“Suos Cultores Scientia Coronat”

- Syracuse University motto

PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 2

Class Agenda•Announcements•More on the Prince System

An important note…

DON’T MISS

CLASS FRIDAY

SHOW YOUR THANKSBY GIVING BACK!

Volunteers Needed for Cuse Spot’s Fall Harvest Festival

When: Wednesday, November 18, 2015Time: 5:00 pm – 6:30 pm

Where: Wilson Park Community Center Sign up:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1t9rGUTbPjL8xkqq-jvINJumHH77Y65YPR0Pbsu8lIdo/edit#gid=0

Questions/Comments: Contact Arianna Clark at atclar02@syr.edu

Community Service Reminder• The due date for community service hours is Monday 12/7 in class.

•Use the online form on 101 website.

Local Government Survey•This survey is meant to test your knowledge about the local government in Onondaga County•https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/LRNL376

Social Impact Bonds – Strathmore Speaker Series

•Who: Tim Rudd•Where: Fire barn in Onondaga park in Syracuse•When: 11/19 at 7 PM

http://strathmorespeakers.com/

Competition Points Group Points

D 6

A 5

G 2

H 1

B 0

C 0

E 0

F 0

I 0

Winners

LosersAs of 11/13/15

Prince Analysis Steps

1. Identify Necessary Actions

2. Identify Key Players

3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)

4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)

5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)

6. Calculate Probabilities

7. Formulate Prince Strategies

Ex. 9.1

Ex. 9.2

Ex. 9.3

Ex. 9.4

Chapter 10

Step 1: Describing the Policy to be Implemented

•Be sure it is a policy and not a goal• Is it a federal, state or local policy?•Determine if it is a legislative, administrative or financial policy •Cannot be a judicial decision

Step 2: Identify Players

• Government Units in the United States:

3,000 Counties19,000

municipalities+ 43,000 special

districts65,000 total government

units

How To Select Players •Ask players, experts, and stakeholders.•Legislatures: They affect how a bill becomes a law at your geographic area•Aggregation problems with legislative bodies • If not legislative, must be administrative • Interest groups can be important especially for new policies •Watch out for dogs

New York State •Divided into three branches: Executive, Legislative, Judicial•Governor Cuomo is the head of the Executive Branch.•State Agencies, like the Department of Education and Board of Regents are under the Executive Branch

Onondaga County •County government is responsible for implementing and funding legislation enacted by the state and federal government•Different departments help to administrate the different duties of the county•Examples: Medicaid, Van Duyn Home and Hospital

Legislative Branch•New York has a bi-cameral or two house legislature.•Which state is not bi-cameral?•Assembly is a 150 member body •Senate is a 62 member body

Executive Branch•Governor Cuomo appoints the heads of the different state agencies•State agencies help put legislation into effect

Helpful Websites•http://www.assembly.state.ny.us/•http://www.senate.state.ny.us/senatehomepage.nsf/home?openform•http://www.ny.gov/•http://www.ongov.net/•http://www.ongov.net/legislature/

Step 3:Estimating Issue Position•Empirical - quotes•Deductive Principles• Special Interest Players (4 or 5)• Politicians, Legislative Bodies, Government Officials and Some Big Interest Groups are not firm (0-2)•Budget cost predispose toward opposition

Step 4: Estimating Power

•Specific to Issues•Players with Veto Power: 4 or 5• Legislatures• President, Governors, Mayors, etc.

•Non-veto-players: 3, 2, or 1•Sources of Power• Official Position• Money• Numbers (voters)• Expertise

Step 5: Estimating Priority•Single issue player: high on relevant issue•Multiple issue player: low to moderate on most issues•Changes quickly in either direction•Frequency of statements are key

Step 6: Calculating 1. Calculation 1: Issue position X Power X

Priority=Prince Score• When Issue Position is 0, Power X Priority=(Prince Score)

• Prince Scores in parenthesis are neutral scores

2. Calculation 2: Sum of all positive scores plus ½ of neutral scores

3. Calculation 3: Sum of all possible scores ignoring signs and parenthesis

4. Calculation 2/Calculation 3=Probability of Support

Don’t Be Hopelessly Naïve •No matter how much you love your policy proposal, your forecast from the Prince System should be under 50%

•WHY?

Monday’s Speaker

Renee Captor

Graduated from SU in 1980 – Policy Studies Major

Graduated from SU Law School in 1982

Defense Attorney from 1983-2001

Executive Director OCBA Assigned Counsel Program, Inc. 2001-Present

Teaches PAF 431: Criminal Justice