The Energy Mix of 2050 - The Berkeley Blogblogs.berkeley.edu/.../Entry-SEC_TU-Crete_Greece.pdf ·...

1
EJ per year * * 1 EJ is equal to 10 18 joules Primary energy by source 2000 2050 Today Energy Demand 2050 Today Population Growth 2050 130% 300% The Energy Mix of Technologies that will transform our world 2050 SHELL ECO-MARATHON EUROPE 2013 THE SHELL STUDENT ENERGY CHALLENGE TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY of CRETE Large Renewable Energy Grids Smart Cities Common Ground Best Worst 2 3 4 1 Ocean Energy Space Solar Power Faster technology development & deployment In the next 40 years, renewable energy resources will be exploited at accelerated speed -faster than anticipated. A future energy mix projection is explored through alternative best-worst case scenarios, all influenced by six major parameters: Sustainable environment, Politics changing, Mutual collaboration, Technology & Education, Global solutions, Successful deployment. Choosing a modest common ground scenario and introducing important technologies that employ high capacity renewable energy sources, a glance at 2050 energy mix is presented. As population and energy demand will inevitably increase, this projection reveals how innovative technology can lead the way towards a sustain- able and green future. Renewable energy mix grows fast This energy mix will continue to contribute Worst case scenario Best case scenario • Same Status Quo • No decision making • No actions taken • Impact continues • Status Quo change • Next 50 years will be an era of transitions & evolution • People will continue to consume more energy • This and next generation will have great impact • Status Quo cannot continue • Pro-action • Political will • Lower emissions Common ground Harvesting oceanic hydro energy High orbit platforms collect solar energy and send it to earth Global renewable energy sources concentrated in large grids • John C. Mankins, Space Solar Power, The First International Assessment of Space Solar Power: Opportunities, Issues and Potential Pathways Forward, International Academy of Astronautics, 2011. • European Ocean Energy Roadmap 2010-2050, European Ocean Energy Association, 2010. • EUMENA 2050 Powered by Renewable Energy, Desertec Foundation, 2012. • Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050, Shell International BV, 2008. • A conversation with Shell: How can we create a future where every city has reliable energy, clean water and enough to eat?, TED Conversations, 2012. Smart green buildings, zero emission transportation, heating-cooling, waste manage- ment References 200 400 600 800 Other renewables Biomass Natural gas Nuclear Coal Crude oil F u t u re - c h a n g i n g t e c h n o l o g i e s 4 3 2 1

Transcript of The Energy Mix of 2050 - The Berkeley Blogblogs.berkeley.edu/.../Entry-SEC_TU-Crete_Greece.pdf ·...

Page 1: The Energy Mix of 2050 - The Berkeley Blogblogs.berkeley.edu/.../Entry-SEC_TU-Crete_Greece.pdf · 2050 130% 300% The Energy Mix of Technologies that will transform our world2050 ...

EJ per year *

* 1 EJ is equal to 1018 joules

Primary energyby source

2000 2050Today

Energy Demand

2050

Today

Population Growth

2050

130%

300%

The Energy Mix ofTechnologies that will transform our world2050

SHELL ECO-MARATHON EUROPE 2013THE SHELL STUDENT ENERGY CHALLENGE

TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY of CRETE

Large Renewable Energy Grids

Smart Cities

Common Ground

Best

Worst

2

3

4

1

Ocean Energy

Space Solar Power

Faster technology

development & deployment

In the next 40 years, renewable energy resources will be exploited at accelerated speed -faster than anticipated.

A future energy mix projection is explored through alternative best-worst case scenarios, all influenced by six major parameters: Sustainable environment, Politics changing, Mutual collaboration, Technology & Education, Global solutions, Successful deployment. Choosing a modest common ground scenario and introducing important technologies that employ high capacity renewable energy sources, a glance at 2050 energy mix is presented. As population and energy demand will inevitably increase, this projection reveals how innovative technology can lead the way towards a sustain-able and green future.

Renewable energy mix grows fast

This energy mixwill continueto contribute

Worst case scenario

Best case scenario

• Same Status Quo

• No decision making• No actions taken

• Impact continues

• Status Quo change

• Next 50 years will be an era of transitions & evolution

• People will continue to consume more energy

• This and next generation will have great impact

• Status Quo cannot continue

• Pro-action

• Political will

• Lower emissions

Common ground

Harvesting oceanic hydro energy

High orbit platforms collect solar energy and send it to earth

Global renewable energy sources concentrated in large grids

• John C. Mankins, Space Solar Power, The First International Assessment of Space Solar Power: Opportunities, Issues and Potential Pathways Forward, International Academy of Astronautics, 2011.

• European Ocean Energy Roadmap 2010-2050, European Ocean Energy Association, 2010.

• EUMENA 2050 Powered by Renewable Energy, Desertec Foundation, 2012.

• Shell Energy Scenarios to 2050, Shell International BV, 2008.

• A conversation with Shell: How can we create a future where every city has reliable energy, clean water and enough to eat?, TED Conversations, 2012.

Smart green buildings, zero emission transportation, heating-cooling, waste manage-ment

References

200

400

600

800

Other renewables

Biomass

Natural gas

Nuclear

Coal

Crude oil

Future

- c

hang

ing

tech

nolo

gies

4

3

2

1