Taylor workshop esa_2014

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WHY SHOULD WE BE UNCERTAIN? Jeffrey R. Taylor 1 [email protected]

Transcript of Taylor workshop esa_2014

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WHY SHOULD WE BE UNCERTAIN?

Jeffrey R. Taylor

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Approaches to Uncertainty

NO STANDARD

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What can NEON do to help?!?

• Offer Standardized Approaches

• Make Data and Algorithms Freely Available to Everyone

• Provide Forums/Workshops to Focus on Uncertainty

• Emphasize this is Papers/Classes/Labs

• Help Educate Policy Makers

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• Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Guidance Notes

How Do We Manage This Problem?

Very Qualitative, but Digestible…

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Ultimately Must be Communicated…

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VISION: Tracing Policy Back to Science

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NEON Data PortalAll Data, Data Quality Information, Uncertainty Calculations, and Algorithm Details are freely available to everyone

data.neoninc.org

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NEON ATBDs

Available for all at…

data.neoninc.org

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Summary

• Uncertainty is (finally) gaining attention as an important part of informing environmental data

• Standards will be necessary to compare uncertainty between different network measurements and continental scale estimates

• Transparency and open communication are essential for effective understanding of uncertainty

• Advocacy at the Policy Maker level will advance the impact of uncertainty estimates