Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

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Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials Lillian W. Gaber University of Tennessee

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Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials. Lillian W. Gaber University of Tennessee. Semiquantitative Schema in the Analysis of Renal Allograft Biopsies. Standardize the evaluation and reporting of biopsies - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Page 1: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical

Trials

Lillian W. Gaber

University of Tennessee

Page 2: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Semiquantitative Schema in the Analysis of Renal Allograft Biopsies

• Standardize the evaluation and reporting of biopsies• Improve reproducibility for biopsy interpretation • Measure the severity of lesions • Identify correlates with prognosis• Guide treatment • Facilitate comparative analysis of morphologic

features in clinical trials and research• Provide Meticulous evaluation of the morphologic

features

Page 3: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Scores For Chronic Allograft Nephropathy

Page 4: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Chronic Scores

• Diffuse interstitial fibrosis was consistently identified as a significant risk factor for graft loss

• Proliferative vasculopathy is detrimental• What is the value of CAN before we get to endstage?

Page 5: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

CAN Scores for Protocol Biopsies & Graft Function

Correlation 12-mocreatinine

(n=71)

24-mocreatinine

(n=62)Chronic score at 1 mo NS NS

Chronic score at 2 mo NS NS

Chronic score at 3 mo * 0.45 0.47

Chronic score at 6 mo * 0.47 0.48

CI + CT at 6 mo 0.39 0.41

CG + CV at 6 mo 0.44 0.45

Nicherson et al; 1997

* P <0.05

Page 6: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

• 282 protocol biopsies at transplantation and at 3 months• CAN and renal transplant vasculopathy were independent risk factors for

graft failure• Proteinuria and serum creatinine at time of biopsy, cholesterol level and

donor age independently correlated with CAN • Serum cholesterol levels prior to transplanation was the only predictor of

RTV

CAN Scores and Long Term Survival

NoCAN

CAN CAN + RTV

Graft Survival (up to10-years)

95% 82% 41%

Seron et al; 2000

Page 7: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Protocol biopsies - CAN & Intervention Trials• Primary intervention trials

– CAN with or without RTV in 15.7% donor biopsies and 38.3% protocol 3 M biopsies. Denovo CAN develops in 22.6% of patients in the first 3 M

– Hypothetical trial to detect a 50% reduction in the incidence of denovo CAN from 38.3% to 27%; 285 patients in the control and treatment groups would be necessary

• Secndary intervention trials– If selection is restricted to patients with RTV only, 72 patients in each arm would

be necessary, to detect a 50% increase in graft survival from 55.1% to 77.5%

– 217 patients in each group will be needed to detect a 50% survival increase from 81.1% to 90.5% in 5 years when all patients with CAN with or without RTV included

Page 8: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

CAN scores in 3-month Protocol Biopsies Predicts Outcome of Grafts

in Pediatric Renal PatientsCreatinine Clearance;mean (ml/min)

3M 1 Y 2 Y 3 Y 5Y

N CAN 98.9 87.9 91.6 93.5 93.5

CAN 89.3 89.1 71.4* 69.7** 71.4

Fudjisawa et al, 2000

* p < 0.05 versus CCr of CAN at 3 M* * p < 0.05 versus CCr of CAN at 2 Y

Page 9: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI)

CADI2 years

Function2 years

Clinicalchronic

rejection

Graftsurvival

at 6years

Meanserum

creatinine(Umol/L)

Gr I(n=43)

Low< 2

Stable 3 (7%) 91% 115 + 37

Gr II(n=31)

High>2

Stable 13 (42%) 77% 198 + 141

Gr III(n=14)

High>2

Deteriorating 13 (93%) 29% 288 + 102

P 0.0001 0.005 0.001

Isoniemi et al; 1994

Page 10: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

CAN Scores: Potential Application

• Scores for CAN can be used as a primary efficacy endpoint in trials aimed at prevention or treatment of CAN

• CAN represents the collective effect of immunologic, hemodynamic, metabolic, baseline kidney status. It is an important tool to control the effect of therapeutic maneuvers

• Estimation of CAN in protocol biopsies for enrolment in large intervention studies aimed at prevention or modification the natural history of CAN, may allow reduction in the time of follow up of patients and a significant reduction in sample size

• Question the use of protocol biopsies in clinical practice

Page 11: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Grades and Scores in Clinical Practice

Page 12: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Components Scores and Sum Scores Correlate with Response to Steroids - University of Tennessee

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

SUM AG AI AT AV

SensitiveResistent

Gaber et al, 1996

*

**

* P= 0.04** P= 0.02

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Component Scores and Sum Correlate with Reversal of Acute Rejection- University of Tennessee

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Sum AG AI AT AV

Complete (n=43)Partial (n=7)Irreversible (n=6)**

*

*

*

**

Gaber et al, 1996

* significant from complete** significant from partial and complete

Page 14: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Banff ‘93 Rejection Grades & Response to Anti-rejection Therapy- University of Tennessee

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

bo I II III

irreversiblepartialcomplete

Gaber et al, 1996

Page 15: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Validity of Banff ‘93 Schema in Clinical Practice- University of Tennessee

• Sum scores correlate with rejection reversal– Mean Sum for complete reversal was 3.9, partial 6.0,

irreversible 8.5

– Vascular scores were significantly higher in irreversible rejection compared to partial or completely reversed rejection (mean 3.0 versus 1.0)

• Resolution of rejection by steroids versus the need for added OKT3 was correlated with low vascular score (0.65 versus 1.4) and low Sum (3.7 versus 5.2)

Page 16: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Validity of Banff ‘93 Schema in Clinical Practice- University of Tennessee

• Correlation between the sum scores and grades of acute rejection – Borderline (Sum 1.6 + 0.5)

– Grade I (Sum 3.3 + 0.4)

– Grade II (Sum 4.2 + 0.3)

– Grade III (Sum 8.5 + 0.4)

Page 17: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

At and Av in Banff’ 97- University of Pittsburgh

• Acute cellular rejection with mild or moderate tubulitis (Banff 97 IA) have better prognosis than acute cellular rejection with severe tubulitis (Banff 97 IB)

• No differences between acute rejection with t3 (Banff IB) and rejection with mild vasculitis v 1(Banff IIA) in terms of rejection reversal, 12-month creatinine or graft loss

• Rejection with moderate (Banff IIB) or severe intimal arteritis (Banff III) was associated with the worst outcome

Randhawa, AST 2000

Page 18: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Acute Glomerulitis in Renal Allografts; Johns Hopkins

Acute glomerulitis Negative AG P

Incidence 42% 58%

Age 40.0 ± 15.8 46.8 ± 15.9

Caucasian Race 38.9% 56%

HLA mismatches 3.7 ± 2 3.7 ± 1.2

Delayed Graft Function 86.9% 61.1% 0.03

Retransplants 1.56 1.14 0.01

No previous AR 88% 52% 0.009

# of previous AR 0.24 0.58 0.009

Graft survival, months 31.4 46.9 0.02

Graft Failure 35% 19%

Zachary, Racusen AST, 2000

Page 19: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Borderline Change: Understanding the ambiguous class- University of Chicago

65 untreated Bo

Improve Cr to 110% of Baseline

46%

Initial improvement followed by increase

Cr26%

AR in 50% re-biopsies

Increasing Creatinine

28%

AR in 50% re-biopsies

Page 20: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Untreated Borderline lesions: University of Chicago

• Incidence of BO: 17%• Common concomitant lesions

– Nephrotoxicity

– ATN

– Urinary tract obstruction

– CAN

• Risk Factors for progression to rejection– Acute glomerulitis

– Banff acute score >2

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Sum Scores & Components’ Scores For Prognostic Studies

Page 22: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Efficacy Endpoints Conference on Acute Rejection in Kidney

• 19 participating centers, each reported 50 consecutive rejection episodes

• 320 out of 698 biopsies were graded according to Banff ‘93• Banff Grades: Bo (3%), I (41%), II (38%), III (18%) • Clinical data collected: Demographic data, induction and

maintenance immunosuppression, rejection agents, clinical signs (decreased urinary output, fever, creatinine), serum creatinine response to treatment over a period of time, morbidity, recurrent rejection, graft function at 1 year

Page 23: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Frequency of Clinical Signs During Rejection & Histologic Severity

Schroeder et al, for the Efficacy Endpoint Conference

Page 24: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Scores in Assessment of Acute Rejection

SingleRejection

Recurrent Acute Rejection

First Second ThirdSum 4.5 ± 0.4 3.0 ± 0.8 4.9 ± 0.8 7.8 ± 1.3

AG 0.4 ± 0.2 0.6 ± 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.3 ± 0.5

AI 1.8 ± 0.2 1.2 ± 0.2 2.2 ± 0.2 2.5 ± 0.4

AT 1.1 ± 0.2 0.6 ± 0.2 1.3 ± 0.2 2.5 ± 0.4

AV 1.2 ± 0.2 0.6 ± 0.3 1.0 ± 0.3 1.5 ± 0.5

Gaber et al;1996

Page 25: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Is recurrent rejection the result of persistent subclinical rejection or a new acute relapse of immunologic intolerance?

• Severity of acute rejection, quantitated by Banff, did not discriminate patients at risk for recurrent rejection

• Trend for increase in Banff scores in recurrent rejections, which was statistically significant for the sum, and for the interstitial and tubular scores

• Higher Peak PRA in patients with recurrent rejection

• Severity of acute rejection, quantitated by Banff, did not discriminate patients at risk for recurrent rejection

• Trend for increase in Banff scores in recurrent rejections, which was statistically significant for the sum, and for the interstitial and tubular scores

• Higher Peak PRA in patients with recurrent rejection

Page 26: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Scores of Rejection on Enrolment and Endpoint Biopsies

Inclusion BX Post-treatment BX

Thymo Atg Thymo Atg

AI 2.2 ± 0.2 2.2 ± 0.2 0.8 ± 0.2 1.5 ± 0.2*

AT 2.1 ± 0.2 2.2 ± 0.2 0.9 ± 0.2 1.5 ± 0.2

AV 0.7 ± 0.3 0.9 ± 0.2 0.3 ± 0.2 0.5 ± 0.2

AG 0 0.1 ± 0.0 0 0

SUM 5.0 ± 0.5 5.3 ± 0.5 2.0 ± 0.5 3.5 ± 0.5*

Gaber et al,1999

Page 27: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Grades of Lesions in Post-treatment BiopsiesThymo (%) Atgm (%)

BO 4 (23) 1 (6)

Grade I 5 (24) 2 (11)

Grade II 4 (18) 7 (39)

Grade III 0 2 (11)*

No rejection 7 (35) 6 (33)

Clinical success 19 (94) 14 (79)

Gaber et al, 1999

Page 28: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Changes In Acute Rejection Scores From Inclusion to Post-treatment Biopsies

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

% improved

AI (1-3) AT (1-3) AV (1-3)

Banff score 1Banff socre 2Banff score 3

Gaber et al, 1999

Page 29: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Recurrent Rejection in Patients with Protocol Biopsies

Recurrent Rejection No RecurrenceN=11 N=27

Inclusion Cr 3.9 ± 0.9 5.0 ± 0.6

Inclusion Bx Sum 4.8 ± 0.6 5.2 ± 0.4

Cr response(% of baseline)

69 ± 10 77 ± 7

Protocol Bx CR 2.5 ± 0.6 3.6 ± 0.4

Protocol Bx Sum 4.2 ± 0.6 2.2 ± 0.4 *

Recurrent Rejection No RecurrenceN=11 N=27

Inclusion Cr 3.9 ± 0.9 5.0 ± 0.6

Inclusion Bx Sum 4.8 ± 0.6 5.2 ± 0.4

Cr response(% of baseline)

69 ± 10 77 ± 7

Protocol Bx CR 2.5 ± 0.6 3.6 ± 0.4

Protocol Bx Sum 4.2 ± 0.6 2.2 ± 0.4 *

Primary response occurred in 35 and 65% of patients * P= 0.0145

Page 30: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Recurrent Acute Rejection

• 31% of patients developed a second rejection• Sum scores for residual inflammation in the

protocol post-treatment biopsies were significantly higher in cases with recurrent rejection (4.2 ± 0.6), versus no recurrence (2.2 ± 0.4) [P = 0.015]

• 31% of patients developed a second rejection• Sum scores for residual inflammation in the

protocol post-treatment biopsies were significantly higher in cases with recurrent rejection (4.2 ± 0.6), versus no recurrence (2.2 ± 0.4) [P = 0.015]

Page 31: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

2-Year Protocol Biopsies From the U.S. Multicenter Trial Comparing Tacrotimus to Cyclosporine

Tacrolimus Cyclosporine

Acute rejection 8.7% 9.2%

Acute Scores 1.4 1.6

I + T 1.4 1.5

CAN Scores 1.8 2.0

Solez for FK 506 Study Group, 1998

Page 32: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Histologic Improvement by Steroids According to Acute Rejection Severity

Mazzucchi et al; 1999

Page 33: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Changes in Morphology Following Steroid Therapy

Clinical Response(n=15)

No Clinical Response(n=16)

5-daybiopsy

10-daybiopsy

5-daybiopsy

10-daybiopsy

Histologic ACR 9 (60%) 4 (27%) 15 (94%) 15 (94%)

Histologic improvement 10 (67%) 13 (87%) 4 (25%) 8 (50%)

No change 5 (33%) 2 (13%) 10 (63%) 6 (38%)

Stability or improvedgrade = Bo, I, normal

14 (93%) 15 (100%) 4 (25%) 10 (63%)

Histologic worsening 0 0 2(13%) 2 (63%)

Mazzucchi et al; 1999

Page 34: Sum Scores and Scores of Individual Components in Clinical Practice and Clinical Trials

Conclusions• Evidence to support the validity of grading and scoring of acute

rejection to direct therapy choices as adjuncts to pathologic diagnosis

• Grades and individual scores for acute and chronic lesions in the kidney correlate with graft survival

• Potential of monitoring patients by protocol biopsies

• Scores and Sum are an easy and cheap way to screen pathology reports

• Force detailed analysis of lesions

• Digitization of morphologic data for statistical analysis

• Patients selection in clinical efficacy trials

• Endpoint in large prospective clinical trials