Third Quarter 2015 Earnings | October 28, 2015s1.q4cdn.com/597881801/files/doc_presentations/... ·...

52
Third Quarter 2015 Earnings | October 28, 2015

Transcript of Third Quarter 2015 Earnings | October 28, 2015s1.q4cdn.com/597881801/files/doc_presentations/... ·...

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Third Quarter 2015 Earnings | October 28, 2015

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Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015 2

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements in these slides and made during this presentation may be considered forward-looking

statements. These statements reflect management's current views and are subject to risks and uncertainties

that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements.

Factors which could cause actual results to differ include but are not limited to: (i) the level of our

indebtedness and increases in interest rates; (ii) industry conditions, including but not limited to changes in

the cost or availability of raw materials, energy and transportation costs, competition we face, cyclicality and

changes in consumer preferences, demand and pricing for our products; (iii) global economic conditions and

political changes, including but not limited to the impairment of financial institutions, changes in currency

exchange rates, credit ratings issued by recognized credit rating organizations, the amount of our future

pension funding obligation, changes in tax laws and pension and health care costs; (iv) unanticipated

expenditures related to the cost of compliance with existing and new environmental and other governmental

regulations and to actual or potential litigation; (v) whether we experience a material disruption at one of our

manufacturing facilities; (vi) risks inherent in conducting business through joint ventures; (vii) successful

completion of the expected fourth-quarter 2015 extension of the loan agreements used to monetize the

installment notes received in connection with our 2006 sale of forestlands; (viii) the execution of a definitive

agreement to sell our corrugated box business in China and South East Asia, and the successful closing of

the transaction within the estimated timeframe; and (ix) our ability to achieve the benefits we expect from all

strategic acquisitions, divestitures and restructurings. These and other factors that could cause or contribute

to actual results differing materially from such forward-looking statements are discussed in greater detail in

our Securities and Exchange Commission filings. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-

looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

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Statements Relating to Non-GAAP Financial Measures

During the course of this presentation, certain non-U.S. GAAP financial information

will be presented.

A reconciliation of those numbers to U.S. GAAP financial measures is available on

the company’s website at internationalpaper.com under Investors.

3

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Ilim JV Information

All financial information and statistical measures regarding our 50/50 Ilim joint

venture in Russia (“Ilim”), other than historical International Paper Equity Earnings

and dividends received by International Paper, have been prepared by the

management of Ilim. Ilim management has indicated that the financial information

was prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards and

extracted from Ilim’s financial statements, but International Paper has not verified or

audited any of this information. Any projected financial information and statistical

measures reflect the current views of Ilim management and are subject to risks and

uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those

expressed or implied by such projections. See “Forward-Looking Statements.”

4

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$0.95 $0.97 $0.97

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

EPS1

($MM)

Third Quarter 2015 Results

1 EPS based on Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense)

5

Solid results overall for the quarter,

driven by continued strength of

NA Industrial Packaging with 25%

EBITDA margins

Ilim JV continues strong performance

Record operational EBITDA results

IP received $35MM dividend

ROIC YTD of 10%+

Dividend increase along with

strengthened payout policy

Completed restructuring of

2006 timber monetization

Deal to sell IP’s 55% equity interest in

Sun JV – closing in progress

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3Q15 Financial Results

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Sales ($B) $6.1 $5.7 $5.7

EBIT1 ($MM) $835 $650 $757

EPS2 $0.95 $0.97 $0.97

EPS impact of Ilim F/X3 – IP Share

($0.19) $0.06 ($0.15)

EBITDA1 ($MM) $1,193 $978 $1,086

EBITDA Margin1 19.7% 17.1% 19.1%

Free Cash Flow4

($MM) $696 $511 $512

1 From continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense 2 EPS based on Operating Earnings (defined as Net Earnings (GAAP) from continuing operations before special items and non-operating pension expense) 3 Represents F/X impact primarily related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$1.1B at end of 3Q2015) 4 See slide #21 for a reconciliation of cash provided by operations to free cash flow

6

$1,193

$978 $1,086

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

EBITDA1 ($MM)

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.97 .97 (.05)

(.04) (.18)

.05

.17 .05

2Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs Other Ilim JV 3Q15

7

3Q15 vs. 2Q15 EPS

Operating Earnings

0

Operations .04

FX (.22)

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528 553

(13) (12)

(21)

1

70

2Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs 3Q15

8

Industrial Packaging | 3Q15 vs. 2Q15 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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NA Industrial Packaging | Driving Results Through Commercial Execution

1 IP EBITDA margins based on operating profit before special items; Excludes the Recycling Business and revenue from trade volumes

Strong and sustainable margins

23.7%

25.5%

22.7% 22.9% 24.1%

25.2%

2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15

EBITDA Margins1

Shipping & Distribution Online retail significantly outpacing growth in other segments

Agriculture Consumer preference toward fresh / healthy foods driving continued growth

Beverage Volume growth in U.S. market

Protein Trending recovery in poultry / export bans lifted in September

Processed Foods Changing consumer trends / shift toward healthy and fresh options

3Q15 Highlights

Improved demand in key segments IP serves

Good momentum closing volume

gap vs. industry shipments

-2.6%

-2.0%

-1.3%

Q1 '15 Q2 '15 Q3 '15

Source: FBA, IP Analysis

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34

41

(6)

3

5

5

2Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

3Q15

10

Consumer Packaging | 3Q15 vs. 2Q15 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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101

179

(13)

(2)

18

20

31

24

2Q15 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs FX / Other 3Q15

11

Printing Papers | 3Q15 vs. 2Q15 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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Brazil Papers | Navigating Well Through Difficult Macro Conditions

First half domestic price increases partially offsetting weak

demand and high general inflation in Brazil

Competitive position in export markets benefitting from currency

devaluation, resulting in higher margins

Expect to build on momentum in 4Q with seasonally higher

volume and implementation of additional domestic price

increases

Delivering strong earnings despite continued economic

weakness in Brazil

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Ilim Joint Venture | 3Q15 vs. 2Q15

$ Million 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Sales Volume (thousand tons)

766 826 828

Sales $520 $500 $477

Operational EBITDA1 $100 $153 $194

F/X (Impact of USD Net Debt2) ($210) $65 ($176)

IP Equity Earnings(Loss)3 ($70) $67 ($9)

Strong operational performance continues

IP received $35MM dividend payment in 3Q15

Moving into 4Q15, expect seasonally higher volume, offset by lower

average pulp prices and higher input costs

13

Ilim JV results are on an IFRS basis with the exception of IP Equity Earnings which is US GAAP 1 Before F/X impact primarily on USD-denominated net debt 2 Represents F/X impact primarily related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$1.1B at end of 3Q2015); Ilim Group’s functional currency is the Ruble

(RUB); Non-functional-denominated currency balances are measured monthly using the month-end exchange rate

3 IP Equity Earnings(Loss) for 3Q15 and 3Q14 include after-tax f/x losses (primarily on USD-denominated net debt) of $(65)MM and $(82)MM, respectively; 2Q15

includes an after-tax f/x gain of $27MM.

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Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015 14

Fourth Quarter Outlook | Changes from 3Q15

North America EMEA & Russia Brazil

Volume Paper Stable Stable Seasonally Stronger

Packaging 3 Less Days Stable Stable

Pricing / Mix Paper Seasonal Mix Stable Stable

Packaging Seasonal Mix Stable Stable

Operations & Other

Paper Flood & Seasonality Stable Stable

Packaging Seasonality Stable Stable

Inputs & Freight Paper Higher Energy Costs Stable Stable

Packaging Higher Energy Costs Stable Stable

Mill Maintenance Outages

Paper Increase $21MM Decrease $14MM Decrease $2MM

Packaging Increase $46MM Decrease $5MM N/A

Asia1 Stable with exception of $1MM decrease in mill maintenance outages

Ilim JV Equity Earnings Seasonally higher volume offset by lower average pulp prices and higher input costs

Non-recurring 3Q currency impact of ($0.15) on USD net debt, assuming stable F/X

as of Sept. 30, 2015

Other Items Tax rate, in line with full-year outlook of 33%

Interest expense, ~$140MM in 4Q2015

Corporate expense, ~$15MM in 4Q2015

1 Includes India

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Capital Allocation | IP’s Balanced Use of Cash

15

Systematically Return Cash to Shareholders

Trough-Tested Sustainable Dividend

Opportunistic Share Repurchases

Cash From

Operations Maintain Strong

Balance Sheet

& Credit Rating

Appropriate Liquidity & Debt Coverage

Prudent Contributions to Pension Plan

Selective Reinvestment

Value Creating-Healthy Spread

Above Cost of Capital

Improving Competitive Position

Effective Capital Spending

Maintenance & Regulatory Needs

High Return, Cost Reduction Projects

15

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$ B

illio

n

1.7

2.2

1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8

2.1

1.0

0.5

0.8 1.2 1.4

1.2

1.4 $2.7 $2.7 $2.5

$2.9 $3.0 $3.0

$3.5

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

FCF CapEx

Cash From Operations & Free Cash Flow

16

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Dividend increase

10% increase to $1.76/share

4th consecutive year of double-digit increase

Strengthened dividend policy to 40-50%

of Free Cash Flow

Continued share buybacks

Successfully restructured and extending 2006 timber monetization

Structure moves from full recourse to limited recourse

Assets and liabilities come onto the balance sheet

Tax deferral maintained

Capital spending forecast

2016 plan set at $1.4B, inclusive of NA Industrial Packaging optimization

projects and Riegelwood, NC fluff pulp conversion

Sun JV debt of ~$400MM will be removed from IP’s consolidated

balance sheet in 4Q15

17

Capital Allocation Update

$1.05 $1.20

$1.40

$1.60 $1.76

4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15

Annualized Dividend

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Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015 18

Asia Portfolio Decision | Strategic Rationale

Exit manufacturing of coated paperboard and industrial packaging

Sold share of Sun JV to partner

Signed Letter of Intent to sell Asia Industrial Packaging business

(box converting operations)

Continue to serve Asian markets from the U.S. and through our

Ilim JV in Russia

U.S. Key Exports

Fluff Pulp

Kraft Linerboard

Reshaping IP’s approach to serving the important Asian market

JV Key Exports

Market & Tissue Pulp

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IP Investment Thesis | Why IP Will Outperform

Vision

Leadership position

Attractive markets

Low-cost assets

Generating…

Strong FCF

Returns above cost-of-capital

• Global packaging and paper platforms

• Leadership positions in scale businesses

• Operational excellence

• Operate in key markets where we can grow profitably

ROIC Consistently >WACC FCF Strong Sustainable Improving Capital Allocation

✔ Value Creation

✔ Return Cash to Shareholders

Strategy Shareholder Value

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Appendix Investor Relations Contacts

Jay Royalty 901-419-1731

Michele Vargas 901-419-7287

Media Contact

Tom Ryan 901-419-4333

20

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$ Million 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Cash Provided by Operations

$1,0231 $8652 $837

Less Capital Investment

($327) ($354) ($325)

Free Cash Flow $696 $511 $512

Free Cash Flow

1 Excludes $90MM cash paid for pension plan contribution 2 Excludes $750MM cash paid for pension plan contribution

21

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Maintenance Outages Expenses | 2015

$ Million 1Q15A 2Q15A 3Q15A 4Q15F 2015F

Industrial Packaging $63 $95 $27 $61 $246

North America 63 93 27 61 244

Brazil 0 2 0 0 2

Printing Papers $33 $63 $32 $36 $164

North America 27 41 15 36 119

Europe 0 22 14 0 36

Brazil 6 0 2 0 8

India 0 0 1 0 1

Consumer Packaging $15 $12 $7 $14 $48

North America 15 10 2 14 41

Europe 0 2 5 0 7

Total Impact $111 $170 $66 $111 $458

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88 46

118 123

48 93

140 146

72

70

276

60 58

69

53

55

78

Maintenance Market

1

24 24 20

7 18 12

41 13

4 29

19

58

16 20

1

31

13

29

0

North American Downtime

20

2

15 19

12 0

18 15

12

Containerboard Uncoated Papers1

Market Pulp

Th

ou

sa

nd

To

ns

Th

ou

sa

nd

To

ns

Th

ou

sa

nd

To

ns

Th

ou

sa

nd

To

ns

1Courtland shutdown of two machines in 4Q13; entire mill shutdown of four machines complete in February 2014

146

23

150

322

178 181

117

0

48

Coated Paperboard

158

201

31

16

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Special Items Pre-Tax ($ Million) 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Industrial Packaging

EMEA Restructuring Costs ($5)

Multi-Employer Pension Plan Exit Liability ($35)

Other ($2)

Printing Papers

Courtland Mill Shutdown ($3)

India Reserve Release $20

Brazil Tax Settlement ($32)

Consumer Pkg.

Riegelwood Repurposing $14 ($7)

Impairment of Sun JV Goodwill & PPE ($186)

Other ($2) ($1) ($1)

Corporate

Debt Extinguishment ($13)

Debt Premium Costs ($207)

Timber Monetization Restructure ($17)

Other ($5) $4

Total Special Items Before Tax ($77) ($190) ($211)

24

Special Items Before Tax | Continuing Operations

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Special Items Net of Taxes

2Q15 3Q15

$ Million EPS $ Million EPS

Earnings Before Special Items and Non-Operating Pension Expense

$409 $0.97 $407 $0.97

Special Items Net of Taxes:

Debt Premium Costs ($133)

Timber Monetization Restructure ($11)

Tax Adjustments ($28)

Riegelwood Repurposing $9 ($4)

Impairment of Sun JV Goodwill & PPE ($125)

Other $1 ($1)

Total Special Items Net of Taxes ($151) ($0.36) ($141) ($0.33)

Non-Operating Pension Expense ($31) ($0.07) ($46) ($0.11)

Net Earnings $227 $0.54 $220 $0.53

25 Earnings Presentation

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Operating Profit $ Million

D & A $ Million

Tons Thousand

EBITDA per Ton

EBITDA Margin

Industrial Packaging

North America1 $554 $169 3,475 $208 25%

Brazil ($4) $4 78 $0 0%

Printing Papers

North America2 $81 $21 491 $208 20%

Europe & Russia3 $24 $13 3024 $123 18%4

Brazil $56 $20 294 $259 35%

India5 ($4) $4 41 $0 0%

North America Pulp $16 $17 339 $97 15%

Consumer Packaging

North America6 $30 $45 371 $202 15%

Europe $20 $3 96 $240 29%

Segment operating profit before special items 1 Includes Corrugated Packaging, Saturating Kraft & Bag businesses, Gypsum & Release Kraft business; excludes Recycling business and revenue from trade volumes

2 Includes Bleached Kraft business 3 Uncoated Papers (excludes Pulp)

4 Excludes Joint Marketing Agreement (JMA) sales

5 Includes adjustment for minority ownership share 6 Includes Foodservice business

3Q15 EBITDA | Integrated Mill Business Margins

26

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Operating Profits by Industry Segment | Continuing Operations

$ Million 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Industrial Packaging $569 $528 $553

Printing Papers $192 $101 $179

Consumer Packaging $79 $34 $41

Operating Profit $840 $663 $773

Net Interest Expense ($152) ($144) ($141)

Noncontrolling Interest / Equity Earnings Adjustment ($2) ($5) ($6)

Corporate Items ($3) ($8) ($10)

Non-Operating Pension Expense ($54) ($50) ($76)

Special Items ($77) ($190) ($211)

Net Earnings from continuing operations before income taxes, equity earnings & noncontrolling interest $552 $266 $329

Equity Earnings(Loss), net of taxes – Ilim ($70) $67 ($9)

27

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Geographic Business Segment Operating Results

$ Million Sales Operating Profit

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Industrial Packaging

North America $3,210 $3,205 $3,175 $570 $533 $557

Europe $310 $277 $262 $4 $4 $1

Brazil $88 $63 $55 ($2) ($7) ($4)

Asia $146 $149 $150 ($3) ($2) ($1)

Printing Papers

North America $529 $471 $500 $75 $31 $81

Europe $365 $312 $284 $44 $20 $30

Brazil $266 $210 $219 $58 $35 $56

India / Asia $58 $45 $39 ($5) ($3) ($4)

N.A. Pulp $235 $211 $216 $20 $18 $16

Consumer Packaging

North America $528 $500 $494 $52 $27 $30

Europe $94 $75 $80 $27 $16 $20

Asia (Sun JV) $254 $222 $235 $0 ($9) ($9)

Does not reflect total company sales

28

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2015 Operating Earnings

Pre-Tax $MM

Tax $MM

Non-controlling

Interest $MM

Equity Earnings

Net Income $MM

Average Shares

MM

Diluted EPS1

Operating Earnings

1Q15 $478 ($158) $2 $35 $357 424 $0.84

2Q15 $506 ($168) $9 $62 $409 422 $0.97

3Q15 $616 ($206) $10 ($13) $407 418 $0.97

Non-Operating Pension Expense

1Q15 ($72) $28 $0 $0 ($44) 424 ($0.10)

2Q15 ($50) $19 $0 $0 ($31) 422 ($0.07)

3Q15 ($76) $30 $0 $0 ($46) 418 ($0.11)

Net Special Items

1Q15 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 424 $0.00

2Q15 ($190) $39 $0 $0 ($151) 422 ($0.36)

3Q15 ($211) $70 $0 $0 ($141) 418 ($0.33)

Net Earnings from Continuing Operations

1Q15 $406 ($130) $2 $35 $313 424 $0.74

2Q15 $266 ($110) $9 $62 $227 422 $0.54

3Q15 $329 ($106) $10 ($13) $220 418 $0.53

1 A reconciliation to GAAP EPS is available at www.internationalpaper.com under the Investors tab at Webcasts and Presentations

29

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Operating Business EPS

2005-2006 as originally reported

2007-2011 adjusted for elimination of the Ilim JV reporting lag

2005-2010 Net Earnings from continuing operations and before special items; 2010 onward reflects Operating Earnings

xpedx is reflected as a Discontinued Operation from 2010 forward.

30

.36 .31

.29

.12 .12

.35

.40

.47 .45

.52

.57

.73

.45 .49

.41

.15

.07

.27

.38

.22

.05

.44

.85

.72 .76 .77 .78

.67

.58

.49

.77

.66 .64 .61

1.01

.81

.60

.93 .95

.53

.84

.97 .97

.42

.08

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q

2005 2006 2007 2010 2008

Impact of Mineral

Rights Gain

2009

.83

2011

.93

Final Land Sale

2012 2013 2014 2015

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.95 .97 (.14)

(.02) (.05) .01 .06 .02

.14

3Q14 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs Other Ilim JV 3Q15

31

3Q15 vs. 3Q14 EPS

Operating Earnings

Operations .10

FX .04

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569 553

(46)

(3) 3 30

3Q14 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs 3Q15

0

32

Industrial Packaging | 3Q15 vs. 3Q14 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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3Q15 vs. 2Q15 3Q15 vs. 3Q14

Business Volume Price / Mix

per Ton Volume

Price / Mix per Ton

N.A. Container1 (2%) ($4) ~Flat ($12)

European Container (5%) €13 2% €7

Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all segments) 1 Corrugator plant sales on FBA shipping day basis

Industrial Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends

33

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NA Industrial Packaging Relative EBITDA Margins

1 Trailing twelve months 2 RockTenn margins prior to 3Q15

IP EBITDA margins based on North American Industrial Packaging operating profit before special items

Excludes the Recycling Business and revenue from trade volumes

Competitor EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis

25.5%

21.3% 20.8%

24.1%

22.2%

19.4%

25.2%

22.4%

IP PCA WestRock

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

21.3%

TTM1

TTM1

34

WRK

reports

11/5/15

23.7%

2

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79

41

(14)

(10)

(11)

(7) (5) 9

3Q14 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs Other 3Q15

35

Consumer Packaging | 3Q15 vs. 3Q14 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)

3Q15 vs. 2Q15 3Q15 vs. 3Q14

Volume Price / Mix

per Ton Volume

Price / Mix per Ton

NA Coated Paperboard 2% ($12) (8%) ($19)

Revenue Revenue

Foodservice (1%) 2%

Consumer Packaging | Volume and Pricing Trends

36

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NA Consumer Packaging EBITDA Margins

1 Trailing twelve months

IP EBITDA margins based on North American Consumer Packaging operating profit before special items

18.6%

14.4% 15.2%

IP

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

37

14.5%

TTM1

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192

179

(28)

(3)

(18)

(2)

14 24

3Q14 Price / Mix Volume Operations & Costs

Maintenance Outages

Input Costs FX / Other 3Q15

38

Printing Papers | 3Q15 vs. 3Q14 $

Mill

ion

Segment operating profit before special items

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3Q15 vs. 2Q15 3Q15 vs. 3Q14

Business Volume Price / Mix

per Ton Volume

Price / Mix per Ton

NA Paper 7% ($12) (4%) ($15)

NA Pulp1 3% ($8) (5%) ($28)

European Paper2 (6%) €5 (1%) (€10)

Average IP volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades) 1 Reflects Fluff and Market Pulp combined 2 Excludes Russia

Printing Papers | Volume and Pricing Trends

39

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NA Papers & Pulp Relative EBITDA Margins

17.9%

14.5%

12.3% 11.0%

18.9%

IP Domtar

3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

1 Trailing twelve months

IP EBITDA margins based on operating profit from continuing operations before special items

Competitor EBITDA margin estimates obtained from public filings and IP analysis

14.1%

TTM1

40

UFS

reports

10/30/15

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Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015 Earnings Presentation | Third Quarter 2015

$ Million 3Q14 2Q15 3Q15

Sales $266 $210 $219

Earnings $58 $35 $56

EBITDA Margin 33% 28% 35%

3Q15 vs. 2Q15 3Q15 vs. 3Q14

Uncoated Freesheet Volume Price / Mix

per Ton Volume

Price / Mix per Ton

Domestic (BRL) 31% R$12 Flat R$134

Export (USD) 4% ($9) 11% ($73)

Segment operating profit before special items

IP Brazil results are reported in the Printing Papers segment

Average IP Brazil price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)

Printing Papers | IP Brazil

41

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2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Sales Volume (Million short tons) 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.7 3.2

Sales ($B) 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.1

Debt ($B) 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.4

Operating EBITDA ($MM) 197 516 591 291 208 470

F/X Gain (loss)1 (35) 12 (60) 39 (80) (684)

EBITDA ($MM) 163 528 531 330 128 (214)

Depreciation ($MM) 120 121 124 134 177 193

EBIT ($MM) 43 407 406 196 (49) (408)

Interest Expense ($MM) 28 18 7 6 39 69

Net Income (loss) ($MM) (19) 266 299 132 (72) (362)

IP Equity Earnings (loss) ($MM) (27) 103 134 56 (46) (194)

Dividends (to IP) ($MM) 50 34 85 0 0 56

Ilim JV results are IFRS basis.

IP Equity Earnings (loss) on US GAAP basis. 1Represents F/X impact primarily related to Ilim JV USD-denominated net debt (balance of ~$1.3B at year end 2014)

42

Ilim Joint Venture | Full Year Financials

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Ilim Joint Venture | Volume and Pricing Trends

3Q15 vs. 2Q15 3Q15 vs. 3Q14

Business Volume Price / Mix

per Ton Volume

Price / Mix per Ton

Pulp (2%) ($2) 10% ($41)

Average Ilim JV (100%) volume and price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades and destinations)

43

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Total Cash Cost Components | 3Q15 YTD

Fiber 33%

Materials 15%

Freight 15%

Labor 12%

Overhead 9%

Energy 8%

Chemicals 8%

44

North American mills only

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($9)

($9)

($1)

($4)

Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight

North America Outside North America

($21)

($2) $0

Industrial Packaging

Printing Papers

Consumer Packaging

Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC

By Business By Input Type

Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses

45

Global Input Costs vs. 2Q15 | $23MM Unfavorable, or $0.04/Share

OCC

Wood

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($13)

$20

$14 $16

Fiber Energy Chemicals Freight

North America Outside North America

$30

($2)

$9

Industrial Packaging

Printing Papers

Consumer Packaging

Energy Wood Chemicals Freight OCC

By Business By Input Type

46

Global Input Costs vs. 3Q14 | $37MM Favorable, or $0.06/Share

OCC

Wood

Input costs ($MM) for continuing businesses

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

2012 2013 2014 2015

U.S. Mill Wood Delivered Cost Trend | 1% Decrease vs. 2Q15 Average Cost

Cost Indexed to January 2007 values

47

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

2012 2013 2014 2015

Cost Indexed to January 2007 values

U.S. OCC Delivered Cost Trend | 10% Increase vs. 2Q15 Average Cost

48

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0

50

100

150

200

250

2012 2013 2014 2015

NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices

Natural Gas Costs Trend | 2% Increase vs. 2Q15 Average Cost

Cost Indexed to January 2007 values

49

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 40

90

140

190

240

290

340

2012 2013 2014 2015

U.S. Fuel Oil Trend | 19% Decrease vs. 2Q15 Average Cost

Cost Indexed to January 2007 values

WTI Crude prices

50

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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 75

100

125

150

175

200

2012 2013 2014 2015

U.S. Chemical Composite Index Trend | 1% Decrease vs. 2Q15 Average Cost

Cost Indexed to January 2007 values

Delivered cost to U.S. facilities: includes Caustic Soda, Sodium Chlorate, Starch and Sulfuric Acid 2007 - 2008 excludes WY PKG

51

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2015 Global Consumption | Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs

Commodity U. S. Non – U. S.

Energy

Natural Gas (MM BTUs) 69,000,000 11,000,000

Fuel Oil (Barrels) 700,000 380,000

Coal (Tons) 350,000 640,000

Fiber Wood (Tons) 52,000,000 8,000,000

Old Corrugated Containers / DLK (Tons) 4,600,000 630,000

Chemicals

Caustic Soda (Tons) 350,000 80,000

Starch (Tons) 390,000 100,000

Sodium Chlorate (Tons) 160,000 57,000

LD Polyethylene (Tons) 37,000 -

Latex (Tons) 20,000 11,000

Does not include Asia or volume consumed by joint ventures (Sun JV, Ilim JV) Estimates are based on normal operations and may be impacted by downtime

52