Thorn ODE BHK Talk 2013 09-16 handout

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Synthesizing Extant Knowledge for Practitioners in a Carnegie Knowledge Network Chris Thorn, Managing Director Analytics and Program Technology September 16, 2013 Columbus, OH

description

Examining Ohio’s Approach to Measuring Student Success Series Session #1: Value-Added Information’s Role in Classroom and School Improvement • First in a series of symposia, hosted by the OERC in partnership with Ohio Department of Education and Battelle for Kids, that are designed to bring together researchers, policy influencers, and educators to gain background and common understanding around how to help educators use analytics to drive classroom and school improvement. • This session will lay the groundwork by beginning the conversation around the national value-added analysis landscape, Ohio’s established history with its value-added model, and where we are heading with the use of powerful education measures to inform curriculum, instruction, accountability, and evaluation.

Transcript of Thorn ODE BHK Talk 2013 09-16 handout

Page 1: Thorn ODE BHK Talk 2013 09-16 handout

Synthesizing Extant Knowledge for Practitioners in a

Carnegie Knowledge Network

Chris Thorn, Managing DirectorAnalytics and Program Technology

September 16, 2013 Columbus, OH⦁

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Triple Aims of Educational Improvement

EFFICIENCY

EFFECTIVENESS

ENGAGEMENT

Context: We Live in Extraordinary Times

More EfficientSystems

Ambitious Learning For All Students

MoreRelevance

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Why focus on value added?

Value-added methods are relatively new, use is increasingly wide spread, but many technical questions remain unresolved.

The Problem We’re Trying to Address:• The state of knowledge in the field is changing rapidly• The vast amount of information can be overwhelming• Most findings are written in highly technical language• Many experts are tied to commercial interests or

policy stances

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What a teacher interested in learning

more about value-added might find through an online

search.

McCaffrey, D. F., Lockwood, J. R., Koretz, D., Louis, T. A., & Hamilton, L.

(2004). Models for value-added modeling of teacher effects. Journal

of educational and behavioral statistics, 29(1), 67-101.

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Instrument Design

Actual Practices of Use

Rules & Regulations

Economists

Applied Researchers

Designers

Statisticians

Policy Advocates

LegislatorsState Education Officials

Union Leaders

Teachers

Principals

Local Teacher Union Officials

District leaders

External Service

Providers

Carnegie’s Distinctive Role: Integrative Agent

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The Carnegie Knowledge Networkwww.carnegieknowledgenetwork.org

• Identifies high priority areas characterized by significant knowledge gaps between research and practice

• Builds on an R&D agenda focused on practitioner needs

• Engages the community of practitioners

• Assembles balanced technical expertise

• Acts as an integrative agent

• Builds scholarly consensus

• Informs policy

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CKN Online

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Most common value added models in use

Vendor Name of Model Brief Description

American Institutes for Research (AIR) Varied Usually control for student

background

Mathematica Varied Usually control for student background

National Center for the Improvement of Educational

Assessment (NCIEA)Student Growth Percentile

(SGP) ModelsModels a descriptive measure

of student growth within a teacher’s classroom

SAS EVAASModels control for prior test scores but not other student

background variables

Value Added Research Center (VARC) Varied Usually control for student

background

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Highlights of the recommendations• Teachers of advantaged students benefit from

models that do not control for student background factors, while teachers of disadvantaged students benefit from models that do control for student background factors

• Even when correlations between models are high, different models will categorize many teachers differently

• Rules for combining measures should reflect the qualities of those measures

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Highlights of the recommendations• High quality linkage is critical

(dosage/teams/mobility)

• Consider the level of precision and balance the risks

• Bias may arise when comparing the value-added scores of teachers who work in different schools

• The properties of value-added measures differ across grades and subjects

• There is only a moderate, and often weak, correlation between value-added calculations for the same teacher based on different tests

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What’s on the Horizon for Carnegie

• We have little research to draw upon for designing systems or for predicting the effects of emerging evaluation systems

• The Foundation leveraging the pressure of accountability as the gateway drug to improvement

• Variation in effectiveness is the problem to solve

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An Interesting Case Example

• First year results from a large randomized

field trial of Reading Recovery

(I3 initiative)

• Key: a multi-site trial

12

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-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

0.600000000000001

0.700000000000001 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 20

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RCT (average) Treatment Effect: Reading RecoveryN=141 schools

Effect Size

It is a successlets spread it!

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-0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

0.600000000000001

0.700000000000001 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 20

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Distribution of RCT Treatment Effects: Reading RecoveryN=141 schools

Effect Size

Coun

t

Undesirable/Weak Outcomes

Positive Deviants

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F D C B A0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Distribution of Letter grade of Overall Value-Added for Ohio Schools

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See the System to Improve it

We cannot improve outcomes without understanding the processes

that generate them and the interconnections

between the processes.

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