Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

16
ASTEROID CAPTURE FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER: A PROJECT PLAN Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.co m

Transcript of Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

Page 1: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

ASTEROID CAPTURE FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER:

A PROJECT PLAN

Stephen D. CoveyRamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com

Page 2: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

ASTEROID CAPTURE FOR SPACE SOLAR POWER: A PROJECT PLAN Assumptions Project Phases

1. Capture 99942 Apophis into Earth orbit2. Launch mining & manufacturing tools3. Launch construction shacks & workers4. Construct & deploy Solar Power Satellites5. Construct a worker/colonist habitat6. Repeat 4 & 5 with remaining asteroid resources

Return On Investment Areas for Research & Development Summary

Page 3: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

ASSUMPTIONS Capture an Asteroid into LEO: 99942 Apophis Timeframe:

Project start in 2027, Launch capture mission in early 2028, Orbit capture April 2030 Mining mission starts 2030

SpaceX’s Falcon Heavy launch vehicle Pricing in 2011 dollars Worker launch costs $24M -> $1M/person Not included in budgets (addressed later):

In-space worker salaries Most R&D costs

Sales of energy funds everything

Page 4: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

Capture Apophis into Earth Orbit The capture mission begins 2027:

Assemble tugship in LEO Intercept injection via lunar slingshot Oct-2027 5 months to intercept 10 months of thrust to change Apophis orbit 3 month coast Earth slingshot - April 13, 2029 12 month coast Lunar slingshot & drop into Earth orbit, Apr-

2030 Capture mission duration 30+ months

Page 5: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

Tugship for Apophis Capture

Launch into LEO: Core ship (crew quarters, life support, 50 t) Fuel/thruster assemblies (100 t) Solar panels (200m, 12 megawatts, 100 t) Total equipment: $1.5B, 250 tons 5 launches ($600M)

Launch assembly crew & construction shack: $1.6B (with training, tools, supplies, 2 launches)

Assemble (12-18 person-months) Launch mission crew & supplies: 1 launch @

$100M Total capture: $3.8B

Page 6: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

LAUNCH MINING & MANUFACTURING TOOLS Solar power generator: 1 launch, $200M Mining facilities: 2 launches, $400M Solar smelter, gas refining, metals: 5 launches,

$1B Steel production: 5 launches, $1B Rolling mill: 3 launches, $600M Finished metal product plant: 2 launches, $400M Silicon refinery, solar panel manufacturing (3

launches, $600M) Slag processing & handling: (1 launch, $200M) Total estimate: $4.4B equipment & 22

launches spanning 2030-2031

Page 7: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

LAUNCH WORKERS & HOUSINGYear Worker

sSteel Production Tons/Day

SPS Builds / Year

Per Worker Cost

Total Cost To Date

2030

36 Setup $33M $9.4B

2031

500 100 Setup $10M $14.4B

2032

1500 200 1 $5M $19.6B

2033

3500 400 2 $2.5M $25.0B

2034

7500 800 4 $1M $29.8B

2035

800 8

Page 8: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

CONSTRUCT A 5 GW SPS

Solar panels (16 square kilometers) Steel support structures Microwave transmitting antenna (1

km) Microwave transmitter (from Earth) Protective shield Total mass 25,000 tons

Page 9: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

DEPLOY THE SPSs

Build near asteroid in HEO Deploy into GEO (2 km/s) Deployment fuel (1,000 tons) Install microwave transmitter

launched from Earth Construct ground receiving station

10+ km rectenna $1 B (born by receiving electric utility)

Page 10: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

KALPANA ONE HABITAT - DESIGN

100 meter radius, 130 meter wide cylinder

Spinning at 3 rpm 10 t/m2 slag shield (1.6 Mt) 1-inch thick steel shell (28 kt) 126 kt of interior steel structures Solar Power (6kw/person, 50 Mw

total) Capacity 8,000 workers

Page 11: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

KALPANA ONE HABITAT - FEATURES

Lots of room (square feet): 5,500,000 agricultural: 2,500,000 residential (300 sf/person) 1,500,000 office, light industrial, retail 1,000,000 storage & overhead 50x130 meter core zero-G cylinder for

research & industry 12 acre cylindrical park (100x250

meters)

Page 12: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

REPEAT UNTIL RESOURCES EXHAUSTED 8 Year Plan

1 habitat for 8,000 people 15 five-gigawatt solar power satellites Over 90% of Apophis remains

Continue Building 8 SPSs/Year Global Demand: 2 Tw (400 SPSs) More (& Larger) Habitats

Near GEO LEO Mars?

Page 13: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

RETURN ON INVESTMENT

Year Event Expense

Revenue Cash Flow (Sales of Electricity)

Cash Flow (Sales of SPSs)

2027 Launch $3.8B $3.8B $3.8B

2030 M&M $5.6B $9.4B $9.4B

2033 1st SPS $15.6B $1.3B $23.7B $14.6B

2034 3 SPSs $4.8B $3.9B $24.6B $5.2B

2035 7 SPSs $1.6B $9.1B $17.1B $43.6B

2036 15 SPSs $0 $19.5B $0.8B $82.0B

2037+ $19.5B $20.3B +$40 B/yr

Page 14: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT

Heavy lift (or super heavy lift) launch vehicles Space taxies / trucks (tugships) Long-term life support Zero-G mining, smelting, refining,

manufacturing Manufacturing solar panels High-efficiency multi-gigawatt microwave

transmitters / receivers Large-scale in-space construction techniques

(of SPS and habitats) with limited resources

Page 15: Stephen D. Covey RamblingsOnTheFutureOfHumanity.blogspot.com.

CONCLUSION

2036: Breakeven ($25B peak outflow)

2037: $19.5B/year Profits (10% Apophis)

2053: (assuming +8 SPS/year) 150 SPSs deployed $195B/year revenue 12 orbital habitats; 100,000 person

capacity The asteroid Apophis is only a memory

But there are more asteroids out there!