PROCEEDINGS OF THE EIGHTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STRUCTURAL SAFETY AND RELIABILITY1COSSAR '01 / NEWPORT BEACH / CALIFORNIA / USA / 17 - 22 JUNE 2001

Structural Safety and Reliability

Edited by

R.B.Corotis

University ofColorado, Boulder, USA

G.I.Schueller

University ofInnsbruck, Austria

M. Shinozuka

University ofSouthern California, Los Angeles, USA

UNIVEHSiTAISBiBLIOI HEK

HANNOVER

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INFQRf/.AnO.vodi'-'.t iOTi iEKy

A.A.BALKEMA PUBLISHERS LlSSE / ABINGDON / EXTON (PA) / TOKYO

Table of contents

Site-dependent design earthquake load models for structures 1A.M. Abbas

Seismic risk assessment procedures for a system consisting of distributed facilities 2Part three: Insurance portfolio analysis

M. Achiwa, M. Sato & M. Mizutani

Reliability-hased evaluation of seismic performance of reinforced concrete bridge column designed 3in accordance with ductility design method

Y. Athwhi & S. UnjohVulnerability analysis of 3-dimensional structures 4

J. Agarwal

Reliability-based tubular joints of offshore structures inspection strategy 5M.A. Ahmed & M.A. El-Reedy

Study on maintenance strategy for deteriorating structures in a seismic area based on life-cycle cost 6N. Akaishizawa, N. Yasuda, K. Miyamoto & I. Yoshida

Structural design codes for multiple threats: A reliability and cost optimization approach 7E. Aktas, F. Moses & M. Chosn

Decision analysis using belief functions for assessing existing structures 8MM. Al-Fadhala <£ BM. Ayyub

Reliability levels implied in the AC1 and BS codes for reinforced concrete beams 9A.S. Al-Harthy & A.N. Al-Moselhi

Assessment of a patched pressure vessel 10H.M. Ali & P.E. Senseny

Damage detection for a nonlinear SDOF system under deterministic and random load 11R.J. Alonso, L.D. Duval, M. Noori, A. Masuda & Z, Hon

Analysis of structures subjected to random wind loading by simulation in the frequency domain 12R.D. Ambrosini, R.F. Danesi & J.D. Riera

Vehicle moving on a continuously supported beam with irregular surface 13L. Andersen, S.li.K. Nielsen & R. Iwtmkiewkz

Stochastic response of a cantilever beam affected by correlated loads 14A. Antonini, M. Gioffre & V. Gusella

First excursion probability estimation method of nonlinear secondary system based on floor response 15spectrum

S. Aoki

Reliability-based analysis for LRFD code in Saudi Arabia 16

A.M. Arafah

Development of reliability index by using fuzzy numbers 17M. Arakawa & U. Ishikawa

The response of polycryslals to deterministic and random deformation 18S.R. Arwcide & M. Grigoriu

Strength models for developing LRFD rules for hull girders of ship structures 19LA. Assakkaf, B.M. Ayyub, G.F.M. De Soum & N.J. Mattel

First-excursion probabilities of linear systems by efficient importance sampling 20S.K. Au & J.L. Beck

V

Bounds to the probability of collapse of monumental buildings 21

G Augmti M Ciampnli&S Zanobi

Risk based methodology for assessing and managing structural integrity 22

B M Awub &GFM de Souza

Reliability evaluation ot monolithic integrated cucuits 23// Bajenistu &MI Bcizu

An edge crack propagating m a material with random toughness 24R Ballanm&L Chin

ProbabihsliL seismic demand analysis of controlled steel structures 2*)

LR Banoso SE Bieneman&HA Snath

Recent developments in Canadian Building Code cahbialion 26FM Baitletl HP Hong W Zhou & BJ Schmidt

Fttetts ot friction stir welding on random composite microstiucluic Paiticle m/c distiibution 27

SC Baxtei &AP RivioUs

Nonlocal model for sue ettect in quasibnttle lailure bastd on extreme v due statistics 28

Z P Bazant & D No\ ak

Probabilistic system identification with unidentifiable models 29

J L Beck &SK An

Stochastic response analysis ot non linear oscillators to combined deterministic and random 30

exLitation by multiple time scalingr Btnedtttuit &M Va\ta

Design for reliability The information gap approach 31

Y Ben Ham

Reliability of buried pipes 32

A Benmatnoui &Z Miabit

Hazaid bounding in lock engineering and ground-structuie interaction by means ot Random Set 33

TheoryA Beinardmt & F Tonon

Probabilistic substantiation ol risk level of delaminated composites designed by a damage tolerant 34

principleG BatHind

Localized time dependent stress state in polymer maliix fiber composites 3S

U Beyerlein C Zlwu&LS Schadlei

Identification assessment and management of hazards 36A J Bignoli

Uncertainties in the non linear analysis of masonry bridge structuies 37

r Bumdun F Bontcmpt & E Gnravagha

Updating of inspection plans for olfshore structures using Bayestan methods and reliability theory 38

A Bloch

Managing all types of hazard 39DI Blotkle\ &I Feimni

Change tn modal properties of the Lavic Road Bridge due to the Hector Mine Earthquake 40

R W Bolton N Stubbi S Pink A Choi & C Sikoiik)Plastic collapse of imperfect submarine pressure hulls A probabilistic approach 41JM Bounnet N Gtnton,M Lemaue&A Combetcuie

About the role of ptecuisor events in the judgement of Low Probability-High Consequence risks 42K \an Bieugel

Design criteria for cracking of haidening concrete elements, with and without reinforcement 43K van Bieugel &M Side

A high-fidelity solution method for the fiisl passage pioblem in random vibration 44C Bucher

Load duration effects in wood members and connections Ordei statistics and critical loads 4^WM Bulleit &OV Romn&kv

VI

Neural network based response surface method and adaptive importance sampling for reliability 46analysis of large structural systems

S.V. de S. Cabral & L.S. KatafygiotisProbabilityof survival of linear structures under non stationary stochastic input 47

S. Caddemi & G. Muscolino

Effect of secondary systems on response of nonlinear primary system to random excitation 48G.Q. Cai& Y.K.Lin

Traffic live load and safety of Spanish bridges 49J.R. Casas

Long-term reliability of metal/ceramic structures 50Y. Charles, F. Hild & J. Duval

Nonparametric model of random uncertainties in dynamic substructuring 51//. Chehli & C. Soize

Continuum shape sensitivity and reliability analyses in mixed-mode fracture mechanics 52G. Chen & S. Rahman

State-space modeling of systems with frequency dependent parameters 5.3X. Chen & A. Kareem

A probabilistic approach to extreme loading of an offshore wind energy system 54P.W. Cheng & G. van Bussel

Probabilistic risk assessment with uncertainty model using fuzzy set theory for construction projects 55H.-N. Clio, H.-H. Choi&M.-K. Shin

Reliability-based optimal seismic design and upgrading of continuous PC bridges based 56on minimum expected life-cycle costs

H.-N. Cho, KM. Lee, A.H.-S. Ang & J.-K. Urn

Development of probability model lor fatigue crack growth using response surface method 57K.C. Chow, G.C. Cox &A.M. Lockwood

System reliability assessmentof reinforced concrete frames under seismic loading 58M.R. Chowdhiny, M. Upton & A. Haldar

Role ofslope reliability analysis in landslide risk management 59R. Chowdhury & P. Flentje

Ship collision risk for offshore wind farms 60C.F. Christensen, L.W. Andersen &P.H. Pedersen

Seismic stability ofhighway embankments: The efficiency of various upgrading measures 61M. Ciampoli & S. Ratnpello

Probability-based maintenance concepts for bridge management 62C. Cremona

Partial safety factor for textile reinforced concrete 63M. Curbach, F. Jesse & D. Proske

Determination for design values of high performance concrete under bi- or triaxial loading 64M. Curbach, T. Hampel, K. Speck, S. Scheerer & D. Proske

Simulation of earthquake in the epicentral region considering the focal mechanism 65L.A. Dalguer, J.D. Riera & K. Irihira

Analysis of uncertainty involved in the bridge management decision process 66P.C. Das

Development of a robust method for reanalysis of structural systems 67L. Deng & M. Ghosn

A methodology to simulate strongly non-Gaussian stochastic processes and fields 68G. Deodatis, P.S. Koutstmrelakis & R. Micaletti

A probabilistic analysis of HPC beam rotational capacity . 69M. De Stefana, R. Nudo, G. San) & S. Viti

Strength and reliability of slender high-strength concrete columns under sustained loads 70S.M.C. Diniz&D.M. Frangopol

Issues related to the application ofSBRA in the reliability assessment of structural systems 71Z Dostdl, P. Marek, M. Guitar & G. Fegan

vn

Initialization techniques for solutions to stochastic eigenvalue pioblems 72

S Du BR Ellmgwood & J V Cox

An efficient tail approximation method for the peak distribution ot a MDOF nonlinear system 73

JF Dunne

MEFISTO The EDF reliability method to propagate uncertainties 74

A Dutfoy

Active contiol of a moving oscillator on an elastic continuum 75

SJ Dyke &SM Jolvncm

Spatial material variability effects in R/C frames 76

C Dvmiotn MK Chiyssanthapaulos &AJ Kappas

Stochastic finite element modeling of damage evolutions of R/C beams 77

M Ebert A C Buchei

Reliability assessment oi pile foundations considering loss ot support 78

K H Eloseily B M Ayyub <& R Patev

On the analysis of nonlinear systems under stochastic excitations 79

HH Fmam HJ Pradlwartei &G1 Schueller

Towaids optimum lifetime maintenance planning of coneiete bridges under eoirosion 80

MP Em ight &D M Irangapol

Truck load effects for Michigan bridges 81

J Eom & AS Nowak

Bifuication buckling of thin cylindrical shells with through cracks 82

HE Eitekanclu A Vafai &M Ja\idruzi

Using visual inspection results to update reliability analyses of highway bi ldges and nvei lock sli uetui es 83

A C hste* DM Frangopol &SD Foltz

Life cycle optimization in the establishment of performance-acceptance parameters loi seismic design 84

L E\teva, O Diaz Lopez J Garcia Peiez G Steira & E hmael

Bayesian sampling using condition indicators 85

MH Fabei &JD §0iensen

The use of the power flow for designing the isolator of a seismic excited structure 86

G Falsonc G Mitscolmo &G Caibone

Computer algebra loi random vibration analysis 87

G Fatica C Flons &MC Sandielh

Randomness effects on the properties of a functionally graded plate using probabilistic methods 88

F Feirante & L Graham

A probabilistic approach to quantifying model uncertainty 89

RV Field Ji &JR Red Hoi se

Stability conditions for stochastic chatter machining 90

MS Fofana

Reliability and performance based design in earthquake engineering 91

R O Foichi & H Li

Integrals of random Fields treated by the model correction factor method 92P Fianchm O Ditlevsen&A Der Kmreghian

Reliability-based maintenance programs for bridge stocks 93

D M Frangopol JS Kong &ES Gharaibeh

Characterization of materials with pores and inclusions at diverse scales 94

G Franlziskoim

Cable system capacity for suspension bridges 95

G Fu F Moses, D A Khazem & W Dekelbab

Probabilistic diagnosing structural health condition using optical instrumentation 96

G Fu&AG Mooia

Prediction of landslide scale using neural network 97

H Furuta M Huokane S Tamaru K Furukawa d Y Arakt

Life cycle cost based maintenance of existing bridges considering prediction uncertainties 98

H Funtki M Huokane M Saito&DM Fiangopol

VIII

Optimum stiuctural design using convex models for uncertainties 99S Ganzerli&CP Pantehdes

Two stochastic approaches to investigate reliability of building materials over time 100E Garavaglia & R Pavani

Probabilistic deformation capacity model and fragility estimates for reinforced concrete columns 101P Gaidoni K Mosahim & A Dei Kiuregluan

Modified instrumentation and results oi stress and deformation monitoring at the new quay wall 102construction - Container Teiminal Altenwerder Port ofHamburg

J Gatteimann T Bergs, & W Roduf

Analytical appioaehes to the first passage probability in randomly excited bridges 103YJ Ge H ranaka&HF Xiang

Equivalent statistical linean/ ition ol hysteretie systems using a reduced set of shapefunctions 104M Genenhofei H Giundmann & F Duddeck

A stochastic finite element method for aeioelastic structures 105J Geistejddt&D Dinklei

Stochastic ad iptive refinement An S type error estimator 106R Ghanem&M Pelhuclti

Study of collapse earthquake for reinforced eontiete ductile trames 107R Ghosh & P Baneiji

Life cycle cost analysis using simulation and HAZUS® methodology 108

S Ghosh M Kohno &KR Collins

Safety of glass cladding undei wind action 109M Gioffie & V Gusdla

Stochastic dynamics of hysteretie frame structures equivalent statistical linearization on a reduced 110base of shape functions

H Grundmann & M Gei\enhofei

Reliability estimation by aeceleiated testing in mechanics 111F Guinn B Dumon R Hambh & O Tebbi

Conespondence between the Weibull distribution and the failure modes 112F Guinn B Dumon &R Hambh

Higher order conelation detection in nonlinear aerodynamic systems using wavelet transforms 113K Guile) T Kijewski &A Kareem

Deterministic and piobabihstic material length-scales and their role in size effect phenomena 114

MA Gutie'trez&R de Bant

Issues with paitial load factors 115A H Hadjian

Reliability oi a lrame and shear wall structural system 116A Haldai SY Lee &A Re)ei Salazar

Perfoi mance-based asset management for complex infrastructute systems 117

J W Hall JP Davis CA Tayloi J Dwgapiasad RJ Dawson & E Bake/

Seismic damage prediction model foi multistoty buildings 118

T Hamamoto & K Kojima

Application of response surface methodlogy for the optimization of sheet metal cutting processes 119

R Hambh F Guenn&B Dumon

Computer-aided prediction of defects during metal foiming processes 120

R Hambh F Guenn&B Dumon

Behavior of nonhnearly restrained slender bridge piers 121

H HamidtfarField performance ofFRP bridge repairs 122

H Hamidtfar

On generalized damage distribution of accidents considering their size limitations 123

S Hanayaw & WH Tang

Statistical damage identification of stmctures with incomplete vibration data 124

H Hao Y Lu&Y Xia

IX

Reliability analysis of structures subjected to earthquake with dynamic soil-pile-structure interaction 125

N. Harnpornchai & P. Pansamdaeng

A computer platform for nonlinear finite element reliability analyses 126

T. Haukaas & A. Der Kiureghian

Probabilistic risk analysis of a structure in normal and fire situation including life safety 127

M. Halicky & J.B. Schleich

Framework for damage assessment training system 128

K. Horie, N. Maki, H. Hayashi, M. Kohiyama, K. Shigekawa & S. Taniika

Updating procedures of stochastic non-Gaussian fields 129

M. Hoshiya & O. Maruyama

Time-dependent deflections, serviceability reliability and expected costs for RC beams 130

N.B. Hossain & M.G. Stewart

Seismic reliability offrameswith partially restrained connections 131

J. Huh & A. Haldar

Stochastic finite element analysis via neural classifiers 132

J.E. Hurtado & A.H. Barbat

Aerodynamic shape optimization of two-dimensional airfoils under uncertain operating conditions 133

L. Huyse & R.M. Lewis

Simulation of design temperature loads for prestressed concrete box girder bridges 134

E.-S. Hwang & C.K. Im

A proposal for new design live load model in Korea 135

E.-S. Hwang, H.-M. Koh & D.-B. Bae

Seismic fragility analysis of reinforced concrete bridges 136

H. Hwang, Y.H. Chiu & J.B. Liu

System reliability analysis of rigid frames considering occurrence of random defects on connections 137

H. Idota & K. Kojima

Reliability-based simulation for performance-based design (ongoing research) 138

T. Igusa, S. G. Buonopane &B.R. Ellingwood

Reliability assessment of suspension bridges 139

K. Imai & DM. Frangopol

In-service identification of nonlinear damping from measured random vibration 140

D.V. lourtchenko & M.F. Dimentberg

Optimal structural design under seismic risk using engineering and economic performance objectives 141

A. Irfanoglu & J.L Beck

Finite element modeling for reliability evaluation of fatigue cracking at welded connections 142

RJ. James, DM. Schaaf, G.A. Wemcke & R.C. Patev

Finite element based reliability models for concrete deteriorization due to alkali aggregate reaction 143

RJ. James, DM. Schaaf& R.C. Patev

Wholistic structural appraisal 144

A. P. Jeary, G. Chiu & J. WongSmart stay cable damping — Effects of sag and inclination 145

E.A. Johnson, R.E. Christenson &B.F. SpencerJr.

Probabilistic nonlinear analysis of steel frames focused on reliability design concept of Eurocodes 146

Z Kala, D. Novdk &M. VofechovskfSimulation-based fault tree analysis for assessing the reliability of structural systems 147

H.A. Kamal & B.M. Ayyub

Correlated Gumbel probability model for directional wind speeds 148

/. Kanda & T. Itoi

Reliability-based design with life-cycle cost consideration 149

J. Kanda

A refined approach to the reliability analysis of steel portal frames under wind load 150

M. Kasperski

Extreme value analysis ofwind induced actions 151

M. Kasperski

X

Reliability analysis of safety tor flutter and buffeting ot long-span bridges 152H Katsuclu, T Miyata & H Yamada

An application of genetic algonthm for interactive optimal design method oi truss structure 153S Katsuki, G Fukawa & N Nagadon

A iandom pushover approach for partial-mode dynamic analysis of elastic-plastic steel frames 154P Khandelwal, K Ohi & P Fang

On the reliability ot system identification Applications of bootstrap theory 155T Kijewski&A Kaieein

Nonlinear aerodynamic analysis of long-span cable-stayed bridge 156H -K Kim. M Shinozuka A S-P Cluing

Fragility analysis of conciete bi idges under spatially varying ground motion 157S -H Kim &MQ Feng

Adaptive impol tance sampling method for reliability analysis using stochastic FEM 158S-H Kun&K-W Ra

Reliability assessment of transmission pipelines under seismic hazard 159T Koike

"Design point" excitation for stationary random vibrations 160H Koo & A. Dei Kiiireghwn

Stochastic approach to the design of a simple structure under the risk of liquefaction 161PS Koulsourelakii, J.H Pievost&G Deodatis

Decision support system for lepair and maintenance of deteriorating concrete structures 162

S Koyama, T Niikamura, Y. Tanaka & T Maiuya

Reliability analysis of reinforced concrete beams deterioration, sensitivity and spatial variability aspects 163

W luiwanwisut, D. Novdk & B Teply

Structural re-analysis techniques using modal pioperties from ambient vibration measurements 164

H.-J Lee, C.-B Yun.N-S. Knn&J-W Seo

Confidence levels for steel moment frame buildings with brittle connections 165

K. Lee &D.A. Foutch

A probabilistic decay attack model of timber in-ground 166

R.H. Leicester, C.H. Wang & G.C. Fohente

A piobabihstic model of termite attack 167

R H. Leicester & C.H. Wang

A reliability-based on-line dynamic positioning control algorithm 168

B.J Leira, A. Sfliensen, J.P. Strand &C M Laisen

A probabilistic design approach for riser collision based on time-domain response analysis 169B J Leira, T HolmaS & K Herfjonl

System identification using the localized structural model 170

X. Ling & A. Haldar

Evaluation of bridge safety based on concrete nondestructive tests 171

P.-L. Liu &BF Shang

Using inspection data to improve credibility of analytical life predictions 172

K. Lodeby & N. Jarvstrdl

Stochastic nonlinear p-y analysis of laterally loaded piles 173

B.K Low, CI. Teh & WH. Tang

Efficient reliability-based design using spreadsheet optimization 174

B.K. Low, C! Teh & W.H Tang

Seismic protection of structures using semi-active friction dampers 175

L-Y.Lu&G.-L Lin

Annual limit-state frequencies for partially-inspected earthquake-damaged buildings 176

N. Luco, C.A. Cornell &GL Yea

Importance sampling of dynamic systems — A comparative study 177

M. Macke & N. Harnpoinchai

Adaptive response surface method for structural reliability calculation 178

M. Macke & J. Riedel

XI

What does "major damage" of the building damage assessment by local governments mean? 179

N. Maki, K. Horie, H. Hayashi & S. Tanaka

Lifetime assessment of a pipeline with longitudinal crack subjected to cyclic loading and local corrosion 180

M.G. Malyukova & S.A. Titnashev

System identification ofan experimental model by extended Kalman filter 181

O. Maruyama & M. Hoshiya

Dynamic response of a vehicle model with six degrees-of-freedom under seismic motion 182

Y. Maruyama & F. Yamazaki

Structural damage identification by time-varying modal analysis 183

A. Masuda & A. Sone

Basic study on application ofTaguchi method to civil engineering problems 184

A.S. Matsuho

Reliability-based condition assessment of welded steel miter gates with fatigue damage 185

T.P. McAllister & B.R. EllingwoodA regulatory view of plant-life management of civil structures in the UK nuclear industry 186

I.J. McNair

Reliability assessment with small amount of experimental data 187

J. Meniik

Reliability-based parameter optimization and tolerancing in structural design 188

J. Meniik

Reliability analysis of RC chimneys subject to along-wind loading 189

D. Menon

Variability response function for stochastic thin plate bending problem 190

M. MeStrovic

Vehicle dynamics and fault detection in vehicle suspensions 191

P. Metallidis, G. Verros, S. Natsiavas & C. Papadimitriou

Structural reliability estimates and database-assisted design for wind 192

F. Minciarelli, F. Sadek, E. Simiu & M. Grigoriu

Development of automated extraction method for building damage area based on maximum 193

likelihood classifier

H. Mitomi, F, Yamazaki & M. Matsuoka

Seismic risk assessment procedures for a system consisting of distributed facilities 194

Part one: Basic method of the proceduresM. Mizutani, M, Sato & S. Yoshida

Initial crack depth and POD data based on underwater inspection of fixed steel platforms 195T. Moan, Z Wei & O.T. V&rdal

Assessment of fatigue reliability associated with requalification of existing offshore platforms 196T. Moan &O.T. V&rdal

Stochastic response of shell structure containing granular materials due to external force 197T. Mochio

Reinforced concrete structures underseismic excitation: Reliability and performance based design 198O. Moller, R.O. Foschi&M. Rubinstein

On the random fields conditioned by non-stationary stochastic processes 199H. Morikawa

Load and resistance factors for the assessment of deteriorating existing structures 200Y. Mori & M. Nonaka

Assessment of the reliability of reinforced concrete structures 201K.-H. Mtlller

Effects of data accuracy on the POT estimates ofextreme values 202A. Naess & P.H. Clausen

An application of neural network system for river bed evolution prediction considering sediment 203control work effect

N. Nagadori, S. Katsuki, G. Fukawa, K. Matsumura & N. Osanai

Code calibration for the design of caisson type breakwaters by use of reliability-based design method 204T. Nagao & Y. Yoshinami

XII

Semi-active control of smart tuned mass damper using empirical mode decomposition and Hilbert 205transform algorithm

S. Nagarajaiah & N. Varadarajan

Slope stability of embankments — A reliability study 206K.K. Nair. D. Menon & S.R. Gandhi

Estimation of temporal and spatial distribution of earthquake occurrences by Cellular Automata 207M. Nakajima & K. Yamamoto

A principal component analysis for limit state functions of structural system 208S. Nakanhhi & H. Nakayasu

Seismic risk analysis of concrete building frames 209T. Naqvi, T.K. Datta & G.V. Ramana

Two-dimensional probabilistic Miner's rule in fatigue reliability 210K. Ni & S. Zhang

Reliability-based design of liquefaction mitigation by using geostatistical method 211S. Nishimura, H. Fujii & K. Shimada

Sequential estimation of seismic damage for rapid decision making in post-earthquake emergency 212N. Nojima & M. Sugito

Cost-based criteria for obtaining optimal design decisions 213

J.M. van Noortwijk

The use of Bayes factors for model selection in structural reliability 214

J.M. van Noortwijk, H.J, Kalk, M.T. Duils & E.H. Chbab

New developments in probability-based bridge design codes 215

A.S. Nowak & MM. Szerszen

Semi-implicit integration algorithm for stochastic response of hysteretie MDOF systems 216

Y. Ohtori & B.F. SpencerJr.

Seismic hazard conditioned by uncertain information on past fault events 217

T. Okumura, H, Kameda & A. Iwaki

Probabilistic evaluation of column over-design factors for steel frame structures 218

T. Ono & Y.-G. Zhao

The use of L-moments in the peak over threshold approach for estimating extreme quantiles of wind 219

velocityM. Pandey, P. van Gelder & H. Vrijling

Risk assessment and virtual mechanism of bridge failure analysis 220M.D. Pavisic

Failure probability prediction method for variables with uncertain intervals and distribution functions 221R.C. Penmetsa & R.V. Grandhi

Probabilistic structural response of structure under collapse loading 222J.E. Pepin, E.A. Rodriguez, B.H. Thacker & D.S. Riha

Damage-oriented reliability assessmentof civil engineering structures 223Y.S. Petryna & W.B. Kriitzig

Reliability optimization of aerospace structures for gust response and aileron effectiveness 224C.L. Peltit & R.V. Grandhi

Probabilistic fatigue damage model for structural concrete 225

D. Pfanner, F. Stangenberg & Y.S. Petryna

Extension of Karhunen-Loeve expansion for simulation using wavelets 226

K.K. Phoon, S.P. Huang & S.T. QuekThe risk of vulnerable failure 227

J.T.Q.S. Pinto, D.I. Blockley & N.J. Woodman

Convergence or iterative methods for solving dynamical systems with random uncertainties 228

F, Poirion

Verifying performance-based design objectives using assembly-based vulnerability 229

K.A. Porter <S A.S. Kiremidjian

Health monitoring of pipe networks via a probabilistic approach 230

Z Poulakis, D. Valougeorgis & C. Papadimitriou

XIII

Flutter reliability analysis of suspension bridges 231

S. Pourzeynali & T.K. Datta

Non-Gaussian response distributions of non-linear MDOF-systems 232

H.J. Pradlwarter

Computation of random modal properties by Monte Carlo simulation 233

H.J. Pradlwarter, G.I. SchuUler & G.S. Szekely

Reliability analysis of mechanical components 234

C. Proppe, G.I. Schueller, J, Hard & H. KarglProbabilistic analysis of multi-site damage in aging aircrafts 235

C. Proppe, G.I. Schueller & G. Bertrand

Software for stochastic structural analysis - Needs and requirements 236

C. Proppe, H.J. Pradlwarter & G.I. Schueller

Broadband ground motion simulation and damage estimation of the 1999 Kocaeli (Turkey) earthquake 237

A/. Pulido, H. Ami, H. Hibino & T. Kubo

Structural optimization and the life quality index 238

R. Rackwitz

A stochastic element-free Galerkin method using Karhunen-Loeve expansion of random field and 239

wavelets

S. Rahman & H. Xu

Probabilistic limit equilibrium method in analysis ofdynamic problem of multistory frames 240

V.D. Raizer & O.V. Mkrtychev

Determination of ship traffic distributions transverse to navigation routes 241

S. Randrup-Thomsen, C.F. Christensen & F. Ennemark

The application of a hybrid recurrence model to the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis for the City 242

of CataniaA. Rasulo

Stochastic finite element analysis and post-processing for very large scale dynamical systems 243

J. Red-Horse & R. Ghanem

Specification of design criteria based on probabilistic measures of design performance 244

S.G. Reid

Spectral evaluation of seismic fragility of structures 245

A.M. Reinhorn, R. Barron-Carvera & A.G. Ayala

Statistical evaluation of ductility for MDOF systems 246

A. Reyes-Salazar, A. Haldar & S. Y. Lee

Probabilistic estimation of residua] fatigue life for steel bridge components 247

T.D. Righiniotis & M.K. ChryssanthopoulosSeismic structural analysis with a wave propagation model 248

M.W. Roberts &L.D. Lutes

An iterative Monte Carlo method for efficient structural reliability and uncertainty analysis 249D.G. Robinson

An adaptive response surface approximation using weighted radii 250D. Roos & C. Bucher

System reliability analysis model for wood stud walls subject to combined loads 251D.V. Rosowsky, WM. Bulleit, G. Yu & W.C. Pang

Non-linear stochastic oscillator models of vortex-induced vibrations 252F. Riidinger & S. Krenk

Reliability of a multistory steel frame with partially restrained connections 253S, Sakurai, S. Kushiyama & B.R. Ellingwood

A systems approach to earthquake hazard assessment based on fuzzy logic and neural networks 254M. Sinchez-Silva

Mid-frequency vibration of complex uncertain systems 255A. Sarkar & R. Ghanem

Seismic fragility of short period reinforced concrete structural walls under near-source ground motions 256M. Sasani, A. Der Kiureghian & V. Bertero

XIV

A neural network-based response surface approach for computing failure probabilities 257T. Sasaki

Application of adaptive Kalman filter to identity a five story frame structure using NCREE 258

experimental data

T. Sato, R. Honda & T. Sakcinoue

Btickling analysis of cylindrical shells with random boundary and geometric imperfections 259C.A. Schenk & G.I. Schueller

Risk-based inspection on in-service offshore platforms: A probabilistic approach of the crack 260detection and global integrity criteria

F. Schoefs, A. Rouhan & J. Gove!

Stability analysis for imperfect systems with random loading 261Y. Schorling. C. Bucher & T. Mosl

Risk and ethics: Learning from practitioners and public 262M.H. Shaflee Deli Abad & D.I. Blockley

Crack initiation prediction of welded components of random materials: A stochastic finite element 263

analysisJ. Shi & R. Ghanem

Corrosion fatigue and multiple site damage life prediction of aging structures 264P. Shi & S. Mahadevan

Effective use of historical data and tested multi-data and their evaluation for seismic PSA — Based 265on Bayesian approach

H. Shibata & H. Asada

Seismic reliability analysis for steel bridge piers 266W. Shiraki, H. Inomo, H. Ishikawa, M. Dogaki &A.S. Nowak

A new estimation method of the spatial distribution of geotechnical characterizations using the 267

improved self-organizing feature mapW. Shiraki, H. Inomo &N. Itou

Influence of the mathematical modeling of the seismic input on the non-Gaussian response of 268

non-linear systemsF.L. Silva, J.L. Rivera, S.E. Ruiz & J.E. Ilurtado

Stochastic stability of elastic structures - Quantification of uncertainties by Lyapunov exponents 269M. Simon & W. Wedig

Effects of uncertainties in material properties on buckling of laminated cross-ply cylindrical panels 270

using Monte-Carlo simulation

B.N. Singh, D. Yadav &N.G.R. Iyengar

Analysis of local response of heterogeneous materials using moving-window GMC 271E.F. Siragy & LL. Graham

Probabilistic calibration of a new safety format for RC structures utilizing Monte Carlo simulation 272M. Six & C.-A. Graubner

A simplified model of spatial variability to evaluate effects of spatial averaging on foundation capacity 273G.L. Smith & R.B. Gilbert

Redundancy of dual and steel moment frame systems under earthquakes 274

S.H. Song & Y.K. Wen

Generic inspection planning for steel structures 275

J.D. S0rensen & M.H. Faber

Stochastic model for loads on offshore structures from wave, wind, current and water elevation 276

J.D. S0rensen & M.J. SlemdorffPower spectrum estimation of stochastic processes by using the wavelet transform 277

P.D. Spanos & P. Tratskas

Optimization of longitudinal reinforcement of concrete framed structures using stochastic finite 278

element method

P. SlSpdnekStiffness changes in the Lavic Road Bridge resulting from the Hector Mine Earthquake 279

N. Stubbs, S. Park, R.W. Bolton, S. Choi & C.S. Sikorsky

Uncertainty analysis of satellite structures 280

G.S. Szfkely, H.J. Pradlwarter, G.I. Schueller & E. Marchante

XV

Structural safety of drilled shafts with minor defects 281

S.W. Tabsh & M.W. O'Neill

Fractal properties of earthquake ground motions in Japan 282

T. Takahashi, K. Takanashi & T. Tanahe

Formulation of nonlinear LRFD and its application to codified design 283

T. Takada & K. YamaguchiParametric identification of an isolated bridge 284

R.Y. Tan & H.C.Huang

Importance sampling method for time-dependent reliability analyses with Poisson white noises 285

H. Tanaka

Damage to small earth dams by heavy rainfall in Japan 286

S. Tani

Spatial variability of soil properties in slope stability analysis: Fragility curve generation 287

J. Tantalla, J.-H. Prevost & G. Deodatis

Hydrologic fragility assessment of concrete gravity dams 288

P.B. Tekie & B.R. EllingwoodProbabilistic finite element analysis of the lower cervical spine under eccentric loading 289

B.H. Thacker, D.P. Nicolella, S. Kumaresan, N. Yoganandan & F.A. Pintar

Corrosion crack based assessment of the life-cycle reliability of concrete structures 290

P. Thoft-Christensen

Monitoring based maintenance for civil engineering structures 291

L. Thompson, B. Westermo & M. Tominaga

Optimization of structure integrity and maintenance control 292

S.A. Timashev

Equivalent cubicization for nonlinear systems 293

M.A. Tognarelli & A. Kareem

Reliability-based life-cycle cost analysis of reinforced concrete structures in marine environments 294

D.V. Val & M.G. Stewart

Alternative approach to random digits utilization for reliability assessments 295

T. Vanura

Estimation of seismic hazard in territory of Southern Finland 296P. Varpasuo

Generation of design ground motion time histories for the Lianyungang NPP 297P. Varpasuo & P.H.A.J.M. van Getder

Probabilistic seismic safety assessment for Leningrad Nuclear Power Plant 298P. Varpasuo

Moment-based fatigue load models for wind energy systems 299P.S. Veers, L. Manuel, L.M. Filzwuter & S.R. Winterslein

Increased reliance on analysis for certification of aircraft structures 300D. Veley, C. Pettit & D. Holzwarth

Definition of acceptable risk in flood-prone areas 301H.G. Voortman, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, J.K. Vrijling & M.D. Pandey

Developments towards full probabilistic design codes 302

A.C.W.M. Vrouwenvelder

Traffic loads on bridges in the Netherlands based on recent traffic measurements 303T. Vrouwenvelder & P. Waarts

Cracking and spalling reliability analysis considering spatial variability for reinforced concrete structures 304K.A.T. Vu& M.G. Stewart

Seismic reliability analysis of a single-story L-shaped woodframe building 305C.H. Wang, G.C. Foliente & P. Paevere

On reliability of corrugated steel web in prestressed concrete box girder bridges 306E. Watanabe, T. Kadotani, M. Miyauchi, M. Tomimoto & M. Kano

Probabilistic-based performance prediction for HMA pavements 307B.N. Whitten, K.C. Chou &N.M. Jackson

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FPKTOOL A computational framework for the vibration of GWN-dnven SDOF systems 308

Sh Wojtkiewicz & LA Bergman

Numerical solution of high dimensional Fokker Planck equations 309

SF Wojtkiewicz & L A Bergman

Symptom based reliability in health-monitonng 310

FS Wong&JTP Yao

Estimating probability ot structural failure using energy method 311

KKF Wong & Y Wang

Earthquake ground motion simulation foi Mid America cities 312

CL Wu& YK Wen

Application of the empnical model decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum to the identification of 313

building seismic response data

7 S Wu CH loh&NE Huang

A reliable capacity spectium method 314

Q Xut

Nonlinear static analysis foi capacity evaluation of various structural systems 315

A Yakut N Kiilu &J Song

Redundancy and reliability ot engineering systems with information entropy 316

K Yamumoto H Ohno&M Hoshi)a

Hull girder strength of a tanker under longitudinal bending considering strength diminution due to 317

corrosion

N Yamumoto & T Yao

New development of supei dense seismic monitoring and damage assessment system for city gas 318

networks

F Yamazaki, Y Shunizu W Nakayama, K Koganemaru E Ishida & R Isoyama

Dynamic modeling and performance considerations on laige scale MR fluid dampers 319

G Yang B F Spencer Ji JD Carhtm &MK Sain

Optimal performance-based design of passive energy dissipation systems 320

JN Yang, S Lin &AK Agiawal

Identification of nonlinear systems via Hilbert transform using free vibiation measurements 321

J N Yang & Y Lei

Seismic lehabiltty analysis for highway network system 322

SC Yeh&CH Loh

Hybrid directional simulation for structural reliability estimation 323

M Yonezawa Y T Paik & S Okuda

Damage detection using Monte Carlo filter based on non Gaussian noise 324

/ Yoshtda

Seismic risk assessment procedures for a system consisting of distributed facilities 325

Part two Seismic hazard modelingS Yoshida, Y Imazuka &M Mizutam

Importance sampling method with kernel density estimate - A general appioach 326

L Yu&PK Das

Probabilistic system identification for nonlinear systems with uncertain input 327

K-V Yuen&JL Beck

Bayesian time domain methodology lor identification ot modal parameters liom ambient data 328

K-V Yuen&LS Katafvgwtis

Semi-active control of wind-induced vibration of tall building using magneto-rheological damper 329

C-B Yun J I Gu SB Kim & Y S Kim

Bias in axial capacity of single bored piles arising Irom failure criteria 330

LM Zhang &WH Tung

Non-destructive inspection and fatigue reliability updating 331

R Zhang & 5 Mahadevan

Moment approximations for system reliability evaluation ^32

Y-G Zhao&T Ono

Microstructure simulation and reliability analysis 333Y. Zhao A S Mahadevan

Stochastic fi acture mechanics based fatigue damage assessment lor short crack growth 334Z. Zhao &IR Onsamolu

Stochastic optimal control oflehability ot quasi non-integrable Hamiltonian systems 335W Q Z/m, ZL Huang &ML Deng

System behavior of post-tensioned beam bridges - An experimental study 336

-4, ZnidariC, F Moses & M Ghosn

AUTHOR INDEX 337

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