The Basics of Oil Trading Episode 1

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THE BASICS OF OIL TRADING By Maruli Tua Sinambela & Rekhmen Abadi

Transcript of The Basics of Oil Trading Episode 1

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THE BASICS OF OIL TRADINGBy Maruli Tua Sinambela & Rekhmen Abadi

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Analisa TeknikalAnalisa Teknikal adalah analisa yang menggunakan data pergerakan harga

berdasarkan pola, karakter dimasa lalu dari suatu instrumen transaksi

dan menggunakan data data tersebut untuk memprediksikan arah pergerakan di masa depan.

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TYPES OF CHART• Line Chart

Based on closing price

• Bar ChartBased on Open, High, Low, Close

• Candle-stick ChartBased on Open, High, Low, Close

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS• Candlestick merupakan bagian dari

analisa teknikal

• Merupakan catatan pergerakan harga dalam interval waktu yang dipilih

• Harga pembukaan, harga tertinggi, harga terendah dan penutupan harga tercatat dengan jelas

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

The highest price

The Opening Price

The Closing Price

The Lowest Price

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Up Trend

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Down Trend

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Sideways

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Level buy & Level sell

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SUPPORT & RESISTANCE

Support Line

Support Line

Resistance Line

Resistance Line

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NEW TREND

Resistance Line

Support Line

Sell

SellBuy

Buy

New Direction

New Direction

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SUPPORT & RESISTANT

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SUPPORT & RESISTANT

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SUPPORT & RESISTANT

SUPPORT & RESISTANT

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSDOUBLE TOP & DOUBLE BOTTOM (REVERSAL PATTERN)

B

A C

A

B

C

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Double Top

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Double Top

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Double Bottom

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Double Bottom

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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HEAD AND SHOULDER (REVERSAL FORMATION)

Neckline

B

A C

CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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Head and Shoulders

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Head and Shoulders

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Head and Shoulders

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Inverse Head & Shoulders

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNS

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSTRIANGLE (Continuation or Reversal Pattern)

Symmetrical Triangles Decending Triangles

Ascending Triangles

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Candlestick Cheat Sheet single

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Candlestick Cheat Sheet double

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Candlestick Cheat Sheet triple

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Level buy & Level sell

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TREND

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OIL

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What’s coming next

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CANDLESTICKS PATTERNSTRADING TECHNIQUES

1. Have a Trading Plan; select your time session candle chart

2. Find your Resistance and Support

3. START TRADING

4. Always Use Stop Loss Order

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MARKET UPDATECRUDE OIL

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Market Update: Crude Oil WTI • Minyak (WTI) merosot drastis sekitar 60%an dari puncak tahun lalu!

• Tekanannya tersebut membawa harga ke zona penting (key range area)!

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Minyak (WTI) dalam tekanan!FACTORS:• Penguatan USD ke level psikologis $100, karena potensi kenaikan

suku bunga AS (15-16/Des/2015)

• Surplus (kelebihan) supply minyak dunia, karena revolusi minyak shale AS, masih dipertahankannya produksi minyak OPEC, dan kekhawatiran tekanan demand karena melemahnya ekonomi China.

FOCUS:• OPEC Meeting (4/Des/2015) – Apakah akan pangkas produksi

minyaknya? (Juli 2015 hit 31,88 jt bph, rekor tertinggi yang tercatat Reuters. Sementara di Oktober 2015 ada di 31,64 jt bph).

• FOMC Meeting (15-16/Des/2015) – probabilitas kenaikan suku bunga AS November ini >70% (versus <40% Oktober sebelumnya!

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What do the charts say:

Crude Oil WTI

Indeks USD

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What do the charts say:

Crude Oil WTI

Indeks USD

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What do the charts say:

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What do the charts say: