Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on...

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Topic 2: Game Theory Professor Anna Nagurney John F. Smith Memorial Professor Director – Virtual Center for Supernetworks Isenberg School of Management University of Massachusetts Amherst SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar Advances in Variational Inequalities, Game Theory, and Applications, Spring 2017 c Anna Nagurney 2017 Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Transcript of Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on...

Page 1: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Topic 2: Game Theory

Professor Anna Nagurney

John F. Smith Memorial ProfessorDirector – Virtual Center for Supernetworks

Isenberg School of ManagementUniversity of Massachusetts Amherst

SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science SeminarAdvances in Variational Inequalities, Game Theory, and

Applications, Spring 2017

c©Anna Nagurney 2017

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 2: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Game Theory

Game theory is a very relevant and powerful theorythat enables one to capture competition or cooperationamong decision-makers.

In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but willturn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining, when weaddress cybersecurity investment application later in thisseminar.

Game theory has had wide application and impact inoperations research and management science, in economics, aswell as in engineering, and even in such fields as politicalscience.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 3: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Nash Equilibrium

Nash (1950, 1951) conceptualized and defined an equilibriumfor a behavioral model consisting of n agents or players, eachacting in his/her own self-interest, which has come to becalled a noncooperative game.

The Nobel Laureate John F. Nashwww.search.tvnz.co.nz

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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Nash Equilibrium

To construct a noncooperative game, one must identify theplayers in the game, their strategies (that is what they cancontrol), the constraints their strategies must satisfy, as wellas the utility function associated with each player(decision-maker) which he/she seeks to maximize.

Some examples can include firms seeking their optimalproduction quantities and competing for consumers at demandmarkets; disaster relief organizations competing for financialfunds, and even blood service organizations competing forblood donations.

The noncooperative game theory application landscapeis rich and new applications keep on being discovered.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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Game Theory and Nash Equilibrium

Specifically, consider m players, each player i having at his/herdisposal a strategy vector Xi = {Xi1, . . . , Xin} selected from aclosed, convex set Ki ⊂ Rn, with a utility functionUi : K 7→ R1, where K = K1×K2×. . .×Km ⊂ Rmn. Ki is thefeasible set of constraints faced by player i .

The rationality postulate is that each player i selects astrategy vector Xi ∈ Ki that maximizes his/her utility levelUi(X1, . . . , Xi−1, Xi , Xi+1, . . . , Xm) given the decisions (Xj)j 6=i

of the other players.

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Nash Equilibrium

In this framework one then has:

Definition (Nash Equilibrium)A Nash equilibrium is a strategy vector

X ∗ = (X ∗1 , . . . , X ∗

m) ∈ K ,

such that

Ui(X∗i , X̂ ∗

i ) ≥ Ui(Xi , X̂∗i ), ∀Xi ∈ Ki ,∀i , (1)

where X̂ ∗i = (X ∗

1 , . . . , X ∗i−1, X

∗i+1, . . . , X

∗m).

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Game Theory and Nash Equilibrium

It is important to emphasize that, in the case of a Nashequilibrium, the utility function of each player dependsnot only on its own strategies but also on those of theother players.

However, the feasible set Ki of each player i ; i = 1, . . . , m,depends only on his/her own strategies, and not on those ofthe other players.

We will see later in this seminar that there are also applicationsin which the feasible sets of the players are interdependent.This will then yield a Generalized Nash Equilibrium.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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Variational Inequality Formulation of Nash

Equilibrium

It has been shown (cf. Hartman and Stampacchia (1966) andGabay and Moulin (1980)) that Nash equilibria satisfyvariational inequalities. In the present context, under theassumption that each Ui is continuously differentiable on Kand concave with respect to Xi , one has

Theorem (Variational Inequality Formulation of NashEquilibrium)Under the previous assumptions, X ∗ is a Nash equilibrium ifand only if X ∗ ∈ K is a solution of the variational inequality

〈F (X ∗), X − X ∗〉 ≥ 0, ∀X ∈ K , (2)

where F (X ) ≡ (−∇X1u1(X ), . . . ,−∇XmUm(X )) is a row

vector and where ∇XiUi(X ) = (∂Ui (X )

∂Xi1, . . . , ∂Ui (X )

∂Xin).

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 9: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Variational Inequality Formulation of Nash

Equilibrium

Proof: Since Ui is a continuously differentiable function andconcave with respect to Xi , the equilibrium condition (1), for afixed i , is equivalent to the variational inequality problem

−〈∇XiUi(X

∗), Xi − X ∗i 〉 ≥ 0, ∀Xi ∈ Ki , (3)

which, by summing over all players i , yields (2). �

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 10: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Variational Inequality Formulation of Nash

Equilibrium

Note that the variational inequality in (2), in expanded formis, simply, determine X ∗ ∈ K , such that

−m∑

i=1

n∑j=1

∂Ui(X∗)

∂Xij× (Xij − X ∗

ij ) ≥ 0, ∀X ∈ K .

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Page 11: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Qualitative Properties

If the feasible set K is compact, then existence is guaranteedunder the assumption that each Ui is continuouslydifferentiable. Rosen (1965) proved existence under similarconditions. Karamardian (1969), on the other hand, relaxedthe assumption of compactness of K and provided a proof ofexistence and uniqueness of Nash equilibria under the strongmonotonicity condition.

As shown by Gabay and Moulin (1980), the imposition of acoercivity condition on F (X ) will guarantee existence of aNash equilibrium X ∗ even if the feasible set is no longercompact. Moreover, if F (X ) satisfies the strict monotonicitycondition, uniqueness of X ∗ is guaranteed, provided that theequilibrium exists.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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Nash Equilibrium and Oligopolies

Classical examples of noncooperative games under theNash equilibrium are oligopolies.

Oligopoly theory dates to Cournot (1838), who investigatedcompetition between two producers, the so-called duopolyproblem, and is credited with being the first to studynoncooperative behavior.

In an oligopoly, it is assumed that there are several firms,which produce a product and the price of the product dependson the quantity produced.

Examples of oligopolies include large firms in computer,automobile, chemical or mineral extraction industries,airlines, as well as certain supernarkets, among others.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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Classical Oligopoly Problems

We now consider the classical oligopoly problem in which thereare m producers involved in the production of a homogeneouscommodity. The quantity produced by firm i is denoted by qi ,with the production quantities grouped into a column vectorq ∈ Rm. Let fi denote the cost of producing the commodityby firm i , and let p denote the demand price associated withthe good. Assume that

fi = fi(qi), (4)

p = p(m∑

i=1

qi). (5)

The profit for firm i , Ui , can then be expressed as

Ui(q) = p(m∑

i=1

qi)qi − fi(qi). (6)

Assuming that the competitive mechanism is one ofnoncooperative behavior, in view of Theorem 1, one can writedown the following Theorem.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 14: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Variational Inequality Formulation of Nash

Equilibrium

Theorem (Variational Inequality Formulation ofClassical Cournot-Nash Oligopolistic MarketEquilibrium)Assume that the profit function Ui(q) is concave with respectto qi , and that Ui(q) is continuously differentiable. Thenq∗ ∈ Rm

+ is a Nash equilibrium if and only if it satisfies thevariational inequality

m∑i=1

[∂fi(q

∗i )

∂qi− ∂p(

∑mi=1 q∗i )

∂qiq∗i − p(

m∑i=1

q∗i )

]× [qi − q∗i ] ≥ 0,

∀q ∈ Rm+ . (7)

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A Famous Example

The oligopoly consists of five firms, each with a productioncost function of the form

fi(qi) = ciqi +βi

(βi + 1)Ki

− 1βi qi

(βi +1)

βi , (20)

with the parameters given in the Table. The demand pricefunction is given by

p(5∑

i=1

qi) = 50001

1.1 (5∑

i=1

qi)

− 11.1

.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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A Famous Example

Table: Parameters for the five-firm oligopoly example

Firm i ci Ki βi

1 10 5 1.22 8 5 1.13 6 5 1.04 4 5 .95 2 5 .8

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Computation of the Nash Equilibrium

This problem has been solved by several different variationalinequality algorithms, including the relaxation method and theprojection method (cf. Nagurney (1999)), induced by thegeneral iterative scheme of Dafermos (1983), for example.

Both these methods converged to the equilibriumproduction pattern q∗=(36.93,41.81,43.70,42.65,39.17).

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 18: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

Computation of Nash Equilibrium

There are many algorithms that have been applied to computesolutions to Nash equilibrium problems, from those based onthe general iterative scheme of Dafermos (1983), to thoseinduced by the general iterative scheme of Dupuis andNagurney (1993), which exploit the connection betweenprojected dynamical systems and variational inequalities.

In this seminar course, we will detail algorithms whenwe discuss specific applications more fully.

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References Cited and Additional Ones

Cournot, A. A., Researches into the MathematicalPrinciples of the Theory of Wealth, 1838, Englishtranslation, MacMillan, London, England, 1897.

Dafermos, S., “An iterative scheme for variationalinequalities,” Mathematical Programming 26 (1983) 40-47.

Dafermos, S., and Nagurney, A., “Oligopolistic andcompetitive behavior of spatially separated markets,” RegionalScience and Urban Economics 17 (1987) 245-254.

Dupuis, P., and Nagurney, A., “Dynamical systems andvariational inequalities,” Annals of Operations Research 44(1)(1993) 7-42.

Friedman, J., Oligopoly and the Theory of Games,North-Holland, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1977.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 20: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

References Cited and Additional Ones

Gabay, D., and Moulin, H., “On the uniqueness and stabilityof Nash-equilibria in noncooperative games,” in AppliedStochastic Control in Econometrics and ManagementScience, pp. 271-294, A. Bensoussan, P. Kleindorfer, and C.S. Tapiero, editors, North-Holland, Amsterdam, TheNetherlands, 1980.

Gabzewicz, J., and Vial, J. P., “Oligopoly ‘a la Cournot’ in ageneral equilibrium analysis,” Journal of Economic Theory 14(1972) 381-400.

Harker, P. T., “A variational inequality approach fror thedetermination of oligopolistic market equilibrium,”Mathematical Programming 30 (1984) 105-111.

Harker, P. T., “Alternative models of spatial competition,”Operations Research 34 (1986) 410-425.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 21: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

References Cited and Additional Ones

Hartman, P., and Stampacchia, G., “On some nonlinearelliptic differential functional equations,” Acta Mathematica115 (1966) 271-310.

Haurie, A., and Marcotte, P., “On the relationship betweenNash-Cournot and Wardrop equilibria,” Networks 15 (1985)295-308.

Karamardian, S., “Nonlinear complementarity problem withapplications, ” Journal of Optimization Theory andApplications 4 (1969), Part I, 87-98, Part II, 167-181.

Manas, M., “A linear oligopoly game,” Econometrica 40(1972) 917-922.

Murphy, F.H., Sherali, H. D., and Soyster, A. L., “Amathematical programming approach for determiningoligopolistic market equilibrium,” Mathematical Programming24 (1982) 92-106.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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References Cited and Additional Ones

Nagurney, A., “Algorithms for oligopolistic market equilibriumproblems,” Regional Science and Urban Economics 18 (1988)425-445.

Nagurney, A., Network Economics: A VariationalInequality Approach, second and revised edition, KluwerAcademic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1999.

Nagurney, A., Supply Chain Network Economics:Dynamics of Prices, Flows, and Profits, Edward ElgarPublishing, Cheltenham, England, 2006.

Nash, J. F., “Equilibrium points in n-person games,”Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 36(1950) 48-49.

Nash, J. F., “Noncooperative games,” Annals of Mathematics54 (1951) 286-298.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

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References

Novshek, W., “Cournot equilibrium with free entry,” Review ofEconomic Studies 47 (1980) 473-486.

Novshek, W., and Sonnenschein, H., “Walrasian equilibria aslimits of noncooperative equilibria, Part II, Pure strategies,”Journal of Economic Theory 30 (1983) 171-187.

Okuguchi, K., Expectations and Stability in OligopolyModels, Lecture Notes in Economics and MathematicalSystems 138, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Germany, 1976.

Okuguchi, K., and Szidarovsky, F., The Theory ofOligopoly with Multi - Product Firms, Lecture Notes inEconomics and Mathematical Systems 342, Springer-Verlag,Berlin, Germany, 1990.

Rosen, J. B., “Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium pointsfor concave n-person games,” Econometrica 33 (1965)520-533.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar

Page 24: Topic 2: Game Theory - Anna Nagurney · among decision-makers. In this lecture, we will focus on noncooperative games but will turn to cooperation in the form of Nash Bargaining,

References Cited and Additional Ones

Spence, M., “The implicit maximization of a function inmonopolistically competitive markets,” Harvard Institute ofEconomic Research, Harvard University Discussion Paper 461(1976).

Szidarovsky, F., and Yakowitz, S., “A new proof of theexistence and uniqueness of the Cournot equilibrium, ”International Economic Review 18 (1977) 787-789.

Tobin, R. L., “Sensitivity analysis for a Cournot equilibrium,”Operations Research Letters 9 (1990) 345-351.

Professor Anna Nagurney SCH-MGMT 825 Management Science Seminar