The last century of warming….

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The last century of warming…. GISS SAT. England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change. Recent climate trends…. ERA - Interim SLP and wind stress trends. 1992-2011. England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change. Recent climate trends…. AVISO sea surface height trends. 1992-2011. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of The last century of warming….

Page 1: The last century of warming….
Page 2: The last century of warming….

The last century of warming….

GISS SATEngland et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Page 3: The last century of warming….

Recent climate trends….

1992-2011ERA-Interim SLP and wind stress trends

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Page 4: The last century of warming….

Recent climate trends….

1992-2011AVISO sea surface height trends

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Page 5: The last century of warming….

Recent climate trends….

1992-2011HadISST sea surface temperature trends

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Recent climate trends….

1992-2011GISS surface air temperature trends

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Recent Pacific Ocean trends….

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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What do the Pacific wind trends do in models….?

OCEAN GCM, SIMPLE ATMOSPHERE

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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What do the Pacific wind trends do in models….?

OCEAN GCM, SIMPLE ATMOSPHERE

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Page 10: The last century of warming….

What do the Pacific wind trends do in models….?

OCEAN GCM, SIMPLE ATMOSPHERE

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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What do the Pacific wind trends do in models….?

SPIN UP

OCEAN GCM, SIMPLE ATMOSPHERE

Half the hiatus

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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What does this mean for climate projections….?

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Page 13: The last century of warming….

What does this mean for climate projections….?

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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How unusual are the wind trends….?

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Do models capture the magnitude of decadal variability seen in OBS?

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Recent OBS wind trends vs. models

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Conclusions

• Recent observed trade wind trend unprecedented

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Conclusions

• Recent observed trade wind trend unprecedented

• Missing in CMIP models

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Conclusions

• Recent observed trade wind trend unprecedented

• Missing in CMIP models

• Cooling impact can account for the hiatus• Ocean heat uptake• Teleconnections from cool East Pacific SST

• Hiatus could persist for much of the present decade

• Warming out of hiatus likely rapid

England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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Greg JohnsonNOAA / PMEL

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England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

Role of trade winds in mid-20th Century hiatus

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England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change

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England et al. [2014] Nature Climate Change


Soil temperature response to 21st century global warming ... · Soil temperature response to 21st century global warming: the role of and some implications for peat carbon in thawing

Soil temperature response to 21st century global warming ... · Soil temperature response to 21st century global warming: the role of and some implications for peat carbon in thawing

NDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN IDAHO Report …...century, with the last two decades being the warmest on record. • Warming has been particularly noted during the spring and summer.

NDICATORS OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN IDAHO Report …...century, with the last two decades being the warmest on record. • Warming has been particularly noted during the spring and summer.

The Last Half Century in Historical Perspective

The Last Half Century in Historical Perspective

Global Warming. Global warming is the increase in the average measured temperature of the Earth's near-surface air and oceans since the mid-20th century,

Global Warming. Global warming is the increase in the average measured temperature of the Earth's near-surface air and oceans since the mid-20th century,

Global warming and 21st century drying - NASA

Global warming and 21st century drying - NASA

Hydrologic Implications of 20th Century Warming and Climate Variability in the Western U.S.

Hydrologic Implications of 20th Century Warming and Climate Variability in the Western U.S.

Putting Data to Work for the Seneca Nation...Climate Change Evidence Global Temperature Rise –1.62 degrees F increase since late 19th century Most occurring last 35 yrs. Warming

Putting Data to Work for the Seneca Nation...Climate Change Evidence Global Temperature Rise –1.62 degrees F increase since late 19th century Most occurring last 35 yrs. Warming

Planet Earth is warming … Greenhouse Warming in 21 st Century Evidence that rising CO2 levels are changing climate Fresh water resources More intense.

Planet Earth is warming … Greenhouse Warming in 21 st Century Evidence that rising CO2 levels are changing climate Fresh water resources More intense.

The Last Century and the History of Somalia

The Last Century and the History of Somalia

GLOBAL WARMING. Global warming is increase the avarage temperature of ocean and world atmosphere. This situation is very evident the last 50 years.

GLOBAL WARMING. Global warming is increase the avarage temperature of ocean and world atmosphere. This situation is very evident the last 50 years.

Regenerative 21st Century Farming: A Solution to Global Warming & The Organic Green Revolution

Regenerative 21st Century Farming: A Solution to Global Warming & The Organic Green Revolution

The Latter Part of the Last Century

The Latter Part of the Last Century

GLOBAL WARMING AND HURRICANES - ICECAPicecap.us/docs/change/GlobalWarming&HurricanePaper.pdf · global mean tem perature rise over the last 30 years and likely over the last century-and-a-half.

GLOBAL WARMING AND HURRICANES - ICECAPicecap.us/docs/change/GlobalWarming&HurricanePaper.pdf · global mean tem perature rise over the last 30 years and likely over the last century-and-a-half.

Overview - IPCC IPCC Supplement/IPCC_1990_and_1992... · Overview Preface to the IPCC ... r reduction woulsd have to be for ... The size of the warming over the last century is broadly

Overview - IPCC IPCC Supplement/IPCC_1990_and_1992... · Overview Preface to the IPCC ... r reduction woulsd have to be for ... The size of the warming over the last century is broadly

Global Warming Of The 21st Century Slide Show

Global Warming Of The 21st Century Slide Show

Evidence of global warming Global Warming have been occurring for the last 30-50yrs Here is a example of how global warming is affecting…

Evidence of global warming Global Warming have been occurring for the last 30-50yrs Here is a example of how global warming is affecting…

THE LAST ERA COVERS THE LAST CENTURY… last era covers the last century… using (since textbooks are lame). research your century of birth: ... label the method: list two rights

THE LAST ERA COVERS THE LAST CENTURY… last era covers the last century… using (since textbooks are lame). research your century of birth: ... label the method: list two rights

Book as so last century

Book as so last century

Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ...mass loss (3, 4, 14, 15). Half a century ago, John Mercer was the first to propose that the marine-based West Antarctic Ice

Early Last Interglacial ocean warming drove substantial ...mass loss (3, 4, 14, 15). Half a century ago, John Mercer was the first to propose that the marine-based West Antarctic Ice

Bluetooth the new invension of last century

Bluetooth the new invension of last century