The Role Of Military

Future of Myanmar

Aung Ko Ko Toe

Knowledge Propagation Society (KPS)

Mandalay

Background Condition

(The role of Army)

Struggling Period for independence Parliament Democracy RC (Revolutionary Council) BSPP (Burmese Socialist Programme Party) 8888 Period SLORC SPDC Transition Period………………

Demilitarization Process

MilitarizationDEMOCRACY

Civilian Military OutputStrong Weak Civilian Control

Strong Strong Wealth State(or) instability

Weak Weak Fail State / Weak Regime

Weak Strong Military Regime

How Condition in Myanmar

Condition in Myanmar

Legitimacy Problem Militant Culture Radical Trend – Revolution Poverty Trap Power Struggle Transition of institutions (Period)

(Military Regime to Democratic Regime)

Gray Zone Condition

CSOs and CBOs / GONGOs (Government Owned Non Government Organization)

Armed Groups and People War Strategy Media

Printed Media and Digital Media Political Party

Opposition Party / Ruling Party & Proxy Party

Constitution

Exist Strategy (Road Map) Power Distribution (in two branches) Space & Limitation Playing Field Desire - From Local Boss to Global Boss

Role in constitution or Not

Commander in chief & President appoint to Home Affair, Defense, Border

Affair Ministers National Defense & Security Council (NDSC) 25 % Bureaucracy (Public Administration)Business Other (eg; Academic Elite Class)

What on Focus?

Military build up1) Internal Affair 2) External Affair

Civil War, Conflict - instability Political, Religious, Ethnic, Economic or General

External Threat, Invasion Border Affair Hot War Condition Closely Position with Rough State.

Awareness Factor

- Isolated Cover1) Self Budget 2) Self Engineering3) Self Health4) Self Education

CAUSES OF Capacity Limitation

More Interdependence, Best RelationTARGET; Civilian Control Government.

Role (FUNCTION)

Civiliana) For State Building

b) For Development

c) For State Power Military

I. For Defense

II. For Security & Stability

III. For deterrence to prevent External Threats

IV. Human Security

Military Directing

State Power ? Repress ? Non-Secession ? Stability ? Duty ?

For State Building & Nation Building ?

(eg; SPDC)

Relation b/t Social Classes

Relation between MILITARY & Social Class

Upper Class - Elite, Aristocracy Middle Class – Bourgeoisie Lower Class - Working class

Civil Military Relation

Relation between ruling party and opposition groups in Myanmar.

Hardliner Reformer Moderate Radical

Military Professionalism

Such as (in Military Field) Scholar Academic Person Educated

- Ethic base, Norm base, Skill Full base, Functional base :

- Professional Characteristics of Army.

Causes of Good Future

5 R) Recognition Respect Road your Self Responsibility Reconciliation

Civilian Control

Dependence– Budget, Technology Military Science Technocrat Expert to Military Affair (esp; in Parliament) Change to Militant Culture (Radical Mindset) Democratic Standard Professionalism Breakdown – 25 % Institutionalization (Democratic institution)

THE END