THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1%...

March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1% M.O.E.

THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL

A national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters


Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

28%21% 21%

26% 26% 27% 30% 27% 28%34%

8% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6%14%

9% 7%

64%70% 69%

65% 66% 66% 63%58%

64%59%

3/20/2014 8/28/2014 12/11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/2016 10/13/2016 12/1/2016 8/17/2017 3/8/2018

Right direction Unsure Wrong track

Q1

March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters/Split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E.

32%31% 31%29%

32%

39%

34%

24%26%27%

30%27%28%

34%

67%69%

65%66%66%63%

58%

64%

59%

26%

21%21%

28%37%37%

28%

38%

32%33%

28%

38%

36%

34%40% 41%40% 39%

70%

64%

73%

59%

54%

59%

64%63%62%

72% 75%

59%

59%

61%

57%56%57%55%

52%54%55% 56%

51%

62%

54%

67%

60%

6/1/04

8/1/04

10/1/04

3/1/05

10/1/05

2/1/06

9/1/06

7/1/09

12/1/09

4/8/10

8/1/10

9/21/10

10/21/10

5/12/11

9/1/11

11/11/11

2/12/12

5/1/12

8/12/12

9/20/12

9/27/12

10/18/12

11/5/12

12/6/12

10/31/13

1/16/14

3/14/14

8/28/14

12/11/14

5/7/15

4/20/16

9/1/16

10/13/16

12/1/16

8/17/17

3/8/18

Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure

Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

Q1


Thinking now about the elections for Congress that will be held in November 2018…If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for…

the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your district?

38%

18%

44%40%

12%

49%

Republican Undecided Democrat

8/17/2017 3/8/2018

Q2


How would you rate the job Donald Trump has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

43%

4%

54%

42%

4%

55%

Approve Unsure Disapprove

8/17/2017 3/8/2018

Q3


Do you agree or disagree with the following statement –“Even though I approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I have some real

questions about his agenda or his style of leadership.”(If values 1-2 in Q3, Asked of N= 420 Respondents, or 41.5% of Sample)

37%

5%

59%

Agree Unsure Disagree

Q3-1


Do you agree or disagree with the following statement –“Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like

some of his policies and some of the actions he has taken.”(If values 3-5 in Q3, Asked of N= 591 Respondents, or 58.5% of Sample)

21%

3%

75%


Q3-2


I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue.

The economy

50%

51%

6%

4%

44%

45%

8/17/2017

3/8/2018


Q4



Foreign affairs

41%

38%

6%

5%

53%

56%

8/17/2017

3/8/2018


Q5



Dealing with North Korea

44%

41%

5%

6%

51%

53%

8/17/2017

3/8/2018


Q6



47%

52%

38%

5%

7%

6%

48%

41%

57%

Taxes

Jobs

Dealing with Congress


Q7-9



42%

38%

48%

39%

2%

6%

5%

6%

56%

56%

48%

55%

Immigration

Health care

National security

Dealing with gun violence


Q10-13


Would you say that you have a favorable or unfavorable impression about Congress as a whole?

17%

5%

78%

Favorable Unsure Unfavorable

Q14


Do you approve or disapprove of the job that your Member of Congress is doing?

42%

13%

46%50%

13%

37%

Approve Unsure Disapprove8/17/2017 3/8/2018

Q15


Do you think your Member of Congress has been too supportive of President Donald Trump or not supportive enough of President Trump, or just about right?

20%

33% 31%

16%20%

26%

41%

14%

Too supportive Not supportive enough Just about right Unsure

8/17/2017 3/8/2018Q16


Now, I am going to mention several stories that have been in the news over the past few months. For each one, please tell me if you have been following this story closely,

somewhat, a little, or not at all.

47%

56%

37%

72%

31%

32%

38%

22%

10%

7%

10%

4%

13%

5%

15%

2%

1%

1%

The ongoing discussions about discrimination andharassment of women in the workplace.

Efforts by Congress to reform our immigration system, including how to deal with “dreamers”, illegal immigrants

who were brought to America as minors.

The opioid epidemic

The school shooting at a high school in Parkland, Florida.

Closely Somewhat A little Not at all Unsure

Q17-20


Now, I am going to mention several stories that have been in the news over the past few months. For each one, please tell me if you have been following this story closely,

somewhat, a little, or not at all.

53%

50%

51%

35%

29%

31%

7%

10%

9%

5%

11%

8% 1%

The conflict with North Korea over their attempts todevelop nuclear weapons.

The ongoing investigation by the FBI and a special counselinto Russian attempts to influence the outcome of the 2016

Presidential election.

The tax reform law passed in December 2017.

Closely Somewhat A little Not at all Unsure

Q21-23


Thinking a bit more about the tax reform law passed in December 2017…Would you say that you favor or oppose this law?

45%

12%

44%

Favor Unsure Oppose

Q24


As you may know, there is currently a special counsel investigating allegations that Russia attempted to influence the 2016 Presidential election and allegations that members of the Trump campaign were involved in this effort. Based on what you know about these allegations, which of

these statements best describes your view:

31%

21%

37%

39%

16%

34%

Members of the Trump campaign committed crimes and actively

assisted Russia’s efforts

Members of the Trump campaignbehaved unethically but did not

commit any crimes

Members of the Trump campaignbehaved just as any campaign

staffer would

8/17/2017 3/8/2018Q25


How important would you say the findings from this investigation of Russian influence in the 2016 Presidential election will be to your vote decisions in 2018? Would you say that this issue

is extremely, very, somewhat, or not at all important to your 2018 vote decisions?

27%

13%

17%

41%

Extremely important

Very important

Somewhat important

Not at all important

Q26


Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people made about the US economy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with

that particular statement.

66%

37%

68%

72%

2%

7%

2%

4%

32%

56%

30%

24%

In America, anyone can get ahead if they work hardenough.

I think the next generation will be better offeconomically than I am now.

Our economy makes it too tough for the middle classto make ends meet.

I am optimistic about where I will be financially fiveyears from now.


Q27-30


Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people made about the US economy. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with that

particular statement.

39%

72%

37%

50%

3%

5%

5%

6%

58%

23%

59%

44%

I think Congress and the President are working toimprove my financial situation.

Most of the time, elected officials get in the way ofeconomic growth

Federal policies are helping to improve my financialsituation.

The next generation will have more opportunities inlife that I had.


Q31-34


Journalists sometimes talk about red states and blue states. When they do this, do you think they mean:

6%

73%

19%

Red states elect Democrats Red states elect Republicans Unsure

Q35


Over the past few months, many public figures have said or done very offensive things. Do you think that:

Our society has changed and this is just how things are now, OR This is a temporary change and our society will again no longer tolerate these behaviors.

36%

49%

6% 9%

Society has changed/howthings are now

Temporary change Both/neither Unsure

Q36

THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1%...

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Transcript of THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL · March 4-8, 2018 / N=1,000 Registered voters / ±3.1%...