Successful Currency Trading Basics

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Successful Currency Trading - The Basics Presented by: [email protected]

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Discipline and proper way of thinking is the way success in the money market.

Transcript of Successful Currency Trading Basics

Page 1: Successful Currency Trading Basics

Successful Currency Trading- The Basics

Presented by:

[email protected]

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5 characteristics of a good trader

CommitmentDiscipline

StewardshipContinued Education

Patience

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Which brings us to habits

If you always do, what you’ve always done…

You’ll always get what you always got!

We become experts at what we practice!

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What you are about to learn is a LEARNED SKILL

Some get it quicker, but all can get it IF:

You PRACTICE, PRACTICE, PRACTICE

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The Basics

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The Forex market on average has daily volume of $1.5 Trillion per

day making it 150 times larger than the New York Stock Exchange!

$1.9-3.7 Trillion

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The market is moved by the BIG BOYS – Bankers and Big Corporations

If you want to trade with the big boys you have to learn

how they think and how they will REACT!

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UBS Warburg Trading Floor

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Major Corporations Use It!DaimlerChrysler Profit Got Lift From Currency Trades FRANKFURT -- DaimlerChrysler AG acknowledged Tuesday that more than half of its second-quarter operating profit was generated by favorable currency trades, indicating the German-U.S. concern made more money on foreign exchange than it did selling cars.

Last month the auto maker reported quarterly operating profit of €641 million ($712.7 million). Although that was down 62% from the second quarter of 2002, it beat some analysts' estimates. At the time, DaimlerChrysler said currency trading to soften the impact of the euro's rise against the dollar had had a "positive effect" but didn't detail the extent of its gains.

Now the company says about €350 million in operating profit was generated through foreign-exchange transactions, confirming an article set to be published Thursday in a German newsmagazine.

  U.S. BUSINESS NEWS August 21, 2003

That’s 55%

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TIME LINE - EST

JPY 7 PM to 4 AM

London 3 AM till NOON

USA 9 AM to 4 PM

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Distribution of Currency Pairs

USD/OTH17%

USD/EUR29%

USD/JPY20%USD/GBP

11%

USD/CHF5%

USD/CAD4%

USD/AUD4%

EUR/OTH2%

EUR/CHF1%EUR/GBP

2%

EUR/JPY3%

OTHER2%

Source: Stocks & Commodities Dec 03’

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PIP = Price Indicator Point

A pip is the smallest movement a currency can

move

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A ‘pip’ (price indicator point) is the smallest unit of movement that a currency lot can have – the last one or two decimals

The Bid is selling the Cross and the Ask is Buying the Cross

The Difference is called the Spread and is the Brokers FEE

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You are borrowing one currency and paying for it with another

At the end of your trade if you made money you pay back

your loan and have an increase in margin

If not…you pay back the loan with your margin

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Prices in Dollars

• Currency SELL BUY• USD/JPY 118.78 118.83• EUR/USD 1.2450 1.2454• GBP/USD 1.5558 1.5563• USD/CHF 1.4573 1.4578• Multiple Currency Crosses

available

Who gets the difference?

These are called the 4 Majors

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Will I get the price quoted on the charts?

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Bid

Ask

Actual Price right now

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The FOREX Broker gives us the right to trade:

• Go LONG - enter the market

buying and exit the market

selling our Lots

• Go SHORT - enter the market

selling and exit the market

buying our Lots

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FOREXInterBank Currency Market

Broker

The Trading Process

Buyer Seller

Deposit Funds

Place Order Place Order

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Technical Traders Learnto Read Charts• Successful technical

traders read charts• Charts are telling a story!• Charts tell traders where

the market is POTENTIALLY going!

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Reading Japanese Candlesticks

Open Close

High

Low Low

High

OpenClose

Candlesticks measure price fluctuations within a certain time frame

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Japanese Candlesticks are telling a story

• Engulfing Candles• Doji Stars• Independent Candles

(tweezers)• Exhaustion Candles• Opening and Closing a

candlestick CAN be a big deal

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Engulfing Candles• An Engulfing Candle is one that

follows a previous candle of the opposite color. The engulfing candle is much larger than the first.

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Doji Stars• The Doji Star signifies indecision or

a turning point.

DOJI

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Significant at the end of a run

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Exhaustion Candles• The Exhaustion candle signifies a

turning point.• Find on the 30/60 minute chart for

best results

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Independent CandlesTweezer Tops or Bottoms (Twins)

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Let’s look at a run and see if the candles were “talking”

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Your Charting software- your tool to reading charts

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As you use the tools of your charts they will become clear

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Inverse Relationships

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Inverse Relationships

• EURUSD• GBPUSD

• USDCHF• USDJPY• USDCAD?????• OIL affects this currency

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Ok now that we know about the Market, how do we actually trade it?Be sure and familiarize

yourself with your dealing station basics

They all have a tutorial and all will give you a one

on one class if you ask

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Successful Currency Trading Requires Various Skills• Ability to MECHANICALLY make a trade

on a Brokers platform• Ability to determine the proper trend

• Overall trend • Trend of the day

• Ability to forecast future “BIG BOY” targets• HSI TARGETS and /or Fibonacci levels• Past Support and Resistance

• Ability to psychologically handle risk

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Successful Currency Trading Requires Various Skills• Ability to Spot Chart Harmony = HAR-

MONEY• Ability to PAPER TRADE the past so you

gain EXPERIENCE• Ability to spot predictable chart patterns

• Head and Shoulders• Wedges

• Ability to Manage your Margin• Ability to determine Margin Risk and

Trade Risk

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Let’s just look at a few of these to see if these skills have value

We will learn each of these pieces and more in lessons

posted at free4xtraaining.com

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Find the Trend

• The Trend is your Friend• The Trend give us the overall

direction of the market• As good as that is, we still have to

find the TREND OF TODAY!• To find the OVERALL trend we use

a 240 min or Day chart – this tells us what the big Boys are doing

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This chart is a 240 chart showing the Trend is DOWN!

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But had you traded this currency Down you

would have lost since the TREND OF THE DAY has been UP!

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In Trading the PAST foretells the FUTURE!

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Big Boy Targets• The big boys use Fibonacci levels as

their targets• Fibonacci levels are a tool built into ALL

charts• Their values are mathematical

equations that the Big Boys use on every chart.

• Although the market moves in up and down patterns, the destinations remain the same…a mathematical future target – for ProAct Traders this is called the HSI Target

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Click here and here

The Past movement

foretells the future targets

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This is what a HSI Target looks like

Simply find a Bottom or Top ( depending on direction ) and the

HSI TOOL calculates the future target for Profit

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Click on the HSI TOOL then find the bottom and

click

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Result are these targets

HSI TARGETS – Up = Resistances

and Down = Supports

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Once you have the Trend and the Targets of the Big Boys• You can the “predict” the

movement of the market down at a level you can trade and capitalize on

• You will trade the TREND OF THE DAY to the Big Boys TARGETS

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These techniques plus others will be taught in the future• As you learn and internalize the

lessons several things happen:• You can make money• You gain confidence• You understand HOW THE MARKET

moves• You get to the next level• Stay with us as we learn together

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Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors.. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Traders should confirm entries before making a decision to enter the market.  We recommend that traders should always be very selective with entries while using tight stops.  encourages traders to become more selective with entries to learn how to increase the profit gain per lot and decrease the size of protection in order to

protect the margin accounts.