault Energy and a

Memorandum of Understanding

signed “with an Asian oil and gas

major”

0.7 Under Review; 25 years 0.4 2017

Woodfibre, B.C. Woodfibre, B.C. Woodfibre (Pacific Oil & Gas

Group)

0.3 Approved; 25 years 0.4 2017

Kitimat or Prince

Rupert, B.C.

Triton LNG AltaGas Ltd. (50%), Idemitsu

Kosan Co. (50%)

0.3 Approved; 25 years 3.4 2017

Lelu Island, Port

Edward, B.C.

Pacific Northwest

LNG

Petronas (62%), SINOPEC (15%),

Indian Oil Corp. (10%), Japex

(10%), Petroleum Brunei (3%)

1.7 Approved; 25 years 1.9 2018

Campbell River, B.C. Discovery LNG Quicksilver Resources Canada,

and a “to-be-determined third

party”

0.0 None 5.0 2019

Kitimat, B.C. LNG Canada Terminal Shell Canada Ltd. (40%),

Mitsubishi Corp. (20%), Korea

Gas Corp. (20%), PetroChina

(20%)

1.7 Approved; 25 years 3.6 2020

Kitimat or Prince

Rupert, B.C.

WCC LNG Imperial Oil Ltd. (50%),

ExxonMobil Canada (50%)

1.4 - 2.1 Approved; 25 years 3.9 2021 - 2022

Ridley Island, Prince

Rupert, B.C.

Prince Rupert LNG BG Group 2.0 Approved; 25 years 0.5 2021

Grassy Point, B.C. (13) Aurora LNG Nexen (60%), Inpex Corp. and

JGC Corp. (40%)

3.4 Approved; 25 years 2021 -2023

Stewart, B.C. Stewart Energy LNG Canada Stewart Energy Group Ltd. 0.7 - 4.2 Under review; 25 years 2017

Grassy Point, B.C. TBA Woodside Petroleum 0.0 None

Vancouver, B.C. Tilbury LNG WesPac Midstream LLC 0.4 Under review; 25 years 2016

1. Capacity converted from MMTPA to Bcf/d at 1 Bcf per 7.059MMTPA.

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Precision Commands Leadership In Canadian LNG

Approved export capacity of 26Bcf/day 1

Opportunity for 20 to 25 rigs per Bcf of export capacity

Longer-term demand source

Require deeper Tier 1 rigs

ST-1200 and ST-1500 rigs ideal for type of development Pad walking Potential year around operations

Well capitalized players funding projects

Want long-term partners with proven

track record

Precision has won approximately half of the awarded LNG related new builds

ST-1500 deployed in Northwestern Alberta in February 2014

1. Source: Risky Business: This issue of timing, entry and performance in the Asia-Pacific LNG Market, The School of Public Policy SPP Research Papers, University of Calgary

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PD Tier 1 + Tier 2 & PSST 1

109 120144

188200

221240

140 126

126

108103

99

99103 109 67 26

24

22

22

2015 To Date

361

2014

342

2013

327

2012

322

2011

337

2010

355

2009

352

PSSt

Tier 1

Tier 2

1) As of January 5, 2015 - Includes 17 newbuilds that are yet to be delivered (16 for United States and 1 International). Does not include prospective tier upgrades.

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High Performance Horizontal Drilling Machines

Precision’s Tier 1 Super Series Fleet

Super Triple 1500 1 Super Triple 1200 2 Super Single

1) ST1500 – requires as few as 42 truck loads in addition to 12 loads of tubular and any operator rental loads 2) ST1200 – requires as few as 36 truck loads in addition to 10 loads of tubular and any operator rental loads

Rapid mobility: ● Walking/skidding system ● Location to location ● Sophisticated connections

Smart design: ● Small footprint ● Integrated components ● Cold weather operations

Automation & safety features:

● Pipe handling ● Electronics and hydraulics ● Advanced control systems

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Revenue and Activity Growth in Non-Canadian Drilling

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200$300

$250

$200

$150

$100

$50

$0

Q2 2014

$252

Q1 2014

$247

Q4 2013

$244

Q3 2013

$205

Q2 2013

$204

Q1 2013

$199

Q4 2012

$226

Q3 2012

$215

Q2 2012

$217

Q1 2012

$224

Q3 2014

$275

PD U.S. Drilling Revenue U.S. Industry Avg. Rig Count PD International Revenue

PD

U.S

. a

nd

In

tern

ati

on

al

Re

ve

nu

e (

$ m

illi

on

s)

U.S

. Ind

ustry

Avg

. Rig

Co

un

t *

* Baker Hughes Quarterly Avg. Rig Count

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International Activity Expected to Increase

Assumptions:

• Utilization levels through 9/30/14 are maintained.

• All rigs operate at 100% utilization after delivery.

5,047

365

365

3,952 365

Georgia 2000HP Rig Contribution

Saudi ST-2000

Contribution

9/30/14 YTD

Annualized

Q3 2015P Annualized Run Rate

Kuwait ST-1500

Contribution

Acti

vit

y D

ays

2,964

9/30/14 YTD

Deployed Q4 2014

To be deployed Q1 2015

To be deployed Q3 2015

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Top U.S. Operators Recognize Precision’s Value

Precision has grown its customer base, working for 9 out of 10 of today’s most active U.S. E&P companies, compared to just four of those companies in 2007.

* Represents revenue of over $1 million in a calendar year for the most active E&P companies as of Q2 2014.

4 out of 10 9 out of 10

2007 2013

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Precision’s Canadian Dayrate Growth

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

$20,000

$18,000

$16,000

$14,000

$12,000

$24,000

$22,000

Q2

Q3

Q1

Q4

Average Quarterly Dayrate

Year over year, quarterly average increase of 11% from 2010 to 2013

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Balance Sheet Strength

1) Statistics refer to balance sheet and annual income statement as of 9/30/14. Debt to total capital equals long-term debt to long-term debt plus equity. Interest coverage equals EBITDA divided by interest.

2) Calculated as undrawn portion of revolver (adjusted for LCs outstanding) and cash using CAD/USD exchange rate and balance sheet numbers as at 9/30/14.

3) Current blended cash interest cost of our debt is approximately 6.2%.

Attractive Capital Structure (1)

Total debt to total capital: 41% Net debt to total capital: 33% Interest coverage: 7.3x

Long maturity, low cost debt Average interest rate of 6.2%

First Principal Payment due 2019 (3)

2019: $200 million 2020: US$650 million 2021: US$400 million 2024: US$400 million

Flexibility to react to market upturn or downturn

Available liquidity as of 9/30/2014(2)

$1,317

$558

$759

Revolver / operating facilities Availability

Cash

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Strategy Benchmarking and Measurement Delivers Shareholder Value

Financial

Metrics

Operational

Metrics

• Operating Earnings

• Return on Capital Employed

• Total Shareholder Return

• Safety Performance

• Mechanical Downtime

• Employee Retention

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Precision Schlumberger Alliance Advantage

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Ho

le D

ep

th (

me

ters

)

Drilling Days

Competitor Rig 1 with Third Party Directional Provider

Competitor Rig 2 with Third Party Directional Provider

Competitor Rig 3 with Third Party Directional Provider

PD Rig 1 with Third Party Directional Provider

PD Rig 2 with PD Schlumberger Alliance

Drilled 600m Further than Pacesetter

4.1 Days Faster than Pacesetter

Initial Pacesetter

Drilling Performance Curve

Page 41: UB Investor Presentation H January 2015s2.q4cdn.com/639056707/...corporation-investorpresentation-january.pdfInvestor Presentation . H . January 2015. 2 . ... Statements that are not

41

800, 525-8th Avenue S.W.

Calgary, Alberta, Canada T2P 1G1

Telephone: 403.716.4500

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www.precisiondrilling.com