Thorn ODE BHK Talk 2013 09-16 handout
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Transcript of Thorn ODE BHK Talk 2013 09-16 handout
Synthesizing Extant Knowledge for Practitioners in a
Carnegie Knowledge Network
Chris Thorn, Managing DirectorAnalytics and Program Technology
September 16, 2013 Columbus, OH⦁
2
Triple Aims of Educational Improvement
EFFICIENCY
EFFECTIVENESS
ENGAGEMENT
Context: We Live in Extraordinary Times
More EfficientSystems
Ambitious Learning For All Students
MoreRelevance
Why focus on value added?
Value-added methods are relatively new, use is increasingly wide spread, but many technical questions remain unresolved.
The Problem We’re Trying to Address:• The state of knowledge in the field is changing rapidly• The vast amount of information can be overwhelming• Most findings are written in highly technical language• Many experts are tied to commercial interests or
policy stances
What a teacher interested in learning
more about value-added might find through an online
search.
McCaffrey, D. F., Lockwood, J. R., Koretz, D., Louis, T. A., & Hamilton, L.
(2004). Models for value-added modeling of teacher effects. Journal
of educational and behavioral statistics, 29(1), 67-101.
Instrument Design
Actual Practices of Use
Rules & Regulations
Economists
Applied Researchers
Designers
Statisticians
Policy Advocates
LegislatorsState Education Officials
Union Leaders
Teachers
Principals
Local Teacher Union Officials
District leaders
External Service
Providers
Carnegie’s Distinctive Role: Integrative Agent
The Carnegie Knowledge Networkwww.carnegieknowledgenetwork.org
• Identifies high priority areas characterized by significant knowledge gaps between research and practice
• Builds on an R&D agenda focused on practitioner needs
• Engages the community of practitioners
• Assembles balanced technical expertise
• Acts as an integrative agent
• Builds scholarly consensus
• Informs policy
CKN Online
Most common value added models in use
Vendor Name of Model Brief Description
American Institutes for Research (AIR) Varied Usually control for student
background
Mathematica Varied Usually control for student background
National Center for the Improvement of Educational
Assessment (NCIEA)Student Growth Percentile
(SGP) ModelsModels a descriptive measure
of student growth within a teacher’s classroom
SAS EVAASModels control for prior test scores but not other student
background variables
Value Added Research Center (VARC) Varied Usually control for student
background
Highlights of the recommendations• Teachers of advantaged students benefit from
models that do not control for student background factors, while teachers of disadvantaged students benefit from models that do control for student background factors
• Even when correlations between models are high, different models will categorize many teachers differently
• Rules for combining measures should reflect the qualities of those measures
Highlights of the recommendations• High quality linkage is critical
(dosage/teams/mobility)
• Consider the level of precision and balance the risks
• Bias may arise when comparing the value-added scores of teachers who work in different schools
• The properties of value-added measures differ across grades and subjects
• There is only a moderate, and often weak, correlation between value-added calculations for the same teacher based on different tests
What’s on the Horizon for Carnegie
• We have little research to draw upon for designing systems or for predicting the effects of emerging evaluation systems
• The Foundation leveraging the pressure of accountability as the gateway drug to improvement
• Variation in effectiveness is the problem to solve
An Interesting Case Example
• First year results from a large randomized
field trial of Reading Recovery
(I3 initiative)
• Key: a multi-site trial
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-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
0.600000000000001
0.700000000000001 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 20
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RCT (average) Treatment Effect: Reading RecoveryN=141 schools
Effect Size
It is a successlets spread it!
-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
0.600000000000001
0.700000000000001 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 20
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Distribution of RCT Treatment Effects: Reading RecoveryN=141 schools
Effect Size
Coun
t
Undesirable/Weak Outcomes
Positive Deviants
F D C B A0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Distribution of Letter grade of Overall Value-Added for Ohio Schools
See the System to Improve it
We cannot improve outcomes without understanding the processes
that generate them and the interconnections
between the processes.