Tele2 First quarter 2012

52
FIRST QUARTER 2012 Tele2 AB 19 April 2012

Transcript of Tele2 First quarter 2012

Page 1: Tele2 First quarter 2012

FIRST QUARTER 2012

Tele2 AB

19 April 2012

Page 2: Tele2 First quarter 2012

2

Agenda

• About Q1 2012

• Financial review

• Concluding remarks

Page 3: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Group Q1 Highlights

Q1 Financials

• Net sales (curr. adj.) for the

Group grew by 8 % and

amounted to SEK 10,481

million

• EBITDA amounted to SEK

2,571 (2,544) million,

equivalent to an EBITDA

margin of 25 (26) %

Q1 Operational

• Tele2’s customer base

amounted to 34.8 million

customers

• Tele2 Kazakhstan continued its

successful launch of new

regions, resulting in a net

intake of 332,000 customers

• Tele2 Russia brought in

304,000 customers

• Continued diversification of

credit portfolio

Page 4: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Focus

Continue to grow customer base and maximize the 2G opportunity

Evaluate possibilities to expand carefully through new licenses as well as by

complementary acquisitions

Make progress on technology neutrality

Market Area Russia: Overview

Population Appr. 140 million

Tele2 Russia

43 regions of Russian Federation

20.9 million subscribers

Mobile operator #4 in Russia in terms

of subscribers and revenue

Represents 29% of total net sales Q1 2012

Page 5: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Q1 Highlights Russia

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

SEK Million

YoY net sales

growth (right)

Net sales (left)

EBITDA

margin (right)

EBITDA (left) Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right)

Thousands of customers SEK Million

0

200

400

600

800

18 000

19 000

20 000

21 000

22 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

32%

34%

36%

38%

40%

42%

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 120%

5%

10%

15%

20%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

• Increased marketing spend in the quarter

• New agreements with federal distribution

channels

• Leading to improved customer intake in

combination with higher ARPU

Page 6: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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TELE2 SUBSCRIBERS AS PART OF TOTAL RUSSIAN

MOBILE MARKET

The Russian mobile market

NET ADDITIONS Tele2

Vimpelcom

MegaFon

MTS

MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS AND PENETRATION

Million subscribers 9.1%

5.6%

Million subscribers Tele2

Subs Penetration (%)

Thousands of subscribers 2010 2011 2012

TELE2 RUSSIA EBITDA MARGIN

28%

32%

36%

40%

44%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

Q209

Q309

Q409

Q110

Q210

Q310

Q410

Q111

Q211

Q311

Q411

Q112

Page 7: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Revenue source development

ARPU DEVELOPMENT

RUB

TELE2 RUSSIA:

REVENUE SPLIT Q1 2012

Tele2 Vimpelcom MegaFon MTS Voice revenue (%)

The share of data revenue grows and is comparable to

the market level. ARPU is growing.

Data access

revenue (%)

211

218

0

100

200

300

400

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Q111

Q211

Q311

Q411

Q112

91.2%

8.8%

Page 8: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Regulatory update: Tele2 Russia

Technology neutrality

update

• Technology neutrality discussion

supported by a number of operators

• Tele2 has completed LTE1800 trials

in cooperation with NIIR* in late

March

• Tele2 expects the decision on

technology neutrality before the

end of 2012

LTE license tender update

• Tele2 perceives that it likely that

several LTE 800/2600 licenses will

be tendered before the end of 2012

and the tender terms will be

established by the new government

* NIIR = (Radio Research and Development Institute)

Page 9: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Russia forward looking statement

The following assumptions should

be taken into account when

estimating the operational

performance of the total operations

in Russia in 2012:

• Tele2 expects the subscriber base to

reach 21.5-22 mln.

• Tele2 expects a percentage growth of

ARPU in low single digits (earlier to

remain stable) in local currency.

• Tele2 expects an EBITDA margin of

between 37-39 (earlier 39-40) percent.

• Tele2 expects capex of between SEK

1,300 - 1,500 mln.

Page 10: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Market Area Nordic: Overview

Population

14.4 million

Tele2 Sweden and Tele2 Norway

Home market and test bed for new services

Represents 40% of total net sales Q1 2012

Sweden 29%; Norway 11%

Focus

Sweden: Build on mobile growth and 4G roll-out coupled with household / corporate

fiber strategy

Norway: Roll out own network and focus on bucket-price subscriptions

Page 11: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Q1 Highlights Tele2 Sweden

• Net sales (external) amounted to SEK 3,071 mln

and EBITDA amounted to SEK 774 mln

• Net intake in Q1 boosted by temporary campaign

on postpaid subscriptions

Mobile Fixed telephony Fixed broadband Other Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right) EBITDA

margin (right)

YoY net sales

growth (right)

SEK Million SEK Million Thousands of customers

-80

-40

0

40

80

4 500

4 600

4 700

4 800

4 900

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12-12%

-6%

0%

6%

12%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0

250

500

750

1 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Page 12: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Temporary campaign to defend price

position

148,000 subscriptions sold between 8 March - 11 April of which

65,000 in Q1 2012

Page 13: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Mobile postpaid intake and extensions

Large share of

extensions on

current customer

stock, majority

opting for 24 month

subscriptions. March

intake boosted by

temporary campaign

GROSS INTAKE AND EXTENSIONS Q1 2012

Subscribers

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

50 000

Jan Feb Mar

Intake Extensions

Page 14: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Smartphone market development

* Postpaid residential, quantity of handsets

SMARTPHONE INSTALLED BASE*

Sales of top ten mobile phones

Tele2 Sweden (Q1 2012)

1. iPhone 4S 16GB

2. Samsung Galaxy S2

3. iPhone 4 8GB

4. Samsung Galaxy S2 LTE

5. Nokia Lumia 800

6. Samsung E1080

7. HTC Wildfire

8. Samsung Galaxy Nexus

9. iPhone 4S 32GB

10. Sony Xperia S

Regular handset Smartphone

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1106 1107 1108 1109 1110 1111 1112 1201 1202 1203

Page 15: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Growth in sales of data packages

Number of customers with data packages either in subscription or

as added packages continues to increase

DATA PACKAGE CUSTOMER STOCK Q1 2012

Base

MOBILE SURF PACKAGES

Small

Medium Large

Subscribers

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Apr2011

Maj Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec Jan2012

Feb Mar

Page 16: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Prepaid to postpaid migration

PREPAID MARKET SHARES 2006-2011*

NET INTAKE SEASONAL EFFECTS

Seasonal peaks in intake are

followed by increased churn three

months later

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1H 2011

Comviq Telia Telenor

Lycamobile Tre Övriga

*Source: The Swedish Post and Telecom Authority (PTS)

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1H2011

SHARE OF PRE- AND POSTPAID

SUBSCRIPTIONS*

Prepaid Postpaid

Page 17: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Sweden: Mobile operational performance

MOBILE REVENUE SPLIT MOBILE REVENUE

and MOBILE EBITDA MARGIN

SEK Million

Revenue (left) Mobile EBITDA margin (right)

Mobile revenue will continue to grow driven by

a strong customer demand for data

Data access

revenue (%)

Voice revenue (%)

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

79%

21%

Page 18: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Sweden forward looking statement

The following assumptions should

be taken into account when

estimating the operational

performance of the Swedish mobile

operations in 2012:

• Tele2 expects mobile service revenue to

grow by approximately 3-5 (earlier 2-4)

percent.

• Tele2 expects an EBITDA margin of

between 30-32 (earlier 33-35) percent

assuming a stable market

environment.

Page 19: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Q1 Highlights Tele2 Norway

• Integration of Tele2 Norway completed

• Satisfactory intake of 16,000 mobile customers

• Tele2 Norway reported total external revenue of

SEK 1,135 mln, of which SEK 1,060 mln was mobile revenue

• Mobile EBITDA contribution was SEK 15 (21) mln

-25%

0%

25%

50%

75%

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Mobile Fixed telephony Fixed broadband Other Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right) EBITDA

margin (right)

YoY net sales

growth (right)

SEK Million SEK Million Thousands of customers

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

-8%

-4%

0%

4%

8%

-80

-40

0

40

80

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

-20

-10

0

10

20

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Page 20: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Norway forward looking statement

The following assumptions should

be taken into account when

estimating the operational

performance of the total operations

in Norway in 2012:

• Tele2 expects a total revenue of

between SEK 5,000-5,200 mln.

• Tele2 expects an EBITDA margin of

between 2-3 percent.

• Tele2 expects capex of between SEK

850-950 mln.

Page 21: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Market Area Western Europe:

Overview

Focus

Netherlands Grow in mobile and B2B

Austria B2B & Integration of Silver Server

Germany Grow Fixed Via Mobile product

Population

106 million

Leading the group in business to business services

and consumer fixed broadband

Represents 19% of total net sales Q1 2012

Netherlands 13%; Germany 2.5%; Austria 3.5%

Page 22: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Q1 Highlights Tele2 Netherlands

SEK Million SEK Million Thousands of customers

• Mobile growth realized mainly in high value postpaid

segment

• Stable financial performance in a turbulent market

• On-going evaluation of possibilities for Tele2

Netherlands to become an MNO

• Significant intake of 13,000 mobile customers

• Secured government contract

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

0

300

600

900

1 200

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 120%

10%

20%

30%

40%

0

150

300

450

600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Mobile Fixed telephony Fixed broadband Other Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right) EBITDA

margin (right)

YoY net sales

growth (right)

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Page 23: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Q1 Highlights Tele2 Germany

and Tele2 Austria

• Both Austria and Germany show stable profitabilty

• Tele2 Germany: Fixed via Mobile product still

going strong with further growing customer base

• Tele2 Austria: Integration of Silver Server

proceeding according to plan. This will further

strengthen Tele2’s position in the B2B market

TELE2 GERMANY

EBITDA MARGIN

TELE2 AUSTRIA

EBITDA MARGIN

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Page 24: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Market Area Central Europe

and Eurasia: Overview

Population

28 million

Represents 11% of total net sales Q1 2012

Estonia 1.9%; Latvia 2.3%; Lithuania 2.8%;

Croatia 2.5%; Kazakhstan 1.5%

Focus

Efficiency improvements in Baltics

Need to grow in revenue, profits and market share in Croatia

Launch two remaining regions and continue to grow rapidly in Kazakhstan

Page 25: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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SEK Million SEK Million

Q1 Highlights Tele2 Estonia

• Acquisition of company Televõrgu AS is

completed on 17 February 2012

• Tele2 Estonia maintained a positive

customer net intake

-15%

-8%

0%

8%

15%

0

75

150

225

300

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

20%

24%

28%

32%

36%

0

20

40

60

80

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

-10

0

10

20

30

0

150

300

450

600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

YoY net sales

growth (right)

Net sales (left)

EBITDA

margin (right)

EBITDA (left) Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right)

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Thousands of customers

Page 26: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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• Rights obtained for 2 x 20 MHz in the 2.6

GHz frequency band

• EBITDA margin amounted to 37%

Q1 Highlights Tele2 Latvia

32%

34%

36%

38%

40%

0

30

60

90

120

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0

100

200

300

400

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12-40

-20

0

20

40

0

300

600

900

1 200

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

SEK Million SEK Million

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Thousands of customers

YoY net sales

growth (right)

Net sales (left)

EBITDA

margin (right)

EBITDA (left) Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right)

Page 27: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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• Mobile license of obtained 2 x 20 MHz in the 2.6 GHz

frequency band

• EBITDA margin amounted to 41% partly driven by

seasonality

Q1 Highlights Tele2 Lithuania

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

0

100

200

300

400

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

0

40

80

120

160

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

-30

-15

0

15

30

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

SEK Million SEK Million

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Thousands of customers

YoY net sales

growth (right)

Net sales (left)

EBITDA

margin (right)

EBITDA (left) Customer base (left)

Customer net

intake (right)

Page 28: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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• Q1 result below expectation

• 6% revenue tax was re-stated from February 2012

• Positive customer net intake in all segments

Q1 Highlights Tele2 Croatia

0%

3%

6%

9%

12%

0

15

30

45

60

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

0

125

250

375

500

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12-50

-25

0

25

50

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

EBITDA (left)

EBITDA margin

(right)

Net sales(left)

Net sales YoY

growth (right) EBITDA-CAPEX

EBITDA CAPEX

EBITDA and

EBITDA MARGIN

NET SALES and

YoY NET SALES GROWTH

EBITDA-CAPEX

SEK Million SEK Million SEK Million

Page 29: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Croatia forward looking

statement

The following assumption should

be taken into account when

estimating the operational

performance of the Croatian mobile

operations in 2012:

• Tele2 expects Croatia to reach an

EBITDA margin of 20 percent by Q3

2013.

Page 30: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Customer base (left)

Customer intake

(right)

Q1 Highlights Tele2 Kazakhstan

• Commercial launch of the Tele2 brand completed in

14 out of 16 regions

• More than 1 900 BTS on air

• Solid net intake of 332,000 customers

• Total number of customers amounted to 1.7 million

-200

0

200

400

600

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

0

50

100

150

200

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

NET SALES ARPU (SEK) and

MINUTES OF USE

CUSTOMER BASE and

CUSTOMER INTAKE

Net sales

SEK Million Thousands of customers

0

25

50

75

100

0

15

30

45

60

0111

0211

0311

0411

0511

0611

0711

0811

0911

1011

1111

1211

0112

0212

0312

Minutes of use

(right)

ARPU (left)

SEK MoU

Page 31: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Launch status Tele2 Kazakhstan

Almaty

Taldykorgan

Karagandy

Aktobe

Oral

Aktau

Kyzyl-Orda

Kokshetau

Astana

Petropavl

Kostanay

Pavlodar

Shymkent

Taraz

Semey

Oskemen

Atyrau

Two regions with the main cities of Shymkent and Taraz were launched in March.

The commercial launch of the remaining two regions is expected in April.

Page 32: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Tele2 Kazakhstan forward-looking statement

The following assumptions should be

taken into account when estimating the

operational performance of the total

operations in Kazakhstan in 2012:

• Tele2 expects the subscriber base to reach

2.5-2.7 (earlier 2.3-2.5) mln.

• Tele2 expects an EBITDA contribution of

between SEK -350 to -400 (earlier -325 to

-375) mln.

• Tele2 expects capex of between

SEK 550-600 mln.

• Tele2 expects to reach EBITDA break-even

by 2H 2013.

• Tele2 expects to reach a long-term mobile

customer market share of 30 percent.

Page 33: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Agenda

• About Q1 2012

• Financial review

• Concluding remarks

Page 34: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Group results

SEK million Q1 2012 Q1 2011 % FY 2011

Net sales 10 481 9 642 8.7% 41 001

EBITDA 2 571 2 544 1.1% 11 212

EBITDA margin (%) 24.5% 26.4% -1.9% 27.3%

Depreciaion & associated companies -1 189 -970 22.6% -4 158

Depreciation of net sales (%) -11.3% -10.1% -1.3% -10.1%

One-off items 1 99 -4

EBIT 1 383 1 673 -17.3% 7 050

Normalized EBIT 1 382 1 574 -12.2% 7 054

Normalized EBIT margin (%) 13.2% 16.3% -3.1% 17.2%

Financial items -178 -74 140.5% -674

Taxes -336 -373 -9.9% -1 472

Net profit 869 1 226 -29.1% 4 904

Discontinued operations - -13 -100.0% -7

Net profit 869 1 213 -28.4% 4 897

Page 35: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Currency movements Q1 2012

-2%

-1%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

EUR RUB NOK

Average Q1 2012 vs. Q1 2011 Fixing rate Mar 2012 vs. Dec 2011

EUR/EUR pegged and RUB currencies represent 58%

of external sales and 72% of EBITDA

Page 36: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Depreciation

8.5%

9.0%

9.5%

10.0%

10.5%

11.0%

11.5%

0

300

600

900

1 200

1 500

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Depreciation Depreciation of net sales (%)

Change Y-on-Y for Q1 • Acquisition of Network Norway

(SEK 86 mln) of which surplus

depreciation and amortisation of

SEK 63 mln

• Upgrade/replacement of

networks in the Baltics during

2012 - 2013 (SEK 69 mln)

• Sweden SEK 43 mln

• Kazakhstan SEK 19 mln

DEPRECIATION and

DEPRECIATION % OF NET SALES

SEK Million

Page 37: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Financial items

Financial items (MSEK) Q1 2012 Q1 2011 FY 2011

Interst income/costs -178 -41 -483

Exchange rate differences, external -13 -9 -24

Exchange rate differences, intragroup 53 17 13

Other financial items -40 -41 -180

Total -178 -74 -674

Page 38: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Taxes

Deferred tax assets at year to date

amounted to SEK 2.7 (Dec 2011: 3) billion

Taxes in income statement (MSEK) Q1 2012 Q1 2011 FY 2011

Normal -336 -373 -1 580

One off - - 108

Total -336 -373 -1 472

Taxes in cash flow statement (MSEK) Q1 2012 Q1 2011 FY 2011

Normal -202 -225 -948

One off - - -

Total -202 -225 -948

Page 39: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Cash flow

Cash flow (MSEK) Q1 2012 Q1 2011 FY 2011

OPERATING ACTIVITIES

Before paid tax 2 517 2 664 10 895

Paid taxes -202 -225 -948

Change in working capital -419 -257 -257

CF from operating activities 1 896 2 182 9 690

INVESTING ACTIVITIES

CAPEX -830 -1 016 -5 572

% of net sales 7.9% 10.5% 13.6%

CF after CAPEX 1 066 1 166 4 118

Shares and participations -198 3 -1 563

Total 868 1 169 2 555

Page 40: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Proforma financial debt profile

12.8

12.1

-2.5

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

Q4 11 Q1 12

SOURCES OF FUNDING SEK Billion

Revolving credit facility Russia bond Other financing Commercial paper

Norwegian bond Off BS items Cash Proforma net debt

Page 41: Tele2 First quarter 2012

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Bal. sheet consideration / Fin. leverage

Shareholder

remuneration

Cash / Buffer

M&A / New growth

opportunities

When available, invest in value accretive M&A or

new business opportunities meeting Tele2’s

strict financial hurdles

Enhance shareholder value by distributing

recurring cash to shareholders

Retain financial buffer

Prudent assessment based on (a) status of operations, (b) future strategic opportunities,

(c) competitive landscape and (d) general macroeconomic status

C

A

S

H

G

E

N

E

R

A

T

I

O

N

Page 42: Tele2 First quarter 2012

42

Net debt and dividend targets

Shareholder remuneration

“Tele2 will seek to pay a progressive ordinary dividend of no less than 50 percent

of net income excluding one-off items. Extraordinary dividends and the authority to

purchase Tele2’s own shares will be recommended or sought when the anticipated

total return to shareholders is deemed to be greater than the achievable returns

from the deployment of the capital within the group's operating segments or the

acquisition of assets within Tele2’s economic requirements.”

Balance sheet

“Tele2 has a target net debt to EBITDA ratio of between 1.25 and 1.75 times over

the medium term. The company’s longer term financial leverage should be in line

with the industry and the markets in which it operates and reflect the status of its

operations, future strategic opportunities and contingent liabilities.”

Page 43: Tele2 First quarter 2012

43

12.8 12.1

2.9 2.9

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

17.5

20.0

Q4 11 Q1 12

PROFORMA FINANCIAL NET DEBT / EBITDA 12'M ROLLING SEK Billion / Ratio

Proforma Net Debt Ordinary dividend (to be paid May 2012)

Extraordinary dividend (to be paid May 2012) Leverage Net

Leverage Gross

Debt position and ratio

Upper limit

Lower limit

Page 44: Tele2 First quarter 2012

44

Group financials Mobile Fixed telephony Other Fixed broadband

GROUP EBITDA and

GROUP EBITDA MARGIN

GROUP CAPEX (BS) ROCE (NORMALISED)

GROUP NET SALES

SEK Million SEK Million

SEK Million Percent

Group EBITDA

margin

20%

22%

24%

26%

28%

30%

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 120

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

19%

21%

22%

19%

15%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Page 45: Tele2 First quarter 2012

45

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Mobile EBITDA: Sweden and Russia

SWEDEN EBITDA and EBITDA

MARGIN (MOBILE)

SEK Million

EBITDA margin (right)

EBITDA (left)

RUSSIA EBITDA and EBITDA

MARGIN (MOBILE)

0%

15%

30%

45%

60%

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

SEK Million

EBITDA margin (right)

EBITDA (left)

Page 46: Tele2 First quarter 2012

46

Agenda

• About Q1 2012

• Financial review

• Concluding remarks

Page 47: Tele2 First quarter 2012

47

Concluding remarks

• Create a strong network based

operator in Norway

• Start exploiting 4G services in

Sweden

• Evaluate MNO opportunities in the

Netherlands

• Complete the launch of mobile

services in all regions in

Kazakhstan

• Progress within technology

neutrality

Page 48: Tele2 First quarter 2012

48

Q&A

Page 49: Tele2 First quarter 2012

49

Page 50: Tele2 First quarter 2012

50

Norway: Current market positions

High perceived price

Low perceived price

Low perceived

quality/service

High perceived

quality/service

Page 51: Tele2 First quarter 2012

51

0

3 000

6 000

9 000

12 000

15 000

Q1 11 Q1 12

Currency-adjusted sales and EBITDA

CURRENCY-ADJUSTED SALES SEK Million

+ 8%

CURRENCY-ADJUSTED EBITDA SEK Million

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

Q1 11 Q1 12

+ 1%

Page 52: Tele2 First quarter 2012

52

Group mobile EBITDA

* Norway, Netherlands and Germany are treated as MVNO

SEK Million

GROUP MOBILE EBITDA

0%

7%

14%

21%

28%

35%

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Mobile EBITDA, own infrastructure Mobile EBITDA, MVNO

Mobile EBITDA margin, own infrastructure (%) Mobile EBITDA margin, total group (%)