The Global Composites Marketimages.jeccomposites.com/conference-france-9-fev-2017/...Transportation,...
Transcript of The Global Composites Marketimages.jeccomposites.com/conference-france-9-fev-2017/...Transportation,...
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The Global Composites MarketMr Frédéric REUXMedia Director & Editor-in-Chief
JEC Group
February 9, 2017 - Nantes
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GLOBAL MARKET: REPORT and FORECAST
FRENCH MARKET
AUTOMOTIVE TRENDS
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“JEC represents, promotes and expands composites markets by providing global or local networking and information services”
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JEC Offices in North America, Europe and Asia Contribute to expanding composites markets Services provider globally and locally Offices and staff in the US, European Union and Asia
North America ParisHeadquarter
Singapore
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Newport Beach
Chicago
Atlanta
Knoxville Mumbaï
Shanghai
Singapore
Brussels
Paris
Augsburg
Bangkok
JEC GROUP SERVES THE COMPOSITES INDUSTRY ALL YEAR ROUND, WORLDWIDE
NetworkingEvents MediaJEC Customers (2017)
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GLOBAL MARKET FORECAST
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Composites10,000 kT
Steel1,578,079
kT
Concrete4,000,000 kT
Aluminium49,714 kT
Plastics299,000 kT
COMPETITION VS OTHER MATERIALS
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Size of the composites market in 2016 per region in valueAsia represents 43% of the global market in value (Euros)
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Transportation, Construction and E&E are the three industries that have largest weight in the global composites market, 2016 - In volume
(1) Includes US, Canada and Mexico; (2) Electrical appliances and electronics; (3) Other includes medical equipment, machine housings, safety hats, and toolingSources: Lucintel, interviews, Estin & Co analysis and estimates 10
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Evolution with the composites industry
Increasing share of carbon fiber applications compared to glass fiber applications (slow evolution trend at +1-2 pts per annum)
Increasing share of thermoplastic resins applications compared to thermoset resins applications (slow evolution trend at +1 pts per annum)
Increasing share of injection processes (+3 pts per annum) and compression processes (+0-1 pts per annum) to the detriment of manual processes and continuous processes (-1 pts per annum)
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Growth of the composites industry
Overall pursuit of the future growth of the global composites industry at a limited level (5% p.a. in value at global level, comparable to the global economic growth)
Differentiation of the growth dynamics by geographies and end-users applications
60% of the growth driven by the growth of emerging Asia (8% p.a. in value)
35% of the growth still driven by North America, Europe and Mature Asia (Japan,…) through innovation
36% of the growth concentrated in Transportation (automotive,…) and Aerospace applications
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The global composite industry should continue to grow, with China representing 60% of the global growth In volume - 2010 - 2021
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Breakdown of the global composites market by application (2010-2021, in Mt)
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Market trends drive new applications
MEGACITIESURBANIZATIONHEALTH
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE FULL LIFE CYCLE
DEMOCRATIZATION OF COMPOSITES
• Demand for Infrastructure• Safe, Eco-friendly Transportation• Clean Renewable Energy (air, water)
• Durability• No Maintenance• Lightness, Energy Saving
• Mass Production• New Entrants• Novel Applications
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- Problem of large series
- Innovation & New ideas
- Awareness & Visibility
Other challenges for the composites industry
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FRENCH MARKET
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Growth potential
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Overview of main end-user applications
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Overview of main manufacturing processes
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Growth and employement potential
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Overview of employers’ structure
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Innovation and intellectual property
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Innovation and intellectual property
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AUTOMOTIVE MARKET
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Land transport represents 28% of the total volume.
The automotive represents 21% of the total volume, or 75% of land transport in volume.
THE AUTOMOTIVE MARKET
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Historical trends for composite materials in Automotive industry
Luxury and high-end car have been increasing the penetration rate of composites in the past 30 years
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Usage of composites by car partThe usage of composites part varies according to the price level of the car
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The transportation segment features strong share of growth in the Chinese, North American and European Markets - 2021
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Breakdown of the demand for carbon fibre from 2013 to 2020, by main user sector
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Transportation by region - 2021
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Weight reduction potential by type of car partThe chassis presents the most potential for weight reduction but cost-efficient
materials / processes do not yet exist
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Average weight distribution of a car by materialEurope 2010-2020 – in %
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Three key industries in which composites penetration has potential to increase further in the future
- Automotive, aeronautics, building and construction
Automotive - Further penetration of composites materials challenged at this stage by some bottlenecks
- High production cost versus competing materials (steel, aluminum)
- Absence at this stage of industrial processes for long run lengths production
- Limits of recycling possibilities versus traditional materials
Automotive - Future long term growth depending on technology and industrial disruptions, with uncertain probability and time horizon
- Development of electric and connected / autonomous cars, in emerging Asia in particular, with required investments from emerging car manufacturers (as opposed to western manufacturers with existing manufacturing processes mainly designed for steel and aluminum)
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Others challenges for the composites industry
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