The Business Case for Systems Engineering: Comparison of Defense-Domain and Non-Defense Projects

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 The Business Case for Systems Engineering: Comparison of Defense- Domain and Non-Defense Projects Joseph P. Elm Dennis R. Goldenson June 2014 SPECIAL REPORT CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 Software Solutions Division http://www.sei.cmu.edu

Transcript of The Business Case for Systems Engineering: Comparison of Defense-Domain and Non-Defense Projects

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The Business Case for Systems

Engineering: Comparison of Defense-

Domain and Non-Defense Projects

Joseph P. Elm

Dennis R. Goldenson

June 2014

SPECIAL REPORTCMU/SEI-2014-SR-013

Software Solutions Division

http://www.sei.cmu.edu

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Copyright 2014 Carnegie Mellon University

This material is based upon work funded and supported by the Department of Defense under Con-

tract No. FA8721-05-C-0003 with Carnegie Mellon University for the operation of the Software

Engineering Institute, a federally funded research and development center.

This report was prepared for the

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | i 

Table of Contents

Acknowledgments vii 

Executive Summary ix 

Abstract xiii 

1  Introduction 1 

1.1  Purpose 1 1.2  Background 1 

1.2.1  Developing the SE Effectiveness Survey 1 1.2.2  Executing the SE Effectiveness Survey 2 1.2.3  Survey Data Analysis 2 

1.2.3.1  Scoring 2 1.2.3.2  Identifying Relationships 3 

1.2.4  Initial Results of the SE Effectiveness Survey Results 4 1.3  Defense vs. Non-Defense Projects 7 

2  Comparison of Projects in the Defense and Non-Defense Domains 8 

2.1  Project Characteristics 8 2.2  Project Challenge 10 

2.2.1  Compensating for Differences in Project Challenge 12 2.3  Project Performance 13 2.4  Systems Engineering Capabilities 16 

2.4.1  Systems Engineering Process Areas 16 2.4.1.1  Project Planning 16 2.4.1.2  Verification 17 2.4.1.3  Project Monitoring and Control 18 2.4.1.4  Requirements Development and Management 19 2.4.1.5  Trade Studies 20 2.4.1.6  Validation 21 2.4.1.7  Product Integration 22 2.4.1.8  Configuration Management 24 2.4.1.9  Product Architecture 25 2.4.1.10  Integrated Product Teams 26 2.4.1.11 Risk Management 27 

2.4.2  Composite Systems Engineering Capabilities 28 2.4.2.1  Total Systems Engineering Capability 28 2.4.2.2  Early Systems Engineering 30 

2.5  Experience 31 

3  Summary and Conclusions 33 

3.1  Summary 33 3.2  Conclusions 37 

4  Next Steps 38 

Appendix A  Work Products Used to Assess SE Deployment 39 

Appendix B  Acronyms and Abbreviations 40 

References 41 

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | ii 

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | iii 

List of Figures

Figure 1:  Project Performance Comparison ix 

Figure 2:  SE Deployment Comparison x 

Figure 3:  Perf vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons xi 

Figure 4:  Mosaic Chart Key 4 

Figure 5:  Response Demographics 5 

Figure 6:  Project Performance vs. Total SE Capability 5 

Figure 7:  Project Performance vs. Total SE Capability Controlled by Project Challenge 6 

Figure 8:  Project Performance vs. SE Deployment 6 

Figure 9:  Industry and End User 7 

Figure 10:  Contract Value 8 

Figure 11:  Contract Duration 8 

Figure 12:  Current Completion Status 9 

Figure 13:  Percentage of Customer Technical Requirements Marked “TBD” at Contract Award 9 

Figure 14:  Percentage of Customer Technical Requirements Currently Marked “TBD” 10 

Figure 15:  SE Percentage of Non-Recurring Engineering 10 

Figure 16:  PC Response Distribution 11 

Figure 17:  PC vs. Perf 11 

Figure 18:   Adjusted PC Response Distribution 12 

Figure 19:   Adjusted PC vs. Perf 13 

Figure 20:  Project Performance Response Distribution 13 

Figure 21:  Performance Subfactor Distributions 14 

Figure 22:  Project Performance Comparison 15 

Figure 23:  Perf Cumulative Response Distribution 15 

Figure 24:  SEC-PP Response Distribution 16 

Figure 25:  SEC-PP vs. Perf 17 

Figure 26:  SEC-VER Response Distribution 17 

Figure 27:  SEC-VER vs. Perf 18 

Figure 28:  SEC-PMC Response Distribution 18 

Figure 29:  SEC-PMC vs. Perf 19 

Figure 30:  SEC-REQ Response Distribution 19 

Figure 31:  SEC-REQ vs. Perf 20 

Figure 32:  SEC-TRD Response Distribution 20 

Figure 33:  SEC-TRD vs. Perf 21 

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Figure 34:  SEC-VAL Response Distribution 22 

Figure 35:  SEC-VAL vs. Perf 22 

Figure 36:  SEC-PI Response Distribution 23 

Figure 37:  SEC-PI vs. Perf 23 

Figure 38:  SEC-CM Response Distribution 24 

Figure 39:  SEC-CM vs. Perf 25 

Figure 40:  SEC-ARCH Response Distribution 25 

Figure 41:  SEC-ARCH vs. Perf 26 

Figure 42:  SEC-IPT Response Distribution 26 

Figure 43:  SEC-IPT vs. Perf 27 

Figure 44:  SEC-RSKM Response Distribution 27 

Figure 45:  SEC-RSKM vs. Perf 28 

Figure 46:  SEC-Total Response Distribution 29 

Figure 47:  SEC-Total vs. Perf 29 

Figure 48:  Early SE Response Distribution 30 

Figure 49:  Early SE vs. Perf 31 

Figure 50:  Experience Response Distribution 31 

Figure 51:  Performance vs. Experience 32 

Figure 52:  Project Performance Comparison 34 

Figure 53:  SE Deployment Comparison 35 

Figure 54:  Perf vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons 36 

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | v 

List of Tables

Table 1:  Stronger SE Process Areas xi 

Table 2:  Project Performance Comparison 33 

Table 3:  SE Deployment Comparison 34 

Table 4:  Perf vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons 36 

Table 5:  Stronger SE Process Areas 37 

Table 6:  Notably Stronger Non-Defense Relationships 37 

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | vii 

Acknowledgments

We created this report based on the collaborative efforts of the National Defense Industrial Asso-

ciation (NDIA) Systems Engineering Division, the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers

(IEEE) Aerospace and Electronic Systems Society, the Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering

Institute, and the Systems Engineering Effectiveness Working Group of the International Council

on Systems Engineering (INCOSE).

We offer our sincere appreciation to the members of the NDIA-IEEE-SEI SE Effectiveness

Committee and the members of the INCOSE SE Effectiveness Committee.

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | ix 

Executive Summary

In 2011 and 2012, the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) Systems Engineering Di-

vision collaborated with the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE) Aerospace and

Electronic Systems Society and the Carnegie Mellon Software Engineering Institute (SEI) to

obtain quantitative evidence of the benefits of systems engineering (SE) best practices on project

 performance. The team developed and executed a survey of system developers to identify SE best

 practices used on projects, collect performance data on these projects, and identify relationships

 between the application of these SE best practices and project performance. Results of this study

were published in 2012 and 2013 [Elm 2012b, 2013]. The study found clear and significant rela-

tionships between the application of SE best practices to projects and the performance of those

 projects.

The data collected for the survey was provided by projects operating in the defense domain as

well as projects from non-defense domains. This distribution of data enabled us to compare and

contrast both the deployment of SE activities in the two domains and the impact of those SE activ-ities. Our intent is to identify similarities and differences between the domains that can be instruc-

tive in the effective application of SE.

We found that the performance ( Perf ) of the projects—as measured on a scale of 1 (poor perfor-

mance) to 5 (good performance) based on satisfaction of budget ( PerfC ), schedule ( PerfS ), and

technical requirements ( PerfT )—was better for non-defense projects than for defense projects.

Figure 1 shows the median values for these performance assessments.

Figure 1: Project Performance Comparison

We also examined the degree of project challenge ( PC ) posed by the projects, measured on a scale

of 1 (low challenge) to 4 (high challenge). To temper the impact of PC  on project performance,

  Carnegie Mellon is registered in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office by Carnegie Mellon University.

3.45

3.50

3.55

3.60

3.65

3.70PerfS

PerfT 

PerfC 

Perf 

DEF

Non-DEF

PROJECT

PERFORMANCE

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | x 

we adjusted our sample to include only a subsample of defense projects that had the same median

 PC  (median = 2.61) as the non-defense projects.

Finally, we examined the deployment of SE practices in a number of SE process areas. The de-

 ployment was measured on a scale of 1 (little SE deployment) to 4 (much SE deployment). Here,

we found some differences between the defense and the non-defense domains, as shown in Figure

2.

Figure 2: SE Deployment Comparison

Figure 2 shows that in nearly all SE process areas except (1) Early SE and (2) Requirements De-

velopment and Management, the SE capabilities (SEC ) deployed by the defense projects were

greater than or equal to those deployed by the non-defense projects. While most of the differences

appear to be modest, the probability that 10 of the 13 would be better for the non-defense projects

 by chance alone is unlikely ( p < 0.02 using a simple sign test).

We then examined the relationships between the deployed SE activities and project performance,

using Goodman and Kruskal’s gamma to quantify the strength of the relationships. A gamma val-

ue near −1 indicates a very strong opposing relationship; a value near 0 indicates a weak or non-

existent relationship; and a value near +1 indicates a very strong supporting relationship. Theserelationships are summarized in Figure 3.

2.50

2.70

2.90

3.10

3.30

3.50

Total SEC

Early SE

Project

Planning

Req'ts Dev't &

Mg't

Verification

Product

Architecture

Configuration

Mg'tTrade Studies

Monitor &

Control

Validation

Product

Integration

Risk

Management

Integ Product

Teams

DEF

Non-DEF

SYSTEMS

ENGINEERING

DEPLOYMENT

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | xi 

Figure 3: Perf  vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons

In Figure 3 and Table 1, we see that 10 of the 13 relationships are stronger for non-defense pro-

 jects than they are for defense projects. The probability that 10 of the 13 would be stronger for the

defense projects by chance alone is, again, unlikely (p < 0.02 using a simple sign test).

Table 1: Stronger SE Process Areas

Stronger Perf    vs. SEC  Relationships

for Defense Projects

Stronger Perf    vs. SEC  Relationships

for Non-Defense Projects

  Project Monitoring and Control

  Trade Studies

  Integrated Product Teams

  Total SE

  Early SE

  Verification

  Project Planning

  Requirements Development and Management

  Product Integration

  Validation

  Configuration Management

  Product Architecture

  Risk Management

We also found a significant difference in the impact of prior experience on project performance,with a weak positive relationship (gamma = 0.09) between prior experience ( EXP ) and Perf  for

the defense-domain projects but a very strong positive relationship (gamma = 0.54) for the non-

defense projects. The difference in the magnitude of the relationship between defense and non-

defense projects indicates that experience has a far greater impact on non-defense projects than it

has on defense projects.

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In summary, our data shows that non-defense projects deploy less SE than defense projects, yet

achieve better performance. We find that the relationships between SE deployment and project

 performance for most SE process areas are stronger for non-defense projects than they are for de-

fense projects. Thus, even though the non-defense projects deploy less SE, they gain more benefit

from it, contributing to better project performance.

Of particular consequence are the SE process areas of Product Architecture, Requirements Devel-

opment and Management, and Risk Management. These process areas show notably stronger rela-

tionships for non-defense projects than for defense projects. Understanding the implementation of

these SE activities in non-defense projects and adopting these practices for defense projects could

 produce significant improvements in the performance of defense-domain projects.

However, we also note several areas where activities in defense-domain projects show stronger

relationships to project performance. Defense projects show a considerably stronger relationship

 between Trade Studies and project performance. Additionally, the performance of defense pro-

 jects appears to be notably less influenced by project challenge than non-defense projects. Under-

standing the reasons behind these relationships in the defense domain and adopting them for non-

defense projects could produce significant improvements in the performance of non-defense pro- jects.

Our data clearly shows the differences in SE deployment and the impact of that SE deployment in

the defense and non-defense domains. Unfortunately, since our data collection was focused only

on quantifying deployment and relationships, it cannot explain why these differences exist.

We plan to perform additional research to further investigate the effectiveness of Product Archi-

tecture, Requirements Development and Management, and Risk Management activities in non-

defense projects and Trade Study activities in defense-domain projects. We will also investigate

factors that make defense-domain projects less sensitive than non-defense projects to project chal-

lenge.

The results of these investigations will benefit both domains by enabling them to share best prac-

tices.

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | xiii 

Abstract

This report summarizes analysis of data collected from the 2011 Systems Engineering (SE) Effec-

tiveness Survey performed by the National Defense Industrial Association Systems Engineering

Division, the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Aerospace and Electronic Systems

Society, and the Software Engineering Institute. This analysis examined the differences in the

deployment and impact of SE activities between defense-domain projects and non-defense pro-

 jects. The analysis found significant differences in both the deployment of SE in the two domains

and the effectiveness of the SE. The report identifies specific process areas where effectiveness in

one domain is noticeably higher than in the other. Further research to understand these differences

will benefit both domains by enabling them to share best practices.

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | 1 

1 Introduction

1.1 Purpose

The purpose of this report is to compare and contrast the impact of systems engineering (SE) ac-tivities on projects in the defense domain with projects in other commercial domains.

1.2 Background

1.2.1 Developing the SE Effectiveness Survey

In 2011 and 2012, the National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) Systems Engineering Di-

vision, the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineering (IEEE) Aerospace and Electronic

Systems Society, and the Software Engineering Institute (SEI) collaborated to perform the Sys-

tems Engineering Effectiveness Study. The purpose of this study was to identify the relationship

 between the application of SE activities to projects and the performance of those projects. Such

data would promote an understanding of the value of SE and build a business case for SE that

would justify a project’s investment in SE resources and activities.

The study was performed by surveying 148 individual projects to determine

  the SE activities applied to individual projects

  the performance of those projects as measured by satisfaction of budget, schedule, and tech-

nical requirements

  factors other than SE that could impact performance, such as

  the degree of challenge posed by the project

  the environment in which the project was executed

   prior experience of the organization and the team executing the project

To assess the SE activities applied to the project, we questioned the respondents about work prod-

ucts resulting from specific SE activities. The survey questionnaire assessed SE deployment via

82 questions addressing the presence and quality of 51 work products (see Appendix A).

We assessed project performance in terms of meeting schedule, meeting budget, and satisfying

technical requirements. We collected multiple project performance measures and looked for the

degree of agreement between these measures. An in-depth discussion of the collection and analy-

sis of project performance information is found in the report The Business Case for Systems Engi-

neering Study: Assessing Project Performance from Sparse Data [Elm 2012a].

We also collected information on several other factors that can impact project performance, in-cluding the degree of challenge posed by the project, the environment in which the project was

executed, and prior experience of the organization and the team executing the project.

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1.2.2 Executing the SE Effectiveness Survey

To reach project members to participate in the survey, we relied on the resources of the NDIA,

IEEE, and the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE). The sample is not based

on known probability of selection criteria, so the results related to the distributions of any single

variable cannot be generalized to the entire population of system developers. However, there is

sufficient variation in the sample to analyze relationships among those variables. It is those rela-

tionships that allow us to address the validity of assertions about the effects that SE activities can

have on program performance under varying circumstances.

We made the process of responding to the survey simple and convenient by providing the survey

online. To participate, a respondent merely had to obtain an online account from the survey serv-

er, log in, and complete the survey.

Some organizations were reluctant to respond due to the survey’s request for competition-

sensitive information identifying project performance. To mitigate these concerns, we collected

all responses anonymously and did not solicit information to identify people, projects, or organi-

zations. Additionally, we promised that data would be collected and handled by a trusted organi-zation—the SEI, which is a federally funded research and development center (FFRDC) that does

not compete with any of the responding organizations and is known for handling sensitive data.

Survey data collection occurred between October 2011 and March 2012. Valid survey responses

were received from 148 projects.

1.2.3 Survey Data Analysis

The primary survey hypotheses were that the deployment of SE best practices, the degree of chal-

lenge imposed by the project, and the environment in which the project was executed all have a

quantifiable impact on project performance. This can be stated mathematically as

Perf   = f   (PC , EXP , SEC ),

where PC = project challenge  EXP  = prior experience 

SEC  = systems engineering capability Perf   = project performance

Our goal was to identify the impact of PC , EXP , and SEC  on Perf . We did this by first scoring

each parameter based on the survey responses and then by identifying the relationships among

these scores.

1.2.3.1 Scoring

Project performance ( Perf ) was measured based on three subfactors: cost performance ( PerfC ),

schedule performance ( PerfS ), and technical performance ( PerfT ). These subfactors were com- bined to create a measure of overall performance ( Perf ) that ranged in value from 1 (very poor

 performance) to 5 (very good performance).

Systems Engineering Capability (SEC ) is a measure of the SE activities applied to each project

and was assessed based on the presence and quality of the 51 SE work products listed in Appen-

dix A. Because these work products could be categorized within specific areas of SE, we could

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | 4 

Figure 4: Mosaic Chart Key

Figure 4 also contains a nonparametric statistical measure of the relationship between SEC-Total  

and Perf . Goodman and Kruskal’s gamma is a measure of association that expresses the strength

of relationship between two ordinal variables. Gamma varies from +1 to −1, with values near −1

indicating a strong opposing relationship, values near 0 indicating a weak or no relationship (sta-

tistical independence), and values near +1 indicating a strong supporting relationship.

1.2.4 Initial Results of the SE Effectiveness Survey Results

We received 148 valid survey responses, with response demographics as shown in Figure 5. Both

the distributions for SE deployment (SEC-Total ) and project performance ( Perf ) are skewed to the

right, indicating that the surveyed sample consisted of projects deploying larger amounts of SE

and producing higher levels of performance. Some of this bias may be due to the inherent opti-

mism of self-reporting. Fortunately, the analysis techniques utilized to identify the relationships

 between the independent and dependent variables are not affected by this bias.

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Figure 5: Response Demographics

The study found strong relationships between the deployment of SE and project performance, as

shown in Figure 6.

Figure 6: Project Performance vs. Total SE Capability

This figure clearly shows that projects that deploy more SE deliver better performance. This rela-

tionship is amplified for projects posing more challenge, as shown in Figure 7.

0

20

40

60

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #

   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-Total 2.783.033.41

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

20

40

60

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #

   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Perf  3.033.583.98

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

20

40

60

80

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

PC  2.22

2.502.68

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

20

40

60

100 K$ 1 M$ 10 M$ 100 M$ 1 B$ 10 B$ 100 B$

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Contract Value Std. Dev.Mean

Median

488 M$

2,220 M$

50.5 M$

52%29% 20%

33%

47%

24%

15% 24%

56%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=48)

Middle SEC

(n=49)

Higher SEC

(n=51)

   P   r   o   j   e   c   t   P   e   r    f   o   r   m   a   n   c   e

    (     P    e    r      f    )

Total Systems Engineering Capability (SEC )

Project Performance vs. Total-SEC 

Projects delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.49

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 6 

Figure 7: Project Performance vs. Total SE Capability Controlled by Project Challenge

The individual process areas of SE and project performance display similarly strong relationships.

Figure 8 shows the strength of the relationships between each of the factors and project perfor-

mance, as measured by gamma.

Figure 8: Project Performance vs. SE Deployment

Significantly, all of the SE factors have a positive relationship with project performance, and formost of them that relationship is either strong or very strong.

The results of this study are presented in considerable detail in

  The Business Case for Systems Engineering Study: Results of the Systems Engineering Effec-

tiveness Survey [Elm 2012b]

  The Business Case for Systems Engineering Study: Detailed Response Data [Elm 2013]

32%19% 12%

45%58%

36%

23%   23%

52%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=22)

Middle SEC

(n=26)

Higher SEC

(n=25)

Project Perf  vs. Total-SEC  (Low PC )

gamma = 0.34

69%39%

27%

23%

35%

12%

8%26%

62%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=26)

Middle SEC

(n=23)

Higher SEC

(n=26)

Project Perf  vs. Total-SEC  (High PC )

gamma = 0.62

-0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7

Total SE

Early SE

Project Planning

Req'ts Dev't & Mg't

Verification

Product Architecture

Configuration Mg't

Trade Studies

Monitor & Control

Validation

Product Integration

Risk Management

Integ. Product Teams

Project Challenge

Prior Experience

Performance vs. SE Capability - All Projects

StrongModerateWeakModerate Very Strong

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | 7 

1.3 Defense vs. Non-Defense Projects

In conducting the SE Effectiveness Survey in 2011 and 2012, we solicited project members

through the resources of NDIA, IEEE, and INCOSE. While many of those who participated in the

survey were associated with the U.S. defense domain, a nontrivial number were not associated

with defense-related activities. This division is shown in Figure 9.

Figure 9: Industry and End User

Figure 9 shows that 116 respondents declared their primary industry as defense related, while 31

respondents declared their primary industry as non-defense related. These non-defense projects

supported industrial domains including energy, communications, and health care. The figure also

shows that 115 respondents declared that the end user for their products was a defense organiza-tion, while 32 declared that the end user was not a defense organization.

Since we could categorize the responding projects as either defense related or non-defense related,

we could analyze each group independently to identify relationships between SE deployment,

 project challenge, experience, and project performance. Independent analysis enabled us to com-

 pare and contrast these groups to identify similarities and differences that can be instructive in the

effective application of SE.

1  In total, 148 responses were received. The numbers cited here may not add to 148 because some respondents

chose not to answer the questions identifying their primary industry and end users.

116

7 2 0 29

0 110

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

   I   n    d .   M    f   g   &   S   v   c  :   D   e    f   e   n   s   e

   I   n    d .   M    f   g   &   S   v   c  :   E    l   e   c   t   r   o   n

   i   c

   a   n    d   E    l   e   c   t   r   i   c   a    l   E   q   u   i   p

   I   n    d .   M    f   g   a   n    d   S   v   c  :   O   t    h   e   r

   T   r   a   n   s   p   o   r   t   a   t   i   o   n

   E   n   e   r   g   y

   C   o   m   m   u   n   i   c   a   t   i   o   n   s

   C   o   n   s   u   m   e   r   G   o   o    d   s   &   S   v   c

   H   e   a    l   t    h   C   a   r   e

   O   t    h   e   r

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Which of these best describes

your industry or service?

102

13 132

91

7

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

   U   S   G   o   v    '   t   D   e    f   e   n   s   e

   U   S   G   o   v    '   t   N   o   t   D   e    f   e   n   s   e

   N   o   n  -   U   S   G   o   v    '   t   D   e    f   e   n   s   e

   N   o   n  -   U   S   G   o   v    '   t   N   o   t   D   e    f

   I   n    d   u   s   t   r   i   a    l    /   C   o   m   m   e   r   c   i   a

    l

   P   r   i   v   a   t   e   C   o   n   s   u   m   e   r

   O   t    h   e   r

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Which of the following best describes

the ultimate end-user of this product?

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | 8 

2 Comparison of Projects in the Defense and Non-Defense

Domains

2.1 Project CharacteristicsBefore comparing and contrasting the SE and performance characteristics of the two project

groups, we must first understand the demographics of the groups.

Figure 10 shows the distribution of project contract values for the projects in the defense domain

and those not in the defense domain. The median contract value for the group of defense projects

was $60 million, while the median contract value for the group of non-defense projects was $40

million. While this represents a 33% difference, the two sets of projects are within the same order

of magnitude.

Figure 10: Contract Value

Figure 11 shows the distribution of project duration for the groups of projects in the defense and

non-defense domains. The median project duration for the group of defense projects was 48

months, while the median project duration of the non-defense projects was only 10% less at 44

months.

Figure 11: Contract Duration

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

100 K$ 1 M$ 10 M$ 100 M$ 1 B$ 10 B$ 100 B$

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

579 M$

2,470 M$

60 M$

Defense

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

100 K$ 1 M$ 10 M$ 100 M$ 1 B$ 10 B$ 100 B$

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

146 M$

264 M$

39.6 M$

Non-Defense

05

101520

25303540

12 24 48 96 192 384

   #   o    f   p   r   o

   j   e   c   t   s

months

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

61.04

51.20

48.00

Defense

0

2

4

6

8

10

12 24 48 96 192 384

   #   o    f   p   r   o

   j   e   c   t   s

months

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

49.36

33.81

44.00

Non-Defense

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013 | 9 

We did not restrict our surveys to completed projects; thus our survey responses included projects

at various stages of completion. Figure 12 shows the distribution of the completion status of the

groups of projects in the defense and non-defense domains. Within the defense domains, the mean

completion status of the projects is 71%, and in the non-defense domain, the mean is nearly the

same at 72%.

Figure 12: Current Completion Status

Starting projects before they are sufficiently defined can impact project performance. One meas-

ure of the quality of the project definition is the completeness of the customer requirements. Fig-

ure 13 shows the percentage of undefined customer requirements at the time of contract award.

Figure 13: Percentage of Customer Technical Requirements Marked “TBD” at Contract Award

For the group of defense-domain projects, half of the projects have ≤10% undefined requirements

at the time of award. The group of non-defense projects has the same median. The mean value forthe percentage of undefined requirements in the defense domain is 16%, compared to a mean val-

ue for the non-defense domain of 22%. This indicates that initial project definition in the non-

defense domain may be less complete than that within the defense domain.

As the project progresses, many of the customer requirements that were initially undefined be-

come known. Figure 14 shows the percentage of undefined technical requirements within the pro-

 jects at the time of the survey.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

70.66

27.70

80.00

Defense

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Std. Dev.

Mean

Median

72.26

22.16

79.00

Non-Defense

0

5

10

15

20

2530

35

40

45

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

DefenseMedian

Mean

10%

16%

01234567

89

10

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t

   s

Non-DefenseMedian

Mean

10%

22%

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 10 

Figure 14: Percentage of Customer Technical Requirements Currently Marked “TBD”

Within the groups of defense and non-defense projects, over half of the projects in each group had

no undefined customer requirements at the time of the survey, as evidenced by the median valuesof 0%. The 10% mean percentage of undefined requirements for the non-defense projects is only

slightly higher than the mean of 7% for the defense projects, indicating no significant difference

in project definition between the two groups.

In most cases, SE is only a part of the total non-recurring engineering (NRE) applied to a project.

Figure 15 shows the amount of SE applied to a project as a percentage of the total NRE of the

 project. The defense-domain projects and the non-defense projects show little difference between

the median (15% vs. 13%) and mean (21% vs. 26%) values for the SE percentage.

Figure 15: SE Percentage of Non-Recurring Engineering

2.2 Project Challenge

As discussed previously, we assessed the degree of challenge posed by each project by evaluating

factors such as project size, project complexity, and technology precedents. The distribution of

 project challenge ( PC ) is shown in Figure 16, with the value of 1 representing very low challenge

and 4 representing very high challenge.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Defense Median

Mean

0%

7%

0

2

4

6

810

12

14

16

18

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e

   c   t   s

Non-DefenseMedian

Mean

0%

10%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

4045

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Defense Median

Mean

15%

21%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1416

   0   %

   1   0   %

   2   0   %

   3   0   %

   4   0   %

   5   0   %

   6   0   %

   7   0   %

   8   0   %

   9   0   %

   1   0   0   %

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Non-Defense Median

Mean

13%

26%

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 11 

Figure 16: PC Response Distribution

For the defense-domain projects, the median of 2.44 indicates that the sampled projects were

nearly in the middle of the continuum of project challenge. Similar conclusions may be drawn for

the non-defense projects, with a median of 2.61, which appeared to be a bit more challenging than

the defense projects.

As part of preparing the mosaic chart showing the relationship between PC  and Perf , three groups

for PC  were established with breakpoints at 2.33 and 2.65. These breakpoints resulted in a nearly

even distribution of projects across the three categories of lower challenge, middle challenge, and

higher challenge. The resulting mosaic charts are shown in Figure 17.

Figure 17: PC vs. Perf  

These charts reveal a moderately negative relationship (gamma = −0.21) between PC  and Perf for

the defense-domain projects, but a very strong negative relationship (gamma = −0.44) for the non-

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e

   c   t   s

PC  (Defense) 2.172.442.67

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e

   c   t   s

PC  (Non-Defense) 2.392.61

2.77

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

17%

37%   41%

46%

32%  29%

37%   32%   29%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower PC

(n=41)

Middle PC

(n=41)

Higher PC

(n=34)

Project Challenge

Perf  vs. PC  (Defense)

Projectsdelivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = −0.21

17%  25%

69%50%

  42%

8%33% 33%

  23%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower PC

(n=6)

Middle PC

(n=12)

Higher PC

(n=13)

Project Challenge

Perf  vs. PC  (Non-Defense)

gamma = −0.44

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 12 

defense projects. The negative polarity of these relationships is consistent with intuition—one

would expect more challenging projects to have greater difficulty achieving performance expecta-

tions. The difference in the magnitude of the relationship between defense and non-defense pro-

 jects is interesting and will be discussed later in this report.

2.2.1 Compensating for Differences in Project Challenge

To achieve the best comparison between defense and non-defense projects, to the greatest extent

 possible, we endeavored to eliminate variations in other factors affecting project performance. PC  

is one of those factors. The 116 projects in the defense domain sample had a median PC  value of

2.44, while the 32 non-defense projects had a median PC  value of 2.66, representing a higher de-

gree of challenge.

To temper the impact of this variation in PC , we identified a subset of the defense projects that

also had a median PC  value of 2.66. This subset consisted of the 75 most challenging defense pro-

 jects. As shown in Figure 18, the PC  distributions for the defense and non-defense projects are

remarkably similar.

Figure 18: Adjusted PC Response Distribution

For the remainder of this report, we will perform all analyses using this 75-project subset of the

defense-domain projects.

The resulting mosaic charts of Figure 19 show the relationship between the PC  subset and Perf .

We established three groups for PC  with breakpoints at 2.45 and 2.70 to obtain a nearly even dis-

tribution of projects across the three categories of lower challenge, middle challenge, and higher

challenge. These charts reveal a weak negative relationship (gamma = −0.08) between PC  and

 Perf for the defense-domain projects, but a moderate negative relationship (gamma =−

0.24) forthe non-defense projects.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

PC  (Defense) 2.442.612.81

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

PC  (Non-Defense) 2.392.61

2.77

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 13 

Figure 19: Adjusted PC vs. Perf  

2.3 Project Performance

As discussed previously, the performance ( Perf ) of each project was assessed by evaluating its

conformance to budget ( PerfC ), schedule ( PerfS ), and technical ( PerfT ) requirements. These three

factors were combined additively to create a measure of overall project performance. Distribution

of Perf  for defense and non-defense projects is shown in Figure 20.

Figure 20: Project Performance Response Distribution

A Perf  value of 3.00 may be interpreted as a project that is on schedule, on budget, and satisfying

technical requirements. Values greater than 3 indicate superior performance (e.g., under budget,

ahead of schedule, and/or exceeding technical requirements), while values less than 3 represent

inferior performance. The median values of 3.51 for the defense projects and 3.59 for the non-

25%38%

31%

35%

31%38%

40%  31%   31%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower PC

(n=20)

Middle PC

(n=29)

Higher PC

(n=26)

Project Challenge

Perf  vs. PC  (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = −0.08

17%

38%

64%

67%

0%

18%

17%

63%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower PC

(n=12)

Middle PC

(n=8)

Higher PC

(n=11)

Project Challenge

Perf  vs. PC  (Non-Defense)

gamma = −0.24

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Perf  (Defense) 2.973.513.91

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Perf  (Non-Defense) 2.923.59

3.93

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 14 

defense projects indicate that the projects surveyed, in the aggregate, exceeded performance ex-

 pectations in terms of cost, schedule, and/or technical performance.

Figure 21 shows the distributions of the performance subfactors of cost performance, schedule

 performance, and technical performance.

Defense Non-Defense

   C   o   s   t   P   e   r    f   o   r   m   a   n   c   e    (     P    e    r      f     C    )

   S   c    h   e    d   u    l   e   P   e   r    f   o   r   m   a   n   c   e    (     P    e    r      f     S    )

   T   e   c    h   n   i   c   a    l   P   e   r    f   o   r   m   a   n   c   e    (     P    e    r      f     T    )

Figure 21: Performance Subfactor Distributions

Only the distribution of the schedule subfactor ( PerfS ) shows a noticeable difference between the

defense projects (median = 3.50) and the non-defense projects (median =3.58). All of these per-formance measures are shown graphically in Figure 22.

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

2.503.504.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

2.883.504.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

5

10

15

20

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

2.78

3.503.93Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

2.92

3.583.92Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1.00 1.67 2.33 3.00 3.67 4.33 5.00

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

3.333.674.33

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0123456789

1.00 1.67 2.33 3.00 3.67 4.33 5.00

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

2.833.674.33

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 15 

Figure 22: Project Performance Comparison

 Perf  is used as the primary variable for comparison with SEC variables. As discussed previously,

the first step in preparing the mosaic charts showing these relationships is to divide the projects

into three groups based on Perf  —those delivering lower, middle, and higher performance. We do

this by examining the cumulative distribution function of Perf  (Figure 23) to identify two break-

 points that distribute the projects evenly into three bins.2 

Figure 23: Perf  Cumulative Response Distribution

Examining the data, we can identify these breakpoints at 3.18 and 3.83. Thus, for all future analy-

sis, we categorize projects as follows:

1    Perf     3.18   Lower project performance

3.18 <  Perf     3.83   Middle project performance

3.83 <  Perf     Higher project performance

2  More detail about establishing the cutting points can be found in The Business Case for Systems Engineering

Study: Assessing Project Performance from Sparse Data [Elm 2012a].

3.45

3.50

3.55

3.60

3.65

3.70PerfS

PerfT 

PerfC 

Perf 

DEF

Non-DEF

PROJECT

PERFORMANCE

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5

Perf 

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 16 

2.4 Systems Engineering Capabilities

The following sections discuss the results of the survey for SE capabilities.

2.4.1 Systems Engineering Process Areas

2.4.1.1 Project Planning

The distributions of the responses assessing Project Planning activities (SEC-PP ) are shown in

Figure 24, with a value of 1 representing very poor Project Planning and 4 representing very good

Project Planning. The respective median values of 2.96 and 2.87 for the defense and non-defense

 projects indicate that defense projects deploy somewhat more Project Planning activities than

non-defense projects.

Figure 24: SEC-PP Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 25 show the relationship between SEC-PP  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-PP  with breakpoints at 2.82 and 3.25 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.57) between SEC-PP  and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.59) for the non-defense projects.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PP  (Defense) 2.742.96

3.37

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

810

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PP  (Non-Defense) 2.512.873.40

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 17 

Figure 25: SEC-PP vs. Perf  

2.4.1.2 Verification

The distributions of the responses assessing Verification activities (SEC-VER) of the projects are

shown in Figure 26, with a value of 1 representing very poor Verification work and 4 representing

very good Verification work. The respective median values of 3.11 and 3.00 for the defense and

non-defense projects indicate that defense projects deploy somewhat more Verification activities

than non-defense projects.

Figure 26: SEC-VER Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 27 show the relationship between SEC-VER and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-VER with breakpoints at 2.88 and 3.40 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

59%

25%16%

32%

43%

28%

9%

32%

56%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=22)

Middle SEC

(n=28)

Higher SEC

(n=25)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PP  (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performanceProjects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.57

69%

29%

9%

23%

29%

45%

8%

43%   45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=13)

Middle SEC

(n=7)

Higher SEC

(n=11)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PP  (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.59

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-VER (Defense) 2.78

3.11

3.67Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-VER (Non-defense) 2.72

3.003.44

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 18 

tionship (gamma = 0.55) between SEC-VER and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.64) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 27: SEC-VER vs. Perf  

2.4.1.3 Project Monitoring and Control

The distributions of the responses assessing Project Monitoring and Control activities (SEC-PMC )

of the projects are shown in Figure 28, with a value of 1 representing very poor Project Monitor-

ing and Control and 4 representing very good Project Monitoring and Control. The respective me-

dian values of 3.09 and 3.00 for the defense and non-defense projects indicate that defense pro-

 jects deploy somewhat more Project Monitoring and Control activities than non-defense projects.

Figure 28: SEC-PMC Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 29 show the relationship between SEC-PMC  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

55%

34%

12%

30%

41%

31%

15%24%

58%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%100%

Lower SEC

(n=20)

Middle SEC

(n=29)

Higher SEC

(n=26)SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-VER (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.55

73%

20% 20%

27%

40%30%

0%

40%50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%100%

Lower SEC

(n=11)

Middle SEC

(n=10)

Higher SEC

(n=10)SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-VER (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.64

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PMC  (Defense) 2.823.09

3.50

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PMC  (Non-Defense) 2.783.003.39

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 19 

SEC—for  SEC-PMC  with breakpoints at 2.90 and 3.30 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.48) between SEC-PMC  and Perf  for the defense projects and a strong sup-

 porting relationship (gamma = 0.38) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 29: SEC-PMC vs. Perf  

2.4.1.4 Requirements Development and Management

The distributions of the responses assessing the Requirements Development and Management

activities (SEC-REQ) of the projects are shown in Figure 30, with a value of 1 representing very

 poor Requirements Development and Management and 4 representing very good RequirementsDevelopment and Management. The respective median values of 3.15 and 3.18 for the defense

and non-defense projects indicate no significant difference in the deployment of Requirements

Development and Management activities between the two project groups.

Figure 30: SEC-REQ Response Distribution

50%33%

15%

36%

37%

31%

14%30%

54%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=22)

Middle SEC

(n=27)

Higher SEC

(n=26)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PMC  (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.48

67%

33%20%

22%

33%

40%

11%

33% 40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=9)

Middle SEC

(n=12)

Higher SEC

(n=10)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PMC  (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.38

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p

   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-REQ (Defense) 2.82

3.153.57

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-REQ (Non-Defense) 2.63

3.18

3.59Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 20 

The mosaic charts of Figure 31 show the relationship between SEC-REQ and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-REQ with breakpoints at 2.90 and 3.45 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of this chart reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.46) between SEC-REQ and Perf  for the defense projects, and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.60) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 31: SEC-REQ vs. Perf  

2.4.1.5 Trade Studies

The distributions of the responses assessing Trade Study activities (SEC-TRD) of the projects are

shown in Figure 32, with a value of 1 representing very poor Trade Study work and 4 representing

very good Trade Study work. The respective median values of 3.00 and 3.00 for the defense and

non-defense projects indicate no difference in the deployment of Trade Study activities between

the two project groups.

Figure 32: SEC-TRD Response Distribution

55%

27%19%

23%

54%

26%

23%   19%

56%

0%

10%20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=22)

Middle SEC

(n=26)

Higher SEC

(n=27)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-REQ (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projectsdelivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.46

58%50%

0%

33%

30%

33%

8%20%

67%

0%

10%20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=12)

Middle SEC

(n=10)

Higher SEC

(n=9)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-REQ (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.6

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-TRD (Defense) 2.673.003.33

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

5

10

15

20

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j

   e   c   t   s

SEC-TRD (Non-Defense) 3.003.003.33

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 21 

The mosaic charts of Figure 33 show the relationship between SEC-TRD and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-TRD with breakpoints at 2.70 and 3.00 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.45) between SEC-TRD and Perf  for the defense projects but only a strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.30) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 33: SEC-TRD vs. Perf  

2.4.1.6 Validation

The distributions of the responses assessing Validation activities (SEC-VAL) of the projects are

shown in Figure 34, with a value of 1 representing very poor Validation work and 4 representing

very good Validation work. The respective median values of 3.00 and 3.00 for the defense and

non-defense projects indicate no apparent difference in the deployment of Validation activities

 between defense and non-defense projects.

52%28%

13%

30%

36%

39%

19%36%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=27)

Middle SEC

(n=25)

Higher SEC

(n=23)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-TRD (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projectsdelivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.45

57%

33% 33%

29%

40%22%

14%27%

44%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=7)

Middle SEC

(n=15)

Higher SEC

(n=9)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-TRD (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.3

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 22 

Figure 34: SEC-VAL Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 35 show the relationship between SEC-VAL and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-VAL with breakpoints at 2.50 and 3.00 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.45) between SEC-VAL and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.47) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 35: SEC-VAL vs. Perf  

2.4.1.7 Product Integration

The distributions of the responses assessing Product Integration activities (SEC-PI ) of the projects

are shown in Figure 36, with a value of 1 representing very poor Product Integration and 4 repre-

senting very good Product Integration. The respective median values of 3.00 and 3.00 for the de-

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e

   c   t   s

SEC-VAL (Defense) 3.003.004.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

5

10

15

20

25

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e

   c   t   s

SEC-VAL (Non-Defense) 3.003.00

3.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

53%

32%17%

35%

35%

33%

12%

32%50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=17)

Middle SEC

(n=34)

Higher SEC

(n=24)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-VAL (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.45

40%   43%

20%

60%

29%

20%

0%

29%

60%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=5)

Middle SEC

(n=21)

Higher SEC

(n=5)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-VAL (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.47

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 23 

fense and non-defense projects indicate no difference in the deployment of Product Integration

activities between the two project groups.

Figure 36: SEC-PI Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 37 show the relationship between SEC-PI  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-PI  with breakpoints at 2.50 and 3.50 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.45) between SEC-PI  and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong sup-

 porting relationship (gamma = 0.52) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 37: SEC-PI vs. Perf  

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1 2 3 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PI  (Defense) 3.003.00

3.00Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1 2 3 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-PI  (Non-Defense) 2.003.004.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

58%

33%

7%

25%

33%

47%

17% 33%47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=12)

Middle SEC

(n=48)

Higher SEC

(n=15)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PI  (Defense)

Projects

deliveringHIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.45

67%

29%   25%

33%

29%   38%

0%

43%   38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=9)

Middle SEC

(n=14)

Higher SEC

(n=8)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-PI (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.52

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 24 

2.4.1.8 Configuration Management

The distributions of the responses assessing Configuration Management activities (SEC-CM ) of

the projects are shown in Figure 38, with a value of 1 representing very poor Configuration Man-

agement and 4 representing very good Configuration Management. The respective median values

of 3.40 and 3.20 for the defense and non-defense projects indicate that defense projects deploy

more Configuration Management activities than non-defense projects.

Figure 38: SEC-CM Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 39 show the relationship between SEC-CM  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-CM  with breakpoints at 3.10 and 3.80 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.42) between SEC-CM  and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.47) for the non-defense projects.

05

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-CM (Defense) 3.003.403.90

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

02

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-CM (Non-Defense) 2.803.203.85

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 25 

Figure 39: SEC-CM vs. Perf  

2.4.1.9 Product Architecture

The distributions of the responses assessing Product Architecture activities (SEC-ARCH ) of the

 projects are shown in Figure 40, with a value of 1 representing very poor Product Architecture

work and 4 representing very good Product Architecture work. The respective median values of

3.20 and 3.00 for the defense and non-defense projects indicate that the defense projects deploy

more Product Architecture activities than the non-defense projects.

Figure 40: SEC-ARCH Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 41 show the relationship between SEC-ARCH  and Perf  for the de-

fense and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and

higher SEC—for SEC-ARCH  with breakpoints at 2.95 and 3.40 to create a nearly even distribu-

tion of projects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a strong support-

52%

24%16%

33%

31% 42%

15%

45%   42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=27)

Middle SEC

(n=29)

Higher SEC

(n=19)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-CM (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.42

58%

36%

13%

33%

27%

38%

8%

36%50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=12)

Middle SEC

(n=11)

Higher SEC

(n=8)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-CM (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.47

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-ARCH  (Defense) 2.90

3.203.60

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-ARCH  (Non-Defense) 2.60

3.003.65

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 26 

ing relationship (gamma = 0.38) between SEC-ARCH  and Perf  for the defense projects and a very

strong supporting relationship (gamma = 0.54) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 41: SEC-ARCH vs. Perf  

2.4.1.10 Integrated Product Teams

The distributions of the responses assessing the use of Integrated Product Teams (SEC-IPT ) are

shown in Figure 42, with a value of 1 representing very poor use and 4 representing very good

use. The respective median values of 3.00 and 3.00 for the defense and non-defense projects indi-

cate no apparent differences in the deployment of Integrated Product Teams activities between the

two project groups.

Figure 42: SEC-IPT Response Distribution

47%33%

17%

37%

33%

35%

16%33%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%100%

Lower SEC

(n=19)

Middle SEC

(n=33)

Higher SEC

(n=23)SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-ARCH 

(Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.38

57%

33%18%

29%

33%

36%

14%

33%45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%100%

Lower SEC

(n=14)

Middle SEC

(n=6)

Higher SEC

(n=11)SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-ARCH

(Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.54

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-IPT  (Defense)3.00Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile 3.20

2.60

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-IPT  (Non-Defense)3.00Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile 3.40

2.20

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The mosaic charts of Figure 43 show the relationship between SEC-IPT  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-IPT  with breakpoints at 2.6 and 3.00 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a strong supporting relation-

ship (gamma = 0.32) between SEC-IPT  and Perf  for the defense projects and a moderate support-

ing relationship (gamma = 0.23) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 43: SEC-IPT vs. Perf  

2.4.1.11 Risk Management

The distributions of the responses assessing Risk Management activities (SEC-RSKM ) of the pro- jects are shown in Figure 44, with a value of 1 representing very poor Risk Management and 4

representing very good Risk Management. The respective median values of 3.00 and 2.88 for the

defense and non-defense projects indicate that defense projects deploy somewhat more Risk Man-

agement activities than non-defense projects.

Figure 44: SEC-RSKM Response Distribution

46%26%   25%

38%

35% 30%

17%

39% 45%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=24)

Middle SEC

(n=31)

Higher SEC

(n=20)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-IPT 

(Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.32

55%

25%  33%

36%

25%

33%

9%

50%33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=11)

Middle SEC

(n=8)

Higher SEC

(n=12)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-IPT 

(Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.23

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-RSKM (Defense) 2.693.003.50

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

810

12

14

16

18

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-RSKM (Non-Defense) 2.752.88

3.50

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 28 

The mosaic charts of Figure 45 show the relationship between SEC-RSKM  and Perf  for the de-

fense and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and

higher SEC—for SEC-RSKM  with breakpoints at 2.75 and 3.40 to create a nearly even distribu-

tion of projects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a moderate sup-

 porting relationship (gamma = 0.28) between SEC-RSKM  and Perf  for the defense projects and a

very strong supporting relationship (gamma = 0.40) for the non-defense projects.

Figure 45: SEC-RSKM vs. Perf  

2.4.2 Composite Systems Engineering Capabilities

2.4.2.1 Total Systems Engineering Capability

As discussed previously, the total SE capability (SEC-Total ) applied to a project is assessed as the

amalgam of SE capabilities applied in the following process groups:

  Project Planning (SEC-PP )

  Verification (SEC-VER)

  Project Monitoring and Control (SEC-PMC )

  Requirements Development and Management (SEC-REQ)

  Trade Studies (SEC-TRD)

  Validation (SEC-VAL)

  Product Integration (SEC-PI )

  Configuration Management (SEC-CM )

  Product Architecture (SEC-ARCH )

  Integrated Product Teams (SEC-IPT )

  Risk Management (SEC-RSKM )

44%29% 23%

28%46%

27%

28%   25%

50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=25)

Middle SEC

(n=28)

Higher SEC

(n=22)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-RSKM

(Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projectsdelivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.28

43%

75%

0%

36%

13%

44%

21%  13%

56%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=14)

Middle SEC

(n=8)

Higher SEC

(n=9)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. SEC-RSKM

(Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.4

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 29 

The distributions of SEC-Total  are shown in Figure 46, with a value of 1 representing very poor

SE deployment and 4 representing very good SE deployment. The median values of 3.05 and 3.00

for the defense and non-defense projects, respectively, show that defense-domain projects deploy

slightly more SE than non-defense projects.

Figure 46: SEC-Total Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 47 show the relationship between SEC-Total  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for SEC-Total  with breakpoints at 2.87 and 3.27 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.57) between SEC-Total  and Perf  for the defense projects. But the relation-

ship between SEC-Total  and Perf  for the non-defense projects is even stronger, with a gamma

value of 0.66.

Figure 47: SEC-Total vs. Perf  

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-Total  (Defense) 2.833.053.41

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

SEC-Total  (Non-Defense) 2.70

3.003.34

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

61%

23%15%

30%

42%

31%

9%

35%

54%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=23)

Middle SEC

(n=26)

Higher SEC

(n=26)

Total Systems Engineering Capability (SEC)

Project Performance vs. SEC-Total 

(Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.57

67%

38%

9%

25%

38%

36%

8%25%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower SEC

(n=12)

Middle SEC

(n=8)

Higher SEC

(n=11)

Total SE Capability (SEC)

Project Performance vs. SEC-

Total  (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.66

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 30 

2.4.2.2 Early Systems Engineering

One of our hypotheses was that SE activities performed early in the program life cycle have the

greatest impact on project performance. If this hypothesis is true, then we would expect to find the

strongest relationships between these early SE activities and project performance. SE activities

that are predominantly performed early in the system life cycle include

  Project Planning

  Requirements Development and Management

  Trade Study performance

  Product Architecture development

We formed an amalgam of these SE process areas, labeled it Early SE , and analyzed its relation-

ship to project performance.

The distributions of the responses assessing Early SE  are shown in Figure 48, with a value of 1

representing very poor use and 4 representing very good use. The respective median values of

3.03 and 3.06 for the defense and non-defense projects show that defense-domain projects deploy

slightly less Early SE  than non-defense projects.

Figure 48: Early SE Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 49 show the relationship between Early SE  and Perf  for the defense

and non-defense projects. We established three categories—lower SEC, middle SEC, and higher

SEC—for Early SE  with breakpoints at 2.85 and 3.375 to create a nearly even distribution of pro-

 jects across the three categories. Examination of these charts reveals a very strong supporting rela-

tionship (gamma = 0.61) between Early SE  and Perf  for the defense projects and a very strong

supporting relationship (gamma = 0.62) for the non-defense projects.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Early SE  Defense 2.753.033.40

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

02

4

6

8

10

12

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

Early SE  Non-Defense 2.583.063.42

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 31 

Figure 49: Early SE vs. Perf  

2.5 Experience

The prior experience of the project team and the organization can have an impact on project per-

formance. Figure 50 shows the distributions of survey responses assessing the prior experience

metric ( EXP ) for the defense and the non-defense projects. The two groups of projects show little

difference in experience.

Figure 50: Experience Response Distribution

The mosaic charts of Figure 51 show the relationship between EXP  and Perf  for the defense and

non-defense projects. Three categories—lower experience, middle experience, and higher experi-

ence—were established for EXP  with breakpoints at 2.9 and 3.3 to create a nearly even distribu-

tion of projects across the three categories. These charts reveal a weak positive relationship

(gamma = 0.09) between EXP  and Perf  for the defense-domain projects, but a very strong positive

58%

32%

4%

29%

36%

39%

13%

32%

57%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower Early

SE (n=24)

Middle Early

SE (n=28)

Higher Early

SE (n=23)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. Early SE  (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.61

67%

33%

10%

25%

33%

40%

8%

33%50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower Early

SE (n=12)

Middle Early

SE (n=9)

Higher Early

SE (n=10)

SE Deployment

Perf  vs. Early SE  (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.62

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

EXP  (Defense) 2.50

3.00

3.00

Median (2nd quartile)

1st quartile

3rd quartile

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4

   #   o    f   p   r   o   j   e   c   t   s

EXP  (Non-Defense) 2.503.003.00

Median (2nd quartile)1st quartile

3rd quartile

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 32 

relationship (gamma = 0.54) for the non-defense projects. The difference in the magnitude of the

relationship between defense and non-defense projects indicates that experience has a far greater

impact on non-defense projects than it has on defense projects.

Figure 51: Performance vs. Experience

29%   35%27%

42%   35%

18%

29%   30%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower EXP(n=24)

Middle EXP(n=40)

Higher EXP(n=11)

Experience

Perf  vs. EXP  (Defense)

Projects

delivering

HIGHER

performance

Projects

delivering

MIDDLE

performance

Projects

delivering

LOWER

performance

gamma = 0.09

67%

25%14%

17%

42%

43%

17%33%

43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lower EXP(n=12)

Middle EXP(n=12)

Higher EXP(n=7)

Experience

Perf  vs. EXP  (Non-Defense)

gamma = 0.54

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 33 

3 Summary and Conclusions

3.1 Summary

The impetus for this survey was a desire to compare and contrast the application and impact of SEin two different domains—defense and non-defense—with the hope of identifying best practices

in one domain that could be transferred to the other to further improve project performance. Our

study found significant differences in both the deployment of these practices and the impact of

these practices on project performance.

Our defense domain sample consisted of 116 project participants who self-identified as defense

related. Of these defense projects, 75 were selected based on their PC  score to create a sample

reflecting degrees of project challenge equivalent to the sample of non-defense projects. Our non-

defense sample consisted of 32 projects from sectors such as electronic equipment, communica-

tions, and health care.

We examined the performance of the projects, as measured on a scale of 1 (poor performance) to

5 (good performance) based on satisfaction of budget, schedule, and technical requirements. We

found that performance against budget and technical requirements was essentially the same in

 both the defense and the non-defense domains. However, non-defense projects performed some-

what better against schedule than did defense projects. Table 2 and Figure 52 show the median

values of the assessed performance measures.

Table 2: Project Performance Comparison

Parameter

Median Values

Defense

Projects

Non-Defense

Projects

Total performance (Perf ) 3.51 3.59Cost performance (PerfC ) 3.50 3.50

Schedule performance (PerfS) 3.50 3.58

Technical performance (PerfT ) 3.67 3.67

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 34 

Figure 52: Project Performance Comparison

We examined the degree of challenge posed by the projects, measured on a scale of 1 (low chal-

lenge) to 4 (high challenge). Because we selected a subsample of defense projects to have the

same median challenge as the non-defense projects, both groups exhibited a median value of 2.61

for PC .

Finally, we examined the deployment of SE practices in a number of SE process areas. The de-

 ployment was measured on a scale of 1 (little SE deployment) to 4 (much SE deployment). Here,

we found some differences between the defense and the non-defense domain, as shown in Table 3

and Figure 53.

Table 3: SE Deployment Comparison

Parameter

Median Values

Defense Projects Non-Defense Projects

Total SE 3.05 3.00

Early SE 3.03 3.06

Project Planning 2.96 2.87

Verification 3.11 3.00

Monitoring and Control 3.09 3.00

Requirements Dev’t & Mg’t 3.15 3.18

Trade Studies 3.00 3.00

Validation 3.00 3.00

Product Integration 3.00 3.00

Configuration Management 3.40 3.20Product Architecture 3.20 3.00

Integrated Product Teams 3.00 3.00

Risk Management 3.00 2.88

3.45

3.50

3.55

3.60

3.65

3.70PerfS

PerfT 

PerfC 

Perf 

DEF

Non-DEF

PROJECT

PERFORMANCE

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 35 

Figure 53: SE Deployment Comparison

In nearly all SE process areas except (1) Early SE and (2) Requirements Development and Man-

agement, the SE capabilities deployed by the defense projects were greater than or equal to that

deployed by the non-defense projects. While most of the differences appear to be modest, the

 probability that 10 of the 13 would be greater for the non-defense projects by chance alone is un-

likely ( p < 0.02 using a simple sign test) [Kitchens 2002].

We then examined the relationships between the deployed SE activities and project performance,

using Goodman and Kruskal’s gamma to quantify the strength of the relationship. A gamma value

near −1 indicates a very strong opposing relationship; a value near 0 indicates a weak or nonexist-

ent relationship; and a value near +1 indicates a very strong supporting relationship. These rela-

tionships are summarized in Table 4 and Figure 54.

2.50

2.70

2.90

3.10

3.30

3.50

Total SEC

Early SE

Project

Planning

Req'ts Dev't &

Mg't

Verification

Product

ArchitectureConfiguration

Mg'tTrade Studies

Monitor &

Control

Validation

Product

Integration

Risk

Management

Integ Product

Teams

DEF

Non-DEF

SYSTEMS

ENGINEERING

DEPLOYMENT

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Table 4: Perf  vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons

Parameter Gamma

Defense Projects Non-Defense Projects

Perf  vs. Total SE 0.57 0.66

Perf  vs. Early SE 0.61 0.62

Perf  vs. Project Challenge −0.08 −0.24

Perf  vs. Project Planning 0.57 0.59

Perf  vs. Verification 0.55 0.64

Perf  vs. Monitoring and Control 0.48 0.38

Perf  vs. Requirements Dev’t & Mg’t 0.46 0.60

Perf  vs. Trade Studies 0.45 0.30

Perf  vs. Validation 0.45 0.47

Perf  vs. Product Integration 0.45 0.52

Perf  vs. Configuration Management 0.42 0.47

Perf  vs. Product Architecture 0.38 0.54

Perf  vs. Integrated Product Teams 0.32 0.23

Perf  vs. Risk Management 0.28 0.40

Figure 54: Perf  vs. SEC Relationship Comparisons

In Figure 54 and Table 5, we see that 10 of the 13 relationships are stronger for non-defense pro-

 jects than they are for defense projects. The probability that 10 of the 13 would be stronger for the

defense projects by chance alone is, again, unlikely ( p < 0.02 using a simple sign test).

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 37 

Table 5: Stronger SE Process Areas

Stronger Perf    vs. SEC  Relationships

for Defense Projects

Stronger Perf    vs. SEC  Relationships

for Non-Defense Projects

  Project Monitoring and Control

  Trade Studies

  Integrated Product Teams

  Total SE

  Early SE

  Verification

  Project Planning

  Requirements Development and Management

  Product Integration

  Validation

  Configuration Management

  Product Architecture

  Risk Management

3.2 Conclusions

Our data shows that non-defense projects deploy less SE than defense projects, yet achieve better

 performance. We also find that the relationship between SE deployment and project performance

for most SE process areas is stronger for non-defense projects than it is for defense projects. Thus,

even though the non-defense projects deploy less SE, they gain more benefit from it, contributingto better project performance.

Of particular significance are the SE process areas of Product Architecture, Requirements Devel-

opment and Management, and Risk Management. These process areas show notably stronger rela-

tionships for non-defense projects than for defense projects, as shown in Table 6. Understanding

these areas in non-defense projects and adopting methodologies and activities for defense projects

could produce significant improvements in the performance of defense-domain projects.

Table 6: Notably Stronger Non-Defense Relationships

Process Area Gamma

(Defense)

Gamma

(Non-Defense)

Product Architecture 0.38 0.54

Requirements Development and Management 0.46 0.60

Risk Management 0.28 0.40

Prior Experience 0.09 0.54

We also note several areas where activities in defense-domain projects show stronger relation-

ships to project performance:

1.  Defense projects show a considerably stronger relationship between the performance of

Trade Studies and project performance.

2.  The performance of defense projects appears to be less affected by project challenge for de-

fense-domain projects than non-defense projects.

Understanding the reasons behind these relationships in the defense domain and adopting them for

non-defense projects could produce significant improvements in the performance of non-defense

 projects.

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 38 

4 Next Steps

Our data from the 2011 SE Effectiveness Survey identifies a number of SE process areas where

SE activities in non-defense projects have impacts on project performance superior to those in

defense-domain projects [Elm 2012b]. Likewise, it identifies several areas where SE activities in

defense-domain projects have greater impacts on project performance than those in non-defense

 projects. Our data clearly shows these differences; unfortunately, it cannot explain why these dif-

ferences exist.

We plan to perform additional research to answer the following questions:

1.  What do non-defense projects do that makes their efforts addressing Product Architecture

more effective than those of defense-domain projects?

2.  What do non-defense projects do that makes their efforts addressing Requirements Devel-

opment and Management more effective than those of defense-domain projects?

3.  What do non-defense projects do that makes their efforts addressing Risk Management moreeffective than those of defense-domain projects?

4.  Why does prior experience in non-defense projects have more impact than for defense-

domain projects?

5.  What do defense-domain projects do that makes their efforts addressing Trade Studies more

effective than those of non-defense projects?

6.  What do defense-domain projects do that makes their performance less sensitive to project

challenge than that of non-defense projects?

The answers to these questions will enable the transplantation of best practices between the two

domains to the benefit of both.

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 39 

Appendix A Work Products Used to Assess SE Deployment

  Alternative solutions   Requirements approval process

  Baseline archives   Requirements configuration records

  Baseline audit records   Requirements impact assessments

  Change control board   Requirements management system

  Commitment impacts   Requirements provider criteria

  Concept of operations   Review of action items

  Configuration baselines   Review of issues

  Configuration item list   Review of selection criteria

  Cost and schedule baselines   Review process

  Customer requirements list   Risk list

  Derived requirements list   Risk mitigation plans

  Earned Value Management System (EVMS) data   Risk mitigation status

  EVMS updates   SE master plan

  EVMS variance thresholds   SE master schedule

  Field problem assessments   SE processes

  Field problem reports   SE tracking records

  Integrated master plan   Technical approach

  Integrated master schedule   Trade study records

  Integrated product teams   Use cases

  Interface control documents   Validation criteria

  Interface descriptions   Validation procedures

  Peer review plan   Verification criteria

  Product architecture   Verification entry and exit criteria

  Product integration process   Verification procedures

  Requirements acceptance criteria   Work breakdown structure

  Requirements allocations

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 40 

Appendix B Acronyms and Abbreviations

EVMS Earned Value Management System

EXP prior experience

FFRDC federally funded research and development center

IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers

INCOSE International Council on Systems Engineering

 NDIA National Defense Industrial Association

 PC  project challenge

 Perf  project performance

 PerfC  project cost performance

 PerfS  project schedule performance

 PerfT  project technical performance

SE systems engineering

SEC systems engineering capability

SEC-ARCH Product Architecture systems engineering capability

SEC-CM Configuration Management systems engineering capability

SEC-IPT Integrated Product Teams systems engineering capability

SEC-PI Product Integration systems engineering capability

SEC-PMC Project Monitoring and Control systems engineering capability

SEC-PP Project Planning systems engineering capability

SEC-REQ Requirements Development and Management systems engineering capability

SEC-RSKM Risk Management systems engineering capability

SEC-Total total systems engineering capability applied to a project

SEC-TRD Trade Study systems engineering capability

SEC-VAL Validation systems engineering capability

SEC-VER Verification systems engineering capability

SEI Software Engineering Institute

SPI EVMS Schedule Performance Index

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CMU/SEI-2014-SR-013  | 41 

References

URLs are valid as of the publication date of this document.

[Elm 2008]Elm, J.; Goldenson, D.; El Emam, K.; Donatelli, N.; & Neisa, A. A Survey of Systems Engineering

 Effectiveness - Initial Results (CMU/SEI-2008-SR-034). Software Engineering Institute, Carnegie

Mellon University, 2008. http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/library/asset-view.cfm?assetid=8493

[Elm 2012a]Elm, J. The Business Case for Systems Engineering Study: Assessing Project Performance from

Sparse Data (CMU/SEI-2012-SR-010). Software Engineering Institute, Carnegie Mellon Univer-

sity, 2012. http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/library/asset-view.cfm?assetid=34055

[Elm 2012b]

Elm, J. The Business Case for Systems Engineering Study: Results of the Systems Engineering Effectiveness Survey (CMU/SEI-2012-SR-009). Software Engineering Institute, Carnegie Mellon

University, 2012. http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/library/asset-view.cfm?assetid=34061

[Elm 2013]Elm, J. & Goldenson, D. The Business Case for Systems Engineering Study: Detailed Response

 Data (CMU/SEI-2012-SR-011). Software Engineering Institute, Carnegie Mellon University,

2013. http://resources.sei.cmu.edu/library/asset-view.cfm?assetid=73582

[Kitchens 2002]Kitchens, L. J. Basic Statistics and Data Analysis. Cengage Learning, 2002.

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The Business Case for Systems Engineering: Comparison of Defense-Domain and Non-

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This report summarizes analysis of data collected from the 2011 Systems Engineering (SE) Effectiveness Survey performed by the Na-

tional Defense Industrial Association Systems Engineering Division, the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Aerospace and

Electronic Systems Society, and the Software Engineering Institute. This analysis examined the differences in the deployment and im-pact of SE activities between defense-domain projects and non-defense projects. The analysis found significant differences in both the

deployment of SE in the two domains and the effectiveness of the SE. The report identifies specific process areas where effectiveness in

one domain is noticeably higher than in the other. Further research to understand these differences will support the transplantation of

best practices between the two domains to the benefit of both.

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systems engineering, performance, project performance

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