TRENDS SHAPING EDUCATION

Tracey Burns

16 May 2018

Trends Shaping Education

2

Intention and purpose

Inform strategic thinking

Stimulate reflection about

the future of education

Not a statistical

compendium nor a

prescription for policy

Spotlights

Intention and purpose

Explore specific trends

and their link to education

Just released:

No 14: Good Vibrations

and Student Well-being

3

Trends Shaping Education: Users and uses

Researchers/academics

• OECD, UNESCO, UNICEF

Policy makers

• Ministry retreats

• Presentation in parliament

Educational practitioners

• Inclusion in teacher education

curriculums

Students

• Tool in classrooms

Trends Shaping Education 2016

5

1

GlobalisationA brave new

world

The future of the

nation state

Are cities the new

countries?Family matters

5432

Five thematic chapters:

“Big picture” “micro” level

Globalisation

6

Question:Starbucks was launched in 1971 in Pike Place Market in Seattle. It has since grown into a major multinational. How many countries does Starbucks currently operate in?

a. 35

b. 52

c. 67

Globalisation

Globalisation

8Source: H&M (2015), H&M Worldwide website; Inditex (2015), Our History, Inditex website; Tarzian, JoanMarie (2015), Santander Corporate Communication – International Media Relations; Starbucks (2015), Company Information, Starbucks website; Hoover, Joan (2015), Apple Investor Relations; Spencer, Graham (2015), Contributor, Macstories.

Global expansion of multinational companies

The global reach of five companies in food services, garments, banking, and technology,

1988-2015

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Nu

mb

er

of

Co

un

trie

s

Starbucks

Inditex

H&M

Apple

Question:Renewable energies are an important way to reduce the use of fossil fuels. Which country is the single largest producer of electricity from renewable energies?

a. China

b. Canada

c. United States

Globalisation

Globalisation

10Source: IEA (2015), Medium-term Renewable Energy Market Report 2015, OECD/IEA, Paris; IEA (2015), Energy Technology

Perspectives 2015, OECD/IEA, Paris.

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2025

Ele

ctri

city

ge

ne

rati

on

(T

Wh

)

OECD China India Brazil Rest of non-OECD

Historical Forecast2 DS

Target

Total renewable power generation by region

Total renewable electricity generation by region, Terawatt hours (TWh), 1990-2025

The future of the nation-state

11

Question:On average across OECD countries, the number of managerial positions held by women has increased by 11% between 2000-2012. In which country has it increased most?

a. Italy

b. Chile

c. Luxembourg

The nation state

The future of the nation-state

13Source: International Labour Organization (2015), Global Report, Women in Business and Management Gaining Momentum.

More female managers

Percentage of managerial positions held by women in private and public sectors, 2000-

2012

26,9

32,7

14,3

18

23,625,8

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

% o

f fe

male

man

ag

ers

2000 2012

%

The nation state

Question:What is the fastest growing cause of death among OECD countries?

A. Diabetes

B. Respiratory disease

C. Cancer

14

The future of the nation-state

15Source: OECD (2013) OECD Stat: Health Status: Causes of Mortality.

Changing causes of death

The top causes of death (left axis) and the fastest growing causes of death (right axis) in

OECD countries, 1960-2012

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

To

p n

ew

per

100,0

00

To

p 4

per

100,0

00

Circulatory Cancer Respiratory External

Diabetes Dementia Alzheimer'sRight axis :

Left axis:

Are cities the new countries?

Question:The world’s first bicycle-sharing system was launched in Copenhagen in 1995. At least how many cities worldwide now have such programmes?

A. 275

B. 400

C. 650

16

Are cities the new countries?

17Source: Meddin, R (2015), The Bike-sharing World Map and Metrobits (2015), World Metro Database.

The urban commute

All metro and bike share systems in OECD and BRIICS countries

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1863 1873 1883 1893 1903 1913 1923 1933 1943 1953 1963 1973 1983 1993 2003 2013

Metro

OECD BRICS

0

200

400

600

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Bike Share

Costs

House prices

Benefits

Congestion

Contagion

Pollution

Crime

Citizen Engagement

Productivity

Wages

Culture

Innovation

Are cities the new countries?

Family matters

19

Government Policy

Changing family values

Ageing

Child Well-being

Marriage and

divorce

HealthHousehold budgets

Family matters

Question:In 1990, the average age for women’s first marriage was 25. What is the average age now?

A. 28

B. 30

C. 32

20

Family matters

21Source: Eurostat (2015), Marriage and divorces data.

Marriage age is rising

Mean age at first marriage for men and women, 1990, 2000, and 2013

20

22

24

26

28

30

32

34

36

Ag

e

1990 2000 2013 1990 2000 2013

Women Men

Family matters

Question:

The Netherlands was the first OECD country to legalise same-sex marriage in 2001. As of today, how many OECD countries have legalised it?

A. 16

B. 19

C. 21

22

Family matters

23Source: Pew Research (2015), Gay Marriage Around the World, Religion and Public Life.

Same-sex marriage

Number of OECD countries in which same-sex marriage is legal, 2000-2017

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

A brave new world

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A Brave New World

Question:We have now become adept multi-taskers, capable of doing many things online at the same time. On average, how many things do we tend to do online at once?

A. 6

B. 8

C. 10

25

A brave new world

26

Online multi-tasking: more efficient or more distracted?

Average number of activities being performed online at the same time per Internet user,

2009 and 2013

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Nu

mb

er

of

act

ivit

ies

2009 2013

Thank you!

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