Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc....
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Transcript of Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc....
![Page 1: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model
(February 7-8, 2013)
Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc.
![Page 2: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Purpose Today
What is the LRE Student-Teacher S&D Model? Policy and Practice Planning and Implementation Resource
Who Can Benefit From Using the Model?
Model Predictions: How Many Students Can We Expect?
Model Predictions: How Many Teachers Will We Need?
Model Predictions: Where Will the Teachers Come From?
Model Predictions: Is There A Teacher Shortage?
Model Predictions: What’s the $ Bottom Line?
What If…..
![Page 3: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Who Can Benefit From Using the LRE S&D Student-Teacher Model?
LEA and SEA SPED and GenEd Administrators
Staff Developers
IHE Planners
State Government Planners
![Page 4: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
What Data Do We Need?
Mostly - Data We Already Have Teacher Data Student Enrollment Data Pipeline Data from IHEs Revenue Data Expenditure Data
![Page 5: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
How Many Students Can We Expect?
Demographics – CACTUS
What About Spikes?
![Page 6: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
How Many Teachers Will We Need?
Total Teachers Model
New Teachers Model
What Do We Know? Utah S&D Survey
![Page 7: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Total Teachers—The Easy Part
Student Enrollment Model
Student-Teacher/Case Loading Inputs
![Page 8: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
New Teachers—The Bigger Challenge Teacher Attrition—Modeling Human Behavior
Best predictor of future behavior is…
Age
Experience Early Career Mid-Career Late Career
Urban-Rural
Location
Subject/Students
![Page 9: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Teacher Shortages/Excesses
Is There A Teacher Shortage or Excess? It Depends…
Teacher Preparation
To Recruit or To Retain, That Is the Question.
![Page 10: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
What’s The Bottom Line?Teacher Labor
Salary Benefits Annual Increases
Total Expenditures PPE – Per Pupil Expenditures
Bottom Line - $
![Page 11: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
What IfEconomic Realities Change
Class Sizes/Case Loadings Are Different
Enrollment Changes Direction
Teachers Retire Older
We Hire More Mid-Career Teachers
We Can’t Find Enough Teachers?
What If…..
![Page 12: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Best Case/Likely Case/Worst Case
Some Things Go Better Than Anticipated
Things Go Pretty Much As Anticipated
Perfect Storm!
![Page 13: Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model (February 7-8, 2013) Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc. b.lange@langeresearch.com.](https://reader035.fdocuments.us/reader035/viewer/2022062421/56649d9d5503460f94a86f6f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Student-Teacher Supply and Demand Model
(February 7-8, 2013)
Lange Research and Evaluation, Inc.