Top 10 Emerging Markets In 2020 - Agility Logistics · Companies that Source, Produce, Ship &...

www.agility.com/2020Index

Top 10 Emerging Markets In 2020

2019Vietnam

2020Thailand Changes to the Top Ten

Vietnam drops from 10th to 11th

Thailand enters Top 10 for the first

time, climbing from 11th to 9th

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1

1

2

1

RANK 2020 INDEX CHANGE FROM 2019

China

India

UAE

Indonesia

Malaysia

Saudi Arabia

Qatar

Mexico

Thailand

Turkey

-

-

-

-

-

-

Domestic Logistics Market

1

2

3

China

India

Indonesia

International Logistics Index

1

2

3

China

India

Mexico

Business Fundamentals

1

2

3

UAE

Malaysia

Saudi Arabia

Logistics Industry Sees Recession In 2020


Of logistics executives

say a global recession

is likely in 2020

64%

Only 12% say a

recession is unlikely

12%

Executives say global slowdown is the

biggest threat to emerging markets

growth, followed by increasing trade

barriers and political conflicts

Companies that Source, Produce, Ship& Invest in China: We're Not Moving


Of professionals with operations or investments in China say they will not change their current operations

70%

Say they will expand operations in China

10%

Only 3% have exited China

3%

If Not China, Where?


Companies moving production out of China say Vietnam and India

are their most likely destinations

25%Vietnam 23%

India

13% To theirhome country

10%Malaysia

6%

4%3%

2%

2%

1%

Thailand

IndonesiaTurkey

Mexico

Cambodia

Philippines

Who Benefits from US-China Trade Tension?


of industry professionals say the increase in

trade barriers, including US-China tariffs, will

have the most negative effect on emerging

market growth over the next five years

1/5

A year ago, logistics professionals saw Southeast Asian countries winning

from US-China trade tensions

Now they’re not so sure ...

Southeast Asian countries

will benefit overall

2019 2020

56.1%

41.8%

The positive and negative effects

will cancel each other out

2019 2020

21.6%

35.1%

Southeast Asian countries

will suffer overall

2019 2020

22.3% 23.1%

Highest Potential


India remains the most tantalizing

emerging market in 2020

16%India

15%China

9%Vietnam

5%Indonesia

6%Brazil

India is logistics executives’ top pick as the emerging market with the most potential


What keeps small businesses out of global trade?

Trade

bureaucracy

Government/

border

instability

Inability to

compete with

larger rivals

Lack of

access to

capital

Corruption

High cost

of shipping

Poor

infrastructure

Slow

customer

payments

Lack of access

to cross-border

e-commerce

market

Lack of

access

to latest

technology

17.1% 14.3% 13.7% 10.3% 9.5%

9.2% 8.5% 6.7% 5.7% 5%

What’s Driving Emerging Markets Growth


23%Modernization of customssystems and processes

18%Increased internet penetration

16%Modernization of logistics provider

systems (WMS, TMS etc.)

15%Increased adoption and modernization

of online payment systems

Domestic Logistics Markets: Who’s Hot, Who’s Not


1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10


China

India

Indonesia

UAE

Brazil

Saudi Arabia

Qatar

Mexico

Malaysia

Turkey

-

-

-

1

1

3

1

1

1

2

Fast Movement

Venezuela drops7 spots to #47

Argentina falls6 spots to #22

Cambodia dips6 spots to #49

Nigeria soars

9 spots to #16

Best Places To Do Business


Big Movers

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10


UAE

Malaysia

Saudi Arabia

Qatar

Bahrain

Chile

Oman

China

Jordan

Morocco

-

-

-

2

1

3

3

1

4

1

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

Egypt climbs

10 spotsto #17

Ukraine jumps

10 spotsto #27

Ghana drops

13 spotsto #32 Iran tumbles

12 spotsto #38

Egypt Soars


Despite a brief period of social unrest in 2019, Egypt’s

economy showed surprising gains in key areas and moved

up six spots to #20 in the overall Index

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

#

Overall Index

Up 6 spotsto #20

Up 10 spotsto #17

Business Fundamentals

Up 6 spotsto #13

DomesticOpportunities

Up 5 spotsto 23

InternationalOpportunities

Megacities: Logistics Hubs Of The Future


According to Industry professionals, the current top five logistics hubs:

10M+

Megacities have more than 10 million

inhabitants and require vast logistics

support to meet domestic needs and

engage in trade

25.7%Shanghai, China

10.0%São Paulo, Brazil

9.4%Jakarta, Indonesia

8.3%Mexico City, Mexico

19.0%New Delhi, India

Top 10 Emerging Markets In 2020 - Agility Logistics · Companies that Source, Produce, Ship &...

Documents

Transcript of Top 10 Emerging Markets In 2020 - Agility Logistics · Companies that Source, Produce, Ship &...